炒股就看金麒麟分析师研报，权威，专业，及时，全面，助您挖掘潜力主题机会！ 中信建投证券研究 文|周君芝 杨振辉 上周金银表现强势，其他风险资产偏弱。 2025年大类资产，金银代表的贵金属一骑绝尘。 2025年贵金属行情可分三段，一季度交易特朗普加税；4~7月交易全面关税引发全球失序担忧；8月至 今交易美联储宽松。 与历史其他时期不同，当前美国经济隐含三个长周期因素，科技革命、财政扩张和供应链脱钩，所以美 国增长和通胀分化，经济和政治复杂性空前。 面对中期选举，美联储独立性不得不被搁置，即便面临压不下的通胀中枢，美国依然选择宽松。也就有 了美联储宽松预期不止，美债长短期限利差走扩，贵金属强势。 展望2026年，我们需要关注货币和财政回归之后全球经济走向。接力金银的下一个大宗品种，应该是 铜。 本周关注： 重要会议落地后，债市开启一轮小的修复。 美联储鸽派降息，美元走弱，长端美债收益率上行。 一、中国股市：A股震荡反复，H股小幅下跌。 中国AH股回顾： A股：本周沪指围绕3900点反复震荡，创业板指领涨。中信一级行业方面，通信、国防军工和电子板块 领涨，煤炭、石油石化和纺织服装板块领跌。 H股：本周港股呈V型走势 ...

中信建投证券研报称，2025年大类资产中，以金银代表的贵金属一骑绝尘。当前美国增长和通胀分化， 经济和政治复杂性空前。面对美国中期选举，美联储独立性不得不被搁置，即便面临压不下的通胀中 枢，美国依然选择宽松，导致美联储宽松预期不止，美债长短期限利差走扩，贵金属强势。展望2026 年，需要关注货币和财政政策回归之后的全球经济走向。接力金银的下一个大宗品种，应该是铜。 ...

人民财讯12月15日电，中信建投（601066）研报称，OpenAI发布GPT-5.2，是迄今在专业知识工作领域 中能力最强的模型系列。美国将批准英伟达向中国出口H200芯片。中信建投继续看好AI算力板块。北 美链继续看好之外，国内链也建议重视，一方面国内链公司前期调整较多，而北美链光模块公司近期已 纷纷新高，另一方面随着国产GPU能力及供给量的提升以及H200的放开，有望加速国内AI算力基础设 施的部署节奏。 ...

Core Viewpoint - Quantum technology is identified as a key future industry for national development, with recent catalysts indicating growth potential in the sector [1] Group 1: Industry Developments - The IPO application of Guoyi Quantum Technology (Hefei) Co., Ltd. has been accepted by the Sci-Tech Innovation Board, signaling increased investment interest in quantum technology [1] - The official release of the national standard for "Helium-free Dilution Refrigerators" marks a significant advancement in the industry, potentially enhancing the technological framework for quantum applications [1] Group 2: Investment Recommendations - Continuous attention is recommended for the quantum technology supply chain, particularly in areas such as quantum computing systems, dilution refrigerators, and low-temperature coaxial cables, which are critical components for the industry's growth [1]

根据金元顺安基金管理有限公司（以下简称"本公司"）与中信建投证券股份有限公司（以下简称"中信 建投"）签署的销售服务协议，自2025年12月16日起，中信建投将销售本公司旗下部分基金。具体公告 如下： 一、适用基金 ■ （1）中信建投证券股份有限公司 公司网站：www.csc108.com 二、业务范围 自2025年12月16日起，投资者可在中信建投办理上述基金的开户、认购、申购、赎回、定期定额投资及 基金转换等业务。今后本公司发行的其它开放式基金均适用于上述业务，本公司不再另行公告，具体业 务的办理请参照本公司及中信建投的相关业务规则和流程。 三、费率优惠 经与中信建投协商一致，本公司决定旗下基金参加中信建投的费率优惠。具体折扣费率、业务办理的流 程、费率优惠期限以中信建投页面公示为准。基金原费率请详见基金合同、招募说明书（更新）等法律 文件，以及本公司发布的最新业务公告。如本公司新增通过中信建投销售的基金产品或者对已通过中信 建投销售的基金产品新增、变更份额类别，则自该基金产品或该类份额开放申购当日起，将同时开通该 基金或该类份额上述优惠活动。 重要提示： 1、基金定期定额投资业务是指投资者通过本公司指定 ...

