Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy (Maintain)" [1] Core Views - The company has experienced significant performance improvement due to the rising demand for refrigerants, with a reported revenue of 24.462 billion yuan in 2024, representing an 18.43% year-on-year increase, and a net profit of 1.960 billion yuan, up 107.69% year-on-year [4][5] - The implementation of the third-generation refrigerant quotas has optimized the supply-demand and competitive landscape, leading to a recovery in refrigerant prices, which is expected to further enhance the company's revenue and net profit margins [4][5] - The company is positioned as a global leader in refrigerants, benefiting from a significant price increase in refrigerants, with R22, R32, R134a, and R125 prices rising by 84.62%, 172.46%, 66.07%, and 62.16% respectively as of March 31, 2025 [4][5] - The demand for refrigerants is supported by a year-on-year increase in air conditioning production, with a reported production of 23.3 million units in May, up 9.9% from the previous year [4] - The company has made substantial investments in fixed assets totaling 2.467 billion yuan in 2024, with ongoing projects aimed at enhancing its industrial chain advantages [4][5] - The company is expected to maintain a strong performance outlook, with revised profit forecasts for 2025 and 2026 net profits projected at 4.236 billion yuan and 5.571 billion yuan respectively, reflecting a robust growth trajectory [4][5] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved total revenue of 24.462 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 18.43%, and a net profit of 1.960 billion yuan, up 107.69% [4][5] - For Q1 2025, the company reported revenue of 5.800 billion yuan, a 6.05% increase year-on-year, and a net profit of 0.809 billion yuan, up 160.64% [4] Market Position - The company is a leader in the refrigerant market, benefiting from favorable pricing trends and regulatory support through the implementation of third-generation refrigerant quotas [4][5] - The average price changes for various products include a 32.69% increase in refrigerants and a 23.19% increase in fluorochemical raw materials [4] Future Outlook - The company is expected to see continued growth in net profits, with projections for 2025 and 2026 at 4.236 billion yuan and 5.571 billion yuan respectively, and an additional forecast for 2027 at 6.466 billion yuan [4][5] - The expected earnings per share (EPS) for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are projected to be 1.57 yuan, 2.06 yuan, and 2.40 yuan respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings ratios (PE) of 17.20X, 13.07X, and 11.26X [4][5]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the company with a target price of RMB 32.75, compared to the current price of RMB 25.41 [1][8]. Core Views - The company is expected to experience significant growth in 2024 and Q1 2025, with revenue and net profit for 2024 projected at RMB 24.46 billion and RMB 1.96 billion, respectively, representing year-on-year increases of 18.43% and 107.69% [8]. - The company benefits from a strong position in the refrigerant market, particularly in the third-generation refrigerants, as demand continues to grow due to favorable quota policies and increasing downstream demand [1][8]. Financial Summary - Revenue and net profit for 2024 are projected to be RMB 24.46 billion and RMB 1.96 billion, respectively, with a year-on-year growth of 18.43% and 107.69% [2][8]. - For Q4 2024, revenue and net profit are expected to reach RMB 6.56 billion and RMB 0.70 billion, showing a year-on-year increase of 41.21% and 256.83% [8]. - The company’s EPS for 2025 and 2026 is forecasted to be RMB 1.31 and RMB 1.57, with an additional forecast of RMB 1.78 for 2027 [8]. Market Position and Demand - The company holds a 34% share of the refrigerant quotas, with significant production quotas for R32, R125A, and R134A [8]. - The demand for refrigerants is expected to remain strong, driven by the growth in air conditioning, refrigeration, and emerging overseas markets [8]. Price Trends - The report notes that refrigerant prices have increased significantly, with a year-on-year rise of 32.69% in 2024 [8]. - As of April 25, 2025, the prices for various refrigerants are reported as follows: R22 at RMB 36,000/ton, R134A at RMB 47,000/ton, R125 at RMB 45,000/ton, R32 at RMB 48,000/ton, and R410A at RMB 48,000/ton, with notable monthly and quarterly increases [8]. Strategic Investments - The company is investing in advanced industries, including high-end fluoropolymers and fourth-generation refrigerants, with a significant project in Gansu involving an investment of RMB 19.63 billion [8].