证券研究报告|电子 [Table_Title] 2024Q4 营收规模超百亿，先进封装盈利能 力有望提升 投资要点: ⚫ 2024Q4 单季度营收超百亿，再创单季度营收新高：2024 年第四季度， 营收方面，公司实现单季度营业收入 109.84 亿元，同比+18.99%，环比 +15.73%；毛利率方面，2024Q4 单季度毛利率为 13.34%，同比+0.17pct， 环比+1.11pct；营收再创单季度历史新高，毛利率有所提升，主要系下 游需求持续复苏，产能利用率提升。期间费用方面，2024Q4 销售费用 率 / 管 理 费 用 率 / 研 发 费 用 率 / 财 务 费 用 率 分 别 为 0.60%/3.58%/4.43%/0.32%，同比分别+0.05pct/+1.25pct/+0.55pct/- 0.93pct，期间费用整体同比+0.92pct；净利率方面，2024Q4 单季度净 利率为 4.93%，同比-0.45pct，环比+0.15pct，毛利率上升但净利率下 降，主要系费用率增长所致。归母净利润方面，2024Q4 公司实现归母 净利润 5.33 亿元，同比+7.28%，环比+16.63%。现 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [6][17] Core Views - The company achieved a revenue of 35.962 billion yuan in 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 21.24%, and a net profit attributable to the parent company of 1.610 billion yuan, up 9.44% year-on-year [1] - The global semiconductor market is returning to a growth trajectory, with the company actively positioning itself in high-growth product areas and continuously optimizing its business structure [2] - The company has made significant advancements in technology innovation, with R&D investment reaching 1.72 billion yuan in 2024, a 19.3% increase year-on-year [3] Financial Performance - The company's revenue for 2024 is projected to be 35.962 billion yuan, with a growth rate of 21.24% compared to 2023 [5] - The net profit attributable to the parent company for 2024 is expected to be 1.610 billion yuan, reflecting a 9.44% increase from the previous year [5] - The company has forecasted net profits of 2.238 billion yuan and 2.779 billion yuan for 2025 and 2026, respectively [4] Business Structure and Market Position - The company has optimized its business structure, with revenue contributions from various segments: Communication Electronics (44.8%), Consumer Electronics (24.1%), Computing Electronics (16.2%), Automotive Electronics (7.9%), and Industrial & Medical Electronics (7.0%) [2] - The computing electronics segment saw a revenue increase of 38.1%, while the automotive business grew by 20.5%, both outperforming market averages [2] Strategic Developments - The acquisition of 80% of Shengdi Semiconductor is expected to bring new opportunities for the company, with financial consolidation starting in Q4 2024 [4] - The company is enhancing its capital expenditure and advancing its technology layout, particularly in the automotive electronics sector, with new manufacturing facilities expected to come online in 2025 [3][4]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, with expected net profits for 2025-2027 being 20.8 billion, 25.9 billion, and 29.9 billion respectively, corresponding to EPS of 1.16, 1.45, and 1.67 [6][8]. Core Insights - The company reported a record high quarterly revenue of 93.4 billion in Q1 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 36.4%, with net profit attributable to shareholders reaching 2.0 billion, up 50.4% year-on-year [5][6]. - The company is focusing on high-performance packaging technology and expanding into high-value markets such as automotive electronics, high-performance computing, storage, and 5G communications, enhancing its core competitiveness [6]. - Revenue distribution for 2024 shows that communication electronics accounted for 44.8%, consumer electronics 24.1%, computing electronics 16.2%, automotive electronics 7.9%, and industrial and medical electronics 7.0%, with all markets except industrial showing double-digit growth [6]. Financial Performance - The company’s revenue and profit growth in Q1 2025 was driven by a focus on advanced technologies and key application markets, with significant contributions from the acquisition of Shengdie Semiconductor [6][8]. - The company’s revenue from computing electronics grew by 38.1% year-on-year, while automotive electronics saw a growth of 20.5%, both outperforming market averages [6]. - The financial projections for 2024-2027 indicate a steady increase in revenue and net profit, with revenue expected to grow from 35.96 billion in 2024 to 50.60 billion in 2027, and net profit from 1.61 billion to 2.99 billion [8][9]. Market Position and Strategy - The company has established itself as a leader in semiconductor advanced packaging technology, with over a decade of experience in large FCBGA packaging and testing technology [6]. - The company has launched the XDFOI chiplet high-density multi-dimensional heterogeneous integration series process, which is now in mass production and is applicable in high-performance computing, AI, 5G, and automotive electronics [6]. - The company is actively involved in the automotive electronics sector, being the first packaging and testing enterprise from mainland China to join the international AEC automotive electronics committee [6].

