Macro and Strategy - June financial data shows a significant rebound in credit, with new social financing reaching 4.20 trillion yuan, exceeding expectations of 3.71 trillion yuan, and new RMB loans at 2.24 trillion yuan, surpassing the forecast of 1.84 trillion yuan [8][9][10] - The M2 money supply grew by 8.3% year-on-year, indicating a recovery in domestic economic momentum as private sector balance sheet expansion improves [8][9] - The "seesaw effect" between government financing and corporate loans has weakened, suggesting a shift in credit dynamics as local governments approach their annual debt targets [9][10] Retail Industry - The jewelry market is projected to grow steadily, with the market size reaching 728 billion yuan in 2024, reflecting a compound annual growth rate of 3.6% since 2019 [11][12] - The top five companies in the jewelry sector hold a market share of 41.4%, indicating increasing industry concentration as consumer preferences shift towards quality and design [11][12] - The retail sector is benefiting from the recent Amazon Prime Day, which generated an estimated $24.1 billion in sales, a 30% increase year-on-year, highlighting the growth potential in cross-border e-commerce [13][14] Food and Beverage Industry - The food and beverage sector saw a 0.92% increase, underperforming the Shanghai Composite Index by 0.17 percentage points [14] - The liquor market is stabilizing, with major brands focusing on brand positioning and market health, while the overall demand remains under pressure [15][16] - Recommendations include leading brands like Kweichow Moutai and Wuliangye, which have shown resilience and potential for recovery [15][16] Construction and Building Materials - The construction materials sector is expected to improve due to a shift towards healthy competition and urban renewal initiatives, with a focus on technological innovation [17][18] - Cement prices have stabilized, with a slight decrease of 0.4% week-on-week, while demand remains steady despite seasonal fluctuations [17][18] - Recommendations include companies like Three Trees and China National Building Material, which are well-positioned to benefit from domestic demand [18] Computer Industry - The AI ASIC market is rapidly expanding, with a projected market size growth from $14.8 billion in 2024 to $83.8 billion by 2030, reflecting a compound annual growth rate of 33.5% [19][20] - The price advantage of AI ASIC chips over GPUs is significant, with average prices of $5,236 compared to $8,001 for GPUs, making them more attractive for specific applications [19][20] - Companies like Google and Amazon are accelerating their development of ASIC chips, indicating strong future demand in this sector [21] Home Appliances - The home appliance sector is experiencing stable growth in domestic sales, driven by government subsidies, while exports face challenges due to high bases and tariff impacts [22][23] - White goods are seeing a slight increase in domestic sales, with air conditioning units showing a 9.5% growth in domestic shipments [22][23] - Recommendations include leading brands such as Midea and Gree, which are expected to maintain strong performance [22][23] Pharmaceutical Industry - Merck's acquisition of Verona for $10 billion aims to enhance its portfolio with a new COPD treatment, indicating strong growth potential in respiratory therapies [27][28] - WuXi AppTec is projected to achieve a 102% increase in net profit for the first half of 2025, reflecting robust operational performance [29] - The pharmaceutical sector is showing resilience, with a focus on innovative treatments and strategic acquisitions [27][28] Coal Industry - The coal market is expected to stabilize as domestic production increases and imports decrease, with a projected production of 4.85 billion tons in 2025, a 2% increase year-on-year [31][32] - Demand for coal is anticipated to improve in the second half of the year, particularly for non-electric uses such as chemical production [33] - Recommendations include leading coal companies like China Shenhua and China Coal Energy, which are well-positioned to benefit from market dynamics [34] Electronics Industry - The electronics sector is experiencing positive momentum, with a 0.93% increase in stock performance, driven by strong demand in the optical and semiconductor segments [34] - The industry is expected to see significant catalysts in the coming months, particularly in the context of AI and cloud computing advancements [34] - Companies involved in ASIC development are likely to benefit from the ongoing trends in computing and data processing [34]

