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名创优品(09896):同店强劲收入同比+28%,TOPTOY加速成长,期待Q4旺季表现
Soochow Securities· 2025-11-25 07:53
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [1] Core Insights - The company achieved a strong same-store revenue growth of 28% year-on-year in Q3 2025, with total revenue reaching 5.8 billion yuan, exceeding the company's guidance of 25-28% [7] - The overseas segment showed significant growth, with overseas revenue increasing by 28.6% year-on-year, and the company plans to slow down the opening of new stores to focus on quality [7] - The TOP TOY division experienced remarkable growth, with revenue increasing by 111.5% year-on-year in Q3 2025 [7] - The company expects Q4 2025 revenue growth to be in the range of 25-30%, with same-store growth in both China and the U.S. projected to accelerate [7] Financial Performance Summary - Total revenue projections for the company are as follows: 2023A: 11,473 million yuan, 2024A: 16,994 million yuan, 2025E: 21,305 million yuan, 2026E: 25,961 million yuan, and 2027E: 30,963 million yuan, with year-on-year growth rates of 13.76%, 48.12%, 25.37%, 21.85%, and 19.27% respectively [1] - The adjusted net profit for 2025 is projected to be 2,901 million yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 6.61% [1] - The company's EPS is expected to be 1.83 yuan in 2025, with a P/E ratio of 18.58 based on the latest diluted earnings [1]
研报掘金丨中金:下调名创优品H股目标价至50.18港元 维持“跑赢行业”评级
Ge Long Hui· 2025-11-25 07:31
中金发表研究报告指,名创优品第三季收入按年增长28%至58亿元,经调整净利润按年升12%至7.67亿 元,均符合预期。该行维持名创2025年经调整净利润预测为约29亿元基本不变,并将2026年预测下调 4%至36亿元;因应行业估值调整,中金将其美股目标价下调至26.08美元,H股目标价下调至50.18港 元,维持"跑赢行业"评级。 ...
名创优品11月24日耗资约24.59万美元回购5.12万股
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-11-25 05:52
Core Viewpoint - Miniso (09896) announced a share buyback plan, intending to repurchase approximately 51,200 shares at a cost of about $24.59 million on November 24, 2025 [1] Group 1 - The company plans to execute the buyback to enhance shareholder value [1] - The total expenditure for the buyback is approximately $24.59 million [1] - The number of shares to be repurchased is 51,200 [1]
名创优品:路演要点-同店销售稳健;产品结构拖累美国毛利率,但经营杠杆支撑利润率改善;买入
2025-11-25 05:06
Summary of Miniso (MNSO) Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: Miniso (MNSO) - **Industry**: Retail, specifically in the discount variety store segment Key Takeaways 1. **Same Store Sales Growth (SSSG)**: - Miniso China has maintained strong SSSG momentum, with management projecting low teens percentage growth into Q4, supported by a low base and improved operations such as new product updates and inventory preparation [1][2] 2. **Store Upgrades**: - The pace of store upgrades in China is expected to accelerate, with management aiming to upgrade more than 200 stores in 2026, leveraging improved sales performance and team capabilities [1][2] 3. **US Market Performance**: - Management is confident in achieving 50%-55% sales growth in the US market for Q4, despite a contraction in gross profit margin (GPM) due to a higher local procurement mix [1][10] - The local procurement mix has increased to approximately 50% from 20-30% in Q3, which has compressed GPM but improved inventory turnover [10] 4. **Operational Efficiency**: - Improvements in operational efficiency have been noted, including enhanced merchandising cadence and inventory health, with fulfillment rates raised to 80-90% to avoid stockouts [11] - New product lead times have been significantly reduced, and inventory days have been shortened due to a 10-20% SKU reduction [11] 5. **Product Portfolio and IP Strategy**: - Miniso's diversified IP portfolio is seen as a strength, helping to capture market opportunities and mitigate risks. The performance of self-owned IPs has exceeded expectations, with notable sales figures for various IPs [1][11] 6. **Future Growth Plans**: - Management reiterated a five-year growth plan with a revenue CAGR of over 20%, targeting a 25% sales growth for 2025 and an annual store count increase of 900-1,000 stores [12] 7. **Valuation and Investment Outlook**: - Current valuation is considered undemanding, with a projected low-mid teens P/E for 2025, and the company is viewed as having high growth visibility. A "Buy" rating is reiterated [2][13] 8. **Risks**: - Key risks include lower store productivity in China, geopolitical risks, and potential higher operating expenses. There are also concerns regarding the performance of Yonghui, a partner in the business [13] Additional Insights - **Market Dynamics**: - The company has faced challenges in some overseas markets due to macroeconomic factors and foreign exchange headwinds, but inventory levels remain low, with sell-through growth outpacing sell-in growth [1][2] - **Sales Performance**: - The US market has shown strong topline growth, with specific product themes like Zootopia contributing positively to sales [10][11] - **Store Expansion**: - The US market is on track to net open approximately 80 stores this year, with expectations for similar or faster additions in 2026 [10] This summary encapsulates the essential points discussed during the conference call, highlighting Miniso's current performance, future strategies, and potential risks in the retail market.
