Core Viewpoints - The characteristics of trading driven by overseas macro events have become evident this year, with increased radiation and linkage to the domestic market. The focus has shifted from being primarily economy-driven to multiple channels including economy, geopolitics, AI industry trends, and global liquidity [1][5][36] - Four main paths of overseas influence on the domestic market need close attention in the coming year: external demand affecting profit expectations, AI chains contributing to market hotspots, reduced geopolitical risks, and positive impacts of overseas liquidity and RMB appreciation on domestic assets [1][20][59] Group 1: Overseas Influence on Domestic Market - Despite the impact of tariffs, China's export growth has remained robust, with a cumulative year-on-year increase of 5.4% in export value for the first 11 months, and a trade surplus increase of 21%. Net exports contributed 29% to GDP, surpassing the 17.5% contribution from investment [5][43] - The global economic outlook suggests a dual easing of fiscal and monetary policies, providing strong support for domestic growth through external demand. The structural shift in exports towards Africa and ASEAN has effectively countered declines in exports to the US [5][43][54] - Domestic enterprises are actively expanding into overseas markets, potentially creating a second growth curve, with leading companies likely to break through first. China's foreign direct investment is expected to reach nearly $200 billion in 2024, contrasting with a decline in global FDI [7][45] Group 2: Geopolitical Changes - Geopolitical changes are expected to influence market risk preferences in the short term and the restructuring of global order in the long term. China's response to trade tensions has demonstrated strategic resolve, and the market is becoming less sensitive to US tariff policies [10][49] - The trend towards regional integration and de-dollarization is accelerating, with a focus on self-sufficient supply chains. This context reduces tail risks and enhances the strategic value of scarce resources and capital goods [10][49] Group 3: AI Industry Trends - The AI wave has generated hotspots in the domestic market, primarily impacting hardware profitability and leading to valuation increases in applications. The market has experienced two rounds of AI-related trends this year, with a focus on hardware profitability and the need for actual earnings realization [12][51] - As overseas AI investments deepen, their influence is beginning to spill over into other asset classes, with a shift from "chip shortages" to "electricity shortages" becoming evident. This shift is expected to increase demand for power equipment and copper [13][52] Group 4: Monetary Policy and Currency Trends - The Federal Reserve's easing cycle, narrowing of the US-China interest rate differential, and gradual appreciation of the RMB are favorable for domestic asset performance. The trade surplus remains high, and the willingness of enterprises to convert currency has increased significantly [15][54] - The RMB is expected to continue appreciating, supported by a substantial potential for currency conversion funds and the anticipated further rate cuts by the Federal Reserve in the coming year [15][54] Group 5: Market Conditions and Recommendations - The domestic bond market is facing redemption pressures, with skepticism about the long-term interest rate support. The market is expected to experience volatility, with a focus on short- to medium-term credit bonds as relatively safe choices [39][60] - In the stock market, there is a consensus expectation for a spring rally, but the lack of earnings support may limit upward potential. Key sectors to watch include technology growth, commercial aerospace, and robotics, alongside cyclical and resource sectors [39][62]

此前中伟新材公布，根据《上海证券交易所沪港通业务实施办法》和《深圳证券交易所深港通业务实施 办法》的有关规定，公司于香港联合交易所有限公司发行并上市的股票(以下简称"H股")自2025年12月 15日起调入沪港通及深港通标的证券名单。 香港联交所最新资料显示，12月17日，中伟新材(02579)股东将股票由摩根士丹利香港证券转入华泰证 券，转仓市值4.53亿港元，占比16.53%。 ...

此前中伟新材公布，根据《上海证券交易所沪港通业务实施办法》和《深圳证券交易所深港通业务实施 办法》的有关规定，公司于香港联合交易所有限公司发行并上市的股票(以下简称"H股")自2025年12月 15日起调入沪港通及深港通标的证券名单。 智通财经APP获悉，香港联交所最新资料显示，12月17日，中伟新材(02579)股东将股票由摩根士丹利香 港证券转入华泰证券，转仓市值4.53亿港元，占比16.53%。 ...

