Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" [5][38]. Core Viewpoints - The company's net profit attributable to shareholders for the first half of 2025 is projected to be 2.051 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 146.97% [10]. - The significant growth in performance is primarily driven by the strong performance of the refrigerant business, with the average price of refrigerant products increasing by 61.88% year-on-year to 39,400 yuan per ton [10][11]. - The company benefits from a global leading production quota advantage in the context of the third-generation refrigerant quota system, which has transformed the industry supply structure from excess competition to supply constraints [10][24]. Summary by Relevant Sections Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, the company achieved operating revenue of 13.331 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 10.36%, and a net profit of 2.051 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 146.97% [10]. - The second quarter of 2025 saw revenue of 7.531 billion yuan, up 13.93% year-on-year and 29.84% quarter-on-quarter, with a net profit of 1.242 billion yuan, up 137.07% year-on-year and 53.56% quarter-on-quarter [10]. Industry Overview - Refrigerants are essential consumer products, increasingly distinguished from traditional chemical raw materials, and are characterized by low cost share in downstream applications, convenient delivery, and high value [2][23]. - The supply side of the refrigerant industry is undergoing optimization, with increasing industry concentration and a shift towards a global "franchise" production and sales model [2][23]. - China holds over 80% of the global quota for third-generation refrigerants, benefiting from structural reforms in supply and high concentration of quotas among leading enterprises [2][23]. Business Segments - The non-refrigerant business faces intense competition, with fluoropolymer prices showing a slight recovery [3][32]. - The company sold 22,900 tons of fluoropolymers in the first half of 2025, with a second-quarter average selling price of 38,446 yuan per ton, reflecting a slight year-on-year increase [3][32]. Growth Opportunities - The demand for liquid cooling solutions is rapidly increasing due to the rise in server power density driven by AI technology, positioning the company favorably in the liquid cooling market [4][37]. - The company has proactively developed fluorinated liquid products and has initiated a project to produce perfluoropolyether cooling liquids, with the first phase already in production [4][37].

Core Insights - The report highlights the updated monthly interest rate timing model, which shows improved predictive accuracy with a success rate of 74% for the recent two years [12][14] - The company Atour (ATAT.O) has raised its full-year retail revenue guidance, with Q2 revenue growing by 37.4% year-on-year to 2.47 billion yuan, exceeding expectations [15][17] - Shenzhen International (00152.HK) reported a revenue of 6.67 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 0.9%, with a focus on logistics park transformation projects [18][16] Group 1: Interest Rate Timing Strategy - The updated model incorporates richer factor indicators and adjusts weightings for different types of indicators, enhancing predictive capabilities [14] - Three strategy applications have been designed: basic timing strategy, timing & treasury futures strategy, and timing & leverage strategy, all outperforming longer-duration benchmarks [14] - The timing & leverage strategy achieved a maximum annualized excess return of 128 basis points [14] Group 2: Atour (ATAT.O) Performance - Atour's Q2 performance exceeded expectations, with a net profit increase of 39.8% year-on-year to 425 million yuan [15][17] - The company opened 118 new hotels in Q2, maintaining its target of 500 new openings for the year [15][17] - Retail business GMV reached 1.144 billion yuan in Q2, a year-on-year growth of 84.6%, with online sales accounting for over 90% [15][17] Group 3: Shenzhen International (00152.HK) Insights - The company’s logistics park transformation and asset securitization strategies are expected to enhance earnings resilience [18][16] - For 2025-2027, net profit forecasts are 3.081 billion, 3.430 billion, and 3.925 billion HKD, with a dividend yield projected at 8.3%, 9.3%, and 10.6% respectively [18][16] - The logistics park business reported a revenue of 785 million HKD in H1 2025, a year-on-year increase of 5.4% [18][16] Group 4: Steel Industry Performance - Baosteel (600019) reported steady growth with high dividend maintenance, while Hualing Steel (000932) saw a significant increase in high-end product sales [20][24] - The steel industry is experiencing a shift towards high-end products, with companies like Zhongxin Special Steel (000708) maintaining stable performance [26] - The overall steel market is expected to benefit from reduced raw material costs and improved product structures, leading to enhanced profitability [24][26]

