能源化工首席证券分析师：陈淑娴，CFA 执业证书编号：S0600523020004 联系方式：chensx@dwzq.com.cn 能源化工研究助理：周少玟 执业证书编号：S0600123070007 联系方式：zhoushm@dwzq.com.cn 2025年7月6日 请务必阅读正文之后的免责声明部分 投资要点 证券研究报告 原油周报：OPEC+或将在八月继续增产 ◼ 【美国原油】 2 ◼ 1）原油价格：原油价格：本周Brent/WTI原油期货周均价分别68.2/66.3美元/桶，较上周分别-0.2/+0.6美元/桶。 ◼ 2）原油库存：美国原油总库存、商业原油库存、战略原油库存、库欣原油库存分别8.2/4.2/4.0/0.2亿桶，环比 +408/+385/+24/-149万桶。 ◼ 3）原油产量：美国原油产量为1343万桶/天，环比0万桶/天。美国活跃原油钻机本周425台，环比-7台。美国活跃压裂 车队本周179部，环比-3部。 ◼ 4）原油需求：美国炼厂原油加工量为1711万桶/天，环比+12万桶/天；美国炼厂原油开工率为94.9%，环比+0.2pct。 ◼ 5）原油进出口量：美国原油进口量、出口量、净 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news is that China Petroleum & Chemical Corporation (Sinopec) has applied for a patent related to the feasibility evaluation method, device, and electronic equipment for pressure operation in salt cavern gas storage [1] - The patent application was filed on January 2024, and the publication number is CN120258581A [1] - The invention pertains to the field of oil and gas resource storage and transportation technology, focusing on evaluating the pressure operation potential of gas storage wells [1] Group 2 - China Petroleum & Chemical Corporation was established in 2000, located in Beijing, primarily engaged in oil and gas extraction, with a registered capital of approximately 12.17 billion RMB [2] - The company has made investments in 263 enterprises and participated in 5,000 bidding projects, holding 45 trademark records and 5,000 patent records [2] - Sinopec Petroleum Engineering Technology Research Institute, established in 2022, focuses on research and experimental development, with a registered capital of 300 million RMB [2] - The research institute has invested in 3 enterprises, participated in 688 bidding projects, and holds 15 trademark records and 728 patent records [2]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news is that China Petroleum & Chemical Corporation (Sinopec) has applied for a patent related to fiber composite materials and their preparation methods, which includes flame-retardant products [1] - The patent application was published under CN120248552A, with the application date being January 2024 [1] - The fiber composite material consists of 68-78wt% fiber, 21.8-32wt% resin, and 0.2-1wt% organic aerogel, indicating a focus on enhancing flame-retardant properties while maintaining mechanical performance [1] Group 2 - China Petroleum & Chemical Corporation was established in 2000 and is primarily engaged in oil and gas extraction, with a registered capital of approximately 12.17 billion RMB [2] - Sinopec has made investments in 263 companies and participated in 5000 bidding projects, holding 5000 patent records and 45 trademark records [2] - Sinopec Shanghai Petrochemical Company, established in 1993, focuses on oil, coal, and other fuel processing, with a registered capital of approximately 1.08 billion RMB and has invested in 21 companies [2]

Core Points - Zhejiang Zhoushan has become the first port in China and the third globally to implement a fully digital process for the transfer of bonded fuel oil, enhancing operational efficiency in the shipping fuel sector [1][2] - The e-BDN system allows for online signing and confirmation of fuel supply documents, streamlining the fuel supply process for international vessels [1] - The successful implementation of the e-BDN system serves as a model for the national bonded fuel oil industry, showcasing the advantages of the Zhejiang Free Trade Zone's pilot policies [2] Industry Summary - The global shipping fuel supply industry still relies heavily on manual measurement and paper-based transactions, which can lead to inaccuracies and inefficiencies [1] - Zhoushan has developed a digital management platform tailored for bonded fuel oil operations, facilitating the entire process from fuel supply companies to port regulatory units [1] - The introduction of 62 reform and innovation measures in Zhoushan highlights its role as a pioneer in the ship refueling sector [2]

