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亚洲材料行业:衰退担忧缓解,近期回调后更看好铜和铝
2025-04-15 07:00
Summary of Key Points from the Conference Call Industry Overview - **Industry Focus**: Asia Materials, specifically copper and aluminium sectors - **Market Sentiment**: Easing of recession fears and a recent rally in shares of copper and aluminium companies, with declines of 11% and 10% respectively over the past five trading days, compared to -2% for the cement sector and -8% for HSCEI [1][5] Core Insights - **Recession Concerns**: Global recession fears appear overblown, especially after the US President's decision to pause reciprocal tariffs for 90 days, suggesting a potential rebound in commodity prices and share prices for copper and aluminium [1][5] - **Supply-Demand Dynamics**: Positive supply-demand dynamics expected to support a rebound in commodity prices, with month-on-month improvements in operating rates for copper and aluminium in March due to seasonal demand recovery [1][5] - **Government Stimulus**: New government stimulus in energy transition, consumption, or the property sector could further support demand growth for industrial metals [1][5] Company-Specific Insights - **MMG Limited**: Upgraded from Hold to Buy due to high earnings sensitivity to copper price movements. Expected year-on-year earnings growth in 2025 driven by the ramp-up of Chalcobamba [2][5] - **Zijin Mining**: Maintained Buy ratings for both H/A shares, with a target price of HKD21.00 for H-shares and RMB21.90 for A-shares, reflecting stable output growth and M&A efforts [2][29] - **CMOC**: Maintained Buy ratings with target prices unchanged at HKD7.60 for H-shares and RMB8.60 for A-shares, supported by strong fundamentals [2][29] - **Jiangxi Copper**: Maintained Reduce rating due to ongoing headwinds from lower TC/RC prices, with target prices of HKD10.10 for H-shares and RMB17.30 for A-shares [2][30] - **China Hongqiao**: Maintained Buy rating with a target price of HKD17.10, supported by strong fundamentals and an attractive dividend yield of approximately 10% [2][30] Additional Important Points - **Copper Supply Constraints**: Mine supply remains constrained, indicated by negative spot TC/RC prices. China's tariffs on the US are expected to reduce scrap copper imports, impacting refined copper production [1][5] - **Aluminium Operating Capacity**: Operating capacity for aluminium is nearing the 45 million tonnes cap, indicating potential shortages if demand increases due to new stimulus [1][5] - **Market Data**: Key market data and forecasts for copper and aluminium prices, sales, and production metrics were provided, indicating a positive outlook for the sector [6][31][33] Risks and Valuation - **Valuation Risks**: Risks include geopolitical conflicts, production delays, and fluctuations in metal prices. For Zijin Mining, downside risks include delays in new capacities and higher production costs due to inflation [29][30] - **Earnings Forecasts**: MMG is expected to deliver significant earnings growth, while Jiangxi Copper faces a decline in earnings due to lower contract TC/RC prices [31][32][30] This summary encapsulates the key insights and data points from the conference call, providing a comprehensive overview of the current state and outlook of the copper and aluminium sectors within the Asia Materials industry.
江西铜业(600362) - 江西铜业股份有限公司关于召开2024年度业绩说明会的公告

2025-04-10 09:00
证券代码:600362 证券简称:江西铜业 公告编号:临 2025-015 债券代码:137816 债券简称:22 江铜 01 江西铜业股份有限公司关于 召开 2024 年度业绩说明会的公告 本公司及董事会全体成员保证公告内容的真实、准确和完整,对公告 的虚假记载、误导性陈述或者重大遗漏负连带责任。 会议召开时间:2025 年 4 月 18 日(星期五)15:00-17:00。 会议召开方式:本次说明会通过上海证券交易所上证路演中心 (https://roadshow.sseinfo.com/)以网络互动方式召开。 投资者可于 2025 年 4 月 11 日(星期五)至 4 月 17 日(星期 四)16:00 前登录上证路演中心网站首页点击"提问预征集"栏目或通 过公司邮箱 jccl@jxcc.com 进行提问。公司将在说明会上对投资者普 遍关注的问题进行回答。 江西铜业股份有限公司(以下简称公司)已于 2025 年 3 月 28 日 发布了公司 2024 年年度报告。为使广大投资者更加全面、深入地了 解公司情况,公司决定召开业绩说明会,就投资者关心的问题进行交 流。 一、说明会类型 本次业绩说明会以视频结合 ...
