广州期货认为，当下驱动铜价上涨逻辑有所松动，但铜矿供应脆弱+新兴领域带来的刚性需求，以及战 略资源属性愈发强化，铜价底部依旧坚实，调整空间相对有限，倾向于震荡蓄势后延续涨势。 铜业股午前集体走强，截至发稿，中国有色矿业(01258)涨12.02%，报16.68港元；五矿资源(01208)涨 11.02%，报5.05港元；中国黄金（600916）国际(02099)涨7.25%，报233.6港元；紫金矿业（601899） (02899)涨5.05%，报42.46港元；江西铜业（600362）股份(00358)涨4.07%，报47.06港元。 消息面上，正信期货表示，宏观预期情绪有所降温，但地缘担忧仍存，尽管美国政府持续施压美联储， 但市场对于降息定价较为保守，同时通胀数据暂未超预期，失业率回落，美国自身经济韧性仍存。产业 端来看，虽然远期的供需预期暂难证伪，但近段弱现实特征延续，全球库存进一步增加至100万吨。铜 价在10万关口调整后再度反弹，主要还是受地缘以及金价指引，价格高位震荡为主。 ...

数据显示，达诚基金旗下1只基金重仓江西铜业。达诚成长先锋混合A（010301）四季度持有股数3.52万 股，占基金净值比例为5.07%，位居第二大重仓股。根据测算，今日浮盈赚取约10.84万元。 达诚成长先锋混合A（010301）成立日期2020年10月27日，最新规模2507.65万。今年以来收益5.46%， 同类排名4760/9003；近一年收益26.17%，同类排名4921/8185；成立以来收益3.91%。 达诚成长先锋混合A（010301）基金经理为陈染。 1月26日，江西铜业涨5.17%，截至发稿，报62.69元/股，成交6.25亿元，换手率0.49%，总市值2170.79 亿元。 资料显示，江西铜业股份有限公司位于江西省南昌市高新开发区昌东大道7666号，成立日期1997年1月 24日，上市日期2002年1月11日，公司主营业务涉及铜和黄金的采选、冶炼与加工;稀散金属的提取与加 工;硫化工以及金融、贸易等领域。主营业务收入构成为：阴极铜50.21%，铜杆线19.55%，黄金 14.50%，铜精矿、稀散及其他有色金属6.91%，白银3.21%，铜加工产品2.66%，其他产品1.65%，化工 产品( ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the non-ferrous metals industry [6]. Core Viewpoints - Liquidity expectations have upgraded, leading to intensified trading. Recent optimistic interest rate cut expectations have resurfaced, driving both precious and industrial metals to break through previous levels. In the past week, the negative feedback for copper and aluminum has significantly weakened, and improvements in the real economy may be observed under high price conditions. Overall, the bullish trend for industrial products remains unchanged under the support of domestic and international policies [3][9]. Summary by Sections 1. Cycle Assessment - The report indicates an upgrade in liquidity expectations and a continuation of intense trading. The probability of BlackRock executive Riedel being elected as the Federal Reserve Chairman has surged to 54%. The optimistic expectations for interest rate cuts have reignited, pushing precious and industrial metals to new highs. Although copper and aluminum inventories continue to accumulate, the pace of accumulation has slowed, and the negative feedback from downstream processing has significantly diminished, with operating rates beginning to recover [9][13]. 2. Industry and Stock Performance - The non-ferrous metals sector saw a weekly increase of 6.03%, ranking fourth among all industries [28]. The report lists several investment targets, including Chifeng Jilong Gold Mining (600988, Buy) and Zijin Mining (601899, Buy) [4]. 3. Precious Metals - Precious metals are experiencing intense liquidity trading, awaiting the confirmation of the Federal Reserve Chairman nomination. As of January 23, SHFE gold rose by 8.07% to 1,115.64 CNY per gram, while COMEX gold increased by 7.54% to 4,036.00 USD per ounce. The report notes that the market expects limited upward pressure on precious metals in the short term due to anticipated interest rate stabilization [14][30]. 4. Copper - The report highlights renewed support for copper prices due to supply disruptions. As of January 23, SHFE copper rose by 0.57% to 101,340 CNY per ton, and LME copper increased by 2.44% to 13,115 USD per ton. Supply tightness continues, with recent strikes in Chile affecting copper concentrate availability [17][70]. 5. Aluminum - The report indicates a reduction in negative feedback for aluminum, with demand showing marginal recovery. As of January 23, SHFE aluminum rose by 1.53% to 24,290 CNY per ton, and LME aluminum increased by 1.12% to 3,169 USD per ton. The processing operating rate has risen by 0.7 percentage points to 60.9% [16][83].

