Core Viewpoint - The article highlights an upcoming event in Qingdao focused on deep industry and capital dialogue, featuring visits to benchmark companies and showcasing their innovative strategies in the context of the IoT era and consumer engagement. Group 1: Event Details - The "Qingdao Listed Companies Deep Research" event is scheduled for June 10-12, lasting three days and two nights, organized by Nanfang Financial Education Base in collaboration with Stock Market Broadcasting and Investment Express [1][6]. Group 2: Company Insights - The first company is recognized as a global leader in smart home ecosystems and a benchmark for transformation in the IoT era, having led global retail sales of large home appliances for 14 consecutive years [2]. - The second company, a century-old brand, is exploring youth marketing strategies to engage Generation Z, evolving from traditional products like "calcium milk biscuits" to trendy items [3]. - The third company is noted for its 120-year brewing legacy, ranking as the fifth largest beer brand globally and leading the high-end beer market in China [4]. Group 3: Research Highlights - The event will include a visit to the "Ecological Interconnected Factory" to experience comprehensive smart home solutions and observe the transformation of traditional manufacturing into an open ecological platform [3]. - Participants will analyze the global layout of the brands "Haier + Casarte + Candy," which operate in nearly 200 countries, focusing on localized operational innovations [3]. - The event will feature a tour of the Qingdao Beer Museum, showcasing the transition from traditional brewing methods to intelligent production, along with a tasting of high-end product lines to understand the brand matrix and scene marketing strategies [5].

Core Insights - The "Qingdao Beer Exchange" has become a trending topic on social media, attracting over 10,000 daily visitors and selling more than 120,000 milliliters of beer in a single day during the Dragon Boat Festival holiday [1][2] Group 1: Concept and Features - The "Qingdao Beer Exchange" features a 3-meter tall, 360-degree smart beer column that allows consumers to purchase from 30 different types of beer, with real-time price fluctuations based on sales [1][2] - The exchange operates on a dynamic pricing mechanism that updates every 10 minutes, adjusting prices based on demand, similar to stock market trading [3][4] Group 2: Consumer Experience - Consumers engage in a unique, immersive experience where they act as "traders," influencing beer prices through their purchases, thus enhancing the overall enjoyment of the product [4] - The self-service model allows customers to select their beer and complete transactions via QR codes, creating an interactive and engaging environment [2][3] Group 3: Market Impact - The innovative concept not only revitalizes the local tourism and consumption market but also promotes a younger, more digital shopping experience, benefiting surrounding restaurants and cultural businesses [4]

Group 1 - The peak season for beer production typically occurs from June to September due to increased demand for chilled beer in hot weather [1][3] - High temperatures significantly boost beer consumption, making the second and third quarters traditional sales peaks for the industry [3] - The Chinese beer industry has been undergoing a high-end upgrade since around 2018, shifting focus from market share to profitability, with leading companies enhancing their product offerings [4][5] Group 2 - In 2024, the overall beer consumption is expected to be weak, but the resilience of the industry remains, with leading companies still seeing profit levels increase despite a slowdown in growth rates [4][6] - Sales performance among leading beer brands varies, with some brands like Zhujiang Beer and Yanjing Beer showing positive growth while Qingdao Beer experiences a decline due to conservative marketing strategies [6][7] - The craft beer market in China is expanding rapidly, driven by a younger consumer base that values quality and unique experiences, with the market size expected to reach 11 billion yuan by 2028 [8] Group 3 - The beer industry is expected to recover in 2025, supported by improved consumer spending and favorable policies for the restaurant sector, which will positively impact beer sales [6][7] - The current low inventory levels and the approach of the beer consumption peak season present opportunities for investment in resilient companies with positive sales and pricing trends [9]