名创优品于11月24日耗资约24.59万美元回购5.12万股
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-11-25 04:25
名创优品(09896)公布,2025年11月24日耗资约24.59万美元回购5.12万股股份。 来源:新浪港股 ...
名创优品(09896)11月24日耗资约24.59万美元回购5.12万股
智通财经网· 2025-11-25 04:15
智通财经APP讯,名创优品(09896)公布,2025年11月24日耗资约24.59万美元回购5.12万股股份。 ...
名创优品(09896.HK)11月24日耗资24.59万美元回购5.12万股
Ge Long Hui· 2025-11-25 04:12
格隆汇11月25日丨名创优品(09896.HK)公告,11月24日耗资24.59万美元回购5.12万股,每股回购价 4.7525-4.85美元。 ...
名创优品(09896) - 翌日披露报表
2025-11-25 04:05
FF305 翌日披露報表 (股份發行人 ── 已發行股份或庫存股份變動、股份購回及/或在場内出售庫存股份) 表格類別: 股票 狀態: 新提交 公司名稱: 名創優品集團控股有限公司 呈交日期: 2025年11月25日 如上市發行人的已發行股份或庫存股份出現變動而須根據《香港聯合交易所有限公司(「香港聯交所」)證券上市規則》(「《主板上市規則》」)第13.25A條 / 《香港聯合交易所有限公司GEM證券 上市規則》(「《GEM上市規則》」)第17.27A條作出披露,必須填妥第一章節 。 | 第一章節 | | | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 1. 股份分類 | 普通股 | 股份類別 | 不適用 | | 於香港聯交所上市 | 是 | | | 證券代號 (如上市) | 09896 | 說明 | | | | | | | A. 已發行股份或庫存股份變動 | | | | | | | | | | | | 已發行股份(不包括庫存股份)變動 | | 庫存股份變動 | | | | | 事件 | 已發行股份(不包括庫存股份)數 目 | 佔有 ...
交银国际:名创优品(09896)当前趋势与全年指引相符 维持“买入”评级
智通财经网· 2025-11-25 02:20
Core Viewpoint - The report from CMB International indicates that Miniso's (09896) Q3 performance is largely in line with expectations, with ongoing trends aligning with the annual guidance, as the company deepens its IP matrix and large store strategy to enhance same-store recovery and growth resilience [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - Miniso's same-store recovery in mainland China is strong, and store optimization is showing positive results [1] - The overseas business has seen improvements in direct profitability [1] - TOP TOY's Q3 revenue increased by 111% year-on-year to 570 million RMB, with proprietary IP rapidly expanding and same-store sales achieving mid-single-digit growth [1] Group 2: Revenue Growth - For Q3 2025, the company's revenue grew by 28.2% year-on-year to 5.8 billion RMB, slightly exceeding the previous company guidance of 25-28% [1] - The growth is primarily driven by the recovery of the mainland business and strong performance from TOP TOY [1] Group 3: Investment Rating - CMB International maintains a target price of 48.7 HKD and a "Buy" rating for Miniso [1]
朝闻国盛:生产资料价格环比回升
GOLDEN SUN SECURITIES· 2025-11-25 01:49
Group 1: Market Overview - The A-share market continues to decline, primarily due to external volatility [3] - Global equity markets generally fell, with only Vietnam and India showing gains [3] - Commodity prices mostly decreased, and the China-US interest rate spread narrowed [3] Group 2: Fixed Income and Economic Indicators - The current Gusheng fundamental high-frequency index is 128.8 points, with a year-on-year increase of 6.1 points [3] - The industrial production high-frequency index remains at 127.5, with a year-on-year increase of 5.2 points [3] - The CPI and PPI month-on-month forecasts are both 0.1% [4] Group 3: Company Insights - Wanchen Group - Wanchen Group, established in 2011, became a key national leader in the edible fungus sector, achieving revenue of 540 million yuan in 2024 [6] - The company expanded into the snack retail sector in 2022, rapidly building a store network through acquisitions, reaching 15,365 stores by June 2025 [6] - In the first three quarters of 2025, the snack retail segment generated revenue of 36.16 billion yuan, accounting for 98.9% of total revenue, with a net profit margin of 5.3% in Q3 2025 [6] Group 4: Company Insights - Saiwei Era - Saiwei Era is a technology-driven leader in cross-border apparel, leveraging a digital platform to create a multi-brand matrix [7] - The company is expected to achieve revenues of 12.12 billion, 14.35 billion, and 16.50 billion yuan from 2025 to 2027, with corresponding net profits of 340 million, 570 million, and 710 million yuan [7] Group 5: Company Insights - Miniso - Miniso reported a revenue of 5.8 billion yuan for Q3 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 28.2% [9] - The adjusted net profit for the same period was 767 million yuan, up 11.7% year-on-year, with an operating profit margin of 17.6% [9] - The company is positioned as a global leader in daily goods retail, expanding rapidly through a light-asset model [9] Group 6: Company Insights - Kuaishou - Kuaishou's Q3 2025 revenue reached 35.6 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 14.2% [11] - The company recorded a total operating profit of 5.3 billion yuan, with a profit margin of approximately 14.9% [11] - E-commerce GMV grew by 15.2% to 385 billion yuan, with AI models enhancing marketing and operational efficiency [14]