Core Viewpoints - The non-bank financial sector, including brokerage and insurance, shows continued improvement in fundamentals, highlighting the investment value of the non-bank sector [1] Group 1: Market Performance - As of January 31, 2026, the Shanghai Composite Index reported 4117.95 points, down 0.44%, while the Shenzhen Component Index was at 14205.89, down 1.62% [10] - The CSI 300 Index increased by 0.08%, and the ChiNext Index decreased by 0.09% [10] - The CITIC II Securities Index fell by 0.71%, while the CITIC II Insurance Index rose by 5.41% [10] Group 2: Industry Dynamics and Weekly Commentary Insurance Sector - Listed insurance companies are expected to maintain high growth, with a marginal improvement in long-term interest rate spreads [15] - As of January 30, 2026, the 10-year government bond yield was 1.81%, down 2 basis points from the previous week, indicating a cautious risk preference in the equity market [12] - The insurance sector is benefiting from a stable long-term interest rate environment and an upward trend in the equity market, which is expected to drive performance growth in Q1 2026 [15] Securities Sector - The securities market is showing positive core indicators, with a projected high growth in Q1 2026, supported by improved trading volume and margin financing [16] - As of January 30, 2026, 17 brokerages reported a total net profit of 1153.44 billion CNY for 2025, a year-on-year increase of 60.27% [19] - The average daily trading volume of all A and B shares reached 2.90 trillion CNY, a 144.26% increase compared to the same period in 2025, indicating a significant rise in market activity [21] Group 3: Investment Opportunities - The launch of commercial real estate REITs is expected to expand business opportunities, with the first three products anticipated to raise over 13 billion CNY [27] - The REITs initiative aims to activate existing commercial real estate assets and enhance the supply of capital market products, indicating strong market demand [27] - The insurance sector is advised to focus on companies like China Ping An, China Life, and New China Life, which are expected to benefit from favorable market conditions [15]

中金公司表现突出，多家券商增速惊人 中金公司作为1月30日当天披露的头部券商，表现尤为亮眼。公司2025年归母净利预计在85.42亿元至105.35亿元之 间，同比增幅达50%到85%。这一净利规模直追2021年的107.8亿元，且成功扭转了连续三年的业绩下滑态势。 中金公司表示，报告期内公司主动把握市场机遇，充分发挥"投资 + 投行 + 投研"一体化综合优势，推动投行、股 票业务、财富管理等核心业务板块稳健增长。在投行业务方面，中金公司潜力巨大，全A股市场融资规模超80亿 元的在审A股IPO项目共计4单，全部由中金公司牵头或独家保荐，包括长鑫科技、华润新能源、电建新能、惠科 股份，构成了当前A股最具战略意义的"头部项目矩阵"。 【环球网财经综合报道】截至1月30日，已有28家券商或上市主体披露2025年快报、预报或未经审计财报，整体业 绩表现亮眼，行业盈利修复态势显著，资本市场迎来券商板块的积极信号，卖方纷纷上调板块预期，行业正步入 盈利修复与估值重塑的"双重共振"窗口期。 此外，良好的业绩表现也为中金公司吸收合并信达证券、东兴证券奠定了基础。目前，公司及相关各方正在积极 推进交易相关工作，待审计等工作完成 ...

Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the establishment of a digital research platform by CICC, aimed at providing efficient, professional, and accurate research services through the integration of insights from over 30 specialized teams and a comprehensive coverage of more than 1,800 stocks [1]. Group 1: Research Services - CICC's digital research platform, "CICC Insight," offers a one-stop service that includes research reports, conference activities, fundamental databases, and research frameworks [1]. - The platform utilizes advanced model technology to enhance the research experience for clients [1]. Group 2: Research Focus and Updates - Daily updates on research focus and timely push of selected articles are provided through the "CICC Morning Report" [4]. - Senior analysts are available for live interpretations of market hotspots, ensuring that clients receive real-time insights [4]. Group 3: Research Reports and Data - The platform features over 3,000 complete research reports covering macroeconomics, industry research, and commodities [9]. - It includes more than 160 industry research frameworks and 40 premium databases, along with a sophisticated data dashboard [10].

Core Viewpoint - Public funds are increasing their allocation to non-bank financials, particularly insurance and brokerage stocks, indicating a shift in investment strategy towards these sectors [2][3]. Group 1: Fund Allocation Trends - In Q4 2025, public funds raised their non-bank financial positions by 1 percentage point, making it the fourth largest sector increase after metals, communications, and basic chemicals [2][3]. - Notable stocks such as China Ping An and China Pacific Insurance received significant over-allocations from funds [3]. - The insurance index saw a substantial increase of 23.42% in Q4 of the previous year, outperforming traditional dividend-paying bank stocks [3]. Group 2: Brokerage Performance Expectations - Several listed brokerages have announced expected net profit increases for 2025, with many projecting year-on-year growth exceeding 50% [4]. - Notable forecasts include CITIC Securities expecting a net profit of 8.542 billion to 10.535 billion yuan, and Dongwu Securities projecting a net profit of 3.431 billion to 3.668 billion yuan, both showing significant growth [4]. - Despite the increase in fund allocations, non-bank financials remain underweight compared to historical averages, currently around 30% [4]. Group 3: Structural Opportunities in the Market - The trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets has been increasing, suggesting a continuation of favorable market conditions for brokerage stocks [5]. - Analysts recommend focusing on brokerages with strong retail business shares and those that contribute significantly to profits, as individual stock opportunities may outweigh overall market trends [5]. - The insurance sector is benefiting from the performance of equity markets and a shift in deposit funds, with a stable interest rate environment enhancing its investment appeal [6].