中信证券：内外兼顾，寻求交集 从此次中央经济工作会议内容来看，做大内循环仍是重心，定位和去年相似。但对于股票市场而言，内需品种 和外需品种的预期和定价与去年存在巨大差异：去年底，投资者对外需普遍谨慎，对内需充满期待，但最终外 需的表现大超预期；今年是重仓布局外需敞口品种，预期相对充分，但对内需品种欠缺信心。实际上，明年外 需继续超预期的难度在加大，但内需可期待的因素在增多。 从这些角度来看，海外敞口品种业绩兑现力强，但估值继续提升难度大；内需敞口品种景气度一般，但一旦超 预期修复，估值弹性不小。配置上要寻求交集，即海外敞口为基底、内需积极变化也会产生催化的品种。 国泰海通：当下是布局春季行情的重要窗口 对于后市，我们比市场共识更乐观：部分投资者以政策表述从"超常规"到"跨周期"解读政策不积极，但这存在 谬误，2025年超常规是相较于2024年尾部风险暴露而言。面向2026年，中央经济工作会议明确"巩固拓展经济 稳中向好势头"，并要求财政政策"更加积极"与"内需主导"，首次提出"推动投资止跌回稳"，并时隔十年重提 房地产"去库存"；中财办副主任韩文秀表示将根据形势变化出台实施增量政策，继续实施"国补"与靠前实 ...

【大河财立方消息】2025年A股已进入收官倒计时，步入年末，市场正处于全年业绩兑现与2026年开局 衔接的关键节点。来年如何布局？跨年行情怎么看？大河财立方记者梳理了6家券商最新解读。 中信建投：跨年行情蓄势待发 中信建投分析师夏凡捷、何盛发表研报认为，从9月初至12月初，AH两地市场经历了较长时间的调整， 投资者情绪趋于谨慎，而近期，多项关键事件与数据相继公布，整体基调符合或略好于市场预期。 中信建投认为，牛市底层逻辑仍在，主要由结构性行情和资本市场改革政策推动。目前市场已经基本完 成调整，叠加基金排名基本落地，跨年有望迎来新一波行情。 中期行业配置方面，中信建投建议重点关注具有一定景气催化的有色金属和AI算力，主题上以商业航 天为主，可控核聚变和人形机器人为辅；港股也具有投资机会，潜在热点板块主要有互联网巨头、创新 药。重点关注：有色、商业航天、AI、人形机器人、可控核聚变、创新药、非银金融等。 中信证券：内外兼顾，寻求交集 中信证券裘翔、刘春彤等人发表研报认为，从此次中央经济工作会议内容来看，做大内循环仍是重心， 定位和去年相似。 研报中提到，但对于股票市场而言，内需品种和外需品种的预期和定价与去年存在 ...

Core Viewpoint - The report from CITIC Securities indicates that the A-share and H-share markets have undergone a prolonged adjustment period from early September to early December, with investor sentiment becoming cautious. However, recent key events and data releases have met or slightly exceeded market expectations, suggesting that the underlying logic for a bull market remains intact, driven by structural trends and capital market reform policies [1] Market Adjustment and Outlook - The market has largely completed its adjustment phase, and with fund rankings being finalized, there is potential for a new wave of market activity as the year-end approaches [1] Sector Focus - Mid-term industry allocation should focus on sectors with certain growth catalysts, particularly non-ferrous metals and AI computing power. Thematic investments should prioritize commercial aerospace, with additional attention to controllable nuclear fusion and humanoid robots [1] Investment Opportunities - The Hong Kong stock market also presents investment opportunities, with potential hot sectors including internet giants and innovative pharmaceuticals. Key areas of focus include non-ferrous metals, commercial aerospace, AI, humanoid robots, controllable nuclear fusion, innovative pharmaceuticals, and non-bank financials [1]

