Core Viewpoint - The photovoltaic (PV) module industry is experiencing an unexpected price surge at the beginning of 2026, driven by factors such as the impending cancellation of export tax rebates and rising costs of key materials like silver and aluminum, leading to significant profit compression in the industry [2][9][18]. Price Surge and Market Dynamics - Several PV module manufacturers have announced price increases, with some companies raising prices from 0.73 yuan/W to 0.8 yuan/W, and the official guidance price for distributed PV modules now ranges from 0.85 to 0.89 yuan/W [4][6]. - A total of 12 module manufacturers raised their prices this week, with increases ranging from 0.04 to 0.15 yuan/W [6][7]. - Reports indicate that some companies are delaying deliveries and demanding price hikes, causing significant disruptions for downstream companies [7][18]. Reasons for Price Increases - The cancellation of export tax rebates is a major catalyst for the price surge, with the Ministry of Finance announcing the phased removal of VAT export rebates for PV products starting April 1, 2026 [9][10]. - The price of silver has skyrocketed, increasing from 7,600 yuan/kg at the beginning of 2025 to 23,688 yuan/kg by the end of the year, resulting in a cost increase of at least 0.16 yuan per watt for PV cells [11][13]. - The cost share of silver in PV modules has risen from approximately 17% to around 30%, surpassing silicon as the largest cost component [13]. Industry Challenges and Overcapacity - The PV industry is facing severe overcapacity, with silicon production capacity expected to cover more than double the global demand from 2025 to 2027, while actual demand is below 600 GW [19][20]. - The cancellation of export tax rebates is expected to trigger a violent market clearing in 2026, as many companies will struggle with cash flow and rising costs [21][27]. - The industry is projected to experience significant losses, with estimates suggesting that the entire PV silicon industry could face losses amounting to hundreds of billions in 2025 [28][29]. Future Outlook and Investment Strategy - The anticipated market clearing in 2026 is expected to eliminate over 30% of inefficient capacity, concentrating resources among leading companies with vertical integration and core technologies [31]. - Investors are advised to avoid high-debt, non-competitive small and medium enterprises, focusing instead on companies with stable cash flow, strong technology, and global presence [32].

Core Viewpoint - The surge in silver prices, which has increased over 200% since early last year, poses significant challenges for the photovoltaic (PV) industry, leading to increased production costs and potential operational disruptions [1][2][5]. Group 1: Silver Price Impact on PV Industry - Silver paste has become the largest cost component in solar modules, rising from 3.4% of total costs in 2023 to 29% currently [2]. - The cost pressure from rising silver prices is forcing some PV companies to halt production or raise prices, with major manufacturers accelerating efforts to reduce silver usage [2][3]. - A 1000 yuan/kg increase in silver price raises the cost of solar cells by 0.01 yuan per watt, which can significantly impact the operational rates of factories in the low-margin PV sector [3]. Group 2: Company Responses and Market Dynamics - Leading companies like Longi Green Energy and Aiko Solar have raised their product prices due to rising raw material costs, with prices for mainstream 500W modules increasing to around 400 yuan (approximately 57 USD) [3]. - Mid-tier companies are facing severe financial strain, leading to extreme measures such as production halts, as seen with a 2GW battery manufacturer in Hunan and the established firm Yijing Photovoltaic [4]. - Despite efforts to clear excess capacity, companies like Trina Solar and JinkoSolar are issuing profit warnings, indicating potential net losses in 2025 due to the ongoing challenges in the market [5]. Group 3: Efforts to Reduce Silver Usage - The PV industry is adopting "de-silvering" strategies to mitigate the impact of high silver prices, with Longi Green Energy announcing plans to accelerate the use of alternative metals [6]. - Analysts predict that the industry could reduce silver usage by 17% this year through technologies like copper plating and silver-coated copper [6]. - However, the aggressive shift to alternative materials carries risks, including potential long-term reliability issues, as copper is less stable than silver and may not meet warranty requirements [7].

