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国泰海通:受销售策略调整及春节错期影响 美妆销售淡季边际改善
智通财经网· 2026-02-09 07:30
Core Viewpoint - The beauty industry is expected to maintain steady growth in 2026, driven by product innovation and the rise of domestic brands, with Douyin's beauty GMV projected to grow over 20% year-on-year in January 2026, reflecting a marginal improvement during the off-season due to brand efforts in daily sales and self-broadcasting, alongside the impact of the Spring Festival timing [1][2]. Group 1: Strong Product and Brand Momentum - Companies with strong product and brand momentum are expected to achieve high growth through new product launches and category expansions, such as Ruoyuchen, which is focusing on high-end household cleaning and health products [3]. - Beijiaojie is maintaining stable performance in oral care and is expected to benefit from the trend of AKK ingredients in its probiotic raw material business [3]. - Maogeping is positioned as a high-end brand with ongoing expansion in offline counters and online sales, anticipating rapid growth across multiple product lines [3]. - Linqingxuan is benefiting from the trend of oil-based skincare, with its flagship essence oil performing well and new products showing promise [3]. - Shangmei Co. is expanding its main brand Han Shu and sub-brands, with strong growth expected from key products [3]. Group 2: Leading Brands with Strong Asset Value - Beitanie has been actively adjusting its channel and inventory mechanisms since 2025, leading to product structure upgrades and profit recovery, with strong GMV growth in January 2026 [4]. - Proya is expected to have a clear new product strategy in 2026, launching several key products and expanding its sub-brands to drive steady growth [4]. Investment Recommendations - Companies with strong fundamentals and high growth potential recommended for increased holdings include Ruoyuchen, Beijiaojie, Maogeping, Linqingxuan, and Shangmei Co. [5]. - Companies showing signs of bottom improvement include Beitanie, Proya, Dengkang Oral, Shanghai Jahwa, and Runben Co. [5].
国泰海通:关注企稳后的有色金属布局机会
智通财经网· 2026-02-09 06:20
国泰海通主要观点如下: 贵金属:风险偏好下行,贵金属价格调整 美国科技股因财报不及市场预期有所回调,美国财长对强美元的表态和新任美联储缩表的政策预期,市 场风险偏好下行,叠加贵金属前期交易拥挤,上周(2月6日当周)贵金属价格调整。1月中国央行继续购 金、25年黄金ETF持仓份额的上升,将继续成为支撑黄金价格的重要因素。伦敦白银租赁利率平稳,美 国白银库存下降速度较快。相关标的:中金黄金、赤峰黄金、山东黄金、山金国际、盛达资源。 智通财经APP获悉,国泰海通发布研报称,市场风险偏好下行,贵金属价格调整。铜战略收储预期提供 支撑,铝需求淡季下价承压。而能源金属则需求旺盛,风险偏好下行打压价格。该行持续看好稀土作为 关键战略资源的投资价值。在供需紧平衡的状况下,供需平衡表很重要,但更需关注宏观对金属价格走 势的核心影响,货币政策、宏观预期、地缘博弈与供给扰动将成为胜负手。 铜:海外宏观压力犹存,战略收储预期提供支撑 特朗普提名鹰派人士凯文·沃什出任下任美联储主席,市场强化了缩表与强美元预期,铜价承压;但国内 有色工业协会研究建立"铜精矿战略储备",收储重心从精炼铜向上游矿端延伸,旨在加强战略资源掌控 力,对冲海外供 ...