公司最新总资产周转率为0.17次，在已披露的同业公司中排名第13，较去年同期总资产周转率增加0.02 次，实现2年连续上涨，同比较去年同期上涨10.64%。最新存货周转率为2.21次，在已披露的同业公司 中排名第5，较去年同期存货周转率增加0.33次，实现2年连续上涨，同比较去年同期上涨17.79%。 公司股东户数为32.35万户，前十大股东持股数量为6.62亿股，占总股本比例为36.97%，前十大股东持 股情况如下： | 序号 | 股东名称 | 持股比例 | | --- | --- | --- | | T | 磐石润企(深圳)信息管理有限公司 | 22.53% | | 2 | 香港中央结算有限公司 | 4.89% | | 3 | 国家集成电路产业投资基金股份有限公司 | 3.50% | | ব | 中国建设银行股份有限公司-华夏国证半导体芯片交易型开放式指数证券投资基 | 1.38% | | 5 | 中国工商银行股份有限公司-华泰柏瑞沪深300交易型开放式指数证券投资基金 | 1.29% | | 6 | 中国建设银行股份有限公司-易方达沪深300交易型开放式指数发起式证券投资基 | 0.92% | | 7 ...

点击招商研究小程序查看PDF报告原文 长电科技是全球第三/国内第一的OSAT厂商，在中国/韩国/新加坡拥有八大生产基地和两大生产中心。 长电科技发布2024年年报和2025年一季报，结合公告信息，点评如下： 长电科技25Q1营收受晟碟并表影响同比高增长，单季利润率同比相对稳定。 2024年：营收359.62亿 元，同比+21.24%，晟碟在24Q4已并表贡献收入，归母净利润16.1亿元，同比+9.44%，毛利率13.06%， 同比-0.59pct，净利率4.48%，同比-0.48pct。25Q1：营收93.35亿元，同比+36.4%/环比-15%，同比高增 长部分系晟碟并表贡献，归母净利润2.03亿元，同比+50.4%/环比-61.9%，毛利率12.63%，同比+0.43pct/ 环比-0.71pct，净利率2.18%，同比+0.23pct/环比-2.74pct。 子公司方面，星科金朋、长电韩国、江阴长电为公司2024年利润核心贡献点。 1）星科金朋：24年营收 121亿元，同比+5.8%，净利润2.6亿美元，同比+118%，订单量增加，产能利用率有所提升；2）长电韩 国：24年营收157亿元，同比+27%， ...

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Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of 46.74 RMB [4][7][8] Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 9.335 billion RMB in Q1 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 36.44% but a quarter-on-quarter decline of 15.01%. The gross margin was 12.63%, up 0.43 percentage points year-on-year but down 0.71 percentage points quarter-on-quarter. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 203 million RMB, a year-on-year increase of 50.39% but a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 61.86% [1][2] - The growth in revenue and profit is primarily attributed to the consolidation of Shengdi Semiconductor and an increase in orders from the advanced packaging market both domestically and internationally. The company is optimistic about future performance driven by new capacity releases and the ramp-up of advanced packaging business [1][2][3] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, the company focused on advanced technologies and key application markets, achieving significant revenue growth in computing electronics (92.9%), automotive electronics (66.0%), and industrial and medical electronics (45.8%). This optimization in business structure contributed to a gross margin increase [2] - The company completed the acquisition of Shengdi Semiconductor, which reported a revenue of 799 million RMB and a net profit of 94 million RMB in Q4 2024. The consolidation of Shengdi has positively impacted the company's Q1 2025 performance [2] Market Outlook - The global semiconductor market is expected to grow by 19% to 627 billion USD in 2024, which will drive an 8% growth in the global packaging and testing market to 82 billion USD. The report is optimistic about the recovery of the semiconductor market and structural growth in AI-related fields [3] - The company is actively expanding its production capacity, with a new automotive electronics packaging production base in Shanghai expected to commence operations in the second half of 2025. The company is also set to benefit from high-performance computing, AI, and automotive electronics demand [3] Valuation Metrics - The report forecasts net profits for 2025, 2026, and 2027 to be 2.04 billion RMB, 2.38 billion RMB, and 2.90 billion RMB respectively, with corresponding EPS of 1.14 RMB, 1.33 RMB, and 1.62 RMB. The company is assigned a 2025 PE ratio of 41.0x, which is a premium compared to the industry average of 33.5x due to its leading position in advanced packaging technologies [4][6]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Accumulate" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company is the third-largest OSAT manufacturer globally and the largest in China, with significant growth in revenue and profit driven by the consolidation of Shengdi Semiconductor [1][5] - The company is expected to see increased revenue contributions from Shengdi in 2025, with a planned fixed asset investment of 8.5 billion RMB to enhance production capacity [5] - The company has established strong partnerships with leading clients in various sectors, including automotive