江西铜业股份有限公司关于控股股东增持公司股份进展的公告
Shang Hai Zheng Quan Bao· 2025-04-08 23:26
登录新浪财经APP 搜索【信披】查看更多考评等级 股票代码:600362 股票简称:江西铜业 公告编号:临2025-014 债券代码:137816 债券简称:22江铜01 江西铜业股份有限公司 关于控股股东增持公司股份进展的公告 本公司及董事会全体成员保证公告内容的真实、准确和完整,对公告的虚假记载、误导性陈述或者重大 遗漏负连带责任。 ● 增持计划情况:2024年12月13日,公司发布了《江西铜业股份有限公司关于控股股东增持公司H股股 份计划的公告》(公告编号:临2024-056),江铜集团拟累计增持H股股份数量不低于34,627,294股 (约占公司发行总股本的1%)但不超过69,254,588股(约占公司发行总股本的2%)。 ● 增持计划进展情况:自2024年12月12日至本公告日,江铜集团累计增持公司H股股份36,863,000股, 约占公司已发行股份的1.06%(占已发行H股股份的2.66%)。 ● 本次增持计划不触及要约收购,不会导致公司控股股东及实际控制人发生变化。 一、增持主体基本情况 (一)增持主体:江西铜业集团有限公司(以下简称江铜集团),为公司控股股东。 (二)首次增持前,江铜集团持有公 ...
江西铜业(600362) - 江西铜业股份有限公司关于控股股东增持公司股份进展的公告

2025-04-08 03:37
| 股票代码:600362 | 股票简称:江西铜业 | 公告编号:临2025-014 | | --- | --- | --- | | 债券代码:137816 | 债券简称:22 江铜 01 | | 江西铜业股份有限公司 关于控股股东增持公司股份进展的公告 本公司及董事会全体成员保证公告内容的真实、准确和完整,对公告的 虚假记载、误导性陈述或者重大遗漏负连带责任。 重要内容提示: 增持计划情况:2024 年 12 月 13 日,公司发布了《江西铜业 股份有限公司关于控股股东增持公司 H 股股份计划的公告》(公告编 号:临 2024-056),江铜集团拟累计增持 H 股股份数量不低于 34,627,294 股(约占公司发行总股本的 1%)但不超过 69,254,588 股(约占公司发行总股本的 2%)。 增持计划进展情况:自 2024 年 12 月 12 日至本公告日,江铜 集团累计增持公司 H 股股份 36,863,000 股,约占公司已发行股份的 1.06%(占已发行 H 股股份的 2.66%)。 本次增持计划不触及要约收购,不会导致公司控股股东及实际 控制人发生变化。 截至本公告披露日,江铜集团持有公司 1 ...
疯狂的铜价,也吓崩了
格隆汇APP· 2025-04-04 08:54
作者 | 独行侠 数据支持 | 勾股大 数 据(www.gogudata.com) 美国 "对等"关税震撼全球金融市场。隔夜,美股 三大股指均刷新近 5年来最大单日跌幅纪录 , 美元指数一日暴跌近 2%,10年期美债收益 率 盘中一度跌破 4%,创下自去年10月以来的最低水平。 但黄金稳如泰山。 昨日, COMEX黄金下跌不足1%,现价超3130美元/盎司,较年初的2640美元仍上涨18.8%,引发关注。 此前疯狂的铜也崩了,昨日大跌 4.5%,但今年以来仍大涨19.75%(期间最大涨幅高达34%),压过黄金之表现。 那么,接下来的铜怎么看?又孕育着什么机会呢? 01 今年 3月26日,美铜刷新历史新高,伦铜则超过10000美元,随后迎来一波剧烈调整。而此前轰轰烈烈的大涨,又是为何?我们不妨分阶段复 盘一下背后的驱动因素。 去年 11月初至12月,国际铜价迎来一波流畅下跌,回到当年8月担忧美国经济衰退时的水平。彼时,市场情绪悲观,交易 特朗普 上台,会兑 现竞选承诺,对外普征高额关税,扰动全球经济增长,进而影响铜需求。 翻年之后,铜价止跌快速上行( 1月2日-1月16日),其核心逻辑是 市场对特朗普关税政策预 ...
