FF301 股份發行人及根據《上市規則》第十九B章上市的香港預託證券發行人的證券變動月報表 截至月份: 2025年10月31日 狀態: 新提交 致：香港交易及結算所有限公司 公司名稱: 國泰海通證券股份有限公司(「本公司」) 第 1 頁 共 11 頁 v 1.1.1 FF301 因本公司是於中華人民共和國註冊成立，「法定股本」之概念不適用於本公司。本公司於第一部分所填寫的信息為本公司的已發行股本。 呈交日期: 2025年11月3日 I. 法定/註冊股本變動 | 1. 股份分類 | 普通股 | 股份類別 | H | | 於香港聯交所上市 (註1) | 是 | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 證券代號 (如上市) | 02611 | 說明 | | | | | | | | | | 法定/註冊股份數目 | | | 面值 | | 法定/註冊股本 | | | 上月底結存 | | | 3,505,759,848 | RMB | 1 | RMB | | 3,505,759,848 | | 增加 / 減少 (-) | | | 0 | | ...

Group 1 - Guangdong Hongda's stock price increased by 5.01%, reaching 42.15 CNY per share, with a trading volume of 579 million CNY and a turnover rate of 2.14%, resulting in a total market capitalization of 32.034 billion CNY [1] - The company, established on May 14, 1988, and listed on June 12, 2012, is based in Guangzhou, Guangdong Province, and specializes in civil explosive products, mining infrastructure, blasting design, and related services [1] - The revenue composition of Guangdong Hongda includes: open-pit mining (58.54%), industrial explosives (12.43%), underground mining (11.82%), chemical products (10.47%), detonating devices (2.68%), liquefied natural gas (2.39%), defense equipment (0.88%), and others (0.80%) [1] Group 2 - Guotai Haitong Asset Management holds a significant position in Guangdong Hongda through its fund, Guotai Haitong CSI 500 Index Enhanced A (014155), which owns 918,300 shares, accounting for 1.14% of the fund's net value, ranking as the fourth-largest holding [2] - The fund has achieved a year-to-date return of 32.14%, ranking 1577 out of 4216 in its category, and a one-year return of 30.42%, ranking 1532 out of 3894 [2] Group 3 - The fund manager, Hu Chonghai, has been in position for 3 years and 325 days, overseeing a total fund size of 13.684 billion CNY, with the best return during his tenure being 76.86% and the worst at 2.72% [3] - Co-manager Deng Yakun has been in position for 1 year and 172 days, managing a fund size of 3.677 billion CNY, with a best return of 45.06% and a worst return of -1.42% during his tenure [3]

Core Viewpoint - Shenhuo Co., Ltd. has seen a stock price increase of 5.14%, reaching 26.00 CNY per share, with a total market capitalization of 58.483 billion CNY as of November 3 [1] Group 1: Company Overview - Shenhuo Co., Ltd. is located in Yongcheng, Henan Province, and was established on August 31, 1998, with its listing date on August 31, 1999 [1] - The company's main business includes the production, processing, and sales of aluminum products and coal, with the revenue composition being: electrolytic aluminum 69.40%, coal 14.11%, aluminum foil 6.41%, aluminum foil raw materials 4.44%, trading 3.82%, other businesses 1.73%, transportation 0.05%, anode carbon blocks 0.03%, and coking coal 0.03% [1] Group 2: Fund Holdings - Guotai Haitong Asset Management has a fund that heavily invests in Shenhuo Co., Ltd., specifically the Guotai Haitong Vision Value Mixed Fund A (017935), which held 319,300 shares, accounting for 5.07% of the fund's net value, making it the fourth-largest holding [2] - The fund has generated an estimated floating profit of approximately 405,500 CNY as of the report date [2] Group 3: Fund Performance - The Guotai Haitong Vision Value Mixed Fund A was established on March 1, 2023, with a current scale of 77.7945 million CNY [2] - Year-to-date, the fund has achieved a return of 13.94%, ranking 5341 out of 8223 in its category; over the past year, it has returned 17.04%, ranking 4726 out of 8115; since inception, it has returned 32.29% [2]