证券研究报告 | 行业定期报告 2026 年 01 月 25 日 金银齐舞，美元信用弱势与现货结构性紧缺塑造价格新高 金属行业周报 周期/金属及材料 我们统计相对历史最高价，大部分有色金属当前价格尚处于腰部及以下。民族 主义强化大叙事，资源股维持逢低加仓、长期坚定持有。重点关注金银铜铝钨 铀稀土锂钴钽镁镍等品种。短期推荐寻找补涨金属、标的。此外，关注科技成 长相关新材料标的。马斯克点燃商业航天主题，关注斯瑞新材、西部材料、有 研粉材、银邦股份等。 推荐（维持） 行业规模 | | | 占比% | | --- | --- | --- | | 股票家数（只） | 236 | 4.6 | | 总市值（十亿元） | 8324.2 | 7.3 | | 流通市值（十亿元） | 7294.7 | 7.0 | 行业指数 | % | 1m | 6m | 12m | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 绝对表现 | 20.9 | 61.5 | 102.5 | | 相对表现 | 19.1 | 47.3 | 78.8 | 资料来源：公司数据、招商证券 相关报告 1、《核电全球复苏，铀价中枢预计 整体上行—核能系列报 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the non-ferrous metals industry [6] Core Viewpoints - Liquidity expectations have upgraded, leading to intensified trading. Recent optimistic interest rate cut expectations have resurfaced, driving both precious and industrial metals to break through previous levels. The negative feedback for copper and aluminum has notably weakened, and improvements in the real economy may be observed under high price conditions. Overall, the bullish trend for industrial products remains unchanged under the support of domestic and international policies [3][9] Summary by Sections 1. Cycle Assessment - The cycle assessment indicates an upgrade in liquidity expectations and a continuation of intense trading. The probability of BlackRock executive Riedel being elected as the Federal Reserve Chairman has surged to 54%. The optimistic expectations for interest rate cuts have reignited, pushing precious and industrial metals to new highs. Although copper and aluminum inventories continue to accumulate, the pace of accumulation has slowed, and the negative feedback from downstream processing has significantly diminished, with operating rates beginning to recover [9][13] 2. Industry and Stock Performance - The non-ferrous metals sector saw a weekly increase of 6.03%, ranking fourth among all industries [28]. The precious metals sector experienced the highest gains [21]. 3. Precious Metals - For precious metals, trading has become intensely liquid, awaiting the confirmation of the Federal Reserve Chairman nomination. As of January 23, SHFE gold rose by 8.07% to 1,115.64 CNY per gram, while COMEX gold increased by 7.54% to 4,036.00 USD per ounce. The inventory levels for SHFE gold were 102 tons, an increase of 1.96 tons from the previous week [14][30]. 4. Copper - The copper market is experiencing renewed support due to supply disruptions. As of January 23, SHFE copper rose by 0.57% to 101,340 CNY per ton, and LME copper increased by 2.44% to 13,115 USD per ton. The operating rate for refined copper rods was 67.98%, up by 10.51 percentage points [17][29]. 5. Aluminum - The aluminum market shows signs of demand recovery as negative feedback weakens. As of January 23, SHFE aluminum rose by 1.53% to 24,290 CNY per ton, and LME aluminum increased by 1.12% to 3,169 USD per ton. The processing operating rate rose by 0.7 percentage points to 60.9% [16][85].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the non-ferrous metals industry is "Positive" (maintained) [4] Core Views - The report highlights that copper prices are experiencing high-level fluctuations amidst inventory accumulation, with short-term price adjustments expected to be limited due to the financial attributes of copper supported by rising gold prices. The supply-demand balance for copper may shift from tight equilibrium to shortage in the medium to long term, driven by insufficient capital expenditure in copper mines and frequent supply disruptions. The report suggests monitoring companies such as Zijin Mining, Luoyang Molybdenum, Jiangxi Copper, and others [5] - For aluminum, the report notes that both alumina and aluminum prices are under pressure due to high inventory levels. The short-term outlook for aluminum prices is expected to remain stable amidst high demand, particularly in the air conditioning and consumer goods sectors [5] - Lithium demand remains strong despite seasonal trends, with lithium carbonate prices entering an upward cycle driven by supply-demand reversal. The report recommends focusing on companies with high self-sufficiency in lithium resources [5] - Cobalt prices are expected to continue rising due to tight raw material supply, with the report suggesting companies like Huayou Cobalt and others for investment [5] Summary by Sections 1. Industry Overview - The report provides insights into macroeconomic indicators, including the U.S. core PCE price index and unemployment claims, which align with expectations [9] - Key announcements include Zijin Mining's completion of the second phase of the Jilong Copper Mine, significantly increasing its production capacity [10] 2. Market Performance - The non-ferrous metals sector outperformed the Shanghai Composite Index, with a weekly increase of 6.03% compared to the index's 0.84% rise [11] - The report lists the top-performing stocks in the sector, highlighting significant movements in various sub-sectors [11] 3. Valuation Changes - The report notes that the TTM PE for the non-ferrous metals sector is 33.82, with a change of 1.79, while the PB is 4.18, reflecting a significant premium over the broader market [20][23]

