Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the petrochemical industry [9] Core Insights - The petrochemical industry is experiencing a downturn in revenue and net profit due to pressures from real estate and infrastructure, as well as global trade tensions, but the industry is nearing historical lows in terms of profitability [2][6] - There is a notable divergence in profitability among sub-industries, with downstream processing, coal chemical, and gas chemical sectors showing positive growth, indicating structural investment opportunities [2][6] - Key investment opportunities are identified in high-quality growth, growth potential, and high dividend yield sectors [2][7] Summary by Sections Industry Performance Overview - The petrochemical sector's revenue and net profit are projected to decline in 2024 and Q1 2025, with overall revenue for 2024 estimated at approximately 8,210.4 billion yuan, a decrease of 3.02% year-on-year, and net profit at about 395.0 billion yuan, down 0.54% [21][22] - For Q1 2025, revenue is expected to be around 200.5 billion yuan, reflecting a 6.14% decline, with net profit decreasing by 4.43% [21][22] Sub-Industry Analysis - The performance of various sub-sectors in 2024 shows mixed results: - Petrochemical (-0.54%) - Oil and gas services and equipment (-7.61%) - Energy extraction (4.87%) - Oil and gas storage and sales (-35.41%) - Traditional refining (-19.10%) - Private refining (-38.09%) - Coal and gas chemicals (19.21%) - Downstream processing (117.14%) [6][22] - In Q1 2025, the performance continues to vary: - Petrochemical (-4.43%) - Oil and gas services and equipment (18.13%) - Energy extraction (-2.48%) - Oil and gas storage and sales (-2.43%) - Traditional refining (-28.31%) - Private refining (-9.55%) - Coal and gas chemicals (65.79%) - Downstream processing (55.26%) [6][22] Investment Focus - The report emphasizes three main investment themes: 1. Gradual recovery in the industry, favoring quality leading companies with rising volumes and prices [7] 2. Opportunities in high-end materials and technology import substitution, particularly in POE and ethylene technology [7] 3. Stable cash flow and high dividend yields, particularly in central and state-owned enterprises, which may see a revaluation [7][8] Recommended Stocks - Key stocks to focus on include: - High-quality growth: Satellite Chemical, Baofeng Energy, Zhongman Petroleum, New Natural Gas, and Guanghui Energy - High-end material import substitution: AkzoNobel and Dingjide - Beneficiaries of coal chemical investments in regions like Xinjiang and Shanxi: Aerospace Engineering - Recovery plays: Huajin Co., Hengli Petrochemical, Rongsheng Petrochemical, Dongfang Shenghong, and Hengyi Petrochemical - High dividend stocks: CNOOC, PetroChina, and Sinopec [8]

Core Viewpoint - The China Oil and Gas Industry Index has shown a decline in recent trading sessions, reflecting broader market trends and specific sector performance [1][2]. Group 1: Index Performance - The China Oil and Gas Industry Index (H30198) opened lower and fell by 1.04%, closing at 1751.37 points with a trading volume of 13.948 billion yuan [1]. - Over the past month, the index has increased by 4.60%, but it has decreased by 1.07% over the last three months and is down 4.38% year-to-date [1]. Group 2: Index Composition - The index includes companies involved in oil and gas exploration, equipment manufacturing, transportation, sales, refining, and primary petrochemical production [1]. - The top ten weighted companies in the index are: China National Petroleum (10.46%), China National Offshore Oil (9.96%), Sinopec (9.54%), Guanghui Energy (5.02%), and others [1]. - The index is primarily composed of companies listed on the Shanghai Stock Exchange (70.91%) and the Shenzhen Stock Exchange (29.09%) [1]. Group 3: Sector Allocation - The sector allocation of the index shows that energy constitutes 61.44%, materials 20.57%, industrials 15.14%, finance 1.77%, and utilities 1.08% [2]. - The index samples are adjusted biannually, with changes implemented on the next trading day following the second Friday of June and December [2].