Core Viewpoint - The company achieved significant revenue and profit growth in the first half of 2025, driven by strong performance in its fluorochemical core business amidst a challenging chemical industry environment [1] Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, the company reported revenue of 13.33 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 10.36% [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders reached 2.05 billion yuan, reflecting a substantial year-on-year growth of 146.97% [1] - The net profit excluding non-recurring items was 2.03 billion yuan, with a year-on-year increase of 155.23% [1] Business Operations - The fluorinated refrigerants business served as the core growth engine, with average prices rising to 39,372.45 yuan per ton, a year-on-year increase of 61.88% [2] - Revenue from the fluorinated refrigerants segment reached 6.09 billion yuan, marking a year-on-year growth of 55.09% [2] - The company secured production quotas for HCFC-22 and HFCs, holding 26.10% and 39.33% of the national market share, respectively [2] Industry Chain Coordination and Project Development - The company invested 1.99 billion yuan in fixed assets during the reporting period, with 125 ongoing projects and 36 new projects initiated [3] - The high-performance fluorinated chlorinated materials integration project in Gansu, with a total investment of 19.63 billion yuan, has commenced, aiming to leverage regional energy resources [3] - The company’s subsidiaries are developing a complete industrial chain covering fluorochemical raw materials, refrigerants, fluorinated polymers, and fine chemicals [3] Research and Innovation - The company invested 603 million yuan in R&D, a year-on-year increase of 11.69%, focusing on high-end product development [3] - The company filed 32 new patent applications and received 25 patent grants during the reporting period [3] - Five smart factories were recognized as advanced smart factories in Zhejiang Province for 2025, showcasing significant progress in digital and intelligent transformation [3] Future Outlook - The company plans to continue focusing on its core fluorochemical business, enhancing high-end product development and expanding production capacity for fourth-generation fluorinated refrigerants [4] - The company aims to leverage projects in Gansu to expand its western industrial base and enhance global market competitiveness [4] - Ongoing efforts in technological innovation and digital transformation are expected to solidify the company’s leading position in the fluorochemical sector [4]

Core Viewpoint - The petrochemical industry is experiencing a mixed performance, with the China Petrochemical Industry Index showing a slight decline, while the petrochemical ETF has demonstrated significant annual growth and high tracking accuracy [1][2]. Group 1: Index Performance - As of August 28, 2025, the China Petrochemical Industry Index has decreased by 0.1% [1]. - The petrochemical ETF (159731) has dropped by 0.39%, with the latest price at 0.77 yuan [1]. - Over the past year, the petrochemical ETF has seen a net value increase of 20.37% [1]. Group 2: ETF Performance Metrics - The highest single-month return for the petrochemical ETF since inception was 15.86%, with the longest consecutive monthly gains being three months and a maximum increase of 19.49% [1]. - The average monthly return during the rising months is 5.30% [1]. - The ETF has outperformed its benchmark with an annualized excess return of 8.15% over the last three months [1]. Group 3: Industry Insights - Since 2024, the growth rate of fixed asset investment in the industry has noticeably slowed, leading to marginal improvements on the supply side [1]. - China's global market share in chemical products is steadily increasing, indicating a potential new cycle for the chemical industry [1]. - Short-term overseas demand may face challenges, but there is optimism for domestic demand and supply dynamics to improve, particularly for related industry targets [1]. - In the medium to long term, the chemical sector is expected to restart a new cycle against a backdrop of low oil prices and global recovery [1]. Group 4: Top Holdings in the Index - As of July 31, 2025, the top ten weighted stocks in the China Petrochemical Industry Index account for 56.18% of the index, including Wanhua Chemical, China Petroleum, and China Petrochemical [2]. - The top three stocks by weight are Wanhua Chemical (10.04%), China Petroleum (9.51%), and China Petrochemical (8.07%) [4].