格隆汇1月23日丨江西铜业股份(00358.HK)公告，将于2026年3月26日(星期四)举行董事会会议，以考虑 及批准(其中包括)发布有关公司及其附属公司截至2025年12月31日止年度业绩公告，及建议派发末期股 息(如有)。 ...

格隆汇1月23日丨江西铜业股份(00358.HK)公告，将于2026年3月26日(星期四)举行董事会会议，以考虑 及批准(其中包括)发布有关公司及其附属公司截至2025年12月31日止年度业绩公告，及建议派发末期股 息(如有)。 ...

公 告 董事會召開日期 香港交易及結算所有限公司及香港聯合交易所有限公司對本公告的內 容 概 不 負 責，對 其 準 確 性 或 完 整 性 亦 不 發 表 任 何 聲 明，並 明 確 表 示，概 不對因本公告全部或任何部分內容而產生或因倚賴該等內容而引致的 任 何 損 失 承 擔 任 何 責 任。 承董事會命 本公告乃根據香港聯合交易所有限公司證券上市規則第13.43條之規定 而 發 佈。 江 西 銅 業 股 份 有 限 公 司（「本公司」）董 事（「董 事」）會（「董事會」）宣 佈 將 於 二 零 二 六 年 三 月 二 十 六 日（星 期 四）舉 行 董 事 會 會 議，以 考 慮 及 批 准（其 中 包 括）發 佈 有 關 本 公 司 及 其 附 屬 公 司 截 至 二 零 二 五 年 十 二 月 三 十 一 日 止 之 年 度 業 績 公 告，及 建 議 派 發 末 期 股 息（如 有）。 董事長 鄭高清 中華人民共和國江西省南昌市 二零二六年一月二十三日 於 本 公 告 日 期，執 行 董 事 為 鄭 高 清 先 生、周 少 兵 先 生、高 建 民 先 生、梁 青 先 生 及 喻 旻 昕 先 生； ...

Core Insights - The article discusses the development prospects and investment opportunities in the global and Chinese copper smelting industry, highlighting key policies and industry trends [1]. Policy Evolution - The evolution of copper smelting policies in China has transitioned from increasing production capacity and scale to optimizing structure and promoting green and efficient practices, as outlined in the "14th Five-Year Plan" [2]. - The "15th Five-Year Plan" emphasizes the exploration and development of strategic mineral resources, with copper being a key focus due to its high external dependence and importance to supply chain security [2]. National Policy Summary and Interpretation - A summary of key national policies related to the copper smelting industry indicates a focus on technological upgrades and energy efficiency improvements, with various policies introduced since 1985 aimed at modernizing smelting techniques [5][6]. - As of November 2025, several significant policies have been outlined, including energy-saving measures and the promotion of recycling and clean production standards [6][7]. Development Goals - By 2027, the copper industry aims to enhance supply chain resilience and security, with domestic copper resource growth targeted at 5%-10% and increased recycling rates [9][10]. - By 2035, the industry aspires to achieve world-leading levels in supply chain capabilities, technological innovation, and overall competitiveness [9][10]. Provincial Policy Summary and Interpretation - The copper smelting industry is increasingly concentrated in coastal and resource-rich regions, with provinces like Fujian and Guangxi emerging as new key players alongside traditional bases [10]. - Each province has tailored its policies to align with national directives, focusing on local needs and conditions to support the development of the copper smelting sector [10][12]. Specific Provincial Policies - Jiangxi's policy includes support for building national-level copper material clusters and promoting high-value recycling of copper [12]. - Anhui's initiatives focus on controlling blind expansion of copper smelting capacity and promoting low-carbon technologies [12]. - Shandong aims to enhance energy efficiency in copper smelting through technological upgrades and process improvements [12]. - Gansu's strategy includes developing a world-class copper new materials processing base and enhancing resource security through exploration [12][14].