Raw Materials and Spot Prices - As of May 14, the market price of butadiene in Shandong is 11,600 yuan/ton, an increase of 1,000 yuan [1] - The CIF price of butadiene in China is 1,030 USD/ton, with no change [1] - The market price of styrene-butadiene rubber (BR9000) in Shandong Qilu Petrochemical is 12,650 yuan/ton, up by 500 yuan [1] - The price difference for styrene-butadiene rubber-Taiwan mix is -2,270 yuan, an increase of 350 yuan [1] - The basis is 270 yuan, up by 325 yuan [1] Production and Operating Rates - In April, China's butadiene production was 443,100 tons, a decrease of 3.8% month-on-month [2] - The production of styrene-butadiene rubber was 121,500 tons, down by 5.2% month-on-month [2] - The production of semi-steel tires was 55.39 million units, a decrease of 7.2% month-on-month, and a year-on-year decrease of 0.77% [2] - The production of all-steel tires was 13.08 million units, down by 4.5% month-on-month, and a year-on-year decrease of 3.4% [2] - As of May 8, the operating rate of the butadiene industry was 69.4%, an increase of 0.7% [2] - The operating rate of high-styrene butadiene rubber was 74.7%, an increase of 4% [2] - The operating rate of semi-steel tire manufacturers was 46.7%, a decrease of 30% [2] - The operating rate of all-steel tire manufacturers was 41.7%, a decrease of 30% [2] Inventory Levels - As of May 14, the port inventory of butadiene was 30,870 tons, a decrease of 6,030 tons [3] - The factory inventory of styrene-butadiene rubber was 26,650 tons, down by 1,000 tons, a decrease of 3.6% [3] - The inventory of traders was 5,470 tons, down by 430 tons, a decrease of 7.3% [3] Market Insights - As of May 14, the inventory of butadiene at East China ports was approximately 30,870 tons, significantly down by 6,030 tons [4] - Recent shipments to ports have been limited, and downstream raw material inventories are being consumed normally, leading to a significant decrease in port inventories [4] - By May 14, 2025, the inventory of high-styrene butadiene rubber in sample enterprises was 32,100 tons, down by 1,400 tons, a decrease of 4.26% [4] - The price of butadiene continues to rise due to strong demand and unexpected supply-side maintenance, while production costs for styrene-butadiene rubber have surged [4] - The easing of US-China tariff issues has positively impacted the market, although challenges remain for the automotive and parts sectors [4] Analysis - On May 14, Hengli Petrochemical's butadiene unit underwent temporary maintenance, leading to a significant increase in BR prices, with the main contract BR2506 closing at 12,580 yuan/ton, a rise of 3.7% [5] - The butadiene market is currently experiencing strong supply-demand dynamics, with high downstream operating rates and rising supplier prices [5] - Despite the short-term strength in costs, medium-term upward drivers appear limited due to increased supply of styrene-butadiene rubber and potential demand declines from the automotive sector [5] - The natural rubber market is under pressure due to delayed harvesting in Thailand, while domestic production is progressing smoothly [5] Operational Recommendations - It is suggested to adopt a low-price strategy for BR2507-BR2509 [6] - The short-term outlook indicates a strong market trend [6]

Textile Industry Overview - The textile industry in China has a wide range of products, with import and export statistics categorized under the HS codes specified by the World Customs Organization [1] - The total import and export value of the textile industry in China has shown significant fluctuations from 2015 to 2024, with a notable decline in trade scale in 2023 [2] Import Situation - From 2015 to 2024, the import value of China's textile industry fluctuated between 21 billion to 28 billion USD, peaking at 27.73 billion USD in 2021, a 20.2% increase year-on-year [4] - The textile imports have been on a downward trend from 2022 to 2024, with a significant drop of 58.1% in the first two months of 2025 compared to the same period last year [4] Export Situation - The export scale of China's textile industry has remained substantial, consistently around 300 billion USD over the past decade, increasing from 262.87 billion USD in 2016 to 323.34 billion USD in 2022, with a compound annual growth rate of 3.51% [8] - In 2023, exports to major markets such as the US, EU, and Japan decreased by 9.2%, but are projected to rebound to 301.10 billion USD in 2024, a 2.5% increase year-on-year [11] - The export value in the first two months of 2025 was 42.88 billion USD, reflecting a 4.9% decline compared to the same period in 2024 [11] Price Trends - The price index for imported textile products has shown fluctuations, with a maximum variation of less than 10% from 2015 to 2024, and a 2.47% decrease in 2024 compared to the previous year [6] - The export price index for textile products has also experienced volatility, with a notable increase of 10.27% in December 2022, while the index for 2024 was recorded at 94.03, indicating a decline for two consecutive years [12]

