Group 1 - The U.S. federal government officially shut down, affecting over 600,000 federal employees who will be on unpaid leave, raising concerns about a potential short-term increase in unemployment rates [3] - The government shutdown adds uncertainty to U.S. economic growth momentum and the Federal Reserve's monetary policy direction [3] - Fitch Ratings indicated that the government shutdown will not impact the U.S. sovereign rating in the short term, while S&P noted that the shutdown could reduce GDP by 0.1-0.2 percentage points per week [3] Group 2 - The Hong Kong Stock Connect recorded a net inflow of HKD 15.4 billion on Tuesday, with Alibaba (09988.HK) seeing the highest net inflow of HKD 3.6 billion, followed by the Tracker Fund of Hong Kong (02800.HK) [3] - Conversely, UBTECH (09880.HK) experienced the largest net outflow of HKD 63 million, followed by Crystal International (02228.HK) [3]

Core Insights - On September 30, 2025, Alibaba-W (09988), SMIC (00981), and Tencent Holdings (00700) were the top three companies by trading volume in the southbound trading of the Stock Connect, with trading amounts of 8.849 billion, 4.310 billion, and 3.283 billion respectively [1] - In the Shenzhen-Hong Kong Stock Connect, Alibaba-W (09988), SMIC (00981), and Xiaomi Group-W (01810) also led the trading volume, with amounts of 5.056 billion, 3.306 billion, and 2.030 billion respectively [1] Southbound Trading Highlights - **Top Active Companies in Southbound Trading (Hong Kong Stock Connect)** - Alibaba-W (09988): Trading amount of 8.849 billion, net inflow of 1.509 billion - SMIC (00981): Trading amount of 4.310 billion, net inflow of 0.656 billion - Tencent Holdings (00700): Trading amount of 3.283 billion, net inflow of 0.811 billion - Xiaomi Group-W (01810): Trading amount of 3.092 billion, net inflow of 0.716 billion - Huahong Semiconductor (01347): Trading amount of 2.642 billion, net inflow of 0.231 billion [2] - **Top Active Companies in Southbound Trading (Shenzhen-Hong Kong Stock Connect)** - Alibaba-W (09988): Trading amount of 5.056 billion, net inflow of 2.120 billion - SMIC (00981): Trading amount of 3.306 billion, net outflow of 0.423 billion - Xiaomi Group-W (01810): Trading amount of 2.030 billion, net inflow of 0.339 billion - Huahong Semiconductor (01347): Trading amount of 1.961 billion, net inflow of 0.704 billion - Tencent Holdings (00700): Trading amount of 1.400 billion, net inflow of 0.323 billion [2]