electronics and high-performance computing, indicating a positive growth trajectory [5] Financial Performance Summary - In 2024, the company reported revenue of 35.962 billion RMB, a year-on-year increase of 21.24%, and a net profit of 1.610 billion RMB, up 9.44% year-on-year [5][11] - For Q1 2025, revenue reached 9.335 billion RMB, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 36.4%, while net profit was 203 million RMB, up 50.4% year-on-year [5] - The company’s revenue projections for 2025-2027 are 41.89 billion RMB, 47.08 billion RMB, and 51.90 billion RMB, respectively, with corresponding net profits of 2.013 billion RMB, 2.371 billion RMB, and 2.732 billion RMB [5][11] Market Demand and Client Segmentation - The demand from downstream clients is showing varied trends, with significant growth in computing and automotive electronics, both exceeding 50% year-on-year in Q1 2025 [5] - The revenue breakdown for 2024 indicates that communication electronics accounted for 44.8%, consumer electronics 24.1%, and computing electronics 16.2% [5] Investment Recommendations - The company is positioned as a leader in the domestic packaging and testing sector, with ongoing investments in new facilities and acquisitions to strengthen its market position [5] - The expected earnings per share (EPS) for 2025-2027 are projected at 1.12 RMB, 1.33 RMB, and 1.53 RMB, with price-to-earnings (PE) ratios of 29.1, 24.7, and 21.4, respectively [5][11]

Core Viewpoint - The company reported strong financial performance in 2024, driven by global economic recovery and strategic product optimization, achieving a revenue of 35.962 billion yuan and a net profit of 1.610 billion yuan, reflecting year-on-year growth of 21.24% and 9.44% respectively [1][2]. Financial Performance - In Q4 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 10.984 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 18.99% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 15.72% [2]. - The net profit for Q4 2024 was 533 million yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 7.28% and a quarter-on-quarter growth of 16.66% [2]. - The overall gross margin for Q4 2024 reached 13.34%, up by 1.12 percentage points quarter-on-quarter, while the net margin increased to 4.93%, up by 0.14 percentage points [3]. Inventory and Capital Expenditure - The company's inventory decreased to 3.792 billion yuan, down nearly 20% from Q3, with inventory turnover days reduced to 40.23, a decrease of 18.33% [3]. - Accounts receivable turnover days also improved, decreasing to 49.95, down by 8.50% [3]. - Capital expenditure in 2024 reached 1.502 billion yuan, showing a significant year-on-year increase of 116.21% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 23.17% [3]. Market and Product Strategy - The company has focused on high-performance packaging technology and high-value applications, accelerating its strategic layout in automotive electronics, high-performance computing, storage, and 5G communications [3]. - Revenue by market application in 2024 was distributed as follows: Communications Electronics 44.8%, Consumer Electronics 24.1%, Computing Electronics 16.2%, Automotive Electronics 7.9%, and Industrial & Medical Electronics 7.0% [3]. - The computing electronics segment saw a year-on-year revenue growth of 38.1%, while the automotive segment grew by 20.5% [3]. Subsidiary Performance - Core subsidiaries reported the following revenues: Xinke Jinpeng 12.185 billion yuan (+7.39%), Changdian Korea 15.815 billion yuan (+28.93%), and Changdian Advanced 1.688 billion yuan (+35.36%) [3]. - Net profits for these subsidiaries were 1.893 billion yuan (+120.89%), 307 million yuan (+22.21%), and 325 million yuan (+257.14%) respectively [3]. Research and Development - The company maintained a strong focus on R&D, with total R&D expenditure reaching 1.718 billion yuan, an increase of 19.33% year-on-year [4]. - Plans for 2025 include increased investment in advanced packaging R&D, targeting breakthroughs in high-end 3D packaging, large-size devices, optoelectronic integration, RF performance enhancement, miniaturization, vertical power supply, and thermal management technologies [4].