Quantitative Models and Construction Methods 1. Model Name: 250-Day New High Distance Model - **Model Construction Idea**: This model tracks the distance of stock prices or indices from their 250-day high to monitor market trends and identify potential market leaders. It is based on the momentum and trend-following strategy, which has been proven effective in various studies[11][18]. - **Model Construction Process**: The 250-day new high distance is calculated as follows: $ 250 \text{-day new high distance} = 1 - \frac{\text{Close}_{t}}{\text{ts\_max(Close, 250)}} $ Where: - $\text{Close}_{t}$ represents the latest closing price - $\text{ts\_max(Close, 250)}$ represents the maximum closing price over the past 250 trading days If the latest closing price reaches a new high, the distance is 0. If the price has fallen from the high, the distance is a positive value, indicating the degree of decline[11]. - **Model Evaluation**: The model effectively identifies market trends and highlights stocks or indices that are leading the market, aligning with the principles of momentum and trend-following strategies[11][18]. 2. Model Name: Stable New High Stock Selection Model - **Model Construction Idea**: This model focuses on selecting stocks that exhibit stable price paths and consistent momentum, as smoother price trajectories are associated with stronger momentum effects[24][27]. - **Model Construction Process**: The selection process involves the following criteria: - **Analyst Attention**: At least 5 buy or overweight ratings in the past 3 months - **Relative Strength**: 250-day price change in the top 20% of the market - **Price Stability**: Stocks are ranked based on: - **Price Path Smoothness**: Ratio of price displacement to the total price path - **Sustainability of New Highs**: Average 250-day new high distance over the past 120 days - **Trend Continuity**: Average 250-day new high distance over the past 5 days The top 50 stocks based on these criteria are selected[24][27]. - **Model Evaluation**: The model emphasizes the importance of smooth price paths and consistent momentum, which are less likely to attract excessive attention and thus yield stronger returns[24][27]. --- Model Backtesting Results 1. 250-Day New High Distance Model - **Indices' 250-Day New High Distance**: - Shanghai Composite Index: 4.83% - Shenzhen Component Index: 8.65% - CSI 300: 6.20% - CSI 500: 9.69% - CSI 1000: 7.59% - CSI 2000: 7.40% - ChiNext Index: 12.16% - STAR 50 Index: 16.45%[12][13][32] 2. Stable New High Stock Selection Model - **Selected Stocks**: 15 stocks were identified, including Heertai, Sray New Materials, and Zangge Mining. - **Sector Distribution**: - Manufacturing: 5 stocks (e.g., construction industry) - Cyclical: 5 stocks (e.g., non-ferrous metals industry)[28][33] --- Quantitative Factors and Construction Methods 1. Factor Name: 250-Day New High Distance - **Factor Construction Idea**: This factor measures the relative distance of a stock's price from its 250-day high, serving as an indicator of momentum and trend strength[11]. - **Factor Construction Process**: The formula is: $ 250 \text{-day new high distance} = 1 - \frac{\text{Close}_{t}}{\text{ts\_max(Close, 250)}} $ Where: - $\text{Close}_{t}$ is the latest closing price - $\text{ts\_max(Close, 250)}$ is the maximum closing price over the past 250 trading days[11]. - **Factor Evaluation**: The factor effectively captures momentum and trend-following characteristics, making it a reliable indicator for identifying market leaders[11]. 2. Factor Name: Price Path Smoothness - **Factor Construction Idea**: This factor evaluates the smoothness of a stock's price trajectory, as smoother paths are associated with stronger momentum effects[24]. - **Factor Construction Process**: - Calculate the ratio of price displacement to the total price path over a specified period - Rank stocks based on this ratio and select the top performers[24]. - **Factor Evaluation**: The factor highlights stocks with stable momentum, which are less likely to attract excessive attention and thus yield stronger returns[24]. --- Factor Backtesting Results 1. 250-Day New High Distance Factor - **Indices' 250-Day New High Distance**: - Shanghai Composite Index: 4.83% - Shenzhen Component Index: 8.65% - CSI 300: 6.20% - CSI 500: 9.69% - CSI 1000: 7.59% - CSI 2000: 7.40% - ChiNext Index: 12.16% - STAR 50 Index: 16.45%[12][13][32] 2. Price Path Smoothness Factor - **Selected Stocks**: 15 stocks were identified, including Heertai, Sray New Materials, and Zangge Mining. - **Sector Distribution**: - Manufacturing: 5 stocks (e.g., construction industry) - Cyclical: 5 stocks (e.g., non-ferrous metals industry)[28][33]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the automotive industry, indicating an expectation that the industry index will outperform the market index by more than 10% over the next six months [1][43]. Core Insights - In October 2025, the penetration rate of new energy vehicles (NEVs) reached 51.6%, with production and sales of NEVs at 1.772 million and 1.715 million units respectively, marking year-on-year growth of 21.1% and 20% [1][39]. - The overall automotive production in China for October was 3.359 million units, a year-on-year increase of 12.1%, while sales reached 3.226 million units, up 8.8% year-on-year [1][39]. - The report anticipates a surge in NEV purchases before the policy changes in 2026, which will reduce tax incentives, leading to a potential buying frenzy at the end of 2025 [1][39]. Summary by Sections Automotive Industry Trends and Valuation Review - As of November 20, 2025, the Shenyin Wanguo automotive sector index increased by 2.02% over the past two weeks, outperforming the CSI 300 index by 0.13 percentage points [11]. - Year-to-date, the automotive sector has risen by 23.72%, surpassing the CSI 300 index by 4.44 percentage points [11]. Industry Data Tracking - In October, the automotive export volume was 666,000 units, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 22.9% [19]. - The dealer inventory warning index stood at 52.6%, indicating a slight increase year-on-year but a decrease month-on-month [19]. Industry News - The Ministry of Finance and the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology released a draft for public consultation on the "Government Procurement Demand Standards for New Energy Vehicles" [26]. - The National Energy Administration reported that as of the end of October, there were 18.645 million electric vehicle charging facilities in China, a 54% increase year-on-year [29]. Corporate News - The new model, the Xiangjie S9, was launched with a starting price of 309,800 yuan, featuring advanced technology and design [33]. - Xiaopeng Motors reported a third-quarter revenue of 20.38 billion yuan, a 102% year-on-year increase, with a total vehicle delivery of 116,007 units [36]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on companies that enhance brand competitiveness through intelligent processes, such as Seres (601127) [39]. - It also highlights the smart driving industry chain, including Fuyao Glass (600660) and Junsheng Electronics (600699), as potential beneficiaries of increased smart driving configuration penetration [39].