Market Overview - The Hong Kong stock market experienced a rebound, with the Hang Seng Index rising by 0.87% to close at 26,855.56 points, and a total trading volume of HKD 314.93 billion [1] - The Hang Seng Index increased by 7.09% for the month, while the Hang Seng China Enterprises Index and the Hang Seng Tech Index rose by 6.79% and 13.95%, respectively [1] Investment Insights - According to China Merchants Securities International, the short-term volatility in the Hong Kong market is expected, but the long-term upward trend remains intact, with a focus on AI technology and non-ferrous metals as key investment themes [1] - Everbright Securities noted that despite the continuous rise in the Hong Kong market over recent months, overall valuations remain low, indicating a high cost-performance ratio for long-term investments [1] Blue-Chip Performance - Kuaishou Technology (01024) reached a three-year high, closing up 7.22% at HKD 84.6, contributing 26.93 points to the Hang Seng Index [2] - WuXi AppTec (02359) rose by 8.11% to HKD 118.7, contributing 6.26 points, while Sunny Optical Technology (02382) increased by 5.6% to HKD 90.45, contributing 5.37 points [2] Sector Performance - Technology stocks saw a collective rise, with Kuaishou up over 7%, Bilibili up over 6%, and Alibaba and NetEase both up over 2% [3] - Semiconductor stocks performed strongly, with Hua Hong Semiconductor rising nearly 11% to HKD 80 [3] - The pharmaceutical sector continued its upward trend, with WuXi AppTec up over 8% [3] AI and Technology Developments - DeepSeek announced the release of its new language model, DeepSeek-V3.2-Exp, which significantly reduces service costs by over 50% for developers [4][5] - The AI application sector is gaining traction, with companies like Huya Technology (01860) rising by 10.25% [4] Pharmaceutical Sector Insights - The pharmaceutical sector remains strong, with WuXi AppTec and other companies like HAPO (02142) and Zai Lab (09688) showing significant gains [5] - The impact of potential tariffs on patented drugs by the U.S. is considered limited for China's innovative drug industry [6] Non-Ferrous Metals Sector - The non-ferrous metals sector is active, with Jiangxi Copper (00358) rising by 8.85% to HKD 30.5, and Ganfeng Lithium (01772) up by 8.66% to HKD 43.14 [5] - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology's plan for the non-ferrous metals industry aims for an average annual growth of around 5% from 2025 to 2026 [7] Airline Sector Performance - Major airlines saw collective gains, with China Eastern Airlines (00670) up 6.73% to HKD 3.33 [7] - The domestic flight ticket bookings for the upcoming National Day and Mid-Autumn Festival have surpassed 10.19 million, indicating strong demand [8] Notable Stock Movements - MicroPort Medical (00853) rose by 5.27% following the announcement of a restructuring in its cardiac management business [9] - Sanhua Intelligent Controls (02050) increased by 6.62% as Tesla plans to expand its humanoid robot production [10] - UBTECH Robotics (09880) saw an 8.98% rise, attributed to significant new orders and a positive outlook from Morgan Stanley [11] New IPO Highlights - Xipuni (02583) surged by 258.11% on its debut, closing at HKD 106, focusing on gold watch design and manufacturing [12] - Zijin Gold International (02259) rose by 68.46% to HKD 120.6, marking the second-largest IPO in Hong Kong this year [14]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report is that there is a high interest in AI-driven robots and smart driving technologies, with a ranking of focus areas being robots > smart driving > complete vehicles and components [1] - The recommended companies in the humanoid robot sector include UBTECH Robotics (09880) and the supply chain is optimistic about Minth Group (00425) [1] - In the smart driving chain, key recommendations include Horizon Robotics-W (09660), Hesai Technology (HSAI.US), and SUTENG JUCHUANG (02498) [1] Group 2 - For complete vehicles and components, recommended companies are Geely Automobile (00175), XPeng Motors-W (09868), and Fuyao Glass (03606) [1] - The target price for UBTECH has been raised from HKD 155 to HKD 172, reflecting a forecasted price-to-sales ratio of 26.7 times for the fiscal year 2026, driven by sustained order growth [1] - UBTECH's Walker series humanoid robots have accumulated contract amounts nearing CNY 430 million, with a significant order of CNY 250 million received in September, marking the largest humanoid robot order globally [1] - The report anticipates that UBTECH's recent orders and deliveries will accelerate its technological iterations, with BOM costs expected to decrease by 20-30% by year-end and potentially by 30-50% next year, indicating a strong outlook for cost reduction and scalability [1]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report is that there is a strong interest in AI-driven robots and smart driving technologies, with a ranking of focus areas being robots > smart driving > complete vehicles and components [1] - The report highlights the recommended companies in the humanoid robot chain, with a top pick being UBTECH Robotics (09880) and a favorable outlook on the supply chain company Minth Group (00425) [1] - In the smart driving chain, key recommendations include Horizon Robotics-W (09660), Hesai Technology (HSAI.US), and SUTENG JUCHUANG (02498) [1] Group 2 - For complete vehicles and components, the report recommends Geely Automobile (00175), XPeng Motors-W (09868), and Fuyao Glass (03606) [1] - The target price for UBTECH has been raised from HKD 155 to HKD 172, reflecting a projected price-to-sales ratio of 26.7 times for the fiscal year 2026, driven by sustained order growth [1] - UBTECH's Walker series humanoid robots have accumulated contract amounts nearing CNY 430 million, with a significant order of CNY 250 million received in September, marking the largest humanoid robot order globally [1] - The report anticipates that UBTECH's recent orders and deliveries will accelerate its technological iterations, with expectations of a 20-30% reduction in BOM costs by year-end and a further 30-50% reduction next year, indicating a significant potential for cost decline and large-scale application [1]

智通财经APP获悉，摩根大通发布研报称，优必选(09880)股价自7月以来上涨71%，对比恒指同期上涨 11%，受惠于连续3个重大订单，迅速提升其作为行业商业化领导者的形象。该行称，在强劲执行和正 面行业延伸背景下，将优必选目标价从159港元上调至178港元，反映对优必选成长轨迹和合约动能的更 乐观展望，评级"增持"。 该行指，公司最近合约包括破纪录的2.5亿元人民币Walker S2交易，以及3,000万元人民币Miracle物流自 动化订单，已使今年累计合约总值达4.3亿元人民币，超过其出货目标及该行全年分部预估。今年工博 会进一步强化优必选势头，供应商如Leader Drive强调优必选的营运准备度和行业领导地位，行业反馈 则指出政府支持强劲，以及工厂和物流场景的采用加速。 ...

该行指，公司最近合约包括破纪录的2.5亿元人民币Walker S2交易，以及3,000万元人民币Miracle物流自 动化订单，已使今年累计合约总值达4.3亿元人民币，超过其出货目标及该行全年分部预估。今年工博 会进一步强化优必选势头，供应商如Leader Drive强调优必选的营运准备度和行业领导地位，行业反馈 则指出政府支持强劲，以及工厂和物流场景的采用加速。 摩根大通发布研报称，优必选(09880)股价自7月以来上涨71%，对比恒指同期上涨11%，受惠于连续3个 重大订单，迅速提升其作为行业商业化领导者的形象。该行称，在强劲执行和正面行业延伸背景下，将 优必选目标价从159港元上调至178港元，反映对优必选成长轨迹和合约动能的更乐观展望，评级"增 持"。 ...