国泰海通:千问加码外卖补贴 预计一季度现制饮品销售保持高景气度
智通财经网· 2026-02-09 05:53
Group 1 - The launch of the 30 billion yuan subsidy project by Alibaba's Qianwen App is expected to benefit the sales of ready-to-drink beverages [2][3] - The first wave of the subsidy activity runs from February 6 to 12, offering users a 25 yuan no-threshold free order card, which can be used at over 300,000 tea and coffee shops nationwide [2] - The second wave starting February 13 will allow users to receive cash red envelopes, with a maximum of 2888 yuan available [2] Group 2 - The activity has seen significant engagement, with over 1 million orders placed within 3 hours and over 10 million orders within 9 hours of launch [3] - The current trend indicates a high level of activity in the ready-to-drink beverage market during the Spring Festival, with ongoing subsidies for delivery services [3] - The competitive landscape in the beverage industry is improving, with a slowdown in price wars and a reduction in the number of new stores opening [4] Group 3 - Recommended companies in the beverage sector include Gu Ming (01364), Mixue Group (02097), Luckin Coffee (LKNCY.US), Cha Bai Dao (02555), and Hu Shang A Yi (02589) [5]
国泰君安期货商品研究晨报:农产品-20260209
Guo Tai Jun An Qi Huo· 2026-02-09 02:54
Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The overnight US soybeans closed slightly higher, and the Dalian soybean meal futures are expected to fluctuate. The soybean No.1 spot is gradually entering the holiday mode, and the futures price will fluctuate [2][4]. - The callback range of corn futures prices is limited [2][7]. - The sugar futures prices will be sorted in a narrow range [2][10]. - The cotton futures prices are expected to maintain a volatile trend before the holiday [2][15]. - The egg futures prices will be adjusted in a volatile manner [2][21]. - The peak season for live pigs is not prosperous, and the release of the "backlog" has begun [2][25]. - The peanut futures prices will fluctuate [2][30]. Summary by Related Catalogs 1. Soybean Meal and Soybean No.1 - **Fundamentals**: The closing prices of DCE soybean No.1 2605 and DCE soybean meal 2605 in the day - session were 4378 yuan/ton (-12, -0.27%) and 2735 yuan/ton (+5, +0.18%) respectively. The overnight CBOT soybean 03 closed at 1114.75 cents/bushel (+2.5, +0.22%). The spot prices of soybean meal in different regions had different changes [4]. - **News**: The US President said that China will increase soybean purchases, and the US Department of Agriculture will release the January supply - demand report on February 10. Analysts predict the US and global soybean ending stocks. The Brazilian soybean exports in January decreased compared with December but increased compared with last January. The Argentine soybean crop good - to - excellent rate decreased compared with a week ago but was higher than the same period last year [6]. - **Trend Intensity**: The trend intensity of soybean meal and soybean No.1 is 0 [6]. 2. Corn - **Fundamentals**: The closing prices of C2603 and C2605 were 2274 yuan/ton (+0.31%) and 2279 yuan/ton (+0.22%) respectively. The trading volume and positions of different contracts had different changes. The basis of the main 03 contract was 61 yuan/ton, and the 03 - 05 inter - period spread was - 5 yuan/ton [7]. - **News**: The northern corn bulk shipping and containerized shipping prices in ports had different changes. The prices of imported sorghum and barley from different origins and time periods were also provided [8]. - **Trend Intensity**: The trend intensity of corn is 0 [9]. 3. Sugar - **Fundamentals**: The raw sugar price was 14.11 cents/pound (-0.16), the mainstream spot price was 5300 yuan/ton (+10), and the futures main - contract price was 5228 yuan/ton (+4). The 15 - spread was 46 yuan/ton (+31), and the 59 - spread was - 11 yuan/ton (-8) [10]. - **News**: In the 25/26 sugar - making season, the Indian sugar production increased year - on - year, the Brazilian sugar exports decreased year - on - year, and the Chinese sugar imports increased in December. The CAOC predicted China's sugar production, consumption, and imports. The ISO predicted the global sugar supply surplus. The production data of Brazil, India, and Thailand were also provided [10][11][12]. - **Trend Intensity**: The trend intensity of sugar is 0 [13]. 4. Cotton - **Fundamentals**: The closing prices of CF2605 and CY2605 were 14580 yuan/ton (-0.21%) and 20405 yuan/ton (-0.20%) respectively. The trading volume and positions of different contracts had different changes. The spot prices of cotton in different regions also had different changes [16]. - **News**: The cotton spot basis was generally stable. The cotton yarn quotation was stable, and the pre - holiday trading atmosphere was light. The ICE cotton futures continued to fall due to the rapid increase in warehouse receipts [17]. - **Trend Intensity**: The trend intensity of cotton is 1 [18]. 5. Eggs - **Fundamentals**: The closing prices of egg2603 and egg2604 were 2904 yuan/500kg (-0.34%) and 3165 yuan/500kg (+0.32%) respectively. The 3 - 4 spread was - 261 yuan/500kg, and the 4 - 9 spread was - 714 yuan/500kg. The spot prices of eggs in different regions and the prices of related feed and livestock had different changes [22]. - **Trend Intensity**: The trend intensity of eggs is 0 [23]. 6. Live Pigs - **Fundamentals**: The spot prices of live pigs in Henan, Sichuan, and Guangdong were 12430 yuan/ton (-450), 11650 yuan/ton (0), and 11860 yuan/ton (-200) respectively. The closing prices of different futures contracts also decreased year - on - year. The trading volume and positions of different contracts decreased. The basis and inter - period spreads of different contracts also had different changes [26]. - **News**: Some companies registered warehouse receipts for March contracts [27]. - **Trend Intensity**: The trend intensity of live pigs is - 2 [28]. 7. Peanuts - **Fundamentals**: The spot prices of peanuts in different regions were stable. The closing prices of PK603 and PK605 were 8054 yuan/ton (+0.07%) and 7918 yuan/ton (-0.03%) respectively. The trading volume and positions of different contracts had different changes. The basis of different varieties and the 03 - 05 inter - period spread were also provided [30]. - **News**: The peanut spot prices in different regions were stable, and the pre - holiday trading was basically ending in some areas [31]. - **Trend Intensity**: The trend intensity of peanuts is 0 [32].
