Core Viewpoint - The company has successfully developed and implemented 13 AI application tools through collaboration with Alibaba Cloud, significantly enhancing merchant operational efficiency and serving over 280,000 users [1] Group 1: AI Development and Applications - The company has launched 13 AI application tools as part of the "World Yiwu" trade model in partnership with Alibaba Cloud [1] - These AI tools have cumulatively served more than 280,000 users, indicating a strong adoption rate [1] Group 2: Digital Trade Ecosystem - The company is focused on deepening its digital trade ecosystem by improving cross-border payment networks and global expansion [1] - The efforts aim to provide digital empowerment for small commodity trade [1]

（文章来源：证券日报） 证券日报网讯 2月13日，小商品城在互动平台回答投资者提问时表示，公司经营正常，公司将持续做好 经营管理，不断提升核心竞争力。 ...

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating to the company with a target price of 21.94 RMB, corresponding to a target valuation of 20X for 2026 [5]. Core Insights - The company is expected to accelerate the commercialization of AI + trade services, with trade service contributions anticipated to grow at a steeper curve due to the Belt and Road Initiative and the 1039 market procurement model [2]. - The company has established itself as the sole pilot for the import positive list business, which is expected to create a second growth engine [4]. - The CG platform's AI tools are projected to enhance revenue generation, with significant growth in user engagement and profitability [45][48]. Summary by Sections 1. Company Overview - The company has a strong foundation in the Yiwu market, benefiting from deep reform genes and a robust operational mechanism, leading to significant growth in gross profit [15]. - The export business has seen rapid growth, with the 1039 model driving exports from 189.3 billion RMB in 2017 to an expected 471.7 billion RMB in 2024, reflecting a 21.5% year-on-year increase [20]. - The company has established a comprehensive trade ecosystem, enhancing revenue and profit quality through market operations, trade services, and supporting services [26]. 2. New Business Development - The company is expanding its overseas presence, particularly in emerging markets, with a focus on the Belt and Road Initiative, which has led to a 26.9% increase in trade volume with these countries [40]. - The CG platform has entered a revenue-generating phase, with diverse charging models for its services, including basic and value-added service fees [45]. - The AI tools on the CG platform are expected to significantly increase revenue, with a notable rise in user engagement and profitability [48]. 3. Financial Projections - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are 21.2 billion, 27.8 billion, and 34.4 billion RMB, respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 34.7%, 31.0%, and 24.0% [5]. - Net profit forecasts for the same period are 4.5 billion, 6.0 billion, and 7.2 billion RMB, with growth rates of 47.4%, 32.8%, and 19.3% [5]. - The company’s gross profit margin is expected to improve, driven by the growth of trade services and market operations [29].

该股主要指标及行业内排名如下： | 指标 | 小商品城 | 商业百货行业均值 | 行业排名 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 总市值 | 837.89亿元 | 102.44亿元 | 1 57 | | 净资产 | 222.61亿元 | 65.97亿元 | 2 57 | | 净利润 | 34.57亿元 | 8546.85万元 | 1 57 | | 市盈率(动) | 18.18 | 206.55 | 5 57 | | 市净率 | 3.78 | 3.27 | 45 57 | | 毛利率 | 37.23% | 37.66% | 25 57 | | 净利率 | 26.53% | 4.78% | 3 57 | | ROE | 15.96% | 0.11% | 1 57 | | | | | | 日期 收盘价 涨跌幅 主力净流入 主力净占比 游资净洗火 波户净流入 散户净占比 | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2026-02-09 | 15.28 | 0.00% | -4970.81万 | -4.92 ...