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company has significantly improved its performance due to the rising demand for refrigerants, with a notable increase in revenue and net profit [4] - The implementation of the third-generation refrigerant quotas has optimized the supply-demand and competitive landscape, leading to a substantial increase in refrigerant prices [4] - The company is positioned as a global leader in refrigerants and is expected to benefit from the ongoing uptrend in the refrigerant market [4] Summary by Relevant Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 24.462 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 18.43%, and a net profit of 1.960 billion yuan, up 107.69% [4] - For Q1 2025, the company reported a revenue of 5.800 billion yuan, a 6.05% increase year-on-year, and a net profit of 0.809 billion yuan, up 160.64% [4] - The average prices of refrigerants have increased significantly, with R22, R32, R134a, and R125 prices rising by 84.62%, 172.46%, 66.07%, and 62.16% respectively compared to January 2024 [4] Market Dynamics - The demand for refrigerants is expected to continue rising, supported by a 9.9% year-on-year increase in household air conditioner production in May 2025 [4] - The company completed fixed asset investments of 2.467 billion yuan in 2024, with 125 ongoing projects to enhance its industrial chain [4] Profit Forecast and Valuation - The profit forecast for 2025-2026 has been revised upwards, with expected net profits of 4.236 billion yuan and 5.571 billion yuan respectively [4] - The earnings per share (EPS) for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are projected to be 1.57 yuan, 2.06 yuan, and 2.40 yuan, with corresponding price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios of 17.20X, 13.07X, and 11.26X [4][5]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is Neutral (maintained rating) [5] Core Viewpoints - In Q1 2025, the proportion of public fund holdings in the basic chemical sector slightly increased quarter-on-quarter but decreased year-on-year, with a market value proportion of 3.32% [2][13] - The basic chemical stocks accounted for 3.53% of the A-share market, showing a year-on-year decrease of 0.11 percentage points [2][13] - The number of stocks held by public funds in the basic chemical sector reached 146, an increase of 4 stocks year-on-year and 21 stocks quarter-on-quarter [3][20] Summary by Sections 1. Event - Public funds are required to disclose their top ten heavy stocks within 15 days after the end of each quarter, and the report analyzes the top heavy stocks in the basic chemical industry for Q1 2025 [1][12] 2. Holdings Change - The heavy stock holding ratio in the basic chemical sector increased slightly by 0.05 percentage points quarter-on-quarter but decreased by 0.49 percentage points year-on-year [2][13] - The basic chemical industry is underweighted by 0.2%, with a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 0.04 percentage points [2][13] - The oil and chemical sector saw a significant increase in public fund holdings since Q3 2020, but the proportion dropped to 0.4% in Q1 2025, a decrease of 0.74 percentage points year-on-year [2][18] 3. Individual Stock Analysis - The top five heavy stocks in Q1 2025 are Wanhua Chemical, Juhua Co., Sailun Tire, Hualu Hengsheng, and Satellite Chemical, with Satellite Chemical replacing China National Petroleum in the top five [4][29] - The number of companies in the agricultural chemical sector remains the highest among the top 50 heavy stocks, with 9 companies, accounting for 18% [4][29] 4. Market Preference Analysis - The proportion of holdings in industry leaders has decreased, with a shift towards small and mid-cap stocks [5] - Stocks with a market capitalization of over 500 billion accounted for 33.7% of the total market value of the top 50 chemical stocks, a decrease of 7.49 percentage points [5]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating for basic chemicals and oil & gas is maintained at "Overweight" [6] Core Viewpoints - The industry is experiencing a bottoming phase in profitability for bulk chemicals in 2024, with signs of recovery in downstream demand beginning in Q1 2025 [2][19] - The oil price has been under pressure due to geopolitical tensions and OPEC+ production cuts, leading to a decline in profitability across the oil and gas value chain [10][14] - The overall revenue for the basic chemicals and oil & gas sector in 2024 was 1,031.71 billion, with a net profit of 49.85 billion, reflecting a year-on-year decline of 1% and 0.8% respectively [12][18] Summary by Sections 2024 Annual Overview - The oil and gas sector remains relatively strong, while bulk cyclical products are facing profitability challenges [3][14] - The chemical industry is waiting for a supply-demand turning point, with 21 out of 35 sub-industries showing positive performance in A-shares [14][16] Q1 2025 Performance - In Q1 2025, the oil price decline has led to a decrease in profitability for the oil and gas sector, while downstream products are showing initial signs of recovery [19][20] - The revenue for Q1 2025 was 25,157 billion, with a net profit of 1,426 billion, indicating a year-on-year decline of 4% and 3% respectively, but a quarter-on-quarter increase of 2% and 78% [12][23] Industry Outlook - The second half of 2025 is expected to see an upward trend, driven by improved domestic and external demand, as well as capital expenditure recovery [5][10] - Recommended stocks include Meihua Biological, Xinghuo Technology, and others, which are expected to benefit from the