瑞达期货沪铜产业日报-2025-04-02
Rui Da Qi Huo· 2025-04-02 09:18
Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the content Core Viewpoints - The Shanghai copper main contract fluctuated weakly, with a decrease in open interest, a premium in the spot market, and a strengthening basis. Internationally, there are concerns about economic recession risks and the impact of tariffs on inflation and employment. Domestically, policies are promoting the use of intelligent terminal consumer goods. Fundamentally, the processing fees for copper concentrates continue to decline, and the supply of raw materials may become tighter. The domestic supply may decrease due to smelter maintenance and import window closure. On the demand side, the "Golden March and Silver April" peak season and positive macro - policies are expected to boost demand, but the impact of rising copper prices on downstream purchasing should not be ignored. Overall, the fundamentals of Shanghai copper may be in a stage of slightly reduced supply, steadily increasing demand, and positive expectations. In the options market, the sentiment is relatively balanced, and the implied volatility has slightly increased. Technically, the 60 - minute MACD shows red bars converging below the 0 - axis. The operation suggestion is to go long on dips with a light position and control the rhythm and trading risks [2] Summary by Relevant Catalogs Futures Market - The closing price of the Shanghai copper futures main contract was 79,890 yuan/ton, down 540 yuan; the LME 3 - month copper price was 9,695 dollars/ton, up 2 dollars. The spread between the main contract months was 30 yuan/ton, up 20 yuan; the open interest of the Shanghai copper main contract was 196,044 lots, down 2,275 lots. The net position of the top 20 futures holders of Shanghai copper was - 6,313 lots, up 905 lots. The LME copper inventory was 213,275 tons, up 1,900 tons; the Shanghai Futures Exchange (SHFE) cathode copper inventory was 235,296 tons, down 21,032 tons; the SHFE cathode copper warrant was 130,379 tons, down 2,856 tons [2] Spot Market - The SMM 1 copper spot price was 80,055 yuan/ton, up 40 yuan; the Yangtze River Non - Ferrous Metals Market 1 copper spot price was 80,115 yuan/ton, up 100 yuan. The CIF (bill of lading) price of Shanghai electrolytic copper was 98 dollars/ton, unchanged; the average premium of Yangshan copper was 66 dollars/ton, down 0.5 dollars. The basis of the CU main contract was 165 yuan/ton, up 580 yuan; the LME copper cash - to - 3 - month spread was - 71 dollars/ton, down 16.5 dollars [2] Upstream Situation - The import volume of copper ore and concentrates was 218.25 million tons, down 34.88 million tons. The TC of domestic copper smelters was - 24.14 dollars/thousand tons, down 1.26 dollars. The price of copper