CSC(06066)
Search documents
中信建投期货:2月25日工业品早报
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2026-02-25 01:21
热点栏目 自选股 数据中心 行情中心 资金流向 模拟交易 客户端 铜:关税扰动,铜价承压 周二晚沪铜主力震荡收涨于102220元,伦铜运行至约13200美金附近。 宏观中性偏空。美国正式开始征收10%全球关税,同时白宫正在准备落实税率提高到15%的命令,中方商务部表态将全面评估美国关税调整反制政策,全球 贸易政策不确定性下铜价承压震荡。 基本面中性偏空。昨日上期所铜仓单增加8万吨至27.7万吨,LME铜累库1350吨至24.3万吨。据SMM春节假期间中国铜社会库存(不含保税)累库约15.5万 吨至50.8万吨。 总体来看,关税政策叠加地缘冲突扰动,预计短期铜价承压震荡为主。但在下游复工推进与国内政策预期支撑下,铜价具备一定韧性。今日沪铜主力运行参 考10.05万-10.3万元/吨。策略上,日内暂观望,中长线逢低布局远月多单。 铝:隔夜氧化铝期货小幅下跌,现货企业多升水报价,尤其流动性相对较高的山东区域,厂商和贸易商报价相对机构报价平水或者升水10-20元。主因节前 氧化铝生产企业减产及检修增多,以及北方大型氧化铝企业突发政策性减产。而广西地区新增产能投产或有所延后,当前运行产能下降至9350万吨左右,且 预计 ...
中信建投期货:2月25日农产品早报
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2026-02-25 01:21
热点栏目 自选股 数据中心 行情中心 资金流向 模拟交易 客户端 玉米:中性 3.连盘豆粕缺乏边际新增信息,短期预计跟随美盘运行,市场继续关注3月国内进口大豆到港节奏与储备拍卖进展。 观点总结:区间交易思路,预计05合约日内运行区间2700-2850元/吨。 鸡蛋:中性偏空 1.盘面表现:昨日玉米05合约收盘于2341元/吨,日涨幅0.21%,为9个月以来新高,盘面资金情绪明显,日增仓超4万3千手。 2.现货与渠道情况:基层玉米收购工作陆续重新启动,但整体提量受复工进度与现货价格影响,或在元宵节之后显化。 3.下游需求:春节后,深加工方面企业开工启动快于基层收购情况,补库需求被强化,鲅鱼圈港等港口报价同步出现5-10元/吨涨幅,哈尔滨/长春等地现货 价格日涨20元/吨;周内预计有超过2万8千吨国储拍卖,上量强度有待下周提振。 4.市场关注&观点总结:目前虽然05走强明显,但在整体库存水平一般,下游利润承压的背景下,深加工企业对提价的接受度较低。且地趴粮话题随着最 近寒潮的推进被延迟弱化,整体判断上方空间有限,不宜追多。后续跟进实际上量情况与港口波动。 豆粕:中性 1.海外市场继续关注中国对美国最高法院推翻特朗 ...
中信建投期货:2月25日能化早报
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2026-02-25 01:20
热点栏目 自选股 数据中心 行情中心 资金流向 模拟交易 客户端 PX: 供需面供稳需增。中国PX行业预估负荷环比持稳于92.0%,亚洲行业预估负荷环比增加1.1pct至84.8%,整体供应预计保持充裕。需求端,下游PTA装置负荷 回升。PX基本面在产业链中偏强,后期随着PX装置检修季开始,库存将从累库转为去库。本期API原油库存超预期累库。美军向以色列部署11架F-22战斗 机,同时,有消息称"福特号"航母因厕所故障,其实战能力受到市场质疑,布伦特原油价格收十字星。鉴于短期内中东地缘政治问题解决的可能性较低,原 油价格大概率延续高位震荡,市场关注周四美伊第三轮核谈判。短期内,成本端支撑仍存,PX 5月期价震荡运行,PX5月关注7200-7300区间中线做多机 会。PX 5-9、9-1关注正套机会。 相关市场消息(消息来源:化纤信息网) (李思进 期货交易咨询从业信息:Z0021407,仅供参考) PTA: 聚酯装置:福建一聚酯工厂共计63万吨聚酯装置已于2月中重启,涉及瓶片、长丝、短纤及少量切片;萧山两套合计40万吨聚酯装置已于春节前重启,前期 配套生产切片为主,2.24开始纺丝开车,后期主要生产涤丝长丝为 ...