Core Viewpoint - The underlying logic of the bull market remains intact, driven by structural trends and capital market reform policies. The market has largely completed its adjustment, and a new wave of market activity is expected as year-end approaches [1][2][34]. Market Overview - From early September to early December, the AH markets experienced a prolonged adjustment period, with investor sentiment becoming cautious. Most funds remained in a wait-and-see mode, anticipating the outcomes of significant domestic and international events by year-end [4][33]. - Recent key events and data releases have provided important decision-making guidance for the market, with the overall tone aligning with or slightly exceeding market expectations [4][34]. Policy Environment - The Central Political Bureau meeting has maintained a loose monetary policy and emphasized the importance of boosting the artificial intelligence industry. The macroeconomic policy will continue to be stable and expansionary, focusing on "continuously expanding domestic demand" as a primary task [5][34]. - Fiscal policy will remain proactive, with necessary spending levels maintained while emphasizing fiscal discipline and sustainability. Monetary policy will continue to be moderately loose, utilizing tools like reserve requirement ratio cuts and interest rate reductions to promote reasonable price recovery [5][35]. Economic Data - Economic data shows a slow recovery trend, with November CPI rising to 0.7% year-on-year, while PPI slightly decreased to -2.2% year-on-year. The recovery in CPI and PPI is gradually being anticipated by the market, although internal demand recovery remains insufficient [7][36][38]. - Retail sales in October fell to a year-on-year growth of 2.9%, and the manufacturing PMI for November recorded 49.2, indicating weak manufacturing demand and structural economic issues [9][38]. Investment Opportunities - Mid-term industry allocation should focus on sectors with certain catalytic prospects, such as non-ferrous metals and AI computing power, with themes centered on commercial aerospace, controllable nuclear fusion, and humanoid robots. The Hong Kong stock market also presents investment opportunities, particularly in internet giants and innovative pharmaceuticals [2][20][28]. - The commercial aerospace sector is supported by policy backing and industrial breakthroughs, showing potential for long-term growth. Recent performance in satellite computing has been notable, with leading stocks experiencing significant gains [26][55]. Market Sentiment - The market is currently characterized by a "weak recovery, strong policy" dynamic, necessitating continued loose policies to support economic stability. The market's expectations for fundamentals are already low, limiting further downside potential [9][38]. - The recent adjustments in the AI computing sector, combined with policy support and technological breakthroughs, provide a basis for potential upward momentum in this area [20][49][51]. Conclusion - The market is poised for a new phase of activity as it transitions from a period of adjustment, with key sectors identified for potential growth. The overall policy environment remains conducive to stabilizing market expectations and fostering structural trends [1][2][34].

Core Viewpoint - The conference focused on enhancing the quality of wealth management services in response to the growing number of clients, emphasizing effective client segmentation to provide higher quality services [1][4]. Group 1: Client Segmentation and Services - CITIC Securities is implementing effective client segmentation to cater to a growing client base, aiming to provide higher quality services [1][3]. - For high-net-worth and affluent clients, CITIC Securities offers a "1+1+N" professional service model, leveraging headquarters' capabilities for product configuration [3]. - The majority of clients, particularly those with investment amounts below 500,000 yuan, cannot rely on one-on-one advisory services, prompting CITIC Securities to establish four inclusive centers powered by AI for precise service delivery [3]. Group 2: AI Utilization in Wealth Management - AI is recognized as a crucial tool for enhancing efficiency and professional capabilities in wealth management [3]. - CITIC Securities utilizes the Lingxi platform to assist financial planners in client engagement and opportunity identification, shifting from "people finding business" to "products finding people" [3]. - The Deep Timing investment research platform is employed to help individual and small clients achieve trading equality [3]. Group 3: Conference Themes and Discussions - The conference, a significant annual event by Shanghai Securities News, centered on the theme "New Narratives of the Era, New Future of Wealth," discussing how the wealth management industry can navigate economic cycles and enhance competitiveness while supporting the real economy [4].