金融界2025年7月4日消息，国家知识产权局信息显示，中国石油化工股份有限公司;中国石化销售股份 有限公司申请一项名为"一种用于整合成品油一二次物流的组合优化调运方法"的专利，公开号 CN120258376A，申请日期为2025年03月。 专利摘要显示，本发明涉及成品油一、二次调运过程领域，尤其涉及一种用于整合成品油一二次物流的 组合优化调运方法，包括：构建成品油一、二次物流的基础组合调运模型；根据所述基础组合调运模型 基于迭代贪婪算法获取对应组合优化调运结果，将成品油的从炼厂到加油站的全环节调运过程作为基 础，构建一、二次物流组合优化模型，并利用改进的迭代贪婪算法进行资源调运方案的求解。该方法能 够根据炼厂资源供应数据以及加油站需求数据，模拟测算优化前、后，成品油一、二次物流的全环节资 源调运方案，量化评价全环节物流运行费用、一次分运输方式占比以及油库的二次辐射范围等指标，为 未来从全局角度合理优化一、二次资源调运方案奠定了基础。 天眼查资料显示，中国石油化工股份有限公司，成立于2000年，位于北京市，是一家以从事石油和天然 气开采业为主的企业。企业注册资本12173968.9893万人民币。通过天眼查大数 ...

Market Overview - The FTSE China A50 Index components showed a mixed performance with banking, liquor, semiconductor, and logistics sectors rising, while non-ferrous metals and chemical pharmaceuticals sectors weakened [1] - BYD's stock price fell over 1% [1] Sector Performance Banking Sector - Major banks like China Pacific Insurance, Ping An Insurance, and China Life Insurance reported market capitalizations of 382.98 billion, 357.30 billion, and 1,030.15 billion respectively, with trading volumes of 9.81 million, 36.96 million, and 7.85 million [3] Liquor Industry - Key players such as Kweichow Moutai, Shanxi Fenjiu, and Wuliangye had market capitalizations of 1,786.59 billion, 214.35 billion, and 467.31 billion respectively, with trading volumes of 40.87 million, 10.51 million, and 20.49 million [3] Semiconductor Sector - Companies like Northern Huachuang, Cambricon Technologies, and Haiguang Information had market capitalizations of 241.84 billion, 229.03 billion, and 315.09 billion respectively, with trading volumes of 24.36 million, 31.12 million, and 15.15 million [3] Automotive Sector - BYD, Great Wall Motors, and Beijing-Shanghai High-Speed Railway had market capitalizations of 1,818.73 billion, 186.84 billion, and 278.88 billion respectively, with trading volumes of 34.54 million, 4.39 million, and 5.94 million [3] Oil Industry - China Petroleum, Sinopec, and COSCO Shipping had market capitalizations of 239.78 billion, 688.67 billion, and 1,573.98 billion respectively, with trading volumes of 8.63 million, 6.43 million, and 7.64 million [3] Coal Industry - Major companies like China Shenhua and Shaanxi Coal and Chemical Industry had market capitalizations of 187.79 billion and 815.60 billion respectively, with trading volumes of 12.39 million and 6.45 million [3] Power Industry - Key players such as Yangtze Power and China Nuclear Power had market capitalizations of 360.33 billion and 737.96 billion respectively, with trading volumes of 20.49 million and 8.29 million [4] Food and Beverage Sector - Companies like Citic Securities, Guotai Junan, and Haitian Flavoring had market capitalizations of 409.94 billion, 340.96 billion, and 226.93 billion respectively, with trading volumes of 28.30 million, 3.94 million, and 16.84 million [4] Consumer Electronics - Industrial Fulian, Luxshare Precision, and Gree Electric Appliances had market capitalizations of 472.85 billion, 255.90 billion, and 242.55 billion respectively, with trading volumes of 30.57 million, 77.50 million, and 25.48 million [4] Chemical Products - Companies like Wanhua Chemical and SF Holding had market capitalizations of 239.20 billion and 271.34 billion respectively, with trading volumes of 12.28 million and 8.32 million [4] Construction and Engineering - China State Construction and Zijin Mining had market capitalizations of 532.88 billion and 166.95 billion respectively, with trading volumes of 27.26 million and 8.53 million [4]

