证券研究报告·海外公司点评·软件服务(HS) | [Table_EPS] 盈利预测与估值 | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入（百万元） | 1,120 | 1,649 | 2,171 | 3,407 | 4,343 | | 同比(%) | 111.22 | 47.20 | 31.63 | 56.96 | 27.49 | | 归母净利润（百万元） | (4,336.63) | (481.83) | (228.12) | 58.07 | 378.66 | | 同比(%) | (107.63) | 88.89 | 52.66 | 125.46 | 552.07 | | EPS-最新摊薄（元/股） | (8.95) | (0.99) | (0.47) | 0.12 | 0.78 | | P/S（现价&最新摊薄） | 12.48 | 8.48 | 6.44 | 4.10 | 3.22 | [Table_Tag] [投资要点 Table_Summary] 2025 年 11 月 28 ...

Core Viewpoint - The report from China Merchants Securities International maintains a target price of HKD 50 for Suton Juchuang (02498) and an "Accumulate" rating, highlighting the significant growth potential in the ADAS and robotics sectors, with expectations of entering a profit cycle by 2026-2027 fiscal years [1] Group 1: Financial Performance and Projections - The company is expected to achieve profitability in Q4 of this year, with strong shipments in ADAS and robotics projected to exceed one million units [1] - Q4 laser radar shipments are anticipated to reach a record high, with October deliveries at 120,000 units and expected month-on-month growth in November and December [1] - ADAS shipments are projected to approach 600,000 units in 2025 and exceed one million units in 2026, with the digital EM platform already designated for 49 vehicle models [1] Group 2: Market Demand and Partnerships - There is a surge in demand for EM4 long-range radar for L3 autonomous driving, with capacity bottlenecks expected to be resolved by Q1 2026 [1] - The company has exclusive partnerships in the lawnmower robot sector, with expected shipments of 200,000 units by 2026 [1] - The overall shipment guidance for the robotics segment is nearly one million units for next year, and a new generation of Robotaxi models has been designated in collaboration with Didi Autonomous Driving, with an industry expectation of reaching a scale of 100,000 units in the next 3-5 years [1]

针对L3级自动驾驶，500线以上超远距雷达EM4需求激增，2026年第一季解决产能瓶颈。割草机器人领 域与全球头厂商独家合作，预计2026年出货量达20万台。明年机器人板块整体出货指引近100万台， Robotaxi方面,与滴滴自动驾驶达成新一代车型定点(单车10颗雷达)，行业预计未来3-5年Robotaxi将达10 万台级规模，公司已覆盖全球90%头部玩家，该市场将带来确定性增量。 该行预计，公司今年第四季将实现盈利，明年ADAS及机器人出货强劲，指引均超百万台，因此维持目 标价和评级，同时预计第四季度激光雷达出货量将创新高，10月交付量达12万台，预计11、12月环比增 长。 2025年ADAS出货量预计接近60万台，2026年超100万台，数位化EM平台已获49款车型定点。 智通财经APP获悉，招商证券国际发布研报称，维持速腾聚创(02498)目标价50港元及"增持"评级， ADAS与机器人业务空间庞大，未来海外高毛利订单与Robotaxi业务将增厚利润，可望进入盈利周期， 维持2026-2027财年获利预测基本不变。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The company, SUTENG JUCHUANG (02498.HK), demonstrates confidence in its future growth by repurchasing shares, driven by optimistic expectations for Q4 earnings, continuous global order acquisition, significant collaborations in the Robotaxi sector, and rapid growth in new business areas [1] Group 1: Share Buyback and Financial Performance - On November 26, SUTENG JUCHUANG announced a buyback of 323,000 shares at a total cost of approximately HKD 10.0115 million, with prices ranging from HKD 30.72 to HKD 31.2 per share [1] - The company reported Q3 revenue of approximately CNY 407 million and anticipates a significant increase in digital lidar sales in Q4, potentially achieving profitability for the first time in a single quarter [1] - In October, the monthly delivery of digital lidar units exceeded 120,000, setting a new record, which may accelerate the achievement of profitability goals [1] Group 2: Sales Growth and Market Position - In Q3, SUTENG JUCHUANG's total lidar sales reached approximately 185,600 units, representing a year-on-year growth of 34.0%, with sales in robotics and other sectors increasing by 393.1% to 35,500 units [1] - The company has maintained a leading position in digital lidar chip technology, with its self-developed SPAD-SoC and 2D VCSEL chips passing the stringent AEC-Q automotive electronic certification, making it the only tech company globally to have all self-developed chips in the lidar production chain meet automotive standards [1] - The order volume continues to rise, with SUTENG JUCHUANG securing over one million units in designated orders from 12 overseas and joint venture brands, including Audi and Volkswagen [2]

