Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that the fiber optic industry is entering a price increase trend, driven by rising demand for G657A2 and other products, leading to reduced supply of G652D and longer delivery times [2][4] - The demand for fiber optics is significantly boosted by AI-driven data centers and DCI (Data Center Interconnect) scenarios, with global fiber demand expected to continue rising [3][4] - The export performance of fiber optic and cable companies is strong, with overseas markets becoming an important growth point for the industry [3][6] Group 2 - The competition in computing power is driving a concentrated explosion in fiber demand, with AI data centers requiring significantly more fiber than traditional data centers [4][5] - The demand for specialty and multimode fibers is growing, with companies rapidly advancing in the development and application of hollow-core fibers [5] - Major domestic fiber optic manufacturers are expected to benefit from the price increase trend, with profit elasticity likely to be continuously revised upwards [6]

国泰海通主要观点如下： 1月船舶价格结构分化，新船价格震荡偏弱、二手船价格继续走强 智通财经APP获悉，国泰海通发布研报称，1月全球新船价格指数为184.29点，同比下降2.69%、环比下 降0.19%；船舶价格结构分化，新船价格震荡偏弱、二手船价格继续走强。2025年我国船舶出口规模持 续扩大，出口占比维持高位。2026年开年以来多类型船舶交付及新接订单稳步推进，国产甲醇双燃料动 力技术等绿色动力技术应用持续落地。 1)中船澄西顺利完成希腊籍"安特普"轮修理项目。该轮于2026年1月1日完工出厂，历时16天完成全部修 缮任务。作为重点修船项目，本次高效交付体现了中船澄西在复杂修理工程领域的履约能力和项目组织 能力。2)广船国际4.95万吨甲醇双燃料化学品船开启试航。该船为系列船第4艘，标志国产甲醇双燃料 动力技术在实船应用中的成熟度进一步提升，推动广船国际在绿色环保船型领域竞争力持续增强。3)武 昌造船新签9艘支线集装箱船订单生效。合同包括5艘1100TEU船型和4艘1800TEU船型，有助于武昌造 船巩固在支线集装箱船细分市场的份额，并支撑后续订单结构优化和产能利用率提升。 数据跟踪 截至2月02日，布伦 ...

Core Viewpoint - Zhang Yidong has officially joined Guotai Junan, taking on the roles of Executive Committee Member, Head of Equity Research, and Chief Economist, focusing on overseas business while reducing domestic sell-side operations [1][6]. Group 1: Career Transition - Zhang Yidong announced his departure from his previous position on December 31, 2022, citing career transformation and family considerations as reasons for his shift towards overseas business, particularly in Hong Kong and international capital markets [1][7]. - He has over 20 years of experience at Industrial Securities, consistently ranking first in overseas strategy analysis [5][11]. Group 2: Educational Background - Zhang holds a Bachelor's and Master's degree in International Finance from Fudan University and an EMBA from Shanghai Jiao Tong University [4][10]. Group 3: Rankings and Achievements - Zhang has received numerous accolades, including being ranked first in overseas market research by New Fortune in 2023 and 2024, and first in strategy research by Crystal Ball in 2025 [5][11]. Group 4: Market Outlook for 2026 - Zhang predicts that the Chinese bull market will continue, with the US dollar depreciating further but at a reduced rate, and the RMB potentially returning to the 6 range, possibly appreciating to 6.8 in the second half of the year [6][12]. - He emphasizes that the market conditions in 2026 will be complex, not a straightforward bull market, and will be characterized by volatility [6][12]. - Key growth areas include technology, particularly AI applications, semiconductor, military technology, and energy technology [6][12]. - Zhang identifies dividend assets as strategically high-probability investments in a high-debt, low-interest environment, suggesting a focus on gold and other strategic asset allocations [6][12]. - He anticipates that the Hong Kong bull market will continue, driven by profitability and liquidity [6][12].

