2025年，大宗商品市场呈现明显分化。受AI算力扩张、电力基建需求升温及地缘风险影响，贵金属与工业金属显著走强：黄金、白银全年涨幅分别高达 67%和149%；LME铜、铝亦分别上涨44%和18%并在一定程度上推动A股有色金属板块表现强势。与之相对，能源与农产品偏弱，Brent原油与CBOT大豆 分别下跌18%和3%。2026年初，有色金属与部分化工品延续涨势，A股石油石化、有色金属、基础化工、建材等周期板块一度表现亮眼。但近两周，受前 期交易拥挤度高以及美联储主席提名落地等因素扰动，贵金属、工业金属市场及A股相关板块均出现大幅波动。本文回顾过去20年四轮商品升势与A股的 联动，简析商品周期在A股市场的映射机制。 过去四轮商品行情与A股联动复盘 过去几次商品行情通常源于供需错配与货币环境的共振。 其核心逻辑在于全球经济复苏，带动需求快速回升，而供给端因前期长期资本开支不足、产能 扩张滞后，在需求反弹时缺乏弹性，导致阶段性供不应求。这一基本面格局往往伴随宽信用周期，美元走弱、通胀上行，吸引大量资金涌入，放大商品价 格涨幅。除供需与流动性外，地缘冲突带来的避险需求、极端天气引发的供给扰动等非基本面因素，也可能推动商 ...

Core Viewpoint - The China Securities Regulatory Commission has issued a notice regarding the overseas issuance and listing of Hefei Chip Qu Microelectronics Equipment Co., Ltd., allowing the company to issue up to 26,735,650 overseas listed ordinary shares on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange [3][4]. Company Overview - Hefei Chip Qu Microelectronics Equipment Co., Ltd. was established in 2015 and is a global leader in the direct imaging lithography industry, providing core equipment for the advanced information technology industry in the AI era [4]. - The company specializes in high-precision micro-nano lithography technology and aims to manufacture, sell, and maintain direct imaging and direct write lithography equipment for global customers [4]. Market Position - As of 2024, Chip Qu Micro is the largest supplier of PCB direct imaging equipment globally, holding a market share of 15.0% [6]. - By June 30, 2025, the company is the only one globally with business coverage in PCB, IC substrates, advanced packaging, and mask applications, and is one of only two domestic companies with products covering advanced packaging applications [6]. - The company also has the highest number of global advanced packaging customers as of June 30, 2025 [6].

Core Insights - The report emphasizes the continuous influx of incremental funds into the market, highlighting investment opportunities in the non-bank financial sector [1][7] - The industry rating remains at "Buy," indicating a positive outlook for the sector [2] Group 1: Market Performance - As of February 6, 2026, the Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4065.58 points, down 1.27%, while the Shenzhen Component Index fell 2.11% [12] - The average daily trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets was 2.41 trillion yuan, reflecting a 3.38% decrease [7] Group 2: Industry Dynamics and Weekly Commentary Insurance Sector - The performance of listed insurance companies is expected to continue high growth, with a marginal improvement in long-term interest rate spreads [18] - China Ping An Group increased its stake in China Life H shares, indicating positive industry trends [18] - The first quarter of 2026 is anticipated to show better-than-expected performance for some insurance companies due to a low base in the first half of 2025 [18] Securities Sector - A significant increase in new accounts was observed in January 2026, with 491.58 million new A-share accounts opened, a 213% year-on-year increase [19] - The balance of margin trading reached a historical high, providing strong support for interest income in the securities industry [22] - The Hong Kong IPO market is active, with 384 companies applying for listings as of February 6, 2026, and a daily trading volume of 2202 billion yuan in January, a 94% year-on-year increase [24][28] Group 3: Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on specific stocks within the insurance sector, including China Ping An (A/H), China Life (A/H), and New China Life (A/H) [18] - In the securities sector, recommended stocks include Guotai Junan (AH), CICC (H), and Huatai Securities (AH) due to their potential for performance improvement [7][18]

Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the establishment of a digital research platform by CICC, aimed at providing efficient, professional, and accurate research services through the integration of insights from over 30 specialized teams and a comprehensive coverage of more than 1,800 stocks [1]. Group 1: Research Services - CICC's digital research platform, "CICC Insight," offers a one-stop service that includes research reports, conference activities, fundamental databases, and research frameworks [1]. - The platform utilizes advanced model technology to enhance the research experience for clients [1]. Group 2: Research Focus and Updates - Daily updates on research focus and timely selection of articles are provided through the "CICC Morning Report" [4]. - Senior analysts are available for live interpretations of market hotspots, enhancing the accessibility of expert insights [4]. Group 3: Data and Frameworks - The platform features over 160 industry research frameworks and more than 40 premium databases, facilitating comprehensive industry analysis [10]. - An AI search function is integrated into the platform, allowing users to filter key points and engage in intelligent Q&A [10].