人民财讯12月18日电，华泰证券研报称，CXO行业外部扰动因素已边际改善，伴随海外降息、国内复 苏、叠加产业升级三重驱动，行业已开启新一轮高景气周期。市场部分投资者认为国内CXO企业在新 分子领域的布局优势尚不明显，区别于市场，华泰证券在报告中详细阐述了产业升级对于中国CXO行 业的重要机遇，分析得到多肽、ADC、寡核苷酸等新分子在后续商业化阶段的广阔外包潜力。外需型 CXO已于2024年下半年陆续走出困境，2025年1—3季度订单、收入同比双增，美国降息+新分子订单拉 动下有持续提速潜力；内需型CXO经历2023—2024年集中降价后目前订单端已量增价稳，收入端有望 于2026年起陆续迎来曙光。华泰证券看好CXO板块后续有望迎来业绩与估值的戴维斯双击，推荐外需 型且具备新分子布局优势的龙头。 ...

智通财经APP获悉，财政部公布数据，2025年1—11月证券交易印花税1855亿元 同比增长70.7%。 银河证券认为，国家"稳增长、稳股市"、"提振资本市场"的政策目标将持续定调证券板块未来走向，流 动性适度宽松环境延续、资本市场环境持续优化、投资者信心重塑等多方面因素共同推动证券板块景气 度上行。当前环境下，中长期资金加速入市，市场活跃度维持高位，资本市场展现出"健康牛"态势，财 富管理转型、国际业务拓展、金融科技赋能均有望成为行业提升ROE驱动力。当前板块估值处于历史低 位，防御反弹攻守兼备。建议关注综合实力强劲的头部券商，以及在财管、自营、跨境等业务领域具备 差异化竞争优势的券商。 中信建投研报称，证券方面，2026年政策利好驱动业绩持续增长，板块有望重新定价。2025年证券行业 进入新一轮增长周期，但券商股票因缺少独立催化、前两年悲观情绪的延续等原因而导致超额收益不 佳。当前"服务新质生产力+中长期资金入市+券商国际化机遇"三大核心利好逻辑尚未被市场充分定 价，其驱动的投行、资管、国际业务等新动能，有望在2026年后逐步兑现至行业基本面，为中长期业绩 弹性与韧性提供坚实支撑，无需担忧增长断层。 日前 ...

人民财讯12月18日电，华泰证券研报称，近日，工信部发布第401批《道路机动车辆生产企业及产品公 告》，对长安与北汽蓝谷（600733）各一款搭载L3功能的车型给予附条件许可，并明确后续将在限定 区域、限定场景下由指定使用主体开展上路通行试点。本次许可是继2023年试点通知明确框架、2024年 6月首批9家联合体遴选后的实质性落地，标志着国内L3从"试点申报与测试评估"迈向"产品准入与上路 通行试点"。华泰证券认为，L3准入落地将加速智驾产业链价值重构，2026年智驾有望成为AI应用的重 要方向，建议关注智能整车、线控底盘、域控芯片、激光雷达等核心环节的投资机会。 ...

《华泰证券股份有限公司关于间接全资子公司根据中期票据计划进行发行并由全资子公司提供担 保的公告》 以上内容为证券之星据公开信息整理，由AI算法生成（网信算备310104345710301240019号），不构成 投资建议。 截至2025年12月17日收盘，华泰证券（601688）报收于23.68元，较前一交易日上涨6.09%，最新总市值 为2137.56亿元。该股当日开盘22.4元，最高24.53元，最低22.28元，成交额达46.29亿元，换手率为 2.7%。 近日，华泰证券股份有限公司发布公告称，其间接全资子公司华泰国际财务有限公司在境外中期票据计 划下发行0.80亿美元中期票据，由全资子公司华泰国际提供担保。本次担保金额折合人民币5.66亿元， 实际担保余额为15.20亿美元。被担保人华泰国际财务为特殊目的公司，公司通过华泰国际间接持有其 100%股权。本次担保已履行董事会及股东大会决策程序，担保风险可控。截至公告日，公司及控股子 公司对外担保总额为人民币447.76亿元，占最近一期经审计净资产的23.34%，无逾期担保。 最新公告列表 ...

