Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Optimistic" rating for the chemical industry [6][20]. Core Insights - The macroeconomic judgment for the chemical industry indicates a stable increase in oil demand due to global economic improvement, with Brent oil prices expected to remain in the range of $55-70 per barrel [6][7]. - The central economic work conference emphasizes the need to combat "involution" in competition, which is expected to benefit the chemical industry through optimized capacity and improved profitability [6][7]. - The report highlights the potential for growth in the refrigerant market, with specific quotas set for 2026, and suggests focusing on companies like Juhua Co., Sanmei Co., and Dongyangguang [6][7]. - The commercial aerospace sector is anticipated to enter a golden age, driven by the rapid deployment of low-orbit satellite constellations, with a projected market size of 60 billion yuan for ceramic shells [6][7]. Summary by Sections Industry Dynamics - Oil supply is constrained due to OPEC+ production delays, while demand is stabilizing, leading to a forecast of sustained low oil prices [7]. - Coal prices are expected to stabilize at a low level, and natural gas costs may decrease as the U.S. accelerates export facility construction [6][7]. Chemical Sector Configuration - The report suggests a diversified investment approach across various chains, including textiles, agriculture, and export-related chemicals, benefiting from the "involution" policy [6][20]. - Key materials for growth are identified, including semiconductor materials and OLED panel materials, with specific companies highlighted for investment [6][20]. Key Company Valuations - The report provides a detailed valuation table for key companies in the chemical sector, indicating their market capitalization and projected earnings [20][21].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the chemical raw materials industry is "Positive" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The 2026 refrigerant quota has been issued, maintaining an upward trend in the market; the shutdown of leading PVDF companies is expected to catalyze a market reversal [4][20] - The refrigerant market is characterized by stable long-term demand and a lack of substitutes, which supports a positive outlook for the sector [30] Summary by Sections 1. Fluorochemical Industry Weekly Perspective - The 2026 refrigerant quota has been issued with limited adjustments compared to 2025, indicating a stable market environment [28] - The shutdown of a leading PVDF producer is expected to create upward price pressure, with current market prices reaching up to 56,000 yuan/ton [21][24] 2. Market Performance - The fluorochemical index rose by 0.12% during the week of December 8-12, outperforming the Shanghai Composite Index by 0.47% [6][17] - The overall market sentiment remains strong, with companies like Dongyangguang and Juhua showing significant stock price increases [12][20] 3. Raw Material and Product Pricing - The price of R32 refrigerant is stable at 63,000 yuan/ton, while R134a has seen a price increase to 57,500 yuan/ton [10][11] - PVDF prices have rebounded from 36,000 yuan/ton to 49,000 yuan/ton, indicating a recovery in demand [21][22] 4. Industry Dynamics - The demand for PVDF is expected to continue growing, with the coating-grade PVDF market share projected to reach 25% by 2024 [22] - The overall fluorochemical market is experiencing a stable trend, with the price of raw materials like hydrogen fluoride showing mixed movements [38][39]

