Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Overweight" (maintained) [1] Core Insights - The report indicates a significant improvement in market trading volume and new fund issuance at the beginning of 2026, which is favorable for the fundamentals of financial IT and brokerage sectors. Brokerage firms are expected to continue rapid growth in their brokerage business, while investment banking, asset management, and overseas expansion are likely to enhance the return on equity (ROE) of leading brokerage firms. The insurance sector has also seen a strong start in both individual and bank-insurance channels, with a continued trend of deposit migration, suggesting a positive outlook for the insurance sector in the spring market [4][6]. Summary by Sections Brokerage Sector - Daily average trading volume for stock funds reached 3.44 trillion, down 16% week-on-week; however, the average trading volume since the beginning of 2026 is 3.64 trillion, a 105% increase compared to Q1 2025 [4] - New stock and mixed fund issuance in January 2026 totaled 44.3 billion, a 56% year-on-year increase [4] - The "Public Fund Performance Benchmark Guidelines" was officially released on January 23, 2026, establishing stricter standards for benchmark selection and changes, enhancing performance evaluation and compensation management systems [4] Insurance Sector - The fourth quarter of 2025 saw a stable research value for ordinary life insurance products at 1.89%, slightly down from 1.90% in the previous quarter, indicating a trend towards stability [6] - The individual insurance channel is under pressure due to various factors, but the strong start in 2026 is expected to improve new policy growth, aided by favorable market conditions [6] - The stabilization of long-term interest rates and a favorable equity market are expected to enhance net assets and profitability for insurance companies, with a potential valuation recovery towards 1x PEV for leading firms [6] Recommended Stocks - Recommended stocks include Guangfa Securities, Guotai Junan, Huatai Securities, and China International Capital Corporation H, as well as China Life, China Pacific Insurance, and Ping An Insurance [7]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive long-term outlook for the insurance sector, indicating a strong continuity in market performance despite recent fluctuations [2][12][16]. Core Insights - The financial sector experienced a mixed performance this week, with the non-bank financial index down by 1.45%, underperforming the CSI 300 index by 0.83 percentage points. The insurance sector saw a decline of 4.02%, while the brokerage sector decreased by 0.61% [1][10]. - The insurance sector's performance is driven by two main factors: policy support leading to economic recovery and liquidity easing combined with a strong stock market. The report suggests a shift from liquidity-driven growth to a focus on macro policy support and economic recovery expectations [2][13][16]. - The brokerage sector is expected to benefit from new regulations that enhance investment management quality, with a recommendation to focus on larger, undervalued firms and those involved in mergers and acquisitions [3][18]. - The banking sector is facing a slight decline, but there are signs of recovery in profitability for leading banks, with recommendations to focus on banks with high dividend yields and those expected to benefit from market conditions [19][21]. Summary by Sections Insurance Sector - The insurance sector's recent decline is attributed to short-term market sentiment and liquidity changes, but the long-term outlook remains positive due to strong support from both the liability and asset sides [2][12][16]. - Key recommendations include focusing on companies like China Pacific Insurance, China Ping An, China Life (H), and China Taiping, with a specific recommendation for New China Life [4][16]. Brokerage Sector - The brokerage sector's performance is slightly better than the overall market, with a focus on the new guidelines from the regulatory body that aim to improve fund management quality [3][17]. - Recommended firms include Guotai Junan, Huatai Securities, and others, particularly those with strong merger and acquisition prospects [4][18]. Banking Sector - The banking sector has shown a decline but is expected to stabilize, with recommendations to focus on banks with high earnings elasticity and strong dividend yields [19][21]. - Specific banks to watch include Hangzhou Bank, Ningbo Bank, and others, with a focus on those that have previously been undervalued [4][21].

Investment Rating - The report indicates a positive outlook for the brokerage sector, suggesting that it is currently in a phase of fundamental and valuation mismatch, with expectations for improvement in the first half of the year [2][6]. Core Insights - The brokerage sector has seen a significant increase in allocation by active equity funds, with a quarter-over-quarter increase of 102 basis points, surpassing the three-year average [2]. - The report highlights strong earnings forecasts for 2025, with notable increases in net profits for several brokerages, including a projected 405.3% increase for Guolian Minsheng [2][16]. - The insurance sector is expected to stabilize, with a forecasted recovery in the predetermined interest rate for life insurance products, anticipated to rise to 1.96% in Q1 2026 [2][28]. Summary by Sections Market Review - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4,702.50 with a decline of 0.62%, while the non-bank index fell by 1.45% [6]. - The brokerage, insurance, and diversified financial indices reported changes of -0.61%, -4.02%, and +3.10%, respectively [6]. Non-Banking Sector Insights - The report notes that the China Securities Regulatory Commission has introduced new guidelines for performance benchmarks for publicly offered securities investment funds, aiming to enhance transparency and accountability [8][10]. - Key announcements from individual companies include China Pacific Insurance reporting an 8.1% increase in premium income for 2025, and Guolian Minsheng forecasting a significant profit increase due to business integration [12][16]. Investment Analysis Recommendations - For brokerages, the report recommends focusing on firms with strong competitive positions, such as Guotai Junan and Citic Securities, as well as those with high earnings elasticity like Huatai Securities [2]. - In the insurance sector, the report maintains a positive medium-term outlook, recommending companies like China Life and Ping An Insurance [2]. Key Data Tracking - As of January 23, 2026, the average daily trading volume was reported at 30,388.36 billion [32]. - The margin trading balance stood at 27,249.13 billion [38].

Core Insights - The report indicates a decline in trading activity, with the CSI 1000 index leading in valuation gains [1] - Valuation changes are mixed across broad indices, with the CSI 1000 showing a notable increase [4] - The report highlights that the PE valuation in the textile and apparel sector and the PB valuation in the oil and petrochemical sector are leading [4] Index Valuation - The CSI 1000 index leads with a PE-TTM increase of 4.2 percentage points, while the PB-LF valuation increased by 2.0 percentage points [4] - Among style indices, the cyclical style leads with a PE-TTM increase of 1.8 percentage points, and the mid-cap style leads with a PB-LF