Core Insights - The official WeChat public account ranking for the photovoltaic industry in the first week of January 2026 has been released, showcasing the communication performance of various companies based on total reading numbers and other engagement metrics [1]. Group 1: Company Rankings - Tongwei Group ranks first with a total reading count of over 150,000, publishing 13 articles with an average reading of 11,569.10 per article [4][10]. - Jinko Solar follows in second place with over 107,000 total readings from 7 articles, achieving an average reading of 15,287.30 per article [4][10]. - Aiko Solar ranks third with a total reading count of 27,626 from 6 articles, maintaining stable reading numbers around 8,000 for its series [4][10]. - Longi Green Energy and its subsidiary Longi Solar rank fourth and sixth, respectively, with total readings of 14,498 and 8,572 [11][10]. - Trina Solar and JA Solar maintain stable content output, ranking fifth and seventh with total readings of 8,615 and 7,702 [11][10]. Group 2: Notable Articles - Jinko Solar's article titled "Opening the Grand Blueprint for the Next 20 Years" achieved a remarkable reading count of 95,999, significantly contributing to its overall performance [10]. - The article "2025 Major Events of Sungrow" by Sungrow, although not in the top ten, garnered 73,641 readings, marking it as a standout piece in the industry [10]. - Tongwei Group's articles, including "The Power of Role Models!" and others, also received high engagement, with readings of 34,130 and 25,652 respectively [12][10].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an investment rating of "Synchronize with the market - A" for the electric equipment and new energy industry [1]. Core Viewpoints - The report highlights that China has submitted applications for over 200,000 new satellites, marking the largest international frequency and orbit resource application in the country's history [3]. - Starting from April 2026, the export tax rebate for photovoltaic products will be canceled, which may impact the industry dynamics [4]. - The photovoltaic power generation utilization rate for January to November 2025 was reported at 94.8%, indicating strong performance in the sector [4]. Summary by Relevant Sections Preferred Stocks - The report lists several preferred stocks with ratings: - Aishuo Co., Ltd. (600732.SH) - Buy - B - Daqian Energy (688303.SH) - Buy - B - Fulete (601865.SH) - Buy - A - Haibo Sichuang (688411.SH) - Buy - A - Sunshine Power (300274.SZ) - Buy - A - Langxin Group (300682.SZ) - Buy - B - Quartz Co., Ltd. (603688.SH) - Buy - A [2]. Price Tracking - The average price of dense polysilicon is reported at 54.0 CNY/kg, up 3.8% from the previous week, while granular silicon is at 52.0 CNY/kg, up 4.0% [5]. - The average price for 182-183.75mm N-type battery cells is 0.39 CNY/W, reflecting a 2.6% increase [6]. - The price for 182*182-210mm TOPCon double-glass modules is 0.70 CNY/W, showing a 0.3% increase [7]. Investment Suggestions - The report recommends focusing on companies in various sectors: - BC new technology: Aishuo Co., Ltd. - Supply-side: Daqian Energy, Fulete - Light storage: Haibo Sichuang, Sunshine Power - Power marketization: Langxin Group - Domestic substitution: Quartz Co., Ltd. - Additional companies to watch include Longi Green Energy, Hongdian East Magnet, and others [8].

Group 1 - The State Intellectual Property Office of China has granted a patent titled "A Perovskite Solar Cell Module and Its Manufacturing Method" to four companies: Zhejiang Aishuxin Solar Technology Co., Ltd., Guangdong Aishuxin Technology Co., Ltd., Tianjin Aishuxin Solar Technology Co., Ltd., and Zhuhai Fushan Aishuxin Solar Technology Co., Ltd. The patent authorization announcement number is CN114361347B, with an application date of December 2021 [1][2]. Group 2 - Zhejiang Aishuxin Solar Technology Co., Ltd. was established in 2016 in Jinhua City, with a registered capital of 596.374 million RMB. The company has invested in 11 enterprises, participated in 151 bidding projects, and holds 2,182 patents along with 62 administrative licenses [1]. - Guangdong Aishuxin Technology Co., Ltd. was founded in 2009 in Foshan City, with a registered capital of 282.347 million RMB. The company has invested in 1 enterprise, participated in 8 bidding projects, and possesses 1,947 patents and 99 trademark registrations, along with 46 administrative licenses [1]. - Tianjin Aishuxin Solar Technology Co., Ltd. was established in 2018 in Tianjin City, with a registered capital of 130 million RMB. The company has invested in 1 enterprise, participated in 23 bidding projects, and holds 1,410 patents, along with 153 administrative licenses [2]. - Zhuhai Fushan Aishuxin Solar Technology Co., Ltd. was founded in 2021 in Zhuhai City, with a registered capital of 450 million RMB. The company has participated in 115 bidding projects, holds 1,272 patents, and has 315 administrative licenses [2].