concentrates in Jiangxi was 70,380 yuan/metal ton, up 110 yuan; in Yunnan, it was 71,080 yuan/metal ton, up 110 yuan. The processing fees for crude copper in the south and north were 1,100 yuan/ton and 900 yuan/ton respectively, up 250 yuan and 100 yuan [2] Industry Situation - The output of refined copper was 124.20 million tons, up 10.90 million tons. The import volume of unwrought copper and copper products was 420,000 tons, unchanged. The social inventory of copper was 41.82 million tons, up 0.43 million tons. The price of 1 bright copper wire in Shanghai was 0 yuan/ton, down 57,590 yuan; the price of 2 copper (94 - 96%) in Shanghai was 67,750 yuan/ton, up 100 yuan. The ex - factory price of 98% sulfuric acid of Jiangxi Copper was 600 yuan/ton, unchanged [2] Downstream and Application - The output of copper products was 227.28 million tons, up 13.23 million tons. The cumulative completed investment in power grid infrastructure was 436.20 billion yuan, down 5,646.38 billion yuan. The cumulative completed investment in real estate development was 10,719.74 billion yuan, down 89,560.48 billion yuan. The monthly output of integrated circuits was 4,277,402,800 pieces, up 521,990,500 pieces [2] Options Situation - The 20 - day historical volatility of Shanghai copper was 14.02%, up 0.21 percentage points; the 40 - day historical volatility was 12.25%, up 0.12 percentage points. The implied volatility of the at - the - money options in the current month was 14.76%, up 0.0035 percentage points. The call - to - put ratio of at - the - money options was 1.11, up 0.0426 [2] Industry News - The US "reciprocal tariff" is about to be implemented on April 2. The EU has a counter - measure plan. Fed officials are concerned about the impact of tariffs on inflation and employment. The Caixin China Manufacturing PMI in March was 51.2, up 0.4 points from February. The Ministry of Commerce promotes the work of consumer goods replacement. The added value of the above - scale electronic information manufacturing industry from January to February increased by 10.6% year - on - year. New energy vehicle companies released their March sales results, with some achieving significant growth [2]
江西铜业营收微降扣非增54% 经营现金流减77%债务增百亿
Chang Jiang Shang Bao· 2025-04-01 00:32
长江商报消息 ●长江商报记者 沈右荣 中国最大的铜产品加工企业江西铜业(600362.SH)盈利能力仍然在提升。 最新披露的2024年年度报告显示,江西铜业实现营业收入约5209亿元,较上年略有下降;归属于母公司 股东的净利润(以下简称"归母净利润")接近70亿元,同比增长逾7%;扣除非经常性损益的净利润 (简称"扣非净利润")约83亿元,同比增长约54%。 归母净利润与扣非净利润之间相差约13亿元,源于非经常性损益。2024年,公司期货平仓亏损,投资净 收益出现大额亏损。 2024年,江西铜业财务承压。截至2024年底,公司货币资金303.76亿元,较上年末减少约50亿元,对应 的债务增加百亿左右。(均不含购买理财、关联方存款等) 投资收益拖累净利增速 江西铜业经营业绩继续保持了增长。 年报显示,2024年,江西铜业实现营业收入5209.28亿元,同比微降0.18%;归母净利润69.62亿元,同 比增长7.03%;扣非净利润82.87亿元,同比增长54.22%。 此前的2022年、2023年,公司实现的营业收入分别为4799.38亿元、5218.93亿元,同比增长8.40%、 8.74%;归母净利润分别为5 ...