国泰海通:AI大战一触即发 建议关注受益于新场景新生态的赛道
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2026-02-08 22:47
基于此,推荐标的主要包括以下几类:1)游戏:AI应用是游戏良好的分发渠道,同时AI与游戏的结合 亦能探索出新玩法;2)影视:包括电影、长剧、短剧、漫剧在内的多种影视形式都有望受益于AI带来 的变革;3)营销:新生态带来更多广告投放需求。 我国互联网普及率突破80%,广告市场现复苏迹象。根据CNNIC在2月5日公布的第57次《中国互联网 络发展状况统计报告》,2025年我国网民规模达11.25亿人,普及率达到80.1%。同时,值得注意的是, 生成式人工智能用户规模大6.02亿人,普及率攀升至42.8%。此外,根据CTR的统计数据,从2025年7月 开始,广告刊例花费同比增长明显,9-11月逐月增速均在双位数以上,11月购物节大促期间增速达 16.6%。后续在AI新技术的加持下,2026年广告市场有望延续2025年下半年开始的良好表现。 国泰海通主要观点如下: 风险提示:AI发展不及预期,游戏流水不及预期。 AI应用"三分天下",流量入口成必争之地。2026年春节期间,元宝、千问和豆包三款AI应用均推出多 种活动获客,抢占AI流量入口。元宝10亿元现金红包的活动最先展开,从2月1日持续到2月17日,首轮 活动的现 ...
非银金融行业:增量资金持续入市,关注非银板块配置机会
GF SECURITIES· 2026-02-08 04:29
Core Insights - The report emphasizes the continuous influx of incremental funds into the market, highlighting investment opportunities in the non-bank financial sector [1][7] - The industry rating remains at "Buy," indicating a positive outlook for the sector [2] Group 1: Market Performance - As of February 6, 2026, the Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4065.58 points, down 1.27%, while the Shenzhen Component Index fell 2.11% [12] - The average daily trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets was 2.41 trillion yuan, reflecting a 3.38% decrease [7] Group 2: Industry Dynamics and Weekly Commentary Insurance Sector - The performance of listed insurance companies is expected to continue high growth, with a marginal improvement in long-term interest rate spreads [18] - China Ping An Group increased its stake in China Life H shares, indicating positive industry trends [18] - The first quarter of 2026 is anticipated to show better-than-expected performance for some insurance companies due to a low base in the first half of 2025 [18] Securities Sector - A significant increase in new accounts was observed in January 2026, with 491.58 million new A-share accounts opened, a 213% year-on-year increase [19] - The balance of margin trading reached a historical high, providing strong support for interest income in the securities industry [22] - The Hong Kong IPO market is active, with 384 companies applying for listings as of February 6, 2026, and a daily trading volume of 2202 billion yuan in January, a 94% year-on-year increase [24][28] Group 3: Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on specific stocks within the insurance sector, including China Ping An (A/H), China Life (A/H), and New China Life (A/H) [18] - In the securities sector, recommended stocks include Guotai Junan (AH), CICC (H), and Huatai Securities (AH) due to their potential for performance improvement [7][18]
2月6日郑州白糖持仓排行表
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2026-02-07 11:26
来源:沐甜科技 品种:白糖SR 日期:2026-02-06名次会员简称交易量(手)增减量会员简称持买仓量增减量会员简称 持卖仓量增减量1东证期货(代客)74,794-438中粮期货(代客)67,9611,553中粮期货(代客) 100,1394,7192中信期货(代客)58,9805,673银河期货(代客)54,914409中信期货(代客)68,5571,7583 国泰君安(代客)39,3854,691东证期货(代客)49,173-861乾坤期货(代客)49,2742,1044广发期货 (代客)32,3971,636中信期货(代客)37,917260东证期货(代客)34,1241,3935南华期货(代客) 28,5403,999国泰君安(代客)28,1821,326浙商期货(代客)32,538-496五矿期货(代客)26,8794,682华 泰期货(代客)23,027-225华泰期货(代客)26,653-1,3007海证期货(代客)23,8153,506永安期货(代 客)18,7412,086永安期货(代客)24,7051,0818银河期货(代客)19,3703,228中信建投(代客)15,917- 1,07 ...
张静离任国泰海通资管旗下2只QDII基金
Zhong Guo Jing Ji Wang· 2026-02-06 07:48
中国经济网北京2月6日讯 今日,国泰海通资管公告,张静离任国泰海通中证港股通高股息投资指 数发起(QDII)、国泰海通中证香港科技指数发起(QDII)。 张静历任英国瑞盟集团、上海敦煌财富管理公司家族办公室负责人,负责客户家族资产海外投资管 理;2016年8月加入上海国泰君安证券资产管理有限公司,历任跨境业务部、国际业务部、全球资本市 场部总经理助理,现任综合策略投资部总经理助理。自2024年10月8日起担任基金经理。 | 基金名称 | 国泰海通中证港股通高股息投资指数型发起式证券投资基金(QDII) | | --- | --- | | 基金简称 | 国泰海通中证灌胶通高股息投资指数发起(QDII) | | 基金主代码 | 023073 | | 基金管理人名称 | 上海国泰海迪正券资产管理有限公司 | | 公告依据 | 《公开募集证券投资基金信息技解管理办法》、《东企管理公司投资管理 人员管理指导意见》等相关法律法规规定 | | 基金经理变更差型 | 解聘基金经理 | | 共同管理本基金的其他基金经理 姓名 | 钱玲玲,邓雅琨 | | 离任基金经理姓名 | 张静 | | 基金名称 | 国泰海通中证香港科技指数 ...
富特科技不超5.28亿定增获深交所通过 国泰海通建功
Zhong Guo Jing Ji Wang· 2026-02-06 06:57
1月7日,富特科技披露《2025年度向特定对象发行A股股票募集说明书(修订稿)》。本次向特定对象发 行A股股票募集资金总额不超过52,822.22万元,扣除发行费用后拟用于新能源汽车核心零部件智能化生 产制造项目(三期)、新能源汽车车载电源生产项目第二基地购置项目、新一代车载电源产品研发项目、 补充流动资金。 | 序号 | 项目名称 | 投资总额 | 募集资金拟投入金额 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 杜此還沒有些核心不部件智能化生活 制造项目(三期) | 23.424.79 | 23,424.79 | | | 一带回居在井默申露中出印度提瑞 基地购置项目 | 15,960.26 | 15,500.00 | | | 新一代车载电源产品研发项目 | 3.642.43 | 3.642.43 | | 1 | 补充流动资金 | 10.255.00 | 10,255.00 | | | 合计 | 53,282.47 | 52.822.22 | 本次向特定对象发行的股票为境内上市人民币普通股(A股),每股面值为人民币1.00元。 本次发行采取向特定对象发行股票的方式,公司将在通过深交所审核并 ...
国泰海通、长芯博创等在上海成立并购私募投资基金三期,出资额8.3亿
Core Insights - The establishment of Shanghai M&A Private Equity Fund Phase III with a capital contribution of 830 million RMB [1] Group 1: Fund Details - The fund is managed by Haitong M&A (Shanghai) Private Fund Management Co., Ltd. [1] - The fund's operational scope includes private equity investment, investment management, and asset management activities [1] Group 2: Contributors - The fund is jointly funded by Haitong Kaiyuan Investment Co., Ltd., Haitong M&A (Shanghai) Private Fund Management Co., Ltd., and Changxin Bochuang [1]