Group 1 - The report tracks stocks, industries, and sectors that are reaching new highs, indicating market trends and hotspots [1][4][24] - As of November 21, 2025, the distance to the 250-day new high for major indices is as follows: Shanghai Composite Index 4.83%, Shenzhen Component Index 8.65%, CSI 300 6.20%, CSI 500 9.69%, CSI 1000 7.59%, CSI 2000 7.40%, ChiNext Index 12.16%, and STAR 50 Index 16.45% [5][24] - Among the CITIC primary industry indices, the sectors closest to their 250-day new highs include petroleum and petrochemicals, textiles and apparel, basic chemicals, home appliances, and steel [8][24] Group 2 - A total of 1,127 stocks reached a 250-day new high in the past 20 trading days, with the highest number of new highs in the basic chemicals, machinery, and power equipment and new energy sectors [2][13][24] - The highest proportion of new high stocks is found in the textiles and apparel, coal, and non-ferrous metals sectors, with respective proportions of 41.41%, 38.89%, and 38.71% [13][24] - The cyclical and manufacturing sectors had the most new high stocks this week, with 364 and 315 stocks respectively [15][24] Group 3 - The report identifies 15 stocks that have shown stable new highs, including Heertai, Sry New Materials, and Cangge Mining, with the manufacturing and cyclical sectors contributing the most stocks [3][20][25] - The construction industry had the highest number of new highs within the manufacturing sector, while the non-ferrous metals industry led in the cyclical sector [20][25]

Core Insights - The article highlights the significant growth of the electric heavy truck market in China, particularly focusing on the performance of charging heavy trucks, which have consistently maintained monthly sales exceeding 10,000 units since April 2025 [1][32]. Sales Performance - In October 2025, the overall sales of new energy heavy trucks reached 20,100 units, with charging heavy trucks contributing 14,000 units, marking a year-on-year increase of 182% [5][15]. - Charging heavy trucks have achieved a remarkable 22 consecutive months of doubling sales, outperforming the overall new energy heavy truck market for 26 consecutive months [5][32]. Market Composition - As of October 2025, charging heavy trucks accounted for 71.14% of the pure electric heavy truck sales, showing a slight increase from the previous month [5]. - From January to October 2025, charging heavy trucks made up 68.43% of the pure electric heavy truck sales, significantly higher than the previous year's total [7]. Monthly Sales Trends - The monthly sales of charging heavy trucks have seen a dramatic increase, with an average monthly sales exceeding 10,000 units in 2025, and the last five months (June to October) being the highest sales months to date [9][32]. - The sales of charging heavy trucks in 2025 have already surpassed the total sales for the entire year of 2024 [32]. Segment Analysis - The primary models of charging heavy trucks sold from January to October 2025 include tractor trucks, dump trucks, and concrete mixers, which accounted for 70.77%, 12.70%, and 11.19% of sales, respectively [11]. - The sales of charging tractor trucks reached 74,800 units, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 292%, significantly outpacing the overall market growth [25]. Competitive Landscape - In October 2025, 14 companies sold over 100 units of charging heavy trucks, with SANY leading the market with 2,773 units sold [15][18]. - The competitive landscape is intensifying, with several companies achieving substantial year-on-year growth, including XCMG and Jiefang, which saw increases of 247% and 342%, respectively [20][24]. Market Share - From January to October 2025, five companies held over 10% market share in the charging heavy truck segment, with SANY, XCMG, Jiefang, Shaanxi Automobile, and China National Heavy Duty Truck Corporation leading the market [24]. - The market share of Jiefang and Shaanxi Automobile has seen significant increases, with Jiefang's share rising by 4.14 percentage points and Shaanxi's by 5.34 percentage points compared to the previous year [24].