Core Viewpoint - The major refining companies are focusing on extending their products into high-end fields and increasing the production capacity of high-end fine chemical products, downstream new energy, and new material products in 2024 [1][6]. Group 1: Company Performance - The combined net profit of four major private refining companies is approximately 5.71 billion yuan, a nearly 40% decline compared to the same period in 2023 [1]. - Hengli Petrochemical leads with a net profit of 7.04 billion yuan, being the only company among the four to achieve growth in both revenue and net profit, although the growth rate has significantly slowed from nearly 198% in 2023 to 2.01% in 2024 [1][2]. - Rongsheng Petrochemical and Hengyi Petrochemical reported net profits of 720 million yuan and 230 million yuan, respectively, with declines of 37.44% and 46.28% year-on-year [1][2]. - Dongfang Shenghong is the only company reporting a net loss of nearly 2.3 billion yuan, compared to a profit of 720 million yuan in the same period last year [1]. Group 2: Industry Challenges - The refining and petrochemical industry is facing a deep adjustment period, with many companies experiencing a situation where "increased production does not lead to increased profits" due to low product prices [2]. - Despite a 2.1% year-on-year increase in revenue for the petrochemical industry, total profits are expected to decline by 8.8% to 789.71 billion yuan, marking the third consecutive year of profit decline [2][6]. - The industry is characterized by a structural contradiction of "overcapacity in low-end products and a shortage in high-end products," necessitating deep adjustments and technological upgrades [6]. Group 3: Strategic Focus - Companies are planning to enhance their product offerings in high-end sectors, focusing on industries such as new energy vehicles, aerospace, and semiconductors, while increasing the production capacity of high-end fine chemical products and downstream new energy and new materials [6]. - Hengli Petrochemical emphasizes its integrated layout and large-scale facilities as a "cost moat," which helps in reducing operational and logistics costs [3]. - Hengyi Petrochemical plans to steadily advance the second phase of its Brunei refining project to increase its market share overseas and enhance profitability [6].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the oil and petrochemical industry, suggesting investment opportunities in high-quality refining companies and upstream service providers [2][4]. Core Insights - The European refining sector is undergoing significant restructuring due to declining demand, aging facilities, and reduced profitability, with refining capacity decreasing by 4.2 million barrels per day since 2005, a drop of over 23% [4][5]. - The average age of European refineries is 66 years, significantly higher than the global average of 51 years, leading to increased maintenance costs and declining competitiveness [7][10]. - High natural gas prices continue to exert pressure on refinery profitability, with expectations that European gas prices will remain elevated, negatively impacting operational costs [10][12]. - Several refineries are expected to shut down in 2025, including Shell's Rheinland refinery and BP's Gelsenkirchen refinery, collectively removing 390,000 barrels per day of capacity [12][13]. Summary by Sections Upstream Sector - As of May 9, 2025, Brent crude futures closed at $63.91 per barrel, a week-on-week increase of 4.27%, while WTI futures rose by 4.68% to $41.02 per barrel [19]. - U.S. commercial crude oil inventories decreased by 2.032 million barrels to 438 million barrels, which is 7% lower than the five-year average for this time of year [21][22]. - The number of active drilling rigs in the U.S. decreased by 6 to 578, a year-on-year decline of 25 rigs [19][30]. Refining Sector - The Singapore refining margin for major products was $10.90 per barrel as of May 9, 2025, down by $6.31 from the previous week [53]. - The price spread for ethylene was $245.67 per ton, up by $30.80 from the previous week, while propylene saw a decrease in its price spread [4][50]. Polyester Sector - PTA prices increased to an average of 4551.67 RMB per ton, reflecting a week-on-week rise of 0.75% [4][50]. - The overall performance of the polyester industry remains average, with a need to monitor demand changes closely [4][50]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on leading refining companies such as Hengli Petrochemical, Rongsheng Petrochemical, and Dongfang Shenghong due to expected improvements in cost structures and competitive positioning [4][14]. - It also highlights the potential for recovery in the valuation of companies like Satellite Chemical and Tongkun Co., given the anticipated easing of tariffs affecting polyester demand [4][14].