Core Insights - The chemical industry is entering a favorable phase driven by demand, value, and supply dynamics [5][6][7] - Global supply constraints and the exit of European capacities are expected to enhance the market environment for the chemical sector [7] Demand Drivers - Key opportunities identified in various sectors include: - Gas turbine upstream: companies like Zhenhua Co., Yingliu Co., Longda Co., and Wanze Co. [5] - Refrigerants and fluorinated liquids: companies such as Juhua Co., New Zhoubang, and Runhe Materials [5] - Energy storage supply chain: including Chuanheng Co., Xingfa Group, Yuntianhua, Batian Co., and others [5] - Semiconductor materials: companies like Yanggu Huatai, Wanrun Co., Dinglong Co., and others [5] Value Drivers - Potential for increased dividend yields in sectors such as: - Coal chemical: Hualu Hengsheng, Luxi Chemical, and Baofeng Energy [6] - Oil refining: Hengli Petrochemical, Satellite Chemical, and Sinopec [6] - Phosphate fertilizers: Yuntianhua, Yuntu Holdings, and others [6] Supply Drivers - Domestic anti-involution policies and the exit of European production capacities are expected to support the chemical industry: - PTA and polyester filament: companies like Xin Fengming and Tongkun Co. [7] - Tire manufacturing: including Sailun Tire, Zhongce Rubber, and others [7] Key Companies and Profit Forecasts - Selected companies with profit forecasts include: - Zhenhua Co. (Net profit forecast for 2025: 6.04 billion, PE: 21.8) [8] - Yingliu Co. (Net profit forecast for 2025: 4.08 billion, PE: 42.7) [8] - Longda Co. (Net profit forecast for 2025: 1.06 billion, PE: 34.9) [8] - Wanze Co. (Net profit forecast for 2025: 2.37 billion, PE: 32.9) [8] - Juhua Co. (Net profit forecast for 2025: 48.14 billion, PE: 24.4) [8] Industry Cycle Insights - The chemical industry is expected to enter a new cycle, with demand recovery and supply-side reforms driving growth [14][21] - The chemical price index has shown signs of recovery, indicating a potential upturn in the market [20][21]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the basic chemical industry, expecting the industry index to outperform the market index by more than 10% in the next six months [30]. Core Insights - As of December 11, the Shenwan Basic Chemical Index has decreased by 0.7% over the past two weeks, underperforming the CSI 300 Index by 1.5 percentage points, ranking 18th among 31 Shenwan industries. Year-to-date, the index has increased by 25.1%, outperforming the CSI 300 Index by 9.4 percentage points, ranking 7th among 31 industries [4][11]. - In the past two weeks, among the sub-sectors of the Shenwan Basic Chemical Index, only two sub-sectors saw gains: Non-metallic Materials increased by 2.1% and Plastics by 1.0%. Five sub-sectors declined, with Chemical Raw Materials down 2.6%, Chemical Fibers down 1.8%, Agricultural Chemicals down 1.1%, Chemical Products down 0.3%, and Rubber down 0.1% [4][12]. - Among the 404 listed companies in the Shenwan Basic Chemical Index, 118 saw their stock prices rise, with Longgao Co., Daoming Optics, and Yongguan New Materials leading with increases of 29.4%, 23.8%, and 17.4%, respectively. Conversely, 282 companies experienced declines, with Changhua Chemical, Huasoft Technology, and Chenguang New Materials falling by 16.0%, 15.0%, and 14.4%, respectively [4][13]. Summary by Sections Market Review - The Shenwan Basic Chemical Index has shown mixed performance, with a slight decline recently but strong year-to-date growth [4][11]. Chemical Product Price Trends - Recent price changes include increases in Synthetic Ammonia (+2.80%), TDI (+2.49%), and BOPET (+1.66%), while Urea (-0.53%) and PTA (-1.07%) saw declines [19][20]. Key Industry News - The National Energy Administration projects that China's crude oil production will reach 215 million tons in 2025, a historical high, with natural gas production expected to reach 260 billion cubic meters, a 35% increase from the end of the 13th Five-Year Plan [4][23]. - A meeting organized by the China Phosphate and Compound Fertilizer Industry Association discussed stabilizing phosphate fertilizer prices and ensuring supply during the spring farming season, suggesting a "combination punch" approach to stabilize market expectations [4][26][24]. Weekly Industry Perspective - The report emphasizes the need for measures to stabilize phosphate fertilizer prices and supply, alongside a positive outlook for refrigerant companies benefiting from rising prices [4][26]. Recommended Stocks - The report suggests focusing on Sanmei Co. (603379) and Juhua Co. (600160) due to their strong positions in the refrigerant market and overall industry growth potential [4][28].