Group 1 - Indonesia's export policy adjustment significantly reduces production quotas, reflecting a shift in the government's strategy for resource exports, including nickel and coal, aimed at controlling supply and increasing prices [1][2] - In February 2026, Indonesian mining officials announced a substantial reduction in coal production quotas by 40% to 70% compared to 2025 levels, as part of a plan to boost coal prices [2] - Indonesia's coal production for 2025 is projected at 790 million tons, a 5% year-on-year decrease, with potential further reductions to 600 million tons in 2026, representing a 24% decline from 2025 [2] Group 2 - Global coal supply-demand balance may begin to shift in 2026, with supply contraction and rising demand, indicating a potential upward price cycle for coal [3] - Indonesia is expected to export 524 million tons of coal in 2025, a 6.1% decrease, and if production is limited to 600 million tons in 2026, exports could drop to 450 million tons, impacting global shipping trade [3] - Other countries, including Australia and Russia, are also facing production declines, contributing to a tightening global coal market [3] Group 3 - China's coal imports from Indonesia are projected to decline further in 2026, with an expected total of around 45 million tons, a decrease of approximately 4 million tons [4] - In 2025, Indonesia is expected to export 21 million tons of coal to China, a 10.6% year-on-year decrease, accounting for 42.9% of China's total coal imports [4] - Domestic coal prices in China are anticipated to recover in 2026, ending a four-year decline, supported by stable domestic supply and slightly reduced overseas imports [4] Group 4 - Companies with a clear outlook for volume and price elasticity over the next five years are recommended for investment, including Yanzhou Coal Mining (600188), Shaanxi Coal and Chemical Industry (601225), China Coal Energy (601898), Jincheng Anthracite Mining (601001), and China Shenhua Energy (601088) [5] - Yancoal Australia (03668) is also recommended for investment in the Hong Kong market [5]

Group 1 - Zhang Yidong has officially joined Guotai Junan as a member of the Executive Committee of Haitong International Securities, responsible for the stock research and sales trading departments, focusing on cross-border integration of research business and investment in the era of "Investing in China" and "Chinese Investment" [1] - Zhang Yidong has 15 years of experience in the securities industry, with notable achievements including being the first analyst to win five major awards in the industry, showcasing his expertise in strategy research [3] - Zhang Yidong's core viewpoint emphasizes a long-term bullish market outlook, suggesting that investors should overcome short-term volatility fears and focus on medium to long-term strategies, predicting a sustained upward trend in the capital market [4] Group 2 - The Hong Kong stock market is expected to benefit from central policy support, with regulatory encouragement for listings and reforms enhancing market capacity, attracting global funds to quality assets [4] - Zhang Yidong identifies "patient capital" as a market leader, including pension funds and insurance, which will likely expand through ETFs, allowing ordinary investors to participate in the capital market [5] - The consensus among local governments is moving towards asset securitization and leveraging state-owned resources, with the stock market being a key mechanism for revitalizing assets [5] Group 3 - Zhang Yidong outlines two main directions and three lines of investment focus: growth sectors like AI and technology, and value sectors including high-dividend stocks and strategic assets benefiting from geopolitical dynamics [6][7] - The anticipated weakening of the US dollar and continued liquidity easing by the Federal Reserve are seen as significant factors for the Chinese stock market in the coming year [8] - There are indications of global capital returning, particularly from regions connected to China, with expectations of a more favorable environment for foreign investment in technology and consumption sectors [9]

担任海通国际执委和首席经济学家知名海外策略分析师张忆东新的职业方向落地。 他已正式加盟国泰海通，担任海通国际证券执委会委员，股票研究部主管及首席经济学家，负责分管股 票研究部与股票销售交易部。其新角色继续从事自己擅长的海外业务，同时减少内地卖方业务。 去年12月31日，在喜迎2026年之前，张忆东在个人公众号官宣离职。他表示，经过长时间的慎重考虑， 出于对自己职业生涯后半程的转型规划及家庭因素考量，已于日前正式向公司提出辞职申请，即将转型 海外业务，专注于香港及海外资本市场的拓展。 张忆东，复旦大学国际金融系学士、硕士，上海交通大学上海高级金融学院EMBA，曾任兴业证券经济 和金融研究院副院长、研究所副所长、全球首席策略分析师，兴证（香港）金控副行政总裁、兴证国际 副总裁，兼任复旦大学经济学院专业学位校外兼职导师。 截至目前，张忆东已在兴业证券工作20余载，几乎霸榜每次的海外策略第一名。2025年的新财富海外策 略第一名，水晶球海外、策略第一名。 责任编辑：杨赐 来源：金融街1号狙击手 来源：金融街1号狙击手 担任海通国际执委和首席经济学家知名海外策略分析师张忆东新的职业方向落地。 他已正式加盟国泰海通，担任 ...