Investment Rating - JCET: Buy, Target Price RMB 46.80, implying 39% upside from current share price [4][6][36] - Tongfu: Hold, Target Price RMB 27.30, implying 8% upside from current share price [5][6][58] Core Insights - The revenue growth of China's OSAT companies is expected to slow in 2Q25 due to order shifts to Taiwanese peers and seasonal factors, but is anticipated to accelerate in 3Q25 driven by recovering consumer electronics demand and government subsidies [3][9] - JCET's revenue growth is projected to be 19% year-on-year in 2Q25, slowing from 36% in 1Q25, but expected to rebound to 24% in 3Q25 [4][28] - Tongfu's non-AMD business is expected to grow faster than its AMD business, with a projected 16% increase in 2025 compared to 9% for the AMD segment [5][51] Summary by Sections JCET - JCET's Apple business is gaining attention with potential upside for SiP modules due to design changes for foldable phones [4] - The company plans a historic high capex of RMB 8.5 billion in 2025 to support growth in advanced packaging and automotive sectors [16][36] - Revenue estimates for JCET have been adjusted, with total revenue expected to be RMB 41.285 billion in 2025, reflecting a 2% decrease from previous estimates [32][33] Tongfu - Tongfu's revenue guidance for 2025 is an 11% increase, with adjustments reflecting a 6% decrease in total revenue estimates [5][54] - The acquisition of a 26% stake in King Long Suzhou is expected to contribute RMB 150-200 million in investment gains from 2025 to 2027 [5][49] - Revenue from Tongfu's non-AMD segment is projected to grow at 16% in 2025, benefiting from foreign customers adopting a "China-for-China" strategy [5][51] Financial Metrics - JCET's net profit CAGR for 2025-27 is estimated at 33%, down from 41% previously, with a target price reduction from RMB 50.00 to RMB 46.80 [4][37] - Tongfu's net profit estimates for 2025 and 2026 have been lowered by 16% and 13% respectively, reflecting challenges in the AMD segment [56][58] - JCET's current valuation is attractive compared to its peers, trading at a 21.5x 2026e PE multiple, below the sector average [36][37]

Core Viewpoint - Wuxi has transformed from a historical industrial city to a modern manufacturing powerhouse through the integration of industry and finance, supported by government policies and local investment institutions [9][10][17]. Group 1: Industrial Development - Wuxi has 211 listed companies, with 124 on the A-share market, contributing significantly to Jiangsu province's economy despite a population of less than 8 million [8]. - The city has developed a "465" modern industrial cluster focusing on IoT, integrated circuits, biomedicine, and software services, producing leading companies like WuXi AppTec and Changdian Technology [8][10]. - Wuxi's industrial evolution is marked by the establishment of key enterprises and the active role of state-owned investment institutions in nurturing these companies [10][11]. Group 2: Financial Integration - Local financial institutions have played a crucial role in supporting industrial growth, with Wuxi's state-owned investment firms actively participating in venture capital and equity investments [10][12]. - Wuxi Venture Capital Group, established in 2000, has invested in numerous companies, with 45 of its portfolio companies listed on domestic A-shares, including 13 on the Sci-Tech Innovation Board [11][12]. - The city has created a comprehensive financial ecosystem that includes various funding stages, from seed to private equity, facilitating the growth of over 110 listed companies [12][16]. Group 3: Policy Support - The local government has shifted from a leading role to a guiding one, providing essential support for companies navigating the capital market [17][18]. - Wuxi has implemented policies to promote mergers and acquisitions, with 15 projects completed in the first quarter of 2023, totaling 369.29 billion yuan [18][20]. - The city aims to become a hub for innovative mergers and acquisitions by 2027, with a target of completing at least 60 projects and achieving a total transaction volume exceeding 600 billion yuan [19][20].