江西铜业,九毛九,中创新航,快手,爱康医疗…高盛最新调研及评级汇总
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-03-31 05:26
Group 1: Jiangxi Copper (JXC) - The company reported a net profit of 6.9 billion RMB for 2024, with earnings per share of 2.0 RMB, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 2-3% [1] - Excluding one-time items, the recurring net profit reached 8.3 billion RMB, a 26% increase year-on-year, aligning with expectations and exceeding Bloomberg consensus [1] - The company announced a dividend of 0.698 RMB per share, with a payout ratio exceeding 35% [1] - The 2025 profit forecast was adjusted down by 2%, while the 2026 forecast was raised by 28%, incorporating the latest copper price predictions [1] - As a pure copper play, Jiangxi Copper is expected to benefit from high copper prices, maintaining recurring net profits in the range of 8.8 to 9.0 billion RMB [1] - The H-share valuation is attractive, with a projected P/E ratio of 5 times for 2025, and the target price is maintained at 21.8 HKD [1] Group 2: Jiumaojiu (9922.HK) - The company reported revenue and net profit for the second half of 2024 at 3 billion RMB and 16 million RMB, respectively, in line with previous profit warnings [3] - The net profit was 32 million RMB lower than market expectations due to higher-than-expected impairment losses [3] - Restaurant profitability exceeded expectations, with improved gross margins and lower rental expense ratios [3] - The company declared a dividend of 0.02 HKD, with a total payout ratio of approximately 92.5% for 2025 [3] - No specific store opening targets were set, with plans to adjust based on market conditions to ensure satisfactory performance [3] Group 3: Aikang Medical (1789.HK) - The company reported revenue of 689 million RMB for 2025, a year-on-year increase of 54.8%, and a net profit of 135 million RMB, up 172% [18] - The net profit margin is expected to stabilize around 20%, with gross margins improving due to increased sales of volume-based procurement products [19] - The company aims to capture more market share in top-tier hospitals, with market share in the top 10 hospitals increasing from 8% to 19% [20] - Overseas revenue grew by 21%, with a goal to increase the overseas revenue share from 20% to 30% over the next five years [21] - The second-generation knee joint robotic system is expected to receive regulatory approval in 2025, contributing to revenue growth [22]
江西铜业20250328
2025-03-31 02:41
江西铜业 20250328 摘要 Q&A 江西铜业 2024 年的财务表现如何? 江西铜业 2024 年实现惠民净利润 69.69 亿元,同比增长 7%。其中,第四季度 实现净利润 19.78 亿元,同比增长 27%,环比增长 45%。扣非归母净利润同比增 长 88%。 • 江西铜业 2024 年一级铜产量同比增长 9.28%至 222.9 万吨,黄金产量增长 4.99%至 118.2 吨,但白银因恒邦事故减产。硫酸和铜加工产品分别增长 1.4%和 4.21%。自产铜矿产量略降 1.14%至 19.97 万吨。 • 上饶铜箔项目一期投产约 3 万吨,未达满产,二期取消,最终产能预计 5 万吨。哈萨克斯坦钨矿项目已试生产,四季度产 2000 吨,2025 年计划产 7,000 吨。墨西哥选矿项目预计 2025 年中期或三季度投产,目标年产 5 万 吨金属量。 • 江西铜业投资 2.5 亿美元参与第一长岛竞争,获得董事席位,加强资源端 合作。阿富汗项目有望进一步合作,并增持数字化黄金股份,参与厄瓜多 尔矿山开发建设。 • 受当地环境影响,墨西哥选矿项目推迟至 2025 年中期或三季度投产,目标 年产 5 万吨阴极 ...
江西铜业股份(00358) - 2024 - 年度业绩

2025-03-27 14:56
Financial Performance - For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2024, the company's operating revenue was CNY 520.93 billion, a decrease of 0.18% compared to CNY 521.89 billion in 2023[10]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders was CNY 6.96 billion, representing a 7.03% increase from CNY 6.51 billion in the previous year[10]. - The net profit after deducting non-recurring gains and losses was CNY 8.29 billion, a significant increase of 54.22% from CNY 5.37 billion in 2023[10]. - The net cash flow from operating activities decreased by 77.06% to CNY 2.51 billion, down from CNY 10.93 billion in the previous year[10]. - The total assets at the end of 2024 were CNY 193.13 billion, an increase of 14.85% compared to CNY 168.15 billion at the end of 2023[10]. - The net assets attributable to shareholders increased by 15.61% to CNY 77.95 billion from CNY 67.42 billion in 2023[10]. - Basic earnings per share for 2024 were CNY 2.01, up 6.91% from CNY 1.88 in 2023[12]. - The weighted average return on equity increased to 9.58%, up from 9.23% in the previous year[12]. - The company reported a net cash flow from operating activities of CNY -6,068,554,414 in Q1 2024, indicating a significant cash outflow[20]. - The company’s consolidated operating revenue for the fiscal year 2024 is RMB 520,928,245,943, a decrease of RMB 964,266,223 or -0.18% compared to the previous