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the basic chemicals and oil and gas sectors [4]. Core Viewpoints - The overall price spread in the industry improved in April 2025, with downstream sectors expected to recover first due to cost reduction and demand improvement [1][8]. - The April PMI data indicates a slight contraction in the chemical raw materials and products industry, suggesting ongoing supply-demand mismatches [1][11]. - The report anticipates a recovery starting in the second half of 2025, driven by improved domestic demand and exports to Asia, Africa, and Latin America [1][11]. Summary by Sections Supply and Demand Dynamics - The price spread for downstream chemical products improved in April due to supply constraints and seasonal demand replenishment, while midstream products still await recovery [2][8]. - The April PMI data was reported at 49, indicating a contraction in the chemical sector, but a recovery is expected as domestic economic conditions improve [11][24]. Investment Strategy - The report suggests that the second half of 2025 may mark the beginning of an upward trend, with a focus on resilient internal and external demand and improved competitive landscapes [3][32]. - Recommended stocks include China Petroleum, Hengli Petrochemical, and Juhua Co., with a focus on companies with strong dividend yields and cost reduction capabilities [6][32]. Key Recommendations - The report highlights specific companies for investment based on their competitive positioning and potential for recovery, including: - China Petroleum (601857 CH) with a target price of 9.79 and an "Overweight" rating [6]. - Hengli Petrochemical (600346 CH) with a target price of 17.55 and an "Overweight" rating [6]. - Juhua Co. (600160 CH) with a target price of 31.92 and a "Buy" rating [6]. - Other recommended companies include Dongyue Group, Luxi Chemical, Meihua Biological Technology, and Xinghuo Technology [6][32].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the petrochemical industry for 2024 and Q1 2025, indicating a recovery in downstream refining and polyester sectors while upstream oil and gas sectors continue to perform well [1][20]. Core Insights - Oil prices experienced a decline in Q4 2024 followed by a slight recovery in Q1 2025, with Brent crude averaging $74.0 per barrel in Q4 2024, down 6.0% quarter-on-quarter and 10.7% year-on-year, and $75.0 per barrel in Q1 2025, up 1.3% quarter-on-quarter but down 8.3% year-on-year [1][20]. - The upstream oil and gas sector remains robust, with Q1 2025 revenues reaching CNY 16,413.7 billion, a 5.9% increase quarter-on-quarter despite a 6.8% year-on-year decline, and net profits of CNY 1,058.0 billion, up 63.9% quarter-on-quarter [1][20]. - Downstream refining and chemical sectors are showing signs of recovery, with Q1 2025 revenues of CNY 17,279.3 billion, a 4.9% increase quarter-on-quarter, and net profits of CNY 703.6 billion, up 64.1% quarter-on-quarter [1][20]. Summary by Sections Upstream Oil and Gas Sector - The upstream oil and gas sector continues to maintain high profitability, with Q1 2025 net profit margins at 20.6%, reflecting cost improvements from efficiency measures [1][20]. - The overall revenue for the upstream sector in Q4 2024 was CNY 15,497 billion, down 6.2% year-on-year, while Q1 2025 saw a revenue of CNY 16,413.7 billion, down 6.8% year-on-year but up 5.9% quarter-on-quarter [1][20]. Downstream Refining Sector - The downstream refining sector has shown recovery with Q1 2025 revenues of CNY 17,279.3 billion, down 7.3% year-on-year but up 4.9% quarter-on-quarter, and net profits of CNY 703.6 billion, reflecting a significant quarter-on-quarter increase [1][20]. - The gross margin for the refining sector in Q1 2025 was 17.4%, indicating a slight year-on-year improvement despite a quarter-on-quarter decline [1][20]. Price Trends and Margins - The report highlights that the price differentials for various petrochemical products have shown fluctuations, with Q4 2024 and Q1 2025 seeing changes in margins for products like propylene and acrylic acid [1][10][16]. - The Brent crude oil price is projected to maintain a mid-to-high level in 2025, with expectations of a "U" shaped recovery in oil prices, supporting the overall profitability of oil companies [1][20].

北京市天元律师事务所 关于恒力石化股份有限公司 召开 2024 年年度股东大会的法律意见 京天股字（2025）第 169 号 致：恒力石化股份有限公司 恒力石化股份有限公司（以下简称"公司"）2024 年年度股东大会（以下简 称"本次股东大会"）采取现场投票与网络投票相结合的方式召开，其中现场会议 于 2025 年 5 月 8 日在苏州市吴江区盛泽镇南麻工业区恒力路一号召开。北京市天 元律师事务所（以下简称"本所"）接受公司聘任，指派本所律师参加本次股东大 会现场会议，并根据《中华人民共和国公司法》、《中华人民共和国证券法》（以下 简称"《证券法》"）、《上市公司股东会规则》（以下简称"《股东会规则》"） 以及《恒力石化股份有限公司章程》（以下简称"《公司章程》"）等有关规定， 就本次股东大会的召集、召开程序、出席现场会议人员的资格、召集人资格、会议 表决程序及表决结果等事项出具本法律意见。 为出具本法律意见，本所律师审查了《恒力石化股份有限公司第九届董事会第 二十六次会议决议公告》、《恒力石化股份有限公司第九届监事会第十七次会议决议 公告》、《恒力石化股份有限公司关于召开 2024 年年度股东大会的通知》（ ...

恒力石化股份有限公司 证券代码：600346 证券简称：恒力石化 公告编号：2025-035 恒力石化股份有限公司 2024年年度股东大会决议公告 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈述 或者重大遗漏，并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承担法律责任。 重要内容提示： 本次会议是否有否决议案：无 一、 会议召开和出席情况 | 1、出席会议的股东和代理人人数 | 618 | | --- | --- | | 2、出席会议的股东所持有表决权的股份总数（股） | 5,846,599,179 | | 3、出席会议的股东所持有表决权股份数占公司有表决权股 | | | 份总数的比例（%） | 83.0589 | (四) 表决方式是否符合《公司法》及《公司章程》的规定，大会主持情况等。 本次股东大会由公司董事会提议召开，董事长范红卫女士主持会议，采取现 场投票和网络投票相结合的表决方式。会议的召集、召开及表决均符合《公司法》 和《公司章程》等相关法律法规的规定。 (一) 股东大会召开的时间：2025 年 5 月 8 日 (二) 股东大会召开的地点：苏州市吴江区盛泽镇南麻工业区恒力路一号 (三) 出席 ...