Core Viewpoint - Recently, Lanzhou Urban and Rural Public Transport Management Co., Ltd. announced the candidate for the battery replacement of 129 new energy pure electric buses, with Yutong Bus ranked first in the bidding process [1]. Group 1: Bidding Details - The bidding involved the replacement of batteries for 129 new energy pure electric buses [1]. - The bid was announced by Lanzhou Urban and Rural Public Transport Management Co., Ltd., with the opening scheduled for October 22, 2025 [2]. - The winning bid amount for Yutong Bus was approximately 141.07 million yuan [2]. Group 2: Candidate Rankings - Yutong Bus Co., Ltd. secured the first position with a total score of 60 points, which included a business score of 29.80, a technical score of 44.29, and a pricing score of 17.00 [3]. - Shenzhen Times Green Energy Technology Co., Ltd. ranked second with a total score of 82.17 points [3]. - Lanzhou Jinfeng Automobile Repair Co., Ltd. was ranked third with a total score of 69.54 points [3].

Core Viewpoint - Yutong Bus (600066) reported on November 20 that as of September 30, 2025, the total number of shareholders was 44,010 [1] Summary by Relevant Categories - **Company Information** - As of September 30, 2025, Yutong Bus had a total of 44,010 shareholders [1]

Market Overview - The commercial vehicle sector experienced a decline of 1.05% on November 20, with Dongfeng Motor leading the drop [1][3] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3931.05, down 0.4%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 12980.82, down 0.76% [1] Individual Stock Performance - Yutong Bus (600066) closed at 31.10, up 0.52% with a trading volume of 79,800 shares and a transaction value of 247 million yuan [1] - Dongfeng Motor (600006) closed at 7.69, down 2.78% with a trading volume of 473,800 shares and a transaction value of 367 million yuan [3] - Other notable declines include Jianghuai Automobile (600418) down 2.06% and Hanma Technology (600375) down 1.93% [3] Fund Flow Analysis - The commercial vehicle sector saw a net outflow of 240 million yuan from institutional investors, while retail investors contributed a net inflow of 101 million yuan [4] - Notable stock fund flows include: - FAW Jiefang (000800) with a net inflow of 8.51 million yuan from institutional investors [4] - China National Heavy Duty Truck (000951) with a net outflow of 5.23 million yuan from institutional investors [4] ETF Information - The 500 Quality Growth ETF (product code: 560500) tracking the CSI 500 Quality Growth Index has seen a decline of 3.03% over the past five days [6] - The ETF's current price-to-earnings ratio stands at 17.27, with a recent reduction in shares by 1 million, resulting in a net redemption of 1.148 million yuan [6]

Core Insights - The commercial vehicle sector experienced a 0.72% increase on November 19, with CIMC Vehicles leading the gains [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3946.74, up 0.18%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 13080.09, unchanged [1] Commercial Vehicle Sector Performance - CIMC Vehicles (301039) closed at 10.12, up 2.33% with a trading volume of 183,100 shares and a turnover of 185 million yuan [1] - JAC Motors (600418) closed at 49.98, up 1.96% with a trading volume of 553,800 shares and a turnover of 2.794 billion yuan [1] - Yutong Bus (600066) closed at 30.94, up 1.61% with a trading volume of 161,100 shares and a turnover of 18.8 million yuan [1] - Dongfeng Motor (600006) closed at 7.91, up 0.25% with a trading volume of 459,300 shares and a turnover of 363 million yuan [1] - China National Heavy Duty Truck Group (000951) closed at 17.25, up 0.17% with a trading volume of 63,100 shares [1] - Hanma Technology (600375) closed at 6.72, up 0.15% with a trading volume of 340,100 shares and a turnover of 22.7 million yuan [1] - Jiangling Motors (000550) closed at 19.27, down 0.67% with a trading volume of 28,400 shares and a turnover of 5.5 million yuan [1] - FAW Jiefang (000800) closed at 7.27, down 0.82% with a trading volume of 263,200 shares and a turnover of 192 million yuan [1] - Ankai Bus (000868) closed at 5.28, down 1.31% with a trading volume of 125,400 shares and a turnover of 6.624 million yuan [1] - Zhongtong Bus (000957) closed at 11.10, down 1.42% with a trading volume of 148,800 shares and a turnover of 166 million yuan [1] Fund Flow Analysis - The commercial vehicle sector saw a net inflow of 223 million yuan from institutional investors, while retail investors experienced a net outflow of 1.32 billion yuan [2] - Major stocks like JAC Motors had a net inflow of 32.3 million yuan from institutional investors, but a net outflow of 123.6 million yuan from retail investors [3] - Zhongtong Bus experienced a net outflow of 15.24 million yuan from institutional investors, while retail investors had a net inflow of 13.21 million yuan [3]