Group 1 - The stock of Xiaogoods City (600415) closed at 15.44 yuan on February 5, 2026, with an increase of 0.52% and a trading volume of 622,400 hands, resulting in a transaction amount of 958 million yuan [1] - On February 5, 2026, the net inflow of main funds was 7.22 million yuan, accounting for 0.75% of the total transaction amount, while retail investors had a net inflow of 22.65 million yuan, representing 2.36% of the total transaction amount [1][2] - Xiaogoods City has a total market value of 846.66 billion yuan, ranking first in the commercial retail industry, with a net profit of 34.57 billion yuan, also ranking first [3] Group 2 - In the first three quarters of 2025, Xiaogoods City reported a main business income of 13.06 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 23.07%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 3.46 billion yuan, up 48.45% year-on-year [3] - The company aims to build a shared trade service platform for small and medium-sized enterprises globally, focusing on becoming a "world-class comprehensive international trade service provider" [3] - The average target price set by 13 institutions in the last 90 days is 21.16 yuan, with all institutions giving a buy rating [4]

Group 1 - The core point of the article highlights the performance of the Belt and Road ETF managed by E Fund, which experienced a decline of 1.95% to 1.709 yuan as of the midday close on February 5, with a trading volume of 4.9066 million yuan [1] - The major holdings of the ETF include companies such as Xiaogoods City, which fell by 0.07%, Goldwind Technology, which dropped by 9.46%, and China Aluminum, which decreased by 6.77% [1] - The ETF's performance benchmark is the CSI State-Owned Enterprises Belt and Road Index, with a return of 74.37% since its inception on November 6, 2019, and a return of 9.89% over the past month [1] Group 2 - The fund is managed by E Fund Management Co., Ltd., with Liu Shurong as the fund manager [1] - The article provides a snapshot of the performance of various stocks within the ETF, indicating mixed results with some stocks like Dong'a Ejiao increasing by 0.20% and others like Nanjing Energy decreasing by 7.89% [1] - The article emphasizes the importance of cautious investment, noting that market risks exist [1]

Summary of the Conference Call Company and Industry Overview - The conference call was held by a retail industry analyst from Changjiang Securities, focusing on the recent situation of a company referred to as "Small Commodity City" located in Yiwu, a key area for foreign trade in China [1][2]. Key Points and Arguments Export Performance - In 2025, Yiwu's total import and export volume reached 836.5 billion RMB, with exports at 730.7 billion RMB, marking a year-on-year growth of 24.1% [3][4]. - The average annual growth rate of exports during the 14th Five-Year Plan period was 19.44%, with exports doubling from 300.6 billion RMB in 2020 to 730.7 billion RMB in 2025 [4]. - For January 2026, preliminary data suggests that exports will show a year-on-year increase compared to January 2025, with a positive outlook for the entire year, expecting double-digit growth [5]. Tax Rumors and Business Impact - There were rumors regarding a potential increase in VAT rates affecting the financial and internet value-added services sectors, which were deemed unfounded by the company and confirmed by state media [6][7]. - The company’s two innovative businesses, the CD platform and EasyPay, are not expected to be significantly impacted by these rumors as their revenue models do not primarily rely on value-added services [7][8]. EasyPay Business Development - EasyPay began trial operations for a new settlement service in Q3 2025, expanding its transaction limits and geographical reach [12]. - In 2025, the total GMV for EasyPay was 6 billion USD, with a year-on-year growth exceeding 50%. The company anticipates maintaining this growth rate in 2026 [13]. AI Applications - The company has developed an AI model in collaboration with Alibaba, which includes 14 AI products covering various operational scenarios for merchants [17]. - By the end of 2025, the AI model had over 57,000 registered users and served over 289,000 merchants, with over 1 billion AI interactions recorded [17]. Financial Performance and Dividend Policy - The net profit for 2024 was reported at 3.064 billion RMB, with 2025's profit already surpassing this figure by Q3 [21]. - The company has a strong cash flow, with nearly 10 billion RMB in cash inflow and over 11 billion RMB in contract liabilities, indicating a solid financial position [21]. - The dividend payout for 2024 was 0.33 RMB per share, with plans to increase the dividend rate in the coming years, reflecting a commitment to returning value to shareholders [22]. Other Important Information - The call addressed investor concerns regarding market fluctuations and provided a platform for direct communication with company executives [1][24]. - The company emphasized its openness to further inquiries from investors and stakeholders post-meeting [24][26].