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Accumulate" (maintained) [2] Core Views - The company is a leading player in the fluorochemical industry, benefiting from a high demand for refrigerants, which has significantly boosted its performance [10][15] - The company has experienced strong revenue growth, with a 10.36% year-on-year increase in revenue for the first half of 2025, reaching 13.33 billion yuan, and a remarkable 146.97% increase in net profit attributable to shareholders, amounting to 2.05 billion yuan [5][6] - The price of refrigerants has seen a substantial increase, with an average price of 39,372.45 yuan per ton in the first half of 2025, reflecting a 61.88% year-on-year growth [6] Financial Performance - The company achieved a revenue of 75.31 billion yuan in Q2 2025, marking a 13.93% year-on-year increase and a 29.84% quarter-on-quarter increase, with a net profit of 1.24 billion yuan, up 138.82% year-on-year and 53.57% quarter-on-quarter [5][6] - The company is expected to maintain strong growth, with projected net profits for 2025-2027 of 5.07 billion, 6.04 billion, and 7.05 billion yuan respectively, up from previous estimates of 4.31 billion, 5.30 billion, and 6.17 billion yuan [10][15] Business Outlook - The company is advancing multiple projects that are expected to contribute to future revenue growth, including expansions and upgrades in various production facilities [8] - The fluorochemical industry is expected to maintain a tight supply-demand balance due to quota policies and increasing end-user demand, particularly in the air conditioning sector [10][15]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1][4][10] Core Views - The company achieved a significant historical high in Q2 2025 with a profit increase of 138.82% year-on-year, maintaining a "Buy" rating [4] - The company has established a comprehensive layout for fluorinated liquid products, with a strong upward trend in refrigerant prices continuing [4] - The company's revenue for H1 2025 reached 133.31 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 10.36%, with a net profit attributable to shareholders of 20.51 billion yuan, up 146.97% year-on-year [4] - The operating cash flow increased by 340.52% year-on-year, indicating strong operational efficiency [4] Financial Summary - For H1 2025, the company reported revenue of 133.31 billion yuan and a net profit of 20.51 billion yuan, with Q2 revenue at 75.31 billion yuan, up 13.93% year-on-year and 29.84% quarter-on-quarter [4][5] - The company expects EPS for 2025-2027 to be 1.90, 2.70, and 3.16 yuan respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 18.9, 13.3, and 11.3 [4][5] - The gross profit margin is projected to increase from 13.2% in 2023 to 35.2% in 2027, reflecting improved profitability [5][7] Product and Market Insights - The company has a broad layout in fluorinated liquid products, with significant growth in the refrigerant market driven by rising prices [4] - The average price of refrigerants increased significantly, with a year-on-year growth of 65.31% in Q2 2025 [4] - The company’s products are positioned as essential consumer goods, with a focus on strategic emerging industries such as semiconductors and new energy vehicles [4]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" [5][38]. Core Views - The company's net profit attributable to shareholders for the first half of 2025 is projected to be 2.051 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 146.97% [10]. - The significant growth in performance is primarily driven by the strong performance of the refrigerant business, with the average price of refrigerant products increasing by 61.88% year-on-year to 39,400 yuan per ton [10][11]. - The company benefits from a global leading production quota advantage under the third-generation refrigerant quota system, allowing it to fully enjoy the industry's upward trend [10][24]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, the company achieved operating revenue of 13.331 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 10.36%, and a net profit of 2.051 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 146.97% [10]. - The second quarter of 2025 saw revenue of 7.531 billion yuan, up 13.93% year-on-year and 29.84% quarter-on-quarter, with a net profit of 1.242 billion yuan, up 137.07% year-on-year and 53.56% quarter-on-quarter [10]. Refrigerant Business - The refrigerant segment's revenue increased by 55.09% year-on-year, driven by a significant rise in product prices [10][11]. - The company sold 154,600 tons of refrigerants in the first half of 2025, a decrease of 4.19% year-on-year, but the sales price per ton increased significantly [11]. Market Dynamics - The refrigerant market is characterized by a supply-side structural reform, transitioning from excess competition to supply constraints, with China holding over 80% of the global quota for third-generation refrigerants [24]. - The demand for refrigerants is driven by their necessity in air conditioning and heat pump applications, with a low cost share in downstream industries and high price elasticity [24]. Liquid Cooling Business - The demand for liquid cooling solutions is rapidly growing due to advancements in AI technology and increased server power density, leading to a shift from traditional air cooling methods [37]. - The company has proactively developed fluorinated liquid products and has initiated a project to produce a cooling liquid with a capacity of 5,000 tons per year [37]. Non-Refrigerant Business - The non-refrigerant business faces intense competition, with the average price of fluoropolymers showing a slight recovery [31]. - The company sold 22,900 tons of fluoropolymers in the first half of 2025, with a second-quarter sales price of 38,446 yuan per ton, reflecting a year-on-year increase [31].