中金点睛"本周精选"栏目将带您回顾本周深受读者欢迎的研究报告。 01 策略 Strategy 特朗普想"要"什么？ >>点击图片查看全文<< 2026年伊始，特朗普的诸多举措和言论再度超预期，引发市场大幅波动，美国更是一度出现"股债汇三杀"。从去年8月美国对多个经济体"对等关 税"下降、10月中美关税暂缓一年，好不容易消停几个月，现在一下子又把大家拉回到去年四月份"对等关税"时"熟悉的感觉"。美国政策不确定性 因此再次抬头向上，美股与美债的波动率也随之上升。在手段之外，理解特朗普所有政策背后的目的更为重要，在实现这些目的过程中，有些过激 手段会造成剧烈波动，有些方式反而会适得其反。这种通过观察手段、也了解目的的方式，可以帮助我们更好的透过现象看本质，理解这些政策对 美国宏观和市场的影响，也可以观察特朗普的约束所在。 2026.1.25 | 刘刚 郝悦宁 杨萱庭 02 宏观 Macroeconomy 美联储按兵不动，降息时点或推迟 >>点击图片查看全文<< >>点击图片查看全文<< 美联储在1月会议上维持利率不变，符合市场预期。理事沃勒投下反对票，或与其希望被提名为下一任美联储主席有关。货币政策声明称"失业率已 ...

Group 1 - The nomination of Kevin Warsh as the next Federal Reserve Chairman by President Trump has sparked hawkish expectations, leading to a significant sell-off in the global precious metals market, with silver dropping over 35% and gold nearly 13% [3][5] - The Federal Reserve's policy framework may see a notable shift if Warsh assumes leadership, as Deutsche Bank suggests a unique combination of "rate cuts and balance sheet reduction" could emerge under his guidance [3] - The U.S. Treasury Department reported a projected decline in national fiscal revenue for 2025, with total revenue expected to be 21.6 trillion yuan, a decrease of 1.7% year-on-year [4] Group 2 - The World Trade Organization ruled that U.S. clean energy subsidy measures violate WTO rules in the dispute initiated by China regarding the Inflation Reduction Act [4] - The China-UK economic relationship is set to deepen with the signing of four economic cooperation documents, focusing on "Export to China" initiatives and service trade agreements [4] - The Panama Supreme Court ruled that the contract for the operation of ports along the Panama Canal held by CK Hutchison is invalid, prompting a response from the Chinese government to protect its legitimate rights [4] Group 3 - The China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) is working to enhance the attractiveness and flexibility of refinancing systems to support the capital market's stable growth [6] - The A-share market experienced a decline, with the Shanghai Composite Index falling by 0.96% and significant sell-offs in gold stocks [6] - The CSRC is revising the registration management measures for listed companies to clarify the types of strategic investors and enforce a minimum holding requirement of 5% [6] Group 4 - The regulatory body has issued new guidelines for fund sales and marketing practices, prohibiting collaborations with unqualified internet influencers and requiring the removal of misleading features from fund platforms [7] - The Hong Kong Securities and Futures Commission is addressing issues related to the surge in IPO applications expected in 2025, highlighting deficiencies in the preparation of listing documents [8] - The Shanghai Stock Exchange is monitoring stocks with abnormal fluctuations and has reported several cases of suspected violations to the CSRC [8]

Group 1 - The China Securities Association updated the classification list of sponsoring representatives, with 16 individuals categorized as D-class, indicating a temporary suspension of their signing qualifications [2][5] - Compared to the D-class list updated in June 2025, four representatives were removed, while three new representatives were added from First Capital Securities, Guolian Minsheng Securities, and Dongwu Securities [2][5] - The D-class list includes representatives who have received administrative penalties from the China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) or have been deemed unsuitable for related business by self-regulatory organizations [2][9] Group 2 - Fan Benyuan from First Capital Securities was penalized for failing to detect misuse of approximately 1.7 billion yuan in fundraising during the Hongda Xingye convertible bond project, resulting in a total penalty of 16.98 million yuan [5] - Jin Yaping from Guolian Minsheng Securities was fined over 10 million yuan for violations during his 17 years of service, including 16 years of illegal stock trading [6] - Ma Yuanyuan from Donghai Securities faced a record penalty of 60 million yuan for failing to identify financial fraud and undisclosed related transactions during a major asset restructuring project [8] Group 3 - The updated D-class list aims to enhance the awareness of responsibilities and risks among sponsoring representatives, encouraging them to adhere to legal and ethical standards [9] - The introduction of the D-class category follows revisions to the sponsorship business rules, which now include a public disclosure mechanism for negative evaluations of sponsoring representatives [8][9]