Core Insights - The Qingdao Beer Exchange has gained significant popularity during the Dragon Boat Festival, merging local beer culture with modern financial symbols, appealing particularly to Generation Z consumers [2][6] - This innovative concept disrupts traditional commercial space logic, resembling a beer can-shaped vending machine with an LED screen displaying real-time beer prices and trading volumes, creating an engaging consumer experience [2][4] Industry Trends - The Qingdao Beer Exchange features over thirty types of beer, with prices fluctuating by up to 10%, providing a transparent and gamified consumption experience that resonates with younger consumers [4][6] - The integration of financial trading logic into the consumer space reflects a broader trend of experiential economy reshaping traditional retail environments [4][9] Market Performance - During the Dragon Boat Festival, the Qingdao Beer Exchange sold hundreds of barrels of beer, indicating strong consumer interest and engagement [6] - The Taidong Pedestrian Street, where the exchange is located, has seen significant foot traffic, with 2.245 million visitors during the Qingming and May Day holidays, and projected annual traffic of 110 million in 2024 [7] Cultural Significance - The Qingdao Beer Exchange not only serves beer but also embodies the cultural identity of Qingdao, transforming material consumption into a spiritual experience that reflects the city's character [9] - The success of the Qingdao Beer Exchange is a result of multi-dimensional synergy between industrial upgrades, cultural innovation, and urban governance, showcasing the city's evolution in the experience economy era [9]

Core Viewpoints - The market in June is expected to remain in a consolidation phase, with large-cap stocks likely to see a recovery. Domestic demand momentum is anticipated to improve marginally, while April's industrial profits continued to show a recovery trend but experienced a decline in both volume and price. The cost decline was the main driver of profit growth in April. PMI data for May indicates a slight recovery in domestic production demand compared to April. It is expected that growth-stabilizing policies will be implemented alongside resilient external demand, and the trend of weak inventory replenishment is likely to continue in the second quarter. However, global trade policies remain uncertain, compounded by concerns over rising US debt rates, which may pressure market sentiment in the short term. In June, various growth-stabilizing policies are expected to accelerate, maintaining a cautious and oscillating market environment. Key areas to watch for a breakthrough include developments in overseas tariffs and the implementation of domestic growth-stabilizing policies in June [4][10][12]. June Stock Recommendations - The June stock selection by the report includes: - SF Express (Transportation) - Anji Technology (Chemicals) - Bairen Medical (Pharmaceuticals) - Lingnan Holdings (Social Services) - Qingdao Beer (Food and Beverage) - Suochen Technology (Computers) [10][12]. Industry Summaries Transportation Industry: SF Express - SF Express reported a net profit of 2.234 billion yuan in Q1 2025, reflecting a steady growth trend. The company achieved a total express volume of 3.56 billion parcels, a year-on-year increase of 19.7%, with revenue reaching 69.85 billion yuan, up 6.9% year-on-year. The profit growth was primarily driven by the continuous improvement of the product matrix and enhanced service competitiveness. The company also focused on cost control through operational model reforms and network optimization, achieving a gross profit margin of 13.3%, an increase of 0.1 percentage points year-on-year [12][13]. Chemical Industry: Anji Technology - Anji Technology experienced rapid growth in revenue and net profit in 2024 and Q1 2025, driven by increased market coverage and new product introductions. The gross profit margin for 2024 was 58.45%, with a net profit margin of 29.08%. In Q1 2025, the gross profit margin was 55.70%, and the net profit margin was 30.96%. The company is seeing a steady increase in its global market share for polishing liquids, with a projected market size growth for semiconductor CMP polishing materials [14][15]. Pharmaceutical Industry: Bairen Medical - Bairen Medical reported rapid growth in revenue and profit in 2024, with significant increases in its three main business segments. The heart valve replacement and repair segment saw a year-on-year growth of 64.28%. The company is expected to maintain high growth rates in 2025, driven by the approval of its first interventional valve product, which offers significant advantages in terms of operation and safety [17][18]. Social Services Industry: Lingnan Holdings - Lingnan Holdings achieved a revenue of 4.309 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 25.43%, and a net profit of 150 million yuan, up 116.08%. The company’s travel agency operations and hotel management segments are expected to continue growing, particularly with the recovery of inbound tourism and the expansion of hotel management projects [20][21]. Food and Beverage Industry: Qingdao Beer - Qingdao Beer faced pressure on volume and price in Q3 2024, with a year-on-year decline in sales volume of 7.0%. However, the company benefited from a decrease in raw material costs, leading to an improvement in gross profit margins. Future growth is anticipated as restaurant demand recovers, supported by the company's strong brand and distribution network [23][24]. Computer Industry: Suochen Technology - Suochen Technology reported a revenue of 39 million yuan in Q1 2025, a year-on-year increase of 21.73%. The company is focusing on enhancing its CAE software capabilities and exploring AI applications in various fields. The engineering simulation software segment has shown significant growth, contributing to an overall increase in the company's gross profit margin [25][26][27].