Group 1 - The core point of the article is that Sutech Juchuang has conducted a share buyback on November 26, purchasing 323,000 shares at a price range of HKD 30.720 to HKD 31.200, totaling HKD 10.0115 million [2] - The stock closed at HKD 30.700 on the same day, reflecting a decline of 3.09%, with a total trading volume of HKD 316 million [2] - Year-to-date, the company has completed four buybacks, acquiring a total of 1.23 million shares for a cumulative amount of HKD 37.1849 million [2] Group 2 - The detailed buyback information includes the number of shares repurchased, highest and lowest buyback prices, and total buyback amounts for each transaction [2] - On November 26, 2025, the company repurchased 32.30 million shares at a maximum price of HKD 31.200 and a minimum price of HKD 30.720, amounting to HKD 10.0115 million [2] - Previous buybacks occurred on October 17, 2025, with 29 million shares repurchased for HKD 9.9175 million, and on April 8, 2025, with 34.70 million shares for HKD 9.7836 million [2]

Summary of LobeSense's Q3 2025 Earnings Call Company Overview - **Company**: LobeSense - **Industry**: Laser Radar Technology, Robotics, Autonomous Driving Key Financial Performance - **Q3 2025 Revenue**: 407.1 million RMB, a slight decrease of 0.2% year-over-year [2][16] - **Product Sales Revenue**: Increased by 0.6% to 387.1 million RMB, driven by significant growth in laser radar sales for robotics and other fields [2][16] - **ADAS Revenue**: Decreased by 25.7% to 240.47 million RMB, despite a 14.3% increase in unit sales to 150,100 units due to a drop in average selling price [2][17] - **Robotics and Other Fields Revenue**: Increased by 157.8% to 142.4 million RMB, with unit sales rising 393.1% to 55,500 units [2][17] - **Gross Margin**: Improved to 23.9%, up 6.4 percentage points year-over-year, attributed to lower raw material costs and the adoption of self-developed SOC chips [2][19] - **Net Loss**: 1 million RMB, a 20% increase in loss compared to the previous year [2][21] Product and Market Developments - **Laser Radar Shipments**: Expected to reach a historical high in Q4 2025, with 120,000 units delivered in October alone [2][21] - **Digital Laser Radar**: Fully mass-produced, with significant orders and deliveries planned for Q4 2025 [2][21] - **New Product Launches**: Five new digital laser radar products released, receiving high market recognition and numerous orders [2][5] Strategic Partnerships and Market Expansion - **Key Partnerships**: Collaborations with major clients like Leading and Great Wall, indicating industry recognition of LobeSense's performance [4][22] - **International Market Growth**: Secured contracts with 12 overseas and joint venture brands, with projects expected to ramp up in 2026 [4][13] - **Robotaxi Market**: Significant growth in the Robotaxi sector, with LobeSense collaborating with major players like Didi to provide advanced radar solutions [7][25] Future Outlook - **Profitability Goals**: Aiming for a turnaround to profitability in Q4 2025, with continued improvements in gross margins and revenue growth [6][21] - **Market Trends**: Anticipating increased demand for advanced sensor technologies in the autonomous driving sector, particularly in the Robotaxi market [8][25] - **Regulatory Developments**: Progress in L2 and L3 autonomous driving regulations in China, enhancing the market landscape for LobeSense's products [9][10] Innovation and Technology - **Digital Laser Radar Technology**: Transitioning from analog to digital radar systems, enhancing performance and reliability [22][28] - **New Product Innovations**: Launch of the Aptina Camera series aimed at improving robotic vision and operational efficiency [29][30] - **Long-term Competitive Advantage**: Focus on self-developed chips to maintain a technological edge over competitors [28][32] Conclusion LobeSense is positioned for significant growth in the laser radar and robotics markets, with a strong focus on innovation, strategic partnerships, and expanding international presence. The company aims to achieve profitability in the near term while capitalizing on the growing demand for advanced sensor technologies in autonomous driving applications.

