Group 1 - Goldman Sachs adjusts target prices for Chinese pharmaceutical stocks, maintaining "Buy" ratings for China Biologic Products (01177) with a target price raised from HKD 3.92 to HKD 6.19, Hansoh Pharmaceutical (03692) from HKD 22.71 to HKD 34.83, and Innovent Biologics with a target price from HKD 74.95 to HKD 96.22, while upgrading the rating for CStone Pharmaceuticals (02616) from "Neutral" to "Buy" with a target price raised from HKD 2.77 to HKD 6.25 [1] - The report highlights a strong performance in the stock prices of Chinese biotech companies, which have risen 78% year-to-date, compared to 41% and 2% for offshore and onshore healthcare stocks respectively, and 18% for the MSCI China Index, indicating a structural shift rather than a temporary rebound [1][2] Group 2 - The potential for upward growth is further supported by product licensing, mergers and acquisitions, and the establishment of new companies, with China accounting for about one-third of the global clinical trial pipeline by mid-2025 and approximately 50% of innovative drug candidates entering human studies in the first half of the year [2] - Chinese companies are leading in new therapies that may define future standard treatments, particularly in areas such as ADCs (antibody-drug conjugates) and BsAb/TCEs, while also emerging as significant players in siRNA and PROTAC fields [2] - The focus on oncology and obesity is expected to grow, with ADC/BsAb representing a key differentiating advantage for China, accounting for one-third of outbound licensing deals, while siRNA and PROTAC pipelines may present future trading opportunities [2] Group 3 - Goldman Sachs introduces a new "Probability of Licensing Success" (PoLS) framework to assess the potential outbound value of Chinese biotech/pharmaceutical pipelines, suggesting that summer presents an opportunity to accumulate high-quality innovative drug stocks [3] - The firm remains optimistic about leading biotech companies such as BeiGene (06160), Innovent Biologics (01801), and Kelun-Biotech (06990), highlighting their significant upside potential by the second half of 2025 [3] - Specific companies like Innovent Biologics, Zai Lab (09688), and Legend Biotech Corporation (LEGN.US) are noted for their promising data releases and sales growth, indicating strong future performance [3]

Core Viewpoint - The recent announcement by President Trump regarding potential high tariffs on copper and pharmaceuticals has led to a decline in Hong Kong's stock market, with the Hang Seng Index falling below 24,000 points, reflecting increased macroeconomic risks and impacting market sentiment [1][4]. Market Performance - The Hang Seng Index closed down 1.06% at 23,892.32 points, with a total trading volume of 233.88 billion HKD. The Hang Seng China Enterprises Index fell 1.28%, while the Hang Seng Tech Index dropped 1.76% [1]. - Major blue-chip stocks experienced significant movements, with Henderson Land Development leading the decline, down 8.64% at 25.9 HKD, while China Biologic Products rose 10.06% to 5.91 HKD [2]. Sector Analysis - The technology sector saw a collective decline, with Alibaba down nearly 4% and Tencent over 1%. The copper sector was negatively impacted by Trump's tariff threats, leading to a drop in copper-related stocks [3][6]. - The innovative drug sector performed well, with Hengrui Medicine surging 15.61% to 69.6 HKD, indicating resilience amid broader market declines [3][4]. Specific Stock Movements - Macau's gaming sector showed strong performance, with Wynn Macau up 6.33% and Melco Resorts up 2.12%, driven by robust gaming revenue growth [4][5]. - Copper stocks faced significant declines, with Luoyang Molybdenum down 4.74% and Jiangxi Copper down 3.46%, reflecting market reactions to tariff announcements [5][6]. Commodity Prices - International gold prices fell below 3,300 USD per ounce, influenced by reduced safe-haven demand amid tariff uncertainties. Analysts expect gold prices to remain volatile within a range of 3,000 to 3,500 USD per ounce [7].