Investment Focus - The report emphasizes the strategy of investing in stocks with high dividends and improved fundamentals, particularly in the essential consumer sector [1][6] - Key stocks recommended for investment include Kweichow Moutai, Wuliangye, and Yili, all rated as "Outperform" [1] Industry Overview - In May 2025, six out of eight tracked industries maintained positive growth, with the restaurant sector growing by 3.7%, beer by 3.3%, and soft drinks by 3.1% [3][8] - The industries experiencing negative growth include mass-market and above mid-range liquor, with declines of 13.0% and 2.5% respectively [3][8] Price Trends - In May, the price of Moutai continued to decline, while high-end products like Wuliangye stabilized [4] - The overall price trend in the liquor market showed more declines than increases, particularly in the mid-range segment [4][10] Cost Analysis - The cost index for soft drinks, seasonings, and other categories showed slight increases, while beer and instant noodles experienced declines [4] - Packaging material prices have decreased significantly compared to last year, with aluminum can prices up by 12.01% [4] Fund Flows - As of the end of May, net inflows into Hong Kong Stock Connect amounted to 41.99 billion yuan, with the essential consumer sector's market capitalization share at 5.65% [5] - The food additives sector saw an increase in market share, while the dairy sector experienced a slight decrease [5] Valuation Metrics - The PE historical percentile for A-share food and beverage stocks was 19% (21.5x), a decrease from the previous month [5] - H-share essential consumer sector PE historical percentile increased to 34% (18.8x), reflecting a rise in valuation [5] Recommendations - The report suggests waiting for opportunities or buying high-dividend stocks, as the current fundamentals lack catalysts for growth [6] - Key stocks with high dividend yields include Master Kong, Uni-President, and China Feihe, among others [6]

Group 1: Market Overview - The A-share market experienced a collective rise, with the Shanghai Composite Index up by 0.42%, the Shenzhen Component Index up by 0.87%, and the ChiNext Index up by 1.11% [1] - The total market turnover reached 1,117.4 billion yuan, an increase of 13.6 billion yuan compared to the previous day, with over 3,900 stocks rising [1] Group 2: Beer Sector Performance - The beer sector saw significant gains, with multiple stocks hitting the daily limit [3] - The rise in the beer sector is attributed to the ongoing popularity of "new consumption" trends and the "micro-drunk economy," where younger consumers prefer low-alcohol beverages for relaxed social experiences [3] - Qingdao Beer has been recommended by 15 brokerage firms in the last three months, indicating strong investment value, with reasons including resource optimization and market expansion [3] Group 3: Tobacco Sector Activity - The tobacco sector showed active performance, with companies like Jinjia Co. and Huabao Co. hitting the daily limit [4] - Recent regulatory updates from the National Tobacco Monopoly Administration aim to enhance the electronic cigarette regulatory framework, impacting production and market standards [4] - The stock of Hong Kong Tobacco surged over 7%, reaching a historical high, further fueling market enthusiasm for tobacco-related concepts [5] Group 4: Market Outlook - Positive factors for the market include favorable views from foreign investment banks and potential tariff benefits, which may boost market sentiment [5] - Analysts suggest that the market adjustment space is limited due to supportive policies, with a focus on structural opportunities [6] - The technology and consumer sectors are expected to remain key investment themes, with high-growth industries such as AI infrastructure and robotics being highlighted [6]