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Overweight" indicating a positive outlook for the photovoltaic sector [2][7]. Core Insights - The cancellation of the export VAT rebate for photovoltaic products, effective from April 1, 2026, marks the end of over a decade of direct fiscal support for photovoltaic exports, potentially leading the industry towards high-quality development [1][2]. - A "window period" is expected to create a surge in export orders and production increases in Q1 2026, improving the performance of companies heavily reliant on exports [2]. - Following the end of the export rebate, overseas pricing for photovoltaic components is anticipated to rise, benefiting leading companies with strong brand and channel advantages [2]. - The cancellation of the rebate is seen as a response to the industry's call to reduce low-price competition, which may accelerate the exit of inefficient production capacities and allow leading firms to gain market share [2]. - Companies with overseas production capabilities and local market presence are expected to benefit from the reduced cost disadvantage of local manufacturing [2]. Summary by Sections Policy Impact - The export VAT rebate for photovoltaic products will be eliminated, transitioning the industry towards a more sustainable growth model [1][2]. Market Dynamics - A surge in orders and production is expected in Q1 2026 due to the impending policy change, similar to previous "rush to install" phenomena [2]. - The end of the rebate is likely to lead to a reevaluation of overseas component prices, with stronger pricing power for top-tier companies [2]. Competitive Landscape - The cancellation of the rebate is anticipated to facilitate the exit of low-efficiency production capacities, allowing leading companies to enhance their market share through technological and brand advantages [2]. - Companies with advanced technologies and cost advantages, such as those focusing on TOPCon/BC technologies and silicon material upgrades, are highlighted as potential investment opportunities [2]. Valuation of Key Companies - A table of key companies with their respective valuations and projected earnings for 2025-2027 is provided, indicating varying levels of profitability and market performance [3].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for several companies, including Aishuo Co., Ltd. (600732.SH), Daqian Energy (688303.SH), Haibo Sichuang (688411.SH), Sungrow Power Supply (300274.SZ), Flat Glass Group (601865.SH), Longxin Group (300682.SZ), and Quartz Co., Ltd. (603688.SH) [2] Core Insights - The solar industry has experienced a decline in new installations, with November 2025 seeing a 11.9% year-on-year decrease, totaling 22.0 GW. However, the cumulative new installations from January to November 2025 reached 274.89 GW, reflecting a 33.2% increase year-on-year [3][13] - Solar module exports in November 2025 amounted to 171.4 billion yuan, marking a 33.9% year-on-year increase and a 6.6% month-on-month increase. The cumulative export value from January to November 2025 was 1854.0 billion yuan, down 9.0% year-on-year [4][16] - Inverter exports also showed positive growth, with November 2025 exports reaching 54.5 billion yuan, a 25.6% year-on-year increase and a 13.0% month-on-month increase. The cumulative export value for inverters from January to November 2025 was 587.5 billion yuan, up 8.7% year-on-year [4][28] - Solar power generation in November 2025 increased by 23.4% year-on-year, contributing to 5.29% of the total national power generation, which was 7792 billion kWh, a 2.7% increase year-on-year [5][41] Summary by Sections New Installations - November 2025 saw a domestic solar installation of 22.0 GW, down 11.9% year-on-year but up 74.8% month-on-month. Cumulative installations for the year reached 274.89 GW, up 33.2% year-on-year [3][13] Exports - Solar module exports in November 2025 were 171.4 billion yuan, up 33.9% year-on-year and 6.6% month-on-month. Cumulative exports for the year were 1854.0 billion yuan, down 9.0% year-on-year [4][16] - Inverter exports reached 54.5 billion yuan in November 2025, a 25.6% year-on-year increase and a 13.0% month-on-month increase. Cumulative exports for the year were 587.5 billion yuan, up 8.7% year-on-year [4][28] Power Generation - Solar power generation in November 2025 was 412.2 billion kWh, reflecting a 23.4% year-on-year increase and accounting for 5.29% of total national power generation [5][41] Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on companies such as Aishuo Co., Ltd. for new technology, Daqian Energy and Flat Glass Group for supply-side initiatives, Haibo Sichuang and Sungrow Power Supply for energy storage, Longxin Group for market-oriented strategies, and Quartz Co., Ltd. for domestic substitution [5][46]