中信建投:AIDC建设带动配套设备需求,关注燃气轮机、发动机等产业链
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2026-02-25 00:30
(本文来自第一财经) 中信建投研报表示,AIDC建设进入高速增长期,测算2025-2028年美国AI需求带来的电力容量需求期间 CAGR约55%,未来三年累计需求超150GW,带来大量电力需求,配套设备迎来机遇,而北美目前缺电 问题凸显,自建电源成为大趋势,燃气轮机凭借快速响应、高功率适配性、较低发电成本,高可靠性成 为AIDC主电源优先解。当前全球海外燃机龙头在手订单规模已远超其现有产能水平,全球燃气轮机巨 头正推进产能扩张计划,但海外上游供应链扩产相对谨慎,产业链紧缺不断加剧,国产燃机整机与核心 零部件产业链迎来机遇,另外关注航改燃、船改燃缺口补充方案。 ...
中信建投:国内外大模型密集迭代,继续看好AI产业链
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2026-02-25 00:29
Core Insights - The rapid development of AI is leading to strong demand for computing power, driven by continuous upgrades of large models [1] - The commercial monetization of large models is transitioning from a "low-cost/free user acquisition" phase to a "high-quality paid" phase, significantly increasing the demand for computing power [1] - Companies in the AI computing and optical communication sectors have shown strong performance in the US stock market during the holiday period [1] - Jensen Huang announced that a "world-first" chip will be unveiled at the GTC conference in March, indicating ongoing innovation in the AI industry [1] - The outlook for the AI industry chain, including large models and AI computing chains, remains positive [1]
中信建投:国内外大模型密集迭代,持续推荐AI板块
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2026-02-24 23:57
Group 1 - The AI industry is experiencing rapid advancements, with large models continuously iterating and increasing demand for computing power [3][18][29] - Major AI companies are transitioning from a "low-cost/free user acquisition" phase to a "high-quality paid" phase, significantly boosting computing power demand [4][9][24] - During the holiday period, US AI computing stocks performed exceptionally well, with companies like Lumentum, Corning, and Coherent reaching historical highs [12][28][29] Group 2 - Anthropic launched the Claude Sonnet 4.6 model, which shows significant improvements in programming and reasoning capabilities, becoming the default model for its platforms [4][19] - Google's Gemini 3.1 Pro model outperformed several competitors in benchmark tests, achieving a score of 77.1% on the challenging ARC-AGI-2 test, doubling its predecessor's performance [6][21] - Zhizhu AI released the GLM-5 model, featuring a parameter scale of 744 billion and training data of 28.5 trillion tokens, achieving top scores in open-source model benchmarks [7][22] Group 3 - MiniMax introduced the M2.5 model, designed for agent scenarios, demonstrating significant improvements in programming tasks and cost efficiency [9][24] - Alibaba's Qwen3.5-Plus model outperformed similar open-source models, offering competitive pricing and extensive language support [10][25] - The domestic AI market saw a surge in user engagement during the Spring Festival, with significant increases in active users for various AI applications [12][27]
机器人板块高开低走,资金逆势布局,机器人ETF易方达(159530)全天净申购约7000万份
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2026-02-24 11:44
截至收盘,中证消费电子主题指数上涨1.8%,中证物联网主题指数上涨1.0%,中证智能电动汽车指数上涨0.3%,国证机器人产业指数下跌0.6%,资金逆势 布局,机器人ETF易方达(159530)全天净申购约7000万份。Wind数据显示,该ETF节前已连续10个交易日获资金布局,合计超11亿元。 中信建投证券研报认为,春节期间全球股市整体强势,无重大风险事件,当前市场情绪仍然高涨,节后A股有望开启新一轮上行。行业配置上继续坚持"科 技+资源品"双主线。其中科技主线以AI、人形机器人、新能源和创新药为核心,资源品主线以贵金属、石油石化、基础化工为核心。 该指数聚焦的AI硬件是目前 主要的智能终端品类,由业 务涉及元器件生产、整机品 牌设计及生产等消费电子相 关公司股票组成。 日报 2017 跟踪中证智能电动汽车指数 该指数聚焦的智能电动汽 车有望成为具身智能落地 的代表性方向之一,覆盖 动力系统、感知系统、决 策系统、执行系统、通讯 系统、整车生产等产业链 环节。 �日 该指数涨跌 0.3% 消费电子ETF易方达 雙 跟踪中证消费电子主题指数 �H 该指数涨跌 1.8% 物联网ETF易方达 MR 老室 每日经济新 ...