Core Viewpoint - The Hong Kong Innovative Drug ETF (159567) has shown significant growth in both share volume and fund size since its inception, indicating strong investor interest in the innovative drug sector [1]. Group 1: Fund Performance - As of July 9, 2024, the Hong Kong Innovative Drug ETF (159567) closed with a gain of 1.08% and a trading volume of 2.352 billion yuan [1]. - The fund's share volume increased by 419.87% from 3.95 million shares at the end of 2023 to 20.55 million shares by July 8, 2024 [1]. - The fund's size grew by 749.27%, from 378 million yuan at the end of 2023 to 3.209 billion yuan by July 8, 2024 [1]. Group 2: Liquidity and Trading Activity - Over the last 20 trading days, the cumulative trading amount for the ETF reached 42.082 billion yuan, with an average daily trading amount of 2.104 billion yuan [1]. - Since the beginning of the year, the ETF has recorded a total trading amount of 100.143 billion yuan over 124 trading days, averaging 808 million yuan per day [1]. Group 3: Fund Management - The current fund manager, Ma Jun, has managed the Hong Kong Innovative Drug ETF since its inception on January 3, 2024, achieving a return of 56.11% during the management period [1]. Group 4: Top Holdings - The ETF's top holdings include WuXi Biologics (11.47%), BeiGene (10.87%), and Innovent Biologics (9.60%), among others, indicating a focus on leading companies in the innovative drug sector [2]. - The fund's holdings are diversified across several key players in the biotechnology and pharmaceutical industries, with significant positions in companies like China Biologic Products and CSPC Pharmaceutical Group [2].

Group 1 - The Hong Kong Innovative Drug ETF (159567) closed down 1.44% on July 7, with a trading volume of 1.402 billion yuan [1] - The fund was established on January 3, 2024, with a management fee of 0.50% and a custody fee of 0.10% [1] - As of July 4, 2024, the fund's latest share count was 1.995 billion shares, with a total size of 3.203 billion yuan, reflecting a 404.69% increase in shares and a 747.72% increase in size year-to-date [1] Group 2 - The fund's liquidity showed a cumulative trading amount of 44.415 billion yuan over the last 20 trading days, with an average daily trading amount of 2.221 billion yuan [1] - Year-to-date, the cumulative trading amount reached 96.310 billion yuan over 122 trading days, with an average daily trading amount of 789 million yuan [1] - The current fund manager, Ma Jun, has managed the fund since its inception, achieving a return of 60.51% during the tenure [1] Group 3 - The top holdings of the Hong Kong Innovative Drug ETF include WuXi Biologics (11.47%), BeiGene (10.87%), and Innovent Biologics (9.60%), among others [2] - The fund's holdings are diversified across various companies in the innovative drug sector, with significant investments in both domestic and international firms [2]

Core Viewpoint - Hansoh Pharmaceutical is a leading innovation-driven pharmaceutical company in China, focusing on major disease treatments and achieving significant growth in revenue and innovative drug sales [2] Company Overview - Hansoh Pharmaceutical Group Limited is recognized for its commitment to continuous innovation aimed at improving human life quality, with a focus on oncology, anti-infection, central nervous system, metabolism, and autoimmune diseases [2] - The company has established itself among the top 100 global pharmaceutical companies and is a key high-tech enterprise in China, having been listed on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange since June 2019 [2] Research and Development - Hansoh has set up four R&D centers in Shanghai, Lianyungang, Changzhou, and Maryland, USA, employing over 1,800 specialized R&D personnel [2] - The company has developed a comprehensive R&D system covering all stages from information gathering to clinical research, and has established several national-level research institutions [2] - Currently, there are 40 candidate innovative drug projects undergoing over 60 clinical trials, showcasing a competitive R&D pipeline [2] Financial Performance - In 2024, the company reported a revenue of 12.261 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 21.3%, with innovative drugs and cooperative product sales accounting for 9.477 billion yuan, or 77.3% of total revenue [2] - Seven innovative drugs have been approved for market launch, with nine indications included in the national medical insurance directory, significantly reducing patient medication costs [2] International Strategy - Hansoh is actively pursuing business development collaborations, having engaged in 11 introduced projects, with nine in clinical stages and two in commercialization [2] - The company has established licensing collaborations with leading international pharmaceutical firms such as GSK and Merck [2] Sustainability and Quality Standards - Hansoh integrates ESG principles into its long-term strategy, maintaining an MSCI ESG rating of AA and leading in key areas such as corporate governance and inclusive healthcare [2] - The company’s production quality system has received official certifications from the FDA, EMA, and PMDA, allowing its products to be sold in major international markets [2]