Strategy - The price of gold exceeding $5,500 per ounce marks a significant milestone, indicating that the total value of existing gold is now comparable to the total amount of U.S. Treasury bonds, a first since the 1980s, suggesting potential shifts in the global financial system established post-Bretton Woods [3] - The A-share market has shown strong performance, driven by positive feedback from stock market performance and capital inflows, with sectors like non-ferrous metals, oil and petrochemicals, AI applications, and commercial aerospace being particularly active [4][5] - The current market environment supports a slow bull market, with growth style stocks favored, while low-position rebound opportunities are emerging [5] Macroeconomy - The nomination of Kevin Warsh as the next Federal Reserve Chairman has raised concerns about potential tightening of monetary policy, but the current liquidity dynamics and fiscal trends suggest that the expansion of the Fed's balance sheet is unlikely to change significantly [5] - The increasing U.S. fiscal financing needs and the stability of the financial system are heavily reliant on the Fed's provision of ample liquidity, especially with midterm elections approaching [5] Industry - The commercial aerospace sector is experiencing rapid growth, with space photovoltaics emerging as a key area for power system upgrades, driven by the deployment of low Earth orbit constellations and advancements in satellite technology [9]

2026年首月，A股市场完成9家公司首发上市，合计募集资金90.53亿元。从发行结构看，北交所成为当月IPO主阵地，5家企业登陆该板块，占比超五成；募 资端呈现"头部集中、袖珍分散"特征，4个项目募资超10亿元，均由头部券商承揽，而北交所5家企业募资均未过10亿元。券商阵营中，头部效应持续放大， 中金公司以2家保荐项目、44.74亿元募资额领跑市场，行业前三券商募资总额占比超八成。市场层面，IPO发行进入"新常态化"，在审企业达319家，北交所 占比超六成，战略性新兴产业成为申报主力。面对市场中各类信息与走势波动，我始终以量化大数据为核心线索，观察资金行为的真实轨迹。 | | | | 1月券商保存情况一览 | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 본을 | 机构简称 | 募集资金(亿元) | 承销家数(家) | 承销及保荐费用(亿元) 承销及保存费用(亿元 | | | | 中金公司 | 44.74 | 2 | 1.22 | 1.22 | | 2 | 中信证券 | 15.61 | 1 | 1.17 | 1.17 | | 3 | 甲万宏源承销保存 | 12.38 ...

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Core Viewpoint - The establishment of a joint venture, Jinteng Technology, between the company and Tencent Digital marks a pioneering move in the Chinese securities industry, enhancing the company's capabilities in digital operations and technology innovation [1] Group 1: Joint Venture and Collaboration - In June 2020, the company formed a joint venture with Tencent Digital to create Jinteng Technology, which is a specialized information technology subsidiary [1] - Jinteng Technology integrates the company's financial industry expertise with Tencent's user ecosystem and technological capabilities [1] Group 2: Technological Advancements - The joint venture aims to introduce leading digital concepts, technologies, and high-end technical talent to improve user experience and digital operations [1] - Jinteng Technology primarily provides wealth management and retail brokerage technology platform construction and digital operation support services for the company and its subsidiaries [1] Group 3: Industry Impact - The venture actively explores the provision of intelligent solutions and digital tools to the industry, contributing to the development of an efficient and inclusive financial service system [1]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article indicates that the Chinese stock market has not yet shown typical bull market top signals, despite the impact of the "Wash Shock" on Chinese and US stocks and commodities [2][6] - The market remains supported by ample liquidity and marginal improvements in earnings, with no substantial changes in positive factors [2][6] - The long-term drivers of the market are identified as the restructuring of monetary order and trends in the AI industry, with a continued positive outlook on the revaluation of Chinese assets [2][6] Group 2 - Huabao Fund has launched three major broad-based ETFs tracking the China A50, A100, and A500 indices, providing investors with diverse options for exposure to the Chinese market [2][6] - The A50 ETF focuses on the top 50 core leading companies, while the A100 ETF encompasses the top 100 industry leaders [2][6] - The total trading volume in the market was 2.15 trillion yuan, a decrease of 305 billion yuan from the previous day, with a total of 2,550 stocks rising and 2,749 falling [1][6]

香港交易及結算所有限公司及香港聯合交易所有限公司對本公告的內容概不負責、 對其準確性或完整性亦不發表任何聲明，並明確表示，概不對因本公告全部或任何 部分內容而產生或因倚賴該等內容而引致的任何損失承擔任何責任。 本公告不適於向(i)在美國境內的任何人士或地址；或(ii)任何美國人士（如1933年美 國證券法S規例（經修訂）（「美國證券法」）所定義）派發。 本公告僅供說明用途，並不構成收購、購買或認購證券的邀請或要約。本公告亦不 構成招攬購買證券的邀請或要約。 本公告所述證券並無亦不會根據美國證券法或向美國任何州份的任何證券監管機 構或其他司法權區登記，而除非已根據美國證券法或所適用的州份或當地證券法的 登記規定取得相關豁免或交易不受限於該等登記規定，否則本公告所述證券不得在 美國境內發售或出售，或向美國人士或代其或以其利益發售或出售。 China International Capital Corporation Limited 中國國際金融股份有限公 司 （於中華人民共和國註冊成立的股份有限公司） （股份代號：03908） 自願公告 根據一百億美元擔保中期票據計劃 發行 於二零二八年到期的550,000,00 ...