Group 1 - The stock price of Zhejiang China Commodity City Group Co., Ltd. has dropped by 2.85% to 15.35 CNY per share, with a total market capitalization of 841.73 billion CNY and a trading volume of 22.05 billion CNY, reflecting a cumulative decline of 9.28% over the past three days [1] - The company's main business includes market development and operation, online trading platform services, and related services, with revenue composition as follows: 58.77% from product sales, 29.72% from market space usage and operational services, 6.09% from other services, 3.24% from leasing, 2.01% from hotel and catering services, and 0.16% from usage fees [1] Group 2 - Nanhua Fund has one fund heavily invested in China Commodity City, specifically the Nanhua CSI Hangzhou Bay Area ETF (512870), which increased its holdings by 800 shares to a total of 61,000 shares, representing 2.4% of the fund's net value [2] - The Nanhua CSI Hangzhou Bay Area ETF has a total scale of 4045.88 million CNY, with a year-to-date return of 3.44% and a one-year return of 24.65%, ranking 2184 out of 5562 and 2715 out of 4285 respectively [2]

Group 1 - The main stocks with significant capital outflows include Zhongji Xuchuang (-1.91 billion), BlueFocus (-1.13 billion), and Xinye Sheng (-1.10 billion) [1] - Zhongji Xuchuang experienced a slight decline of 0.22%, while BlueFocus saw an increase of 3.23% despite the capital outflow [2] - Other notable stocks with capital outflows include Industrial Fulian (-1.04 billion), Western Materials (-0.73 billion), and Tongling Nonferrous Metals (-0.65 billion) [1][3] Group 2 - The sectors affected by capital outflows include communication equipment, cultural media, and precious metals [2][3] - Stocks like Western Materials and Tongling Nonferrous Metals showed positive price movements of 8.63% and 5.38% respectively, despite significant capital outflows [2][3] - The overall trend indicates a mixed performance among the top stocks, with some experiencing price increases while others faced declines [1][2]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the retail and consumer services industry for 2026 [1] Core Insights - The report anticipates a significant number of consumption-promoting policies in 2026, focusing on "supply-side" initiatives rather than traditional methods like vouchers, leading to structural investment opportunities [4][9] - Service consumption is expected to be a key area in 2026, with a focus on "quality supply" and "reform," particularly in tourism, department stores, tea drinks, and chain stores [4][9] - The gold and jewelry sector is projected to see profits reflect gold price fluctuations, with direct retail brands likely to benefit first as gold prices stabilize [10] - The bulk trade sector is expected to recover from its lowest point, with both valuation and profitability anticipated to rise in 2026 [10] - The report emphasizes the importance of "consumption going abroad" as a long-term investment direction, with opportunities arising from sustained performance growth rather than policy stimulus [10] - New consumption brands are expected to show a clear resurgence after the Lunar New Year, with low valuations and anticipated positive performance data [11] - State-owned enterprise reform is highlighted as a core driver for promoting consumption, particularly in scenario-based consumption areas like tourism and retail [12] Summary by Sections 1. Industry Outlook - The report predicts numerous consumption policies aimed at encouraging new business models, leading to rich structural investment opportunities in the consumer sector [4][9] - Service consumption will focus on quality supply and reforms, with recommendations for specific companies in tourism and retail sectors [4][9] 2. Market Review - The report notes that from January 26 to February 1, the retail index rose by 2.16%, while the overall market indices showed varied performance [13][14] - Year-to-date performance indicates a 4.92% increase in the retail index, reflecting positive market sentiment [16] 3. Company Valuation Table - The report includes a detailed valuation table for various companies, highlighting their market capitalization, closing prices, and projected earnings for 2024 to 2026, with specific buy and hold recommendations [18][19]