Group 1: Industry Trends - A wave of electrification and intelligence is sweeping through China's commercial vehicle sector, with electric heavy-duty trucks transitioning from demonstration operations to market-driven applications, marking a significant step in the country's "dual carbon" strategy [1][9] - The penetration rate of new energy heavy-duty trucks has rapidly increased, reaching a historical high of 28.8% in September 2023, indicating explosive growth in this market segment [1] Group 2: Regional Development - Zhengzhou, as the core of Henan Province's automotive industry, is set to produce over 1.12 million vehicles in 2024, positioning itself among the top cities in the nation [2] - The city has attracted major manufacturers like Yutong, Dongfeng Nissan, and BYD, creating a comprehensive ecosystem for commercial vehicles, including light, heavy, and mining trucks [2] Group 3: Technological Advancements - Yutong has made significant strides in overcoming operational challenges for new energy heavy-duty trucks, achieving a low energy consumption of 0.66 kWh per kilometer over a 479-kilometer test route [3] - Innovations such as dual-gun fast charging technology and lightweight vehicle designs have improved operational efficiency and alleviated range anxiety [3][4] Group 4: Economic Benefits - Yutong's electric cargo trucks can reduce per-kilometer energy costs to under 0.5 yuan, saving over 1 yuan compared to similar fuel vehicles, leading to annual fuel cost savings of up to 120,000 yuan per vehicle [4] - The "Anruitong" intelligent management system helps users optimize energy costs by managing charging strategies effectively [4] Group 5: Hydrogen Fuel Cell Development - Zhengzhou has initiated the delivery of hydrogen fuel cell heavy-duty trucks, marking a significant milestone in the city's hydrogen energy transportation system [5] - Yutong has established a comprehensive lineup of hydrogen fuel commercial vehicles, maintaining a leading position in global production and sales [5] Group 6: Challenges and Future Outlook - Despite significant growth, new energy heavy-duty trucks face challenges in long-distance applications, with diesel trucks still holding a 50% penetration rate in the first nine months of 2025 [7] - The logistics industry is undergoing a transformation, with increasing demand for efficient and green transportation solutions, supported by the rapid development of charging infrastructure [8] - The future development path for new energy heavy-duty trucks is becoming clearer, with a focus on battery technology improvements and a shift from policy-driven to market-driven growth [8][9]

Market Overview - The commercial vehicle sector experienced a decline of 1.48% on November 18, with Jinlong Automobile leading the drop [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3939.81, down 0.81%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 13080.49, down 0.92% [1] Individual Stock Performance - Foton Motor (600166) closed at 2.95 with no change, while Yutong Bus (600066) fell by 0.94% to 30.45 [1] - JAC Motors (600418) decreased by 1.21% to 49.02, and FAW Jiefang (000800) also saw a decline of 1.21% to 7.33 [1] - Other notable declines included Ankai Bus (000868) down 1.29% to 5.35 and Jiangling Motors (000550) down 1.37% to 19.40 [1] Trading Volume and Capital Flow - The commercial vehicle sector saw a net outflow of 148 million yuan from main funds, while retail investors contributed a net inflow of 70.25 million yuan [2] - The trading volume for Foton Motor was 1.7351 million shares, with a transaction value of 514 million yuan [1] Fund Flow Analysis - FAW Jiefang experienced a net outflow of 21.46 million yuan from main funds, while it attracted a net inflow of 23.61 million yuan from speculative funds [3] - Jinlong Automobile had a net outflow of 12.43 million yuan from main funds, but saw a net inflow of 29.20 million yuan from retail investors [3] - Overall, the fund flow indicates a mixed sentiment among different investor types within the commercial vehicle sector [3]