Core Viewpoint - Zhongjuxin (688549.SH) announced the renewal of daily operational contracts with its major shareholder, Zhejiang Juhua Co., Ltd., aiming to standardize related transactions and ensure stable operations [1][3]. Group 1: Contract Details - The renewed daily operational contract will be effective for three years, from January 1, 2026, to December 31, 2028 [3]. - The contract encompasses arrangements for raw material and energy supply, public engineering maintenance services, transportation services, and environmental testing [3]. - The renewal is expected to reduce redundant investments and resource waste while safeguarding the legal rights of all parties involved [3]. Group 2: Company Background - Zhongjuxin was established in 2017 and focuses on electronic chemical materials, including electronic wet chemicals, specialty gases, and precursor materials [3]. - The company's products are widely used in manufacturing sectors such as integrated circuits, display panels, and photovoltaics [3]. - Since its listing on the Shanghai Stock Exchange's Sci-Tech Innovation Board in 2023, Zhongjuxin has been expanding its semiconductor manufacturing support business [3]. Group 3: Strategic Implications - The renewal of the contract is expected to enhance collaboration in raw material and energy assurance, as well as environmental and safety management [3]. - By leveraging Juhua's capacity and advantages in fluorochemical and gas sectors, Zhongjuxin aims to optimize its cost structure and supply chain flexibility [3]. - This strategic move is anticipated to support the expansion and technological upgrades of its electronic wet chemicals and specialty gases businesses [3]. Group 4: Financial Performance - In the first three quarters of 2025, Zhongjuxin achieved a revenue of 881 million yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 17.56% [4]. - In the third quarter alone, the company reported a revenue of 314 million yuan and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 17.07 million yuan, reflecting year-on-year increases of 12.76% and 152.24%, respectively [4]. - The company plans to continue optimizing its production lines and product structure based on its existing business [4].

Investment Direction 1: Dividend Strategy - Recommended companies include China National Offshore Oil Corporation (CNOOC), China Petroleum & Chemical Corporation (Sinopec), and China National Petroleum Corporation (PetroChina) with an expected Brent oil price range of $60-70 per barrel in 2026 [2][3] - CNOOC is committed to maintaining a dividend payout ratio of no less than 45% from 2025 to 2027, while PetroChina benefits from domestic natural gas market reforms [2][3] Investment Direction 2: Capital Allocation to Undervalued Chemical Leaders - Recommended companies include Wanhua Chemical, Baofeng Energy, Satellite Chemical, and Hualu Hengsheng, which are expected to benefit from industry barriers related to cost, technology, and market [2][3] - The report suggests prioritizing capital allocation to chemical ETFs and leading companies as their performance is expected to stabilize [2][3] Investment Direction 3: Price Increases Driven by Downstream Demand - Traditional demand sectors such as food additives, pesticides, and fertilizers are highlighted, with companies like New Hope Liuhe and Jiangshan Chemical expected to benefit from stable growth in demand [2][3] - Emerging demand in phosphorous and fluorine chemicals is driven by the needs of new energy battery and AI cooling applications, with companies like Chuanheng Chemical and Juhua Co. being key players [2][3] Investment Direction 4: Domestic Anti-Competition Driving Price Increases - The report emphasizes the focus on large refining and chemical companies such as Hengli Petrochemical and Rongsheng Petrochemical, which are expected to benefit from anti-competitive measures in the domestic market [2][3] - The organic silicon sector is entering the end of its expansion cycle, with major companies like Sinan Silicon Material adjusting industry operating rates [2][3] - The soda ash industry is facing capacity controls and the need to phase out outdated production, with companies like Boyuan Chemical under observation [2][3] Oil Price Analysis - The report anticipates a Brent oil price range of $60-70 per barrel in 2026, with a slight oversupply expected [11][12] - OPEC+ has postponed production increases for Q1 2026, indicating a cautious approach to market conditions [11][12] - The report highlights geopolitical factors, including the ongoing Russia-Ukraine conflict and U.S.