Market Overview - The market experienced a collective rebound, with the Shanghai Composite Index rising over 1% and the ChiNext Index increasing over 3%, as more than 3,600 stocks in the market saw gains [1] - The computing hardware sector showed strong performance, with stocks like Zhongci Electronics and Huanxu Electronics hitting the daily limit, while major players in optical modules also surged [1] - The lithium battery industry chain strengthened, with Jinyuan Co. achieving two limit-ups in four days and Tianji Co. hitting the daily limit [1] - The financial sector gained momentum in the afternoon, with Huatai Securities nearing a limit-up and China Pacific Insurance rising over 4% [1] Sector Analysis - High-profile stocks experienced a collective decline, with companies like Tongyu Communication and Zhongchao Holdings hitting the daily limit down [2] - The financial sector's afternoon surge was notable, with Huatai Securities and China Pacific Insurance leading the gains, alongside other major financial institutions [3] - The market's focus on computing hardware is attributed to its "performance certainty + growth potential," with expectations that the structural transformation seen in 2025 will continue into 2026 [6] Investment Themes - The technology innovation sector is contributing positively to industry profits, with TMT and advanced manufacturing leading the gains this year [7] - Industries linked to global demand or increased overseas penetration are also showing strong performance, including non-ferrous metals, automotive, home appliances, and machinery [7] - Key areas of focus for 2026 include AI supply-demand gaps, energy storage demand recovery, and the copper market's dependence on global fundamentals [8] AI Development - The AI application sector is entering a new catalytic phase, with ByteDance's Seed team launching a new audio-video creation model that supports various tasks [9] - Recent advancements in AI applications are being driven by major players enhancing their model capabilities and frameworks, with Alibaba's upgrade of "Tongyi - Qwen" being particularly notable [10] - The overall outlook for the AI application sector is optimistic, with consumer internet and marketing-related scenarios expected to benefit first from these developments [10]

水皮杂谈 一家之言 兼听则明 偏听则暗 浑水摸鱼 盘面消息 A股三大指数今日集体走强，截止收盘，沪指涨1.19%，收报3870.28点；深证成指涨 2.40%，收报13224.51点；创业板指涨3.39%，收报3175.91点。 沪深两市成交额达到 18111亿，较昨日放量870亿。 老水看盘 峰回路转，绝处逢生 。 关键点位能够扭转乾坤的莫过于券商板块。下午 1 点 38 分起，券商板块强势拉升，成功化 解了上证指数随时下破 3800 点整数关口的风险，不仅将指数推至 今天的 高点，更有效激发 了市场人气，个股随之全线上涨。 午盘时，个股 下跌 与 上涨 比例约为 2:1 ，到收盘时这一比例完成逆转，上涨个股数量占据 优势；午盘时个股中位数跌幅为 0.75% ，收盘时中位数涨幅转为 0.6% 。龙头股表现亮 眼，中信证券平地起跳，最高涨幅达 2.38% ，带动券商板块指数从下跌 0.9% 一路冲高至 最高 2.1% ，尾盘略有回落，最终板块整体上涨 1.32% 。 其中，华泰证券一度冲击涨停，尾盘虽有回落，但仍收涨约 6% ，不过其 H 股 今天 涨幅相 对有限，仅超 2% 。 券商板块此番异动，据媒体报道 ...

香港交易及結算所有限公司及香港聯合交易所有限公司對本公告的內容概不負責，對其準確性 或完整性亦不發表任何聲明，並明確表示概不對因本公告全部或任何部分內容而產生或因倚賴 該等內容而引致的任何損失承擔任何責任。 （股份代號：6886） 海外監管公告 本公告乃根據上市規則第13.10B條規則作出。 （於中華人民共和國註冊成立之股份有限公司， 中文公司名稱為華泰證券股份有限公司，在香港以HTSC名義開展業務） 茲載列本公司在上海證券交易所網站刊登之《華泰證券股份有限公司關於間接全 資子公司根據中期票據計劃進行發行並由全資子公司提供擔保的公告》，僅供參 閱。 釋義 於本公告，除文義另有所指外，下列詞彙具有以下涵義。 「本公司」 指 於中華人民共和國以華泰證券股份有限公司的公司名 稱註冊成立的股份有限公司，於2007年12月7日由前身 華泰證券有限責任公司改制而成，在香港以「HTSC」 名義開展業務，根據公司條例第16部以中文獲准名稱 「華泰六八八六股份有限公司」及英文公司名稱「Huatai Securities Co., Ltd.」註冊為註冊非香港公司，其H股於 2015年6月1日在香港聯合交易所有限公司主板上市（股 ...