首药控股跌3.84% 2022年上市募15亿中信建投保荐
Zhong Guo Jing Ji Wang· 2026-02-24 09:05
中国经济网北京2月24日讯 首药控股(688197.SH)今日股价收报37.36元,跌幅3.84%。目前该股 处于破发状态。 首药控股于2022年3月23日在上交所科创板上市,发行价格为39.90元/股,公开发行股数为3718.00 万股,占发行后总股本的比例为25.00%,保荐机构(主承销商)为中信建投证券股份有限公司,保荐 代表人为杨慧泽、李彦芝。 首药控股上市发行募集资金总额为14.83亿元,扣除发行费用后,募集资金净额13.74亿元。首药控 股于2022年3月18日披露的招股说明书显示,公司拟募集资金20.00亿元,拟分别用于首药控股创新药研 发项目、首药控股新药研发与产业化基地和补充流动资金。 首药控股上市发行费用总额为1.10亿元,中信建投证券股份有限公司获得保荐及承销费用9089.57万 元。 (责任编辑:华青剑) ...
券商板块月报:券商板块2026年1月回顾及2月前瞻-20260224
Zhongyuan Securities· 2026-02-24 08:18
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Market Perform" rating for the brokerage sector, indicating a synchronized performance with the market [1]. Core Insights - The brokerage index attempted to strengthen in January 2026 but ultimately failed, resulting in a decline of 1.49%, underperforming the CSI 300 index, which rose by 1.65% [5][8]. - The brokerage sector experienced increased differentiation, with a notable number of stocks outperforming the brokerage index, leading to a higher average P/B ratio fluctuating between 1.426 and 1.541 times [5][11][14]. - The overall market conditions for January 2026 were characterized by a significant increase in trading volumes and a record high in margin financing balances, indicating a robust trading environment despite the sector's overall weakness [7][30]. Summary by Sections 1. January 2026 Brokerage Market Review - The brokerage index's performance was weak, with a 1.49% decline, ranking 28th among 30 industry indices [5][8]. - The average P/B ratio for the brokerage sector fluctuated between 1.426 and 1.541 times, reflecting a slight increase in valuation [14]. - A total trading volume of 1.03 trillion yuan was recorded, marking a 40.1% increase month-on-month [9]. 2. Key Market Factors Impacting January 2026 Performance - The equity market faced resistance after an initial rise, while the fixed income market showed signs of mild recovery, contributing to a rebound in proprietary trading [7][18]. - The average daily trading volume reached a historical high of 3.05 trillion yuan, with a total monthly trading volume of 60.90 trillion yuan, indicating a strong recovery in brokerage activity [26]. - Margin financing balances reached 27,153 billion yuan, reflecting a 6.9% month-on-month increase and a 53.1% year-on-year increase [30]. 3. February 2026 Performance Outlook for Listed Brokerages - Proprietary trading is expected to decline due to a cooling equity market, while brokerage activity may experience a seasonal drop in performance [7][40]. - The brokerage index is anticipated to face continued weakness, with a potential drop in overall monthly performance expected to return to relative lows seen in the previous 12 months [7][45]. - The report suggests that if the brokerage sector's valuation drops to 1.3x P/B, it may present a good opportunity for re-entry, particularly for leading firms with strong wealth management capabilities [7].
中信建投:双重国产替代趋势叠加 聚焦半导体零部件细分品类投资
智通财经网· 2026-02-24 07:49
半导体设备零部件市场空间广阔。半导体设备零部件是半导体设备成本的主要来源,零部件市场约为全 球半导体设备市场规模的50%-55%,伴随本轮AI需求驱动下全球半导体设备景气周期开启,预计2027 年全球、中国大陆半导体设备零部件市场分别为858.00亿美元、343.20亿美元。 智通财经APP获悉,中信建投发布研报称,随着国产零部件供应商的持续研发突破与放量,当前时间点 对于零部件板块的投资更多聚焦于细分品类的赛道投资:一方面,关注对低国产化率赛道的投资,期待 相关品类研发-送样-小批量的持续突破,如EFEM、机械手、真空泵/分子泵、阀门、静电卡盘、射频电 源、MFC、光刻机相关零部件(双工件台/浸液系统、光学类零部件等);另一方面,关注国产化进展顺 畅、业绩逐步释放的品类投资,如机械大类金属零部件、气体输送子系统GASBOX等。公司方面,关 注低国产化率赛道以及产品放量落地、业绩释放赛道。 中信建投主要观点如下: 半导体设备零部件空间广阔,海外限制下国产替代加速推进 集成电路上游核心环节,零部件技术进步推动设备制程提升。半导体设备精密零部件行业是半导体设备 行业的支撑,以百亿美金市场支撑着千亿美金设备市场及万 ...