Investment Rating - The report rates the photovoltaic industry as "Overweight," indicating that the industry is expected to outperform the overall market [2]. Core Insights - The cancellation of the export VAT rebate for photovoltaic products, effective April 1, 2026, marks the end of over a decade of direct fiscal support for photovoltaic exports, potentially leading the industry into a phase of high-quality development [1]. - A "window period" is anticipated, leading to increased overseas orders and production ramp-up in Q1 2026, similar to previous phases of accelerated installations, which is expected to improve the performance of export-oriented photovoltaic companies [2]. - After the policy window closes, overseas component prices are likely to be renegotiated, as China, being the largest exporter of photovoltaic components, will have stronger pricing power due to the cancellation of the rebate, which is expected to lead to price increases [2]. - The cancellation of the export rebate is seen as a response to the call for reducing low-price competition in the photovoltaic industry, which will accelerate the exit of inefficient production capacities and reshape the market landscape [2]. - Companies with overseas production capacity and strong brand/channel advantages are expected to benefit from the narrowing cost disadvantage of local manufacturing, particularly in regions like the Middle East and North Africa [2]. Summary by Relevant Sections Industry Outlook - The cancellation of the export VAT rebate is expected to enhance the industry's quality of development and reduce fiscal funds being transferred to overseas terminals [2]. - The report suggests that leading companies with technological advantages (TOPCon/BC), strong brands, and distribution channels will continue to gain market share [2]. Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on leading companies with overseas production capabilities, such as Longi Green Energy, JinkoSolar, Trina Solar, and others, which are expected to benefit from the "price adjustment and capacity exit" [2]. - Companies that are advancing new technologies and material upgrades, such as Aiko Solar and Dongfang Risheng, are also highlighted for their potential to enhance product efficiency and pricing power [2]. - Cost-advantaged silicon material companies like Tongwei Co. and Daqo New Energy are recommended for investment consideration [2]. Valuation Table - A valuation table is provided, detailing the estimated net profits and price-to-earnings (PE) ratios for key companies in the industry, indicating varying performance expectations for 2025 to 2027 [3].

Core Viewpoint - The BC (Back Contact) technology is emerging as a mainstream solution in the photovoltaic industry, shifting from a technical benchmark to a core engine for growth, addressing the industry's challenges and redefining its development logic [1] Group 1: Technology and Performance - BC technology enhances solar cell efficiency by placing both positive and negative electrodes on the back, increasing light absorption and conversion efficiency, with laboratory results showing a conversion rate of 27.55%, outperforming other technologies by over 1.2% [2] - The technology has resolved industry pain points such as shading, hot spots, and anti-cracking, with Aiko's BC modules achieving A+ certification for shading resistance and significantly lower surface temperatures in high-temperature and shaded environments [2] - BC technology opens up new application scenarios, increasing customer acquisition success rates from 30% to 60% in previously challenging environments, thus reducing costs and potential fire risks [3] Group 2: Market Applications and Growth - Aiko has successfully introduced BC technology across various applications, including residential, commercial, and utility-scale projects, with products designed for specific conditions such as mountainous terrains and extreme environments [3][4] - The market share for BC technology in utility-scale applications is expected to grow by 10% annually in the coming years, emphasizing the importance of creating diverse application scenarios for competitive advantage [5] Group 3: Industry Collaboration and Ecosystem - BC technology fosters a new collaborative ecosystem in the photovoltaic industry, moving beyond traditional supply chain relationships to a model of open innovation and shared growth among companies [7][9] - Companies like Aiko are not only achieving breakthroughs in technology and market but also acting as integrators and organizers within this new ecosystem, enhancing overall industry competitiveness [7] Group 4: Value Creation and Market Dynamics - The introduction of BC technology shifts the focus from price competition to value creation, redefining the value dimensions of photovoltaic products and enabling companies to provide tailored solutions for different customer needs [10][12] - Aiko's ABC modules have maintained the highest production efficiency globally for 34 consecutive months, achieving a production efficiency of 25%, and are gaining market share in high-value regions such as Europe and Australia [13]

Core Viewpoint - Aishuo Co., Ltd. has experienced fluctuations in stock price and trading volume, with a recent decline of 2.02% and a total market capitalization of 28.71 billion yuan. The company operates primarily in the solar energy sector, focusing on the research, production, and sales of solar cells and modules [1]. Financial Performance - For the period from January to September 2025, Aishuo Co., Ltd. reported a revenue of 11.597 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 46.86%. However, the company recorded a net profit attributable to shareholders of -532 million yuan, which is an increase of 81.20% compared to the previous period [2]. Shareholder Information - As of September 30, 2025, the number of shareholders for Aishuo Co., Ltd. was 70,700, a decrease of 9.57% from the previous period. The average number of circulating shares per shareholder increased by 10.58% to 22,418 shares [2]. Dividend Distribution - Aishuo Co., Ltd. has cumulatively distributed dividends of 921 million yuan since its A-share listing, with 715 million yuan distributed over the past three years [3]. Institutional Holdings - Among the top ten circulating shareholders as of September 30, 2025, Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited is the third-largest shareholder with 36.76 million shares, an increase of 3.73 million shares from the previous period. Other notable shareholders include Invesco Great Wall New Energy Industry Stock A and a new entrant, HSBC Jintrust Research Selected Mixed Fund [3].