Group 1 - The core index, the China Securities National New State-Owned Enterprise Technology Leading Index, experienced a slight decline of 0.22%, closing at 1262.6 points with a trading volume of 27.628 billion yuan [1] - Over the past month, the index has increased by 5.31%, while it has seen a 4.44% rise over the last three months, and a negligible decline of 0.01% year-to-date [1] - The index is customized by Guoxin Investment Co., Ltd., comprising 50 listed companies in sectors such as aerospace, defense, computer, electronics, semiconductors, and communication equipment [1] Group 2 - The top ten weighted stocks in the index include Hikvision (9.46%), AVIC Shenyang Aircraft (6.92%), AVIC Optoelectronics (6.58%), Changjiang Electronics (6.49%), and others [1] - The index's holdings are primarily listed on the Shanghai Stock Exchange (58.27%) and the Shenzhen Stock Exchange (41.73%) [1] - The industry composition of the index shows that information technology accounts for 49.75%, industrials for 39.66%, and communication services for 10.59% [2] Group 3 - The index samples are adjusted biannually, with adjustments occurring on the next trading day after the second Friday of June and December [2] - In special circumstances, the index may undergo temporary adjustments, such as when a sample company is delisted or undergoes mergers or acquisitions [2] - Public funds tracking the index include various funds from E Fund, Yinhua, and Southern Asset Management [2]

Core Viewpoint - The Chinese semiconductor industry has undergone significant development from 2000 to 2021, driven by the collaboration of national, corporate, and financial forces, culminating in a complex landscape shaped by globalization and subsequent challenges from geopolitical tensions [2][57]. Group 1: Historical Development - From 2000 to 2012, the Chinese semiconductor industry entered its "root and sprout" phase, establishing an initial industrial chain [1]. - The year 2014 marked a pivotal moment with the establishment of the National Integrated Circuit Industry Investment Fund, which provided essential financial support for the industry [4][6]. - Between 2014 and 2017, this financial influx accelerated the growth of Chinese semiconductor companies through mergers, acquisitions, and investments, integrating them into the global supply chain [1][5]. Group 2: Financial Forces - The emergence of various financial institutions, such as Zhilu Capital and Wuyuefeng Capital, provided market-oriented investment capabilities, enhancing the ability to acquire overseas semiconductor firms [8][10]. - Notable acquisitions included the purchase of Rui Neng Semiconductor for 800 million RMB, which significantly advanced China's position in the power semiconductor sector [9]. - The establishment of the Zhongguancun Rongxin Industrial Alliance in 2015 facilitated collaboration among various investment institutions, enhancing the success rate of overseas acquisitions [22]. Group 3: Corporate Forces - Major corporations like Unisoc and Changjiang Electronics have expanded their influence through strategic acquisitions, such as Unisoc's purchase of RDA Microelectronics for 910 million USD, enhancing its capabilities in mobile communication chips [13][31]. - The collaboration between large enterprises and national funds has enabled significant mergers, such as Changjiang Electronics' acquisition of STATS ChipPAC for 780 million USD, positioning it among the top semiconductor packaging and testing companies globally [11][13]. - The rapid growth of these companies has contributed to the establishment of a competitive landscape in the semiconductor industry, with firms like Unisoc becoming a leading player in the global market [13][31]. Group 4: Challenges and Adjustments - The period from 2018 to 2020 saw increasing challenges due to U.S. sanctions and trade tensions, which hindered the ability of Chinese companies to pursue overseas acquisitions [39][46]. - The establishment of the second phase of the National Integrated Circuit Industry Investment Fund in 2019 aimed to strengthen domestic capabilities and support key sectors like IC design and AI [47][48]. - By 2021, the focus shifted towards restructuring and preparing for a new phase of development, as the global landscape for semiconductor investments became increasingly restrictive [56][54]. Group 5: Future Outlook - The Chinese semiconductor industry is entering a phase of self-reliance and independence, with a focus on enhancing domestic capabilities and reducing reliance on foreign technology [57]. - The collaboration among national, corporate, and financial forces is expected to continue driving innovation and growth in the sector, despite external pressures [57].