Group 1: Hong Kong Stocks - China Metallurgical Group (01618) rose nearly 7%, with institutions stating that the value of this resource-rich construction company needs urgent reassessment [1] - Rongchang Bio (09995) increased over 5%, as its innovative ophthalmic drug RC28 has been submitted for listing, following a partnership with Santen China [1] - Laikang Pharmaceutical-B (02105) surged nearly 6%, with a cumulative increase of 36% over the last three trading days, driven by positive preliminary results from the Phase I clinical MAD study of LAE102 [1] - UBTECH Robotics (09880) rose over 5%, with a report from CMB International recommending UBTECH as the top pick in the humanoid robot sector and raising its target price [1] - Innovent Biologics (09969) increased over 6%, as the company announced the first prescriptions for Tanshitumomab in several provinces [1] - BrainCo-B (06681) surged over 16%, benefiting from policy catalysts in the brain-computer interface industry, with its cognitive impairment digital therapy product having a first-mover advantage [1] - Yaoshi Bang (09885) rose over 10%, with high-margin business accelerating growth and POCT devices expected to see increased deployment in the second half of the year [1] - DCH Holdings (00179) fell over 7%, as Citigroup downgraded its investment rating from "Buy" to "Neutral," citing limited upside potential for the stock [1] - Minmetals Resources (01208) rose over 2%, planning to issue $500 million zero-coupon convertible bonds maturing in 2030 for overseas debt refinancing [1][2] Group 2: US Stocks - Alibaba (BABA.US) rose 4.65%, with Morgan Stanley reiterating an "Overweight" rating and raising the ADR target price from $165 to $200 [3] - Li Auto (LI.US) increased 3.57%, as the Li One officially commenced delivery at the Changzhou smart manufacturing base, with a report indicating that the i6 model's sales performance is expected to outperform the i8 [3] - JD.com (JD.US) rose 0.15%, announcing that the 2025 Double 11 shopping festival will start on October 9 at 8 PM, two days earlier than last year [3] - Xpeng Motors (XPEV.US) increased 1.76%, with the company announcing that the Xpeng MONA M03 has delivered a total of 180,000 units [3] - New Oriental (EDU.US) rose 4.38%, with a report indicating that the overall business development of the group is stabilizing [3] - Merus (MRUS.US) surged 35.97%, following an agreement with Danish biotech company Genmab for a cash acquisition at $97 per share [3] - Novo Nordisk (NVO.US) fell 0.20%, as Morgan Stanley downgraded its rating to "Sell" and reduced the target price from $99 to $47 [4] - MoonLake (MLTX.US) plummeted 89.93%, with trial results for its therapeutic drug falling far below expectations, leading to a significant target price cut by RBC [4] - TSMC (TSM.US) fell 0.05%, reaffirming that it has not engaged in discussions regarding potential investments or collaborations with any companies [4] - Micron Technology (MU.US) rose 4.22%, with Morgan Stanley predicting that the storage industry price increase cycle may continue into next year [4]

在强劲执行和正面行业延伸背景下，该行将优必选目标价从159港元上调至178港元，反映对优必选成长 轨迹和合约动能的更乐观展望，评级"增持"。 摩根大通发表报告指，优必选股价自7月以来上涨71%，对比恒指同期上涨11%，受惠于连续3个重大订 单，迅速提升其作为行业商业化领导者的形象。该行指，公司最近合约包括破纪录的2.5亿元Walker S2 交易，以及3000万元Miracle物流自动化订单，已使今年累计合约总值达4.3亿元，超过其出货目标及该 行全年分部预估。今年工博会进一步强化优必选势头，供应商如Leader Drive强调优必选的营运准备度 和行业领导地位，行业反馈则指出政府支持强劲，以及工厂和物流场景的采用加速。 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that UBTECH Robotics has seen a significant stock price increase, reaching a new high since July 2022, driven by recent contract announcements and positive market sentiment [1][2] - UBTECH's subsidiary UQI has signed a procurement contract with Tianqi Automation for a total price of 30 million yuan, which is expected to be delivered by December 31, 2025 [1] - The total contract amount for UBTECH's Walker series humanoid robots has reached nearly 430 million yuan, excluding a previous order for a full-size research and education humanoid robot [1] Group 2 - China Merchants Securities International has upgraded UBTECH's target price from 155 HKD to 172 HKD, reflecting a forecasted price-to-sales ratio of 26.7 times for the fiscal year 2026 [2] - The recent 250 million yuan order received in September is noted as the largest humanoid robot order globally, indicating strong demand and market position for UBTECH [2] - The firm expects that continuous orders and deliveries will accelerate technological iterations for UBTECH, with BOM costs projected to decrease by 20-30% by the end of the year and an additional 30-50% reduction expected next year [2]