Strategy Overview - The market in June is expected to remain in a state of waiting for a breakthrough, with large-cap stocks likely to see a recovery. Domestic demand momentum is anticipated to improve marginally, although April's industrial profits showed a decline in both volume and price, with cost reductions being the main driver for profit growth. The PMI for May indicates a slight recovery in domestic production demand compared to April. It is expected that growth-stabilizing policies will be implemented alongside resilient external demand, continuing the trend of weak inventory replenishment in the second quarter. However, global trade policies remain uncertain, compounded by concerns over rising US debt rates, which may pressure market sentiment in the short term. In June, various growth-stabilizing policies are expected to accelerate, maintaining a volatile consolidation pattern in the market. Key areas to monitor for a breakthrough include overseas tariff developments and the implementation of domestic growth-stabilizing policies in June. [5][7] June Stock Recommendations - The June stock selection by Zhongyin Securities includes: - SF Express (Transportation) - Anji Technology (Chemicals) - Bairen Medical (Healthcare) - Lingnan Holdings (Social Services) - Qingdao Beer (Food and Beverage) - Suochen Technology (Computers) [14][16] Performance Review of May Stock Selection - The stock selection for May outperformed the market, with notable performances from Jiemian Express-W and Yiwei Lithium Energy, both achieving over 10% monthly returns. The absolute return of the May stock selection was 3.87%, outperforming the market benchmark (CSI 300) by 2.02 percentage points. Three stocks achieved excess returns of over 5% compared to the CSI 300. [9] Company-Specific Insights SF Express (Transportation) - In Q1 2025, SF Express reported a net profit of 2.234 billion yuan, reflecting a stable growth trend. The company achieved a total express volume of 3.56 billion parcels, a year-on-year increase of 19.7%, with revenue reaching 69.85 billion yuan, up 6.9% year-on-year. The net profit increased by 16.87% year-on-year, driven by continuous improvement in product matrix and service competitiveness. The gross profit margin was 13.3%, slightly up by 0.1 percentage points. [16][17] Anji Technology (Chemicals) - Anji Technology is expected to see rapid growth in revenue and net profit in 2024, driven by increased market coverage and new product introductions. The gross margin for 2024 is projected at 58.45%, up 2.64 percentage points year-on-year. The company’s polishing liquid revenue reached 1.545 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 43.73%. The global semiconductor CMP polishing materials market is expected to grow from 3.42 billion USD in 2024 to 3.62 billion USD in 2025. [19][20] Bairen Medical (Healthcare) - Bairen Medical reported rapid growth in Q4 2024 and Q1 2025, with significant increases in revenue across all three major business segments. The heart valve replacement and repair segment saw a year-on-year growth of 64.28%. The approval of the TAVR product in August 2024 is expected to drive further growth in 2025. [24][25] Lingnan Holdings (Social Services) - Lingnan Holdings achieved a revenue of 4.309 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 25.43%, with a net profit of 150 million yuan, up 116.08%. The travel agency and hotel management segments are expected to continue growing, particularly with the recovery of inbound tourism. [29][30] Qingdao Beer (Food and Beverage) - Qingdao Beer faced challenges in 2024 with a volume decline of 7.0% and a slight price increase of 0.5%. The company’s gross margin improved due to lower raw material costs, but net profit margin slightly decreased. Future growth is anticipated as restaurant demand recovers. [34][35] Suochen Technology (Computers) - Suochen Technology reported a revenue of 39 million yuan in Q1 2025, a year-on-year increase of 21.73%. The company is focusing on enhancing its CAE software capabilities and exploring AI applications in various fields. [38][39][40]