Core Insights - The Hong Kong Innovation Drug Index (931787) has shown a positive performance, with significant increases in constituent stocks such as Zai Lab (11.01%) and Cloudmed (9.27%) [1] - The Hong Kong Innovation Drug ETF (513120) has experienced active trading, with a turnover of 33.61% and a total transaction volume of 4.472 billion [1] - The ETF has seen a continuous net inflow of funds over the past 14 days, totaling 3.159 billion [1][2] Market Performance - As of June 27, the Hong Kong Innovation Drug ETF has achieved a net value increase of 86.07% over the past year, ranking 1st out of 120 in QDII equity funds [2] - The ETF's highest monthly return since inception was 23.82%, with the longest consecutive monthly gain being 4 months and a maximum cumulative increase of 44.08% [2] - The average monthly return during the rising months is 7.59% [2] Valuation Metrics - The latest price-to-earnings ratio (PE-TTM) for the Hong Kong Innovation Drug ETF is 32.62, which is below the 83.82% historical level over the past five years, indicating a low valuation [2] - The ETF closely tracks the Hong Kong Innovation Drug Index, which includes up to 50 listed companies primarily engaged in innovative drug research and development [2] Industry Developments - The top ten weighted stocks in the Hong Kong Innovation Drug Index account for 71.99% of the index, with notable companies including Innovent Biologics and BeiGene [3] - The approval of a new drug by the National Medical Products Administration (NMPA) for long-term weight control in adults marks a significant development in the industry [3] - Recent reports suggest that China's innovative drug sector is becoming a global supplier of innovative therapies, driven by high efficiency and low-cost development advantages [4] Investment Opportunities - The Hong Kong Innovation Drug ETF provides exposure to leading companies in the innovative drug sector, such as Innovent Biologics and CanSino Biologics [4] - The ETF supports T+0 trading, enhancing liquidity and allowing investors to conduct multiple transactions within a trading day [4]

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating to Hansoh Pharma with a 12-month price target of HK$22.71, indicating a downside potential of 20.6% from the current price of HK$28.60 [8][9]. Core Insights - Management emphasizes encouraging progress in ex-China development for out-licensed assets, including B7H3 ADC, B7H4 ADC, and oral GLP-1, with a reiterated product sales guidance of double-digit growth in 2025 [1][2]. - The key product Ameile is projected to achieve peak sales of Rmb8 billion, with additional upside potential from combination therapies [1][3]. - The company anticipates deal-making opportunities from early-stage ADCs and next-generation disease modifiers for immunology diseases [1][7]. Summary by Sections Ex-China Development Progress - HS-20093 (B7H3 ADC) has received two breakthrough designations from the FDA for SCLC and osteosarcoma, with GSK planning pivotal studies by Q4 2025 [2]. - HS-20089 (B7H4 ADC) is set to commence pivotal trials in 2026 for gynecological cancers [2]. - HS-10535 (oral GLP-1) is expected to enter phase 1 trials in 2025, targeting multiple cardiovascular and metabolic diseases [2]. - HS-20094 (GLP-1/GIP) will focus on weight reduction strategies in combination with Regeneron's internal pipeline assets [2]. Sales Growth and Commercialization - Management guides for double-digit sales growth in 2025, driven by innovative drugs, particularly Ameile, which has a revised sales target of Rmb6 billion for 2025 [3][6]. - The potential for collaboration income is highlighted as a sustainable revenue driver, supported by a growing R&D pipeline with 8-10 new INDs each year [6]. Licensing and Deal-Making Opportunities - Potential licensing-out opportunities include early-stage pre-clinical assets and several ADCs that have entered clinical stages [7]. - Specific assets with deal-making potential include HS-20122 (EGFR/cMET ADC), HS-10370 (KRAS G12D), and others targeting immunology diseases [7].