Group 1 - The core point of the news is that Zijin Mining experienced a decline of 5.08% in its stock price, reaching 28.95 CNY per share, with a trading volume of 5.181 billion CNY and a turnover rate of 0.86%, resulting in a total market capitalization of 769.421 billion CNY [1] - Zijin Mining Group Co., Ltd. is located in Fujian Province and was established on September 6, 2000, with its listing date on April 25, 2008. The company's main business involves mineral resource exploration and development [1] - The revenue composition of Zijin Mining includes smelting products at 60.94%, mineral products at 36.48%, other revenues at 16.83%, and trading at 8.02% [1] Group 2 - From the perspective of major fund holdings, one fund under Guotai Haitong Asset Management has a significant position in Zijin Mining. The Guotai Haitong CSI A500 Index Enhanced A fund increased its holdings by 23,200 shares in the third quarter, bringing the total to 864,200 shares, which represents 1.16% of the fund's net value [2] - The estimated floating loss for the fund today is approximately 1.3396 million CNY [2] - The Guotai Haitong CSI A500 Index Enhanced A fund was established on December 17, 2024, with a latest scale of 973 million CNY and a year-to-date return of 27.26%, ranking 2073 out of 4216 in its category [2]

Core Viewpoint - The report from Guotai Junan indicates that by Q3 2025, listed securities firms are expected to achieve a net profit attributable to shareholders of 169 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 62.38% [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - Investment business net income is projected to increase by 44.92% to 197.2 billion yuan, significantly impacting adjusted revenue changes [1] - Brokerage business is expected to grow the fastest, with a year-on-year increase of 74.64% [1] Group 2: Business Opportunities - There is a recommendation to focus on securities firms that are likely to enhance their retail business share, potentially through controlling stakes in leading public funds, as well as those with significant profit contributions and strong international business [1] - The report highlights that the gradual formation of resident allocation power favors securities firms with competitive advantages in retail business [1] Group 3: Market Trends - The shift from rapid interest rate decline to low-level fluctuations is leading residents to gradually increase their equity allocations [1] - The transition from vertical traffic to public domain traffic is expected to benefit firms that adapt to business model transformations [1] - The "Bond + Equity" strategy is anticipated to be a core driver for new resident market entrants, with a focus on securities firms that control leading public funds [1] Group 4: International Business Growth - The Belt and Road Initiative and corporate globalization strategies are generating substantial cross-border financial demand [1] - As reforms in China's capital market investment side progress, the attractiveness of Chinese assets is expected to increase, leading to a growing demand from overseas investors for allocation in Chinese assets [1] - International business is projected to become a new performance growth engine for leading securities firms [1]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint highlights the strong performance of the Hong Kong Dividend ETF, which has seen a 20.92% increase in net value over the past six months, with an average daily trading volume of 17.52 million HKD [2] - The Hong Kong Dividend ETF closely tracks the CSI Hong Kong Stock Connect High Dividend Investment Index, which selects 30 high-dividend, liquid stocks from Hong Kong listed companies [2] - The current policy environment encourages companies to distribute dividends, creating favorable conditions for dividend investments, especially as risk-free interest rates decline [2] Group 2 - According to Zhongtai Securities, the future performance of the Hong Kong stock market will heavily depend on the Federal Reserve's interest rate policies and international relations, with a continued flow of funds into high-dividend, low-valuation defensive sectors expected [3] - The top ten weighted stocks in the CSI Hong Kong Stock Connect High Dividend Investment Index account for 46.3% of the index, indicating a concentration in specific high-dividend stocks [3] - The top ten stocks include China COSCO Shipping, Yancoal Australia, and China Petroleum, with varying weightings and recent performance [5]

Core Viewpoint - The steel industry is rated "overweight" by Guotai Junan, with expectations for a stable demand recovery and supply reduction leading to sustained profits in 2026, following a turning point in 2025 [1] Group 1: Demand Outlook - The demand for steel is expected to stabilize and recover, as the negative impact of the real estate sector on steel demand diminishes, while manufacturing sectors such as automotive, home appliances, shipbuilding, and energy show steady growth [1][2] - The proportion of steel demand from the real estate sector has been declining since 2021, while fixed asset investment in manufacturing has been increasing, indicating a significant shift in the demand structure [1] Group 2: Supply Expectations - There is an expectation of continued supply contraction, with the industry facing three years of losses since 2021, leading to cash flow issues for some smaller steel companies [2] - Policies aimed at reducing overcapacity and promoting low emissions are expected to reshape the competitive landscape, favoring leading companies with environmental and low-carbon advantages [2] Group 3: Leading Companies and Cost Improvements - Leading steel companies are adjusting their product structures and investing in R&D, resulting in significant improvements in product value and profitability, thereby widening the margin over industry averages [3] - As capital expenditures decrease, the profitability of leading companies is expected to shift towards shareholder returns through dividends and buybacks [3] - The cost side is improving as iron ore enters a more relaxed supply cycle, alleviating cost pressures on steel production [3]