Core Insights - The report highlights a positive outlook for various sectors, with specific companies identified as key investment opportunities based on their performance and market conditions [5][11][15][19][23][27][31][35][39][44]. Company Summaries 招商银行 (China Merchants Bank, 600036) - The bank's Q1 2025 performance showed a decline in revenue and net profit, with operating income at 837.51 billion yuan, down 3.09% year-on-year, and net profit at 372.86 billion yuan, down 2.08% [11]. - The bank maintains a high dividend payout ratio, with a projected dividend of 2 yuan per share for 2024, resulting in a dividend yield of 4.60% based on the May 29 closing price [11]. - The bank's asset quality remains under pressure, particularly in retail loans, with a non-performing loan ratio of 0.94% [11]. 紫金矿业 (Zijin Mining, 601899) - The company reported significant growth in mineral production, achieving 1.07 million tons of copper and 73 tons of gold in 2024, with production costs decreasing [15]. - Zijin Mining's resource reserves are expanding, with successful exploration projects and acquisitions enhancing its market position [15]. - The company expects continued growth in copper and gold prices, supporting its revenue projections for 2025 [15]. 三美股份 (Sanmei Co., 603379) - The company experienced a substantial increase in revenue from its refrigerant products, with a 30.28% year-on-year growth in 2024 [19]. - The average selling price of refrigerants rose significantly, contributing to improved profitability [19]. - The company is well-positioned in the refrigerant market, with ongoing price increases expected in 2025 [19]. 青岛啤酒 (Qingdao Beer, 600600) - The company reported a revenue of 321.38 billion yuan in 2024, with a net profit of 43.45 billion yuan, showing signs of recovery in the beverage sector [23]. - The management is optimistic about demand recovery as the peak season approaches, supported by favorable government policies [23]. - EPS projections for 2025 are set at 3.52 yuan, with a "buy" rating maintained [23]. 恒瑞医药 (Hengrui Medicine, 600276) - The company achieved a 20.14% year-on-year growth in revenue for Q1 2025, driven by its innovative drug portfolio [27]. - Hengrui's focus on R&D has led to the development of multiple new drugs, enhancing its market competitiveness [27]. - EPS for 2025 is projected at 1.05 yuan, with a "buy" rating maintained [27]. 海大集团 (Haida Group, 002311) - The company reported a 9% increase in feed sales in 2024, with significant growth in international markets [31]. - Haida is actively pursuing international expansion, particularly in Southeast Asia and Africa, to enhance its market presence [31]. - EPS projections for 2025 are set at 3.01 yuan, with a "buy" rating maintained [31]. 华电国际 (China Huadian Corporation, 600027) - The company completed a significant asset restructuring, expected to enhance its operational scale and market share [35]. - Post-restructuring, the company anticipates a 25.07% increase in revenue and a 5.93% increase in net profit [35]. - EPS projections for 2025 are set at 0.64 yuan, with a "buy" rating maintained [35]. 胜宏科技 (Shenghong Technology, 300476) - The company reported a 35.31% increase in revenue for 2024, driven by strong demand in the PCB sector [39]. - Q1 2025 saw an 80.31% increase in revenue, with significant growth in high-value product orders [39]. - EPS projections for 2025 are set at 5.09 yuan, with a "buy" rating maintained [39]. 中国电信 (China Telecom, 601728) - The company reported a 3.1% year-on-year increase in revenue, with a focus on digital transformation and service innovation [44]. - The mobile user base continues to grow, contributing to stable revenue streams [44]. - EPS projections for 2025 are set at 0.39 yuan, with a "buy" rating maintained [44].

Investment Rating - Industry Rating: Outperform the market (maintained rating) [6] Core Views - The report emphasizes investment opportunities in the soft drink and low-alcohol segments due to new products, low base effects, and the upcoming peak season [4][5][15] - The white liquor sector is recommended with a focus on Moutai and Fenjiu, while the yellow wine sector is under observation for data validation [3][18] - The report identifies four key themes in the consumer goods sector: cost control, new consumption trends, potential performance elasticity in Q2, and thematic expectations [18][22] Summary by Sections Market Performance Review - From May 26 to May 30, the food and beverage sector declined by 1.06%, while the Shanghai Composite Index fell by 0.03% [24] - Notable performances included soft drinks (+9.27%), other alcoholic beverages (+7.13%), and beer (+3.22%) [24] White and Yellow Liquor - The white liquor sector saw a decline of 2.76%, attributed to recent regulations and seasonal factors [3] - Shanxi Fenjiu aims for national expansion and product growth, indicating a strategic opportunity during the industry's adjustment phase [3][18] Beer and Beverage - The beer sector increased by 3.22%, supported by seasonal demand and promotional activities [14] - The report highlights the potential of the soft drink and low-alcohol segments, with significant growth in companies like Li Ziyuan and Dongpeng Beverage [15][22] Consumer Goods - The consumer goods sector is recommended based on four main themes: cost control, new consumption, potential performance elasticity, and thematic expectations [18][22] - The report suggests focusing on companies that can leverage these themes, such as Ximai Food and H&H [22] Investment Recommendations - Top picks include soft drinks and low-alcohol products like Li Ziyuan, Chengde Lulou, and Dongpeng Beverage [5][22] - For the white liquor sector, leading companies like Shanxi Fenjiu and Guizhou Moutai are recommended [5][22] - The report also suggests monitoring companies in the consumer goods sector that align with the identified themes [22]