Core Viewpoint - Sinopec has achieved a significant breakthrough in the development of fluidized bed hydrogen peroxide production technology, breaking the long-standing foreign monopoly and providing technological support for the upgrade of domestic hydrogen peroxide production technology [1][2]. Group 1: Technology Development - The fluidized bed hydrogen peroxide production technology developed by Sinopec has been in research for 15 years, resulting in 72 Chinese invention patents and 1 PCT international patent [1]. - The new technology integrates multiple innovations, including three types of catalysts, three process enhancements, and two new reactions, significantly improving production efficiency [1]. - The fluidized bed process allows for large-scale equipment, meeting the production needs for projects like caprolactam and propylene oxide [1]. Group 2: Market Position and Production Capacity - In 2022, China held over 50% of the global hydrogen peroxide market share, with an annual production capacity of 24 million tons, although the production process mainly relied on outdated fixed bed technology [1]. - The first domestic industrial production unit using Sinopec's fluidized bed technology was established in Hunan in 2018, with a capacity of 72,000 tons per year, outperforming domestic technology standards [2]. - In 2024, Hunan Petrochemical is expected to produce a total of 58,500 tons of hydrogen peroxide, with the first half of the year showing a cumulative production of 318,600 tons and a significant reduction in comprehensive energy consumption year-on-year [2]. Group 3: Industry Impact and Future Prospects - Experts at a recent conference recognized that Sinopec's hydrogen peroxide technology effectively addresses the inherent safety issues in hydrogen peroxide production, indicating its potential for industry-wide adoption [2]. - The technology has already been licensed to foreign companies, with a major European engineering firm responsible for promoting its licensing in Europe and North America [1].

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the current state and future prospects of China's chemical new materials industry, highlighting the continuous expansion of production capacity, technological innovations, and the emergence of specialized chemical parks, while also addressing structural challenges and the need for high-quality development. Group 1: Industry Overview - In 2023, China's chemical new materials capacity reached approximately 49 million tons per year, with an output exceeding 36 million tons and a production value of over 1.37 trillion yuan, remaining stable compared to 2022, although lithium battery materials saw a decline from 540 billion yuan to 480 billion yuan [5][20]. - The chemical industry is experiencing a transition from high-speed growth to high-quality development, with total revenue of 15.95 trillion yuan in 2023, a decrease of 1.1% year-on-year, and total profits of 873.4 billion yuan, down 20.7% [20][21]. Group 2: Technological Innovations - Since the 13th Five-Year Plan, the chemical new materials sector has seen significant technological advancements, with breakthroughs in key technologies such as photovoltaic-grade EVA, optical-grade PMMA, and high-strength carbon fibers [7][8]. - A number of critical products have broken foreign monopolies and achieved industrialization, including HDI, PC, PPS, and electronic-grade chemicals [8][10]. Group 3: Key Players and Market Dynamics - Major companies in the sector include Sinopec, PetroChina, and China National Chemical Corporation, focusing on high-end polyolefins, synthetic rubber, and carbon fibers [11]. - Private enterprises are also making strides in specialized fields such as EVA, fluorinated chemicals, and nylon, contributing to the development of China's new materials industry [11]. Group 4: Specialized Chemical Parks - Several specialized chemical parks have emerged, such as the Shanghai Chemical Park and Ningbo Petrochemical Economic Development Zone, which are becoming core drivers for the development of new materials [11][12]. Group 5: Investment Trends and Policy Guidance - Under the guidance of industrial policies, there is a high investment enthusiasm in the chemical new materials sector, focusing on high-end polyolefins, engineering plastics, and functional films [17][23]. - The industry is urged to prioritize the import of high-potential products to address supply shortages and enhance domestic production capabilities [23][24]. Group 6: Challenges and Future Directions - The industry faces structural contradictions, including insufficient high-end supply and bottlenecks in key raw materials and technologies [18][20]. - The focus is shifting towards high-quality development, with an emphasis on enhancing product quality and meeting the growing domestic demand for high-performance materials [21][22].