Core Viewpoint - The Hong Kong Innovative Drug ETF (159567) has shown significant growth in both share volume and fund size since its inception, indicating strong investor interest in the innovative drug sector [1]. Group 1: Fund Performance - As of June 24, the Hong Kong Innovative Drug ETF (159567) closed with a gain of 2.25% and a trading volume of 2.373 billion yuan [1]. - The fund was established on January 3, 2024, with a management fee of 0.50% and a custody fee of 0.10% [1]. - The latest share count reached 1.478 billion, with a total fund size of 2.217 billion yuan as of June 23, reflecting a 273.92% increase in shares and a 486.71% increase in size since December 31, 2024 [1]. Group 2: Liquidity and Trading Activity - Over the last 20 trading days, the ETF recorded a cumulative trading amount of 38.434 billion yuan, averaging 1.922 billion yuan per day [1]. - Year-to-date, the ETF has seen a total trading amount of 79.325 billion yuan over 113 trading days, averaging 0.702 billion yuan per day [1]. Group 3: Fund Management - The current fund manager is Ma Jun, who has managed the fund since its inception, achieving a return of 49.94% during the management period [1]. Group 4: Top Holdings - The ETF's top holdings include WuXi Biologics (11.47%), BeiGene (10.87%), and Innovent Biologics (9.60%), among others, with significant market values attributed to each [2].

大华继显：行业进入加速增长新阶段 首选翰森制药、信达生物中国生物制药 金十数据6月19日讯，大华继显研究报告指，中国生物技术行业已进入加速成长阶段，各企业正扩展其 创新商业产品组合，达成重要的对外许可授权交易，且获得超预期的盈利能力。大华继显表示，持续的 政策支持和全球化努力将进一步推动该行业扩张，相信该行业将继续表现出色，有望在未来几年实现可 持续成长，予该行业的评级上调至"增持"。大华强调，信达生物(01801.HK)、翰森制药(03692.HK)和中 国生物制药(01177.HK)为该行首选。 ...

Investment Rating - Initiate with OUTPERFORM rating [1][2] Core Views - Hansoh Pharma is a leading innovative pharmaceutical company in China, focusing on oncology, anti-infection, central nervous system diseases, metabolic diseases, and autoimmune diseases, with a robust pipeline of over 30 clinical-stage innovative drug projects and 50 ongoing clinical studies [3][9] - The company has seen a significant increase in innovative drug revenue, projected to exceed 10 billion RMB in 2025, accounting for over 80% of total revenue [3][17] - The oncology segment is a key growth driver, with revenue expected to reach 8.12 billion RMB in 2024, representing 66% of total revenue [27] Summary by Sections 1. Company Overview - Established in 1995, Hansoh Pharma has over 30 years of experience in the pharmaceutical industry, with a focus on R&D, production, and commercialization [9][10] - The company has a strong global management team with extensive industry experience [13][14] 2. Oncology Segment - The oncology segment is well-established, with a comprehensive product system covering various disease types and treatment stages [4][27] - The core product, Amivantamab, has gained significant market share and is expected to continue driving growth [27][29] 3. Innovative Drug Pipeline - The company has a diverse pipeline with over 40 innovative drug candidates across various therapeutic areas, including ADCs and dual antibodies [20][24] - Recent collaborations with multinational corporations have strengthened the company's R&D capabilities and expanded its pipeline [5][25] 4. Financial Projections - Revenue projections for FY25-27 are 13.76 billion RMB, 14.86 billion RMB, and 16.5 billion RMB, respectively, with net profits of 4.62 billion RMB, 4.69 billion RMB, and 5.2 billion RMB [6][17] - The company has increased its R&D investment significantly, with a projected R&D expense ratio of 22% in 2024 [15][17] 5. Market Position and Strategy - Hansoh Pharma is positioned as a leading player in the Chinese pharmaceutical market, with a focus on innovative drug development and international expansion [3][9] - The company aims to leverage its strong R&D capabilities and strategic partnerships to enhance its market presence and drive future growth [5][20]