recovery in the chemical industry [8][5]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [9]. Core Views - The company reported significant growth in Q1 2025, with revenue reaching 5.8 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 6.0% but a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 11.5%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 810 million yuan, up 160.6% year-on-year and 15.2% quarter-on-quarter. The net profit after deducting non-recurring gains and losses was 790 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 173.9% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 9.7% [2][6]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 5.8 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 6.0% and a quarter-on-quarter decline of 11.5%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 810 million yuan, marking a year-on-year increase of 160.6% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 15.2%. The net profit after deducting non-recurring items was 790 million yuan, up 173.9% year-on-year and 9.7% quarter-on-quarter [2][6]. Business Segment Analysis - The core business of refrigerants saw a significant price increase year-on-year. The external sales volume of refrigerants reached 70,000 tons, a year-on-year increase of 4.1%, with an average price of 37,500 yuan per ton, up 58.1% year-on-year and 27.8% quarter-on-quarter. The average prices for various refrigerants in the domestic market also showed substantial increases compared to the previous quarter [11][11]. Profitability Metrics - The company experienced a substantial increase in profit margins, with a gross margin of 28.4%, up 13.7 percentage points year-on-year and 9.4 percentage points quarter-on-quarter. The net margin was 15.5%, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 9.5% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 3.5% [11]. Market Outlook - The outlook for the refrigerant market remains positive, with expectations for further price increases in both domestic and international markets. The company is well-positioned to benefit from the industry's recovery, with projected revenues of 4.72 billion yuan, 5.72 billion yuan, and 7.68 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [11].

Core Viewpoint - The petrochemical industry investment strategy for May 2025 highlights a positive economic outlook driven by proactive fiscal policies and increased domestic consumption confidence, alongside a growing global interest in China's artificial intelligence sector [1][2]. Economic Overview - Since late September 2024, a series of domestic policies have been implemented, leading to a noticeable effect on the economy. In 2024, China's GDP reached 134.9 trillion RMB, marking a 5% increase from the previous year [2]. - In Q1 2025, China's GDP at current prices was 31,875.8 billion RMB, with a year-on-year growth of 5.4% at constant prices, indicating steady economic growth [2]. Policy Environment - The Central Political Bureau meeting on April 25 emphasized the need for more proactive macroeconomic policies in response to escalating US-China trade tensions and external uncertainties. The focus will be on expanding consumption and boosting domestic demand [2]. Industry Performance - In April 2025, the comprehensive PMI output index was 50.2%, a decrease of 1.2 percentage points from the previous month. The manufacturing production index fell to 49.8%, down 2.8 percentage points, indicating a decline in manufacturing activity [3]. - Despite a drop in international oil prices by over 15% in April due to increased production by OPEC and trade tensions, the expected price range for Brent crude is projected to be between $65-70 per barrel and WTI at $60-65 per barrel for 2025 [3]. Investment Recommendations - Key investment areas for May 2025 include potassium fertilizers, refrigerants, aramid paper, civil explosives, and pentaerythritol, with specific companies recommended for each sector: - **Potassium Fertilizers**: Global prices are rebounding, and there is a domestic demand gap. Recommended company: **Yaqi International** [4]. - **Refrigerants**: The market outlook is positive due to tightening long-term quotas and increased air conditioning production. Recommended companies: **Juhua Co.** and **Sanmei Co.** [4][7]. - **Aramid Paper**: Demand is increasing due to applications in electrical insulation and honeycomb core materials. Recommended company: **Tongyi Zhong** [4]. - **Civil Explosives**: The industry is experiencing improved profitability due to stable demand and declining costs. Recommended company: **Guangdong Hongda** [5]. - **Pentaerythritol**: Anticipated price increases due to low inventory levels and high demand from the PCB sector [5]. Investment Portfolio - The investment portfolio for this month includes: - **Yaqi International**: A rare potassium fertilizer producer with expanding capacity - **Bailong Chuangyuan**: A long-term growth "small giant" in functional sugars - **Tongyi Zhong**: A company with a full industrial chain layout for UHMWPE fibers - **Guangdong Hongda**: A leading integrated service provider in the civil explosives sector [6].