1月31日晚，中金公司发布了2025年业绩预告。数据显示，中金公司预计2025年年度实现归属于母公司 股东的净利润为 85.42亿元到105.35 亿元，与上年同期相比，将增加28.47亿元到48.40亿元，同比增加 50%到85%。 对于业绩的增长，中金公司表示，"报告期内，公司主动把握市场发展机遇，充分发挥"投资+投行+投 研"一体化综合优势，扎实推进各项战略布局落地。在此背景下，投资银行、股票业务、财富管理等核 心业务板块实现稳健增长，带动公司经营业绩较上年同期大幅提升。" 事实上，在此前2025年的三季报中，中金公司就表现出了强劲的增长力。2025年前三季度，中金公司实 现营业收入207.61亿元，同比增长54.36%；归属于母公司股东的净利润65.67亿元，同比增长129.75%， 实现翻倍。结合两个期限的财报，中金公司的业绩增长趋势可见一斑。 在业绩增长的背后，湾财社注意到，中金公司的港股IPO依旧保持领先地位。 2025年以来，港股IPO热度走高，2025年全年IPO数量达117家，募资金额达2863.3亿港元，同比增长 224.8%；同时，再融资的规模也同步上升至3263.7亿港元，同比增长2 ...

Company News - Great Wall Motors (02333.HK) expects a total revenue of RMB 222.79 billion in 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 10.19%. However, net profit is projected to decline by 21.71% to RMB 9.912 billion due to increased investments in new user channels and marketing for new models and technologies [2] - China Southern Airlines (01055.HK) anticipates turning a profit in 2025, with net profit expected to be between RMB 800 million and RMB 1 billion [2] - CICC (03908.HK) forecasts a net profit of RMB 8.542 billion to RMB 10.535 billion in 2025, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 50% to 85% [3] - Datang Power (00991.HK) projects a net profit of approximately RMB 6.8 billion to RMB 7.8 billion in 2025, indicating a year-on-year increase of about 51% to 73% [4] - Rongchang Bio (09995.HK) expects 2025 revenue of approximately RMB 3.25 billion, a year-on-year increase of about 89%, and a net profit of around RMB 716 million, achieving profitability [4] - Haijia Medical (06078.HK) anticipates revenue of approximately RMB 4.0 billion to RMB 4.05 billion in 2025, a year-on-year decrease of about 9% to 10%, with net profit expected to decline by 66% to 76% to around RMB 140 million to RMB 200 million [4] - Junshi Biosciences (01877.HK) expects 2025 revenue of around RMB 2.5 billion, a year-on-year increase of approximately 28.32%, with a net loss of about RMB 873 million, a reduction of 31.85% compared to the previous year [4] - Kaisa New Energy (01108.HK) issued a profit warning, expecting a year-on-year increase in net loss of approximately RMB 90.07 million to RMB 290 million [4] - Xingye Alloy (00505.HK) issued a profit warning, anticipating a year-on-year decrease in profit attributable to equity shareholders of about 50% [4] - Fudan Zhangjiang (01349.HK) issued a profit warning, expecting a net loss of approximately RMB 120 million to RMB 180 million in 2025 [4] - Chenming Paper (01812.HK) issued a profit warning, expecting a net loss of RMB 8.2 billion to RMB 8.8 billion, a significant increase compared to the previous year [5] - Tianqi Lithium (09696.HK) has commenced production of the first batch of standard chemical-grade lithium concentrate products from its third-phase expansion project [6] Financing and Buyback Activities - Xiaomi Group-W (01810.HK) repurchased approximately 4.2 million shares for about HKD 150 million, with repurchase prices ranging from HKD 35.13 to HKD 42.50 [10] - Vitasoy International (00345.HK) repurchased shares worth HKD 24.37 million, acquiring 3.492 million shares at prices between HKD 6.9 and HKD 7 [11] - Yujian Xiaomian (02408.HK) plans to repurchase up to HKD 100 million of H-shares [12] - Nanshan Aluminum International (02610.HK) completed a placement of 31 million shares, raising approximately HKD 1.987 billion [12]

（文章来源：证券日报） 证券日报网讯 1月30日，中金公司发布公告称，公司预计 2025 年年度实现归属于母公司股东的净利润 为人民币 85.42 亿元到人民币 105.35 亿元，与上年同期相比，将增加人民币 28.47 亿元到人民币 48.40 亿元，同比增加 50%到 85%。 ...