-Venezuela relations, which may impact oil supply dynamics [12][13] Three Major Oil Companies Insights - CNOOC is focused on increasing reserves and production while reducing costs, while PetroChina is benefiting from natural gas market reforms [34][36] - Sinopec is concentrating on domestic refining and chemical anti-competition developments [34][36] - The overall profitability of the three major oil companies is expected to be supported by the anticipated oil price stabilization [34][36]

巨化股份 2025 年第二次临时股东大会会议资料 2025 年第二次临时股东大会会议资料 浙江巨化股份有限公司 一、会议基本情况 （一）股东大会召开日期：2025 年 12 月 23 日 2025 年 12 月 23 日 1 巨化股份 2025 年第二次临时股东大会会议资料 目 录 | 2025 | 年第二次临时股东大会议程 3 | | --- | --- | | 2025 | 年第二次临时股东大会议事规则及注意事项 5 | | 审议议案： | | | 1、关于取消监事会并修订《公司章程》及相关制度的议案 7 | | | 2、浙江巨化股份有限公司关联交易管理规定（2025 | 年修订） 62 | | 3、关于公司日常关联交易 | 2026 年计划的议案 79 | | 4、公司 | 2025 年前三季度利润分配方案 99 | 2 巨化股份 2025 年第二次临时股东大会会议资料 浙江巨化股份有限公司 2025 年第二次临时股东大会议程 （二）本次股东大会采用的网络投票系统：上海证券交易所股东大会网络投票系 统 （三）股东大会类型和届次：2025 年第二次临时股东大会 （四）股东大会召集人：董事会 （五）会议主持 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the industry is "Outperform the Market" (maintained) [1] Core Viewpoints - The announcement of the 2026 refrigerant quota indicates a long-term constraint on the supply side of both second and third-generation refrigerants, suggesting a continuation of product prosperity in the refrigerant market [3][5] - For second-generation refrigerants, the production and usage in 2026 will be reduced by 71.5% and 76.1% from the baseline, respectively, with R22 production quota reduced by 3,005 tons, a year-on-year decrease of 2.02% [3][6] - The total production quota for third-generation refrigerants in 2026 is set at 797,800 tons, an increase of 5,963 tons compared to the beginning of 2025, with specific increases in R32, R125, and R134a quotas [2][3][7] - The report emphasizes that the tightening of refrigerant quotas is a long-term trend, and it is expected that the main third-generation refrigerants will maintain a tight supply-demand balance in 2026, with significant price upside potential [3][20] Summary by Sections Second-Generation Refrigerants - The production quota for second-generation refrigerants in 2026 is 151,400 tons, a decrease of 12,100 tons from 2025, with R22 production quota at 146,100 tons, down 3,005 tons year-on-year [6][3] - The internal usage quota for R22 is 77,900 tons, reflecting a year-on-year reduction of 3.60% [6] Third-Generation Refrigerants - The total production quota for third-generation refrigerants is 797,800 tons, with an internal usage quota of 394,100 tons, both showing increases from 2025 [7][3] - Specific increases in production quotas include R32 at 281,500 tons, R134a at 211,500 tons, and R125 at 167,600 tons, while R143a, R152a, and R227ea show slight decreases [7][3] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on leading fluorochemical companies with complete industrial chains, advanced technology, and strong quota positions, such as Juhua Co., Ltd., Sanmei Co., Ltd., and Dongyue Group [20][21]

（文章来源：证券日报） 证券日报网讯 12月10日晚间，中巨芯公告称，公司于2025年12月10日召开第二届董事会第十一次会议 审议通过了《关于与关联方续签日常生产经营合同书的议案》。公司拟与公司第一大股东浙江巨化股份 有限公司（简称"巨化股份"）及其控股股东巨化集团有限公司（简称"巨化集团"）续签《巨化集团有限 公司、浙江巨化股份有限公司与中巨芯科技股份有限公司日常生产经营合同书》（简称"《日常生产经 营合同书》"），规范日常关联交易行为，维护各方及其股东的合法权益，不会损害公司和全部股东特 别是中小股东的利益，不会对公司的独立性产生影响，亦不会对关联方形成较大依赖，有利于公司减少 重复投资和资源浪费，保障生产经营安全与稳定。合同书有效期限为三年，自2026年1月1日起至2028年 12月31日止。 ...

格隆汇12月10日丨中巨芯(688549.SH)公布，公司拟与巨化股份及其控股股东巨化集团续签《日常生产 经营合同书》，以此规范公司与其在部分原材料供应、生产能源供应、公共工程维护服务、运输服务、 环保检测后勤服务等方面的日常关联交易行为。合同有效期限为三年，自2026年1月1日起至2028年12月 31日止。 ...