Investment Rating - Industry Rating: Outperform the market (maintained rating) [8] Core Insights - The report highlights significant opportunities in the storage sector driven by continuous price increases, AI catalysis, and accelerated domestic production [2][3][5] - The semiconductor storage market is expected to gradually recover starting from the end of March 2025, with both DRAM and NAND entering an upward price channel [3][16] - The demand for storage is being propelled by AI applications, with expectations for substantial growth in HBM and DDR5 demand by 2025 [4][81] Summary by Sections Price Analysis - The report anticipates sustained price increases in Q3 and Q4, with DDR4 leading the market due to supply-side reforms and production cuts by major manufacturers [15][19] - DRAM and NAND prices are expected to rise significantly, with PC DDR4 contract prices projected to increase by 18-23% in Q3 [24][31] Supply Side - The Chinese semiconductor storage market is projected to grow from approximately 394.3 billion yuan in 2023 to 458 billion yuan in 2025, with DRAM holding the largest market share [59][61] - Major overseas manufacturers are reducing production, benefiting domestic companies and increasing their market share [59][63] Demand Side - The report indicates that DRAM and NAND are entering a long growth cycle, with DRAM demand capacity expected to grow by 16% in 2024 and 15% in 2025 [81][83] - The demand for enterprise-level SSDs is expected to rise significantly, with AI infrastructure driving performance and capacity upgrades [4][81] Technology Trends - The report discusses advancements in 3D NAND technology and the transition to higher efficiency DRAM processes, with expectations for 300-layer NAND production by 2025 [72][73] - The integration of AI technologies is expected to enhance the performance and capacity of storage solutions, particularly in enterprise applications [4][5] Company Dynamics - Domestic storage manufacturers are accelerating their technological advancements and production capabilities, with companies like Jiangbolong and Baiwei Storage leading the charge in high-end storage solutions [5][6][63] - The report emphasizes the importance of self-developed controllers and high-end technology in building competitive advantages for domestic firms [5][6]

持续督导原保荐代表人丁昊先生因工作变动，不再继续从事对公司的持续督 导工作。为保证持续督导工作的有序进行，国泰海通现委派保荐代表人洪伟先生 （简历见附件）接替丁昊先生继续履行持续督导工作。 本次变更后，公司 2021 年向特定对象发行股票的持续督导保荐代表人为陈 城先生、洪伟先生。 特此公告。 证券代码：600584 证券简称：长电科技 公告编号：临 2025-030 江苏长电科技股份有限公司 关于更换保荐代表人的公告 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈述 或者重大遗漏，并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承担法律责任。 江苏长电科技股份有限公司（以下简称"公司"）于 2025 年 6 月 23 日收到 保荐机构国泰海通证券股份有限公司（以下简称"国泰海通"）《关于更换江苏长 电科技股份有限公司持续督导保荐代表人的函》。国泰海通作为公司 2021 年向特 定对象发行股票的保荐机构，原委派保荐代表人陈城先生、丁昊先生负责公司的 持续督导工作，持续督导期已于 2022 年 12 月 31 日届满。鉴于本次发行募集资 金尚未使用完毕，根据相关规定，国泰海通仍对募集资金使用情况继续履行持续 ...