Investment Rating - The report indicates a positive outlook for the chemical industry, suggesting a new cycle may begin due to improved domestic supply and demand, increased global market share, and declining crude oil prices [3][4]. Core Viewpoints - The chemical industry is expected to enter a new cycle driven by domestic supply-demand improvements and global market share growth, despite potential short-term impacts from overseas demand [3][5]. - The report highlights that the supply side is gradually improving due to reduced fixed asset investment growth and government policies aimed at curbing excessive competition [5][10]. - On the demand side, domestic consumption is anticipated to recover steadily, supported by government initiatives to boost consumption and stabilize the economy [26][33]. - Cost factors are favorable, with significant declines in international crude oil and domestic coal prices, which will support the profitability of chemical products [42][49]. - The report recommends specific companies within various segments of the chemical industry, including refrigerants, amino acids, military and new materials, and fertilizers, indicating potential investment opportunities [5][57]. Summary by Sections Supply Side - The report notes that the chemical industry has faced profitability pressures since 2022, but the current production cycle is nearing its end, which may lead to gradual improvement in profitability as capacity is digested [11][12]. - China's global market share in chemical products has been steadily increasing, with 2023 figures showing a 43.1% share of global sales [25][20]. Demand Side - The report emphasizes that domestic demand is expected to recover, aided by government policies aimed at stimulating consumption and investment [26][33]. - The real estate sector shows signs of stabilization, which could further support demand for chemical products [33]. Cost Side - The report highlights a significant decline in crude oil prices, with Brent crude falling by 14.71% since the beginning of 2025, which is expected to positively impact the cost structure of the chemical industry [42][38]. - Domestic coal and natural gas prices have also shown a downward trend, enhancing the cost competitiveness of chemical products [49][47]. Valuation - The report indicates that the valuation of the basic chemical and petrochemical sectors is at historical lows, suggesting substantial room for recovery as market conditions improve [54][50].

浙江巨化股份有限公司（以下简称"公司"）于 2025 年 4 月 25 日发布《公 司 2024 年年度报告》、2025 年 4 月 29 日发布《公司 2025 年第一季度报告》， 为便于广大投资者更全面深入地了解公司2024年度和2025年第一季度的经营成 果、财务状况，公司计划于 2025 年 5 月 20 日（星期二）下午 15:00-16:00 举行 2024 年度暨 2025 年第一季度业绩说明会，就投资者关心的问题进行交流。 股票代码：600160 股票简称：巨化股份 公告编号：临 2025-24 浙江巨化股份有限公司 关于召开 2024 年度暨 2025 年第一季度业绩说明会的公告 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈述或者重大遗 漏，并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承担个别及连带责任。 重要内容提示： （网址：https://roadshow.sseinfo.com/） 会议召开方式：上证路演中心视频直播和网络互动 投资者可于 2025 年 5 月 13 日 （星期二） 至 5 月 19 日 （星期一） 16:00 前登录上证路演中心网站首页点击"提问预征集"栏 ...

巨化股份 2024 年年度股东大会会议资料 2024 年年度股东大会会议资料 浙江巨化股份有限公司 2025 年 5 月 15 日 1 巨化股份 2024 年年度股东大会会议资料 目 录 | 2024 | 年年度股东大会议程 3 | | --- | --- | | 2024 | 年年度股东大会议事规则及注意事项 5 | | 审议议案： | | | 1、公司董事会 2024 | 年度工作报告 7 | | 2、公司监事会 2024 | 年度工作报告 35 | | 3、公司 2024 | 年年度报告及摘要 39 | | 4、公司 2024 | 年度财务决算报告 40 | | 5、公司 2025 | 年度财务预算报告 46 | | 6、公司 2024 | 年度利润分配方案 51 | | 7、关于聘请 2025 | 年度财务和内部控制审计机构以及支付 2024 年度审计机构报酬的 | | 议案 | 5 2 | | 8、关于为子公司申请银行（金融机构）贷款提供担保的议案 55 | | | 9、公司日常关联交易 | 2024 年度计划执行情况与 2025 年度计划的议案 58 | | 10、关于公司与巨化集团财务有限责任公 ...