year[52]. Production and Sales - Copper production increased by 9.28% to 229.19 thousand tons compared to the previous year (209.73 thousand tons)[26]. - Gold production rose by 4.99% to 118.26 tons year-on-year (previous year: 112.64 tons)[26]. - The revenue from copper cathodes was RMB 268,526,293,106, with a gross margin increase of 1.00 percentage point[61]. - The revenue from gold sales reached RMB 65,896,987,916, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 27.84%[61]. - The production volume of copper reached 229.19 million tons, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 9.28%[65]. - The production of gold was 118.26 tons, with a sales increase of 5.65% compared to the previous year[65]. Investments and Acquisitions - The company acquired a 49% stake in Jiangxi Depu Mining Equipment Co., gaining control over its operational decisions[70]. - Jiangxi Copper Group invested 12,600 million in Jiangxi Copper Group Silver Mountain Mining Co., holding 100% equity[98]. - Jiangxi Jiang Copper Huadong Copper Foil Co., with an investment of 98,965.10 million, holds 49% equity and focuses on the production and sales of electrolytic copper foil products[95]. - The acquisition of Jiangxi DePu Mining Equipment Co., Ltd. resulted in identifiable net assets with a fair value of RMB 76,886 thousand[175]. - The company acquired Jiangxi Chuanhe New Materials Co., Ltd. for a cash consideration of RMB 200 million, resulting in a 77.16% ownership stake[178]. Financial Management and Costs - Operating costs decreased by 1.07% to RMB 502,484,215,994, primarily due to changes in raw material prices and sales volume[54][55]. - Research and development expenses increased by 9.63% to RMB 1,118,434,386, indicating a focus on innovation[54][55]. - The company reported a significant increase in financing cash flow by 196.61% to RMB 5,732,637,522, driven by increased borrowing[54][55]. - The company’s financial costs increased to RMB 2,517,793, up from RMB 2,323,801, reflecting a rise of 8.4%[162]. - The company’s interest-bearing bank borrowings rose to RMB 47,776,953 thousand in 2024 from RMB 37,453,136 thousand in 2023, an increase of approximately 27.8%[168]. Risk Management and Compliance - The company emphasizes the importance of risk management and internal controls to mitigate potential risks associated with safety, currency fluctuations, and product price volatility[106]. - The company is exposed to foreign exchange risk due to its reliance on USD for international transactions, which could negatively impact profitability if not effectively managed[108]. - The company has maintained compliance with the corporate governance code and has not arranged insurance for directors facing legal litigation due to perceived low additional risk[116]. - The company received a corrective decision from the Shandong Securities Regulatory Bureau in April 2024, addressing compliance issues and has submitted a written report on corrective measures[125]. Dividend and Shareholder Information - The company plans to distribute a final dividend of RMB 7 per 10 shares for the fiscal year 2024, totaling approximately RMB 2,416,601,345.90, which accounts for 34.71% of the net profit attributable to shareholders[130]. - The proposed final dividend for 2024 is RMB 0.70 per share, up from RMB 0.60 per share in 2023, reflecting an increase of 16.7%[196]. - The total proposed final dividend amounts to RMB 2,416,601,000 for 2024, compared to RMB 2,077,424,000 in 2023, marking a year-over-year increase of approximately 16.3%[196]. - The company has 3,452,287,637 shares outstanding after excluding treasury shares, compared to 3,462,729,405 shares in 2023[196]. Future Outlook and Strategy - The company aims to enhance its core competitiveness and achieve high-quality development through innovation and talent-driven strategies[103]. - The company plans to produce 200,000 tons of copper concentrate, 2.37 million tons of cathode copper, 139 tons of gold, 1,243 tons of silver, 6.53 million tons of sulfuric acid, and 2.01 million tons of copper processing materials in 2025[104]. - The annual investment plan for 2025 is set at RMB 12.814 billion, which includes fixed asset and equity investments[104]. - The company is committed to green development, promoting low-carbon development in the industrial chain, and utilizing financial incentives for equipment upgrades and technology transformation[105].