Group 1 - The core point of the news is that Weicet Technology's stock has experienced a decline of 6.47%, with a current price of 96.34 CNY per share and a total market capitalization of 14.349 billion CNY [1] - Weicet Technology, established on May 6, 2016, specializes in wafer testing, chip finished product testing, and related integrated circuit testing services, with revenue composition of 55.40% from wafer testing, 40.09% from chip finished product testing, and 4.51% from other services [1] Group 2 - From the perspective of fund holdings, Guotai Haitong Asset Management has a fund that heavily invests in Weicet Technology, specifically the Guotai Haitong Technology Innovation Select Fund, which holds 3,400 shares, accounting for 1% of the fund's net value [2] - The Guotai Haitong Technology Innovation Select Fund has a total scale of 19.6547 million CNY and has achieved a year-to-date return of 43.41%, ranking 949 out of 4,216 in its category [2] - The fund manager, Liu Sheng, has been in position for 1 year and 75 days, with the fund's total asset scale at 4.323 billion CNY and a best return of 86.27% during his tenure [2]

Core Insights - The securities ETF (159841) has seen significant trading activity, with a turnover of 5% and a transaction volume of 510 million yuan as of October 31, 2025 [3] - The ETF has attracted substantial capital inflow, with a net subscription of over 120 million shares and a recent net inflow of 139 million yuan [4] - The overall performance of the securities industry is improving, with major firms experiencing substantial revenue and profit growth, particularly following the merger with Haitong Securities [4][5] Group 1: ETF Performance - The securities ETF (159841) recorded a 37.74 million share increase over the past three months, indicating strong growth [4] - The ETF's performance is bolstered by active market trading, with a notable increase in brokerage and investment banking activities [4] Group 2: Industry Trends - The securities industry is experiencing an upward trend in market activity, with a 108.6% year-on-year increase in average daily stock trading volume for the first three quarters of 2025 [5] - Major brokerage firms are seeing significant improvements in their self-investment returns and net interest income due to optimized asset-liability structures [5] - The overall recovery momentum in the brokerage sector is strong, particularly for large firms with technological advantages and solid customer bases [5]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommendation" rating for Guotai Haitong, expecting it to outperform the benchmark index by 10%-20% in the next six months [5][10]. Core Views - Guotai Haitong's total assets have surpassed 2 trillion yuan, with significant growth across various business segments driven by market conditions [5][10]. - The company reported a notable increase in return on equity (ROE) to 6.8%, up by 1.1 percentage points year-on-year, with a net profit growth of 131.8% year-on-year [2][10]. - The report highlights the company's strong performance in proprietary trading and brokerage services, with proprietary business income reaching 20.37 billion yuan, and brokerage income increasing by 269.3% year-on-year [3][4][10]. Financial Performance Summary - Total revenue for the reporting period was 45.1 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 99.3%, with a quarterly revenue of 21.7 billion yuan [10]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders was 22.07 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 131.8% [10]. - The company's financial leverage ratio was reported at 4.39 times, a slight decrease of 0.08 times year-on-year [2][9]. Business Segment Performance - Proprietary trading income was 20.37 billion yuan, with a quarterly income of 11.02 billion yuan, showing a significant increase [3]. - Interest income from credit business was 20.35 billion yuan, with a quarterly income of 7.74 billion yuan [3]. - Brokerage business revenue reached 10.81 billion yuan, with a quarterly income of 5.08 billion yuan, marking a substantial increase [4]. Valuation and Price Target - The target price for Guotai Haitong is set at 25.19 yuan, with the current price at 19.38 yuan, indicating potential upside [5][10]. - The report projects earnings per share (EPS) for 2025, 2026, and 2027 to be 1.53, 1.35, and 1.45 yuan respectively, with corresponding price-to-book (PB) ratios of 1.04, 1.00, and 0.96 [10].