Group 1: AI and DeepSeek Innovations - DeepSeek leads the rise of domestic large models, significantly enhancing AI application deployment through technological innovations, achieving high cost-performance ratios in model training and inference [6][15][32] - The release of DeepSeek-V3, with a total parameter count of 671 billion, demonstrates competitive performance against OpenAI's GPT-4o, while maintaining a lower training cost of approximately $557.6 million [16][23][34] - The introduction of model distillation techniques in DeepSeek-R1 enhances inference capabilities, allowing smaller models to retain much of the performance of larger models, thus facilitating faster AI application deployment [19][28][32] Group 2: Semiconductor Industry Trends - The semiconductor industry is experiencing a push for domestic self-sufficiency due to increasing restrictions from the US and Japan, with a focus on accelerating domestic replacements in critical areas [9][10] - The demand for AI computing chips is expected to grow significantly, driven by the ongoing AI boom, with domestic manufacturers poised to capture market share as they enhance their capabilities [9][10] - The memory market is showing signs of recovery, with DRAM and NAND prices increasing from March to May 2025, indicating the potential for a new upward cycle in the semiconductor sector [9][10] Group 3: Investment Recommendations - Investment opportunities are identified in various sectors, including AI computing chips (e.g., Haiguang Information), AI glasses SoC (e.g., Hengxuan Technology), and smart driving technologies (e.g., OmniVision Technologies) [9][10] - The report suggests focusing on companies involved in advanced semiconductor equipment and manufacturing, such as North Huachuang and SMIC, as well as memory manufacturers like Zhaoyi Innovation, which are expected to benefit from the domestic market's growth [9][10]

Group 1 - The China Securities Chip Industry Index (H30007) experienced a decline of 0.07%, closing at 2164.74 points with a trading volume of 31.459 billion yuan [1] - Over the past month, the index has decreased by 3.02%, by 11.22% over the last three months, and by 2.07% year-to-date [1] - The index includes companies involved in chip design, manufacturing, packaging, testing, and suppliers of semiconductor materials and equipment, reflecting the overall performance of listed companies in the chip industry [1] Group 2 - The top ten weighted companies in the index are: SMIC (9.0%), Northern Huachuang (7.53%), Haiguang Information (6.91%), Cambrian (6.74%), Weir Shares (5.97%), Lanke Technology (5.16%), Zhaoyi Innovation (4.54%), Zhongwei Company (4.19%), Changdian Technology (2.54%), and Unisoc (2.34%) [1] - The index's holdings are primarily listed on the Shanghai Stock Exchange (74.88%) and the Shenzhen Stock Exchange (25.12%) [1] Group 3 - The index samples are exclusively from the information technology sector, with a 100% representation [2] - The index samples are adjusted biannually, with adjustments occurring on the next trading day after the second Friday of June and December [2] - Public funds tracking the chip industry include various funds such as Huatai-PineBridge China Securities Chip Industry Index Enhanced A, and others [2]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news is that the CSI Smart Wearable Theme Index has experienced a decline in recent months, indicating a challenging market environment for companies in the smart wearable sector [1] - The CSI Smart Wearable Theme Index reported a decrease of 3.31% over the past month, 12.54% over the past three months, and 1.65% year-to-date [1] - The index includes hardware and software providers, product manufacturers, and other representative companies related to smart wearables, reflecting the overall performance of the sector [1] Group 2 - The top ten weighted companies in the CSI Smart Wearable Theme Index include: Zhaoyi Innovation (6.52%), Weir Shares (6.41%), Industrial Fulian (4.78%), iFlytek (4.6%), BOE Technology Group (4.59%), GoerTek (4.3%), Luxshare Precision (3.97%), Changdian Technology (3.77%), Dongshan Precision (3.54%), and Lens Technology (3.47%) [1] - The market distribution of the index holdings shows that the Shenzhen Stock Exchange accounts for 56.71%, while the Shanghai Stock Exchange accounts for 43.29% [1] - In terms of industry distribution, the index holdings are primarily in information technology (94.33%), followed by industrial (3.37%), healthcare (1.17%), and communication services (1.12%) [1] Group 3 - The index samples are adjusted biannually, with adjustments implemented on the next trading day following the second Friday of June and December each year [2] - Weight factors are adjusted in accordance with the sample adjustments, which occur at the same time as the biannual sample adjustments [2] - In special circumstances, the index may undergo temporary adjustments, such as when a sample company is delisted or undergoes mergers, acquisitions, or splits [2]