Group 1: Global Propylene Supply Pattern - The global propylene production is concentrated in Northeast Asia, North America, and Western Europe. Northeast Asia is the largest production region, with a 48.1% share of the world's total capacity in 2024, and China accounts for 39.4%. North America and Northeast Asia together account for 65.6% of the global capacity. Western Europe has a 9% share, and has been a net importer since 2021. The Middle East and Southeast Asia also have propylene production, with shares of 7.4% and 6.5% respectively [1]. - The global propylene production capacity had a compound growth rate of 5.9% from 2020 - 2024. Over 14 million tons/year of new capacity is planned from 2025 - 2027, and the capacity is expected to reach 196 million tons by 2030, with major increments in Northeast Asia, North America, and Southeast Asia [1]. Group 2: Global Major Propylene Producers Head - enterprises - Sinopec has a propylene capacity of about 13 million tons/year, accounting for 7.6% of the global total, ranking first globally. It uses mainly naphtha cracking (60%) and is accelerating the layout of PDH. Over 2 million tons/year of new PDH capacity was added in 2024. More than 50% of its propylene is consumed domestically, and it exports through Southeast Asia [4]. - PetroChina has a total propylene capacity of about 6.76 million tons/year as of 2024, accounting for 4.0% of the global total, ranking second. About 85% of its capacity comes from naphtha cracking. Its future competitiveness depends on high - end product R & D, PDH technology penetration, and low - carbon transformation [4]. - LyondellBasell has a capacity of about 5 million tons/year, ranking third globally. It has production bases in North America, Rotterdam in Europe, and Singapore in Asia. It is the world's largest polypropylene producer, and its propylene is mainly used for high - end derivatives with 15% - 20% higher added value [5]. - Saudi Aramco has a capacity of about 4.8 million tons/year, ranking fourth. It has a core device in the Jubail Petrochemical Park. It exports products, accounting for 12% of the global propylene exports, and plans to expand the Zhejiang Petrochemical project with Rongsheng Petrochemical in 2026, adding 1 million tons/year of propylene capacity [5]. Regional leaders - INEOS has a capacity of about 3.8 million tons/year, being the largest propylene producer in Europe. It uses mainly steam cracking (70%) and supplies the European automotive and packaging industries, and also radiates the North American market [6]. - BASF has a capacity of about 3 million tons/year, ranking fifth globally. It投产 the first bio - based propylene plant in Europe in 2024, aiming for a 15% bio - based raw material share by 2030 [6]. - ExxonMobil has a capacity of about 2.8 million tons/year, ranking sixth globally, with production bases in the US, Singapore, and China [6]. Emerging Asian forces - Zhongjing Petrochemical has a capacity of 2.8 million tons/year, being the world's largest single - plant propylene producer. It uses all PDH processes and targets over 30% market share in the domestic PP powder market and exports to Vietnam and Indonesia [8]. - Wanhua Chemical has a capacity of about 1.8 million tons/year, ranking among the top ten globally. Its propylene is mainly used for high - end products such as POE and MDI [8]. Group 3: China's Propylene Capacity Development Structural over - supply and slowing growth - China's propylene capacity had a compound growth rate of 14.34% from 2020 - 2024, adding 29.12 million tons. From 2025 - 2030, the planned new capacity is 22.15 million tons/year, with a compound growth rate of 5.29%, showing a significant slowdown [9]. Increasing industry concentration - In 2024, there were 189 propylene producers in China, with 13 enterprises having an annual capacity of over 1 million tons, accounting for 6.88%. The CR10 enterprise capacity accounted for 22.77%. In the next 5 years, the industry will continue to develop in a diversified, integrated, and large - scale manner [11]. Process route competition and regional development - China has diverse propylene production processes, including naphtha cracking, propane dehydrogenation (PDH), methanol - to - olefins, and catalytic cracking. PDH has developed rapidly and impacted the market share of naphtha cracking. PDH capacity is mainly distributed in coastal areas [13]. - From 2020 - 2024, East China's propylene capacity increased by 8.56 million tons, with an average annual compound growth rate of 14%. Shandong's capacity increased by 7.81 million tons, with an average annual compound growth rate of 21% [15]. Declining import dependence and commodification rate - China's propylene import dependence has declined from 14.1% in 2014 to 3.3% in 2024 and is expected to further decrease. The commodification rate is also expected to decline to 13.3% in 2025, with the commodity volume expected to drop to 7.9 million tons [17].

Group 1 - The combustible ice concept sector declined by 1.21%, ranking among the top declines in concept sectors as of July 3 [1] - Major companies within the combustible ice sector that experienced significant declines include Qianeng Huanxin, Haimer Technology, and China International Marine Containers [1] - The top-performing concept sectors for the day included Tonghuashun Fruit Index with a gain of 4.73% and PCB concept with a gain of 3.27% [1] Group 2 - The combustible ice sector saw a net outflow of 483 million yuan from main funds, with 11 stocks experiencing net outflows and 8 stocks seeing outflows exceeding 10 million yuan [1] - The stock with the highest net outflow was ShenKai Co., with a net outflow of 218 million yuan, followed by Sinopec, China International Marine Containers, and Xinjin Power [1] - The detailed outflow data shows that ShenKai Co. had a turnover rate of 47% and a slight increase of 0.40%, while Sinopec had a turnover rate of 0.13% and a decline of 0.53% [1]