Core Viewpoint - The company, SUTENG JUCHUANG (02498.HK), demonstrates strong confidence in its future development through a recent share buyback, optimistic fourth-quarter earnings expectations, and significant growth in its digital lidar business [1][2] Group 1: Share Buyback and Financial Performance - On November 26, SUTENG JUCHUANG announced a buyback of 323,000 shares at a total cost of approximately HKD 10.01 million, with prices ranging from HKD 30.72 to HKD 31.2 per share [1] - The buyback is based on the company's optimistic outlook for Q4 profitability, ongoing global order acquisition, and rapid growth in new business areas [1] - In Q3, the company reported total revenue of approximately CNY 407 million, with expectations for a significant increase in digital lidar sales in Q4, potentially achieving quarterly profitability for the first time [1] Group 2: Sales and Market Position - In October, the company achieved a record monthly delivery of over 120,000 digital lidar units, accelerating the path to profitability [1] - Total lidar sales in Q3 reached approximately 185,600 units, representing a year-on-year increase of 34.0%, with sales in robotics and other sectors surging by 393.1% to 35,500 units [1] - The company has secured over one million unit orders from 12 overseas and joint venture brands, including Audi and Volkswagen, highlighting its competitive market position [2] Group 3: Technological Advancements and Partnerships - SUTENG JUCHUANG continues to lead in digital lidar chip technology, with its self-developed SPAD-SoC and 2D VCSEL chips passing the stringent AEC-Q automotive certification [1] - The company has established a significant partnership with Didi Autonomous Driving to provide a combination of 10 digital lidar units for next-generation vehicles, enhancing the capabilities of autonomous driving models [2]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [2][5]. Core Insights - The company is actively exploring applications in the general robotics and Robotaxi/Robovan markets, with impressive order progress [2]. - The third quarter performance in the general robotics business was outstanding, leading to an upward revision of EPS forecasts for 2025-2027 to -0.28, 0.13, and 0.83 RMB respectively [9]. - The target price has been raised to HKD 43.36, based on a 6x PS for 2026, reflecting the company's growth potential despite current profit margins not being stable [9]. Financial Summary - Total revenue projections for the company are as follows (in million RMB): - 2024A: 1,649 - 2025E: 2,104 - 2026E: 3,236 - 2027E: 4,914 - Growth rates are 47%, 28%, 54%, and 52% respectively [4]. - Gross profit and net profit forecasts are: - Gross profit for 2024A: 284 million RMB, with a projected increase to 1,374 million RMB by 2027E. - Net profit is expected to turn positive by 2026E, reaching 404 million RMB by 2027E [4]. - The company reported a net loss of 1.0 billion RMB in Q3 2025, with a net profit margin of -24.57% [9]. Market Position and Developments - The company has successfully secured significant contracts with major automotive manufacturers, including a leading new energy vehicle company and a global SUV and pickup manufacturer [9]. - The Robotaxi business is expected to see a trend of multiple laser radar applications per vehicle, with a recent partnership with Didi for a new model featuring ten laser radars [9]. - The company delivered 35,500 laser radars in Q3, marking a substantial year-on-year increase, and has become a preferred perception solution for several autonomous delivery developers [9].

人民财讯11月26日电，11月26日，速腾聚创(02498.HK)公布回购信息，于香港交易所回购32.3万股，涉 及金额约1001万港元，回购价格区间为每股30.72至31.2港元。 ...

Group 1 - The company, SUTENG JUCHUANG (02498), announced a share buyback of 323,000 shares at a cost of approximately HKD 10.0115 million, with a buyback price ranging from HKD 30.72 to HKD 31.2, reflecting management's confidence in the business outlook [1] - In Q3, the company reported total revenue of approximately CNY 407 million, with expectations for a significant increase in digital lidar deliveries in Q4, aiming for the first quarterly profit [1] - The total sales of lidar units reached approximately 185,600, representing a year-on-year growth of 34.0%, while sales in robotics and other sectors surged by 393.1% year-on-year in Q3 [1] Group 2 - The company has secured over 1 million units of orders from 12 overseas and joint venture brands, including Audi and Volkswagen, and has successfully entered a project with competitor Leap Motor, showcasing strong market competitiveness [1] - In the RoboTaxi sector, the company achieved a breakthrough by partnering with Didi Autonomous Driving for a new generation model that will utilize a combination of 10 lidar units for all-weather operational capabilities [2]