Core Viewpoint - The stock price of Juhua Co., Ltd. has shown significant growth this year, with a 47.01% increase, and the company has reported strong financial performance in the first half of 2025 [2][3]. Financial Performance - For the first half of 2025, Juhua Co. achieved a revenue of 13.33 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 10.36%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 2.05 billion yuan, marking a substantial increase of 145.84% [2]. - Cumulatively, Juhua Co. has distributed a total of 5.973 billion yuan in dividends since its A-share listing, with 1.647 billion yuan distributed over the past three years [3]. Stock Market Activity - On August 28, Juhua Co.'s stock price fell by 2.01%, trading at 35.12 yuan per share, with a total market capitalization of 94.815 billion yuan [1]. - The stock has seen a trading volume of 8.85 billion yuan, with a turnover rate of 0.92% [1]. - The net outflow of main funds was 110 million yuan, with significant buying and selling activity from large orders [1]. Shareholder Structure - As of June 30, 2025, the number of shareholders for Juhua Co. was 51,500, a decrease of 2.96% from the previous period. The average number of circulating shares per person increased by 3.05% to 52,443 shares [2]. - The second-largest circulating shareholder is Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited, holding 84.92 million shares, an increase of 25.28 million shares from the previous period [3].

Key Insights - The report highlights the updated monthly interest rate timing strategy, which includes enriched factor indicators and differentiated weight settings, leading to improved predictive accuracy [12][10][5] - The report emphasizes the strong performance of Atour (ATAT.O) with a 37.4% year-on-year revenue increase in Q2 2025, reaching 2.47 billion yuan, and a net profit growth of 39.8% to 425 million yuan, exceeding expectations [13][11] - Shenzhen International (00152.HK) reported a revenue of 6.67 billion yuan in H1 2025, a slight increase of 0.9%, but a net profit decline of 24.9% due to the absence of prior REIT gains [16][14] Group 1: Atour (ATAT.O) - The company achieved a RevPAR of 343 yuan, recovering to 95.7% of the same period last year, with an occupancy rate (OCC) of 97.4% and an average daily rate (ADR) of 98.2% [13] - Atour's retail business saw a GMV of 1.144 billion yuan in Q2, a significant year-on-year increase of 84.6%, with online sales maintaining a 90% share [15] - The company has adjusted its full-year retail revenue guidance to a 60% year-on-year increase based on current growth trends [15] Group 2: Shenzhen International (00152.HK) - The company confirmed a profit increase of approximately 290 million yuan from the sale of residential projects, contributing to overall performance despite a net profit decline [16] - The logistics park transformation project is expected to provide significant profit elasticity, with estimated tax-adjusted returns exceeding 156.58 billion yuan [16] - The company maintains a stable dividend policy, with projected net profits for 2025-2027 at 3.081 billion, 3.430 billion, and 3.925 billion Hong Kong dollars, respectively [16] Group 3: Steel Industry Insights - Baosteel (600019) reported a revenue of 151.372 billion yuan in H1 2025, with a net profit of 4.879 billion yuan, reflecting a 7.28% decline in revenue but a 7.36% increase in net profit [20] - The company achieved a steel production volume of 25.46 million tons, with a gross profit per ton increasing by 56.53% year-on-year [20] - The report indicates that the high-end product segment continues to grow, contributing to overall revenue stability in the steel sector [23]

登录新浪财经APP 搜索【信披】查看更多考评等级 公司代码：600160 公司简称：巨化股份 第一节 重要提示 1.1本半年度报告摘要来自半年度报告全文，为全面了解本公司的经营成果、财务状况及未来发展规 划，投资者应当到http://www.sse.com.cn网站仔细阅读半年度报告全文。 1.2本公司董事会、监事会及董事、监事、高级管理人员保证半年度报告内容的真实性、准确性、完整 性，不存在虚假记载、误导性陈述或重大遗漏，并承担个别和连带的法律责任。 1.3公司全体董事出席董事会会议。 1.4本半年度报告未经审计。 1.5董事会决议通过的本报告期利润分配预案或公积金转增股本预案 本报告期不进行利润分配或公积金转增股本。 第二节 公司基本情况 2.1公司简介 ■ 2.2主要财务数据 单位：元 币种：人民币 ■ 2.3前10名股东持股情况表 单位: 股 ■ 2.4截至报告期末的优先股股东总数、前10名优先股股东情况表 □适用 √不适用 2.5控股股东或实际控制人变更情况 □适用 √不适用 2.6在半年度报告批准报出日存续的债券情况 □适用 √不适用 第三节 重要事项 公司应当根据重要性原则，说明报告期内公司经营 ...