中国经济网北京2月5日讯 北京证券交易所上市委员会2026年第13次审议会议于2026年2月4日上午召 开，审议结果显示，广东华汇智能装备股份有限公司（以下简称"华汇智能"）符合发行条件、上市条件 和信息披露要求符合发行条件、上市条件和信息披露要求。这是2026年过会的第17家企业（其中，上交 所和深交所一共过会5家，北交所过会12家）。 华汇智能本次发行的保荐机构是国泰海通证券股份有限公司，保荐代表人雷浩、刘裕俊。这是国泰海通 今年保荐成功的第3单IPO项目。2026年1月20日，国泰海通保荐的无锡理奇智能装备股份有限公司过 会；1月28日，国泰海通保荐的浙江恒道科技股份有限公司过会。 华汇智能是一家专业从事高端智能装备及其关键部件的研发、设计、生产和销售的高新技术企业，致力 于成为全球一流的智能装备制造商。公司以产品为核心，持续通过技术创新不断实现产品迭代，为制造 业提供核心装备和自动化系统解决方案。 公司控股股东为张思沅，实际控制人为张思沅、张思友。截至招股说明书签署日，张思沅直接持有公司 24,772,652股股份（占总股本的48.57%），通过善本投资、前海薇恩、东莞仁华间接支配公司9,481,66 ...

智通财经APP获悉，国泰海通发布研报称，26年开年之际促消费政策频发，扩内需战略持续推进，将加 速消费信心提振，推动消费需求扩张。第三方收单公司有望受益于线下消费复苏。相比2025年，2026 年"国补"对补贴的支持范围、补贴标准和实施机制三方面进行了优化。 国泰海通主要观点如下： 国办重磅政策提振服务消费。 2025年12月30日，国家发展改革委、财政部印发《关于2026年实施大规模设备更新和消费品以旧换新政 策的通知》。相比2025年，2026年"国补"对补贴的支持范围、补贴标准和实施机制三方面进行了优化。 同时，为优化实施"两新"政策，满足元旦、春节等旺季消费需求，国家发展改革委会同财政部，已向地 方提前下达2026年第一批625亿元超长期特别国债支持消费品以旧换新资金计划。 2025年12月16日，《求是》杂志发表总书记文章《扩大内需是战略之举》。 文章强调，扩大内需既关系经济稳定，也关系经济安全，不是权宜之计，而是战略之举。文章指出，实 施扩大内需战略，是保持我国经济长期持续健康发展的需要，也是满足人民日益增长的美好生活的需 要。要加快补上内需特别是消费短板，使内需成为拉动经济增长的主动力和稳定锚。 ...

国泰海通证券研报指出，潍柴动力有望从一家以重卡动力链生产制造为主企业，逐渐转型成为AIDC发 电设备的全面供应商。在全球AIDC 投资高速增长、"美国缺电"现象不断深入的背景下，潍柴动力旗下 多种AIDC发电设备业务——往复式燃气发电机组、SOFC 以及作为备电的柴发均有望实现高增长。预 计潍柴动力2025/26/27 年取得归母净利润124/153/280亿元，对应EPS为1.43/1.75/3.21 元，2026年2月2日 收盘价对应PE为15.8/12.9/7.0x。考虑到AIDC发电产业的增长有望持续增大潍柴动力该业务的利润占 比，认为潍柴动力的成长空间较大。给予公司2026年22x PE，目标价38.52元，维持"增持"评级。 ...

智通财经APP获悉，国泰海通发布研报称，美元兑人民币小幅贬值，主要航线海运费同比继续下滑;美 国餐饮RPI环比下降，美国住房市场指数环比承压。建议重点关注具备全球制造布局、品牌输出能力与 渠道整合优势的出口型消费企业。在当前外部环境变化与政策博弈背景下，具备产能多元化配置、稳定 客户黏性及定价权的企业，有望在全球贸易格局调整中实现持续成长。该行看好市场占有率高、供应链 韧性强、并已建立成熟海外产能的标的。 国泰海通主要观点如下： 成本跟踪 美元兑人民币汇率小幅贬值;欧洲航线、美东航线、美西航线、东南亚航线海运费同比下降。1)汇率： 2026年1月30日美元兑人民币即期汇率为6.95，环比1月23日上升1.30%;欧元兑人民币汇率为8.28，环比1 月23日+0.97%。2)海运费：2026年1月第四周中国出口集装箱运价指数(CCFI)中，综合指数为1175.59， 同比下降16.92%，环比下降2.74%;欧洲航线为1574.69，同比下降25.16%，环比上升0.35%;美东航线为 975.78，同比下降24.75%，环比下降0.37%;美西航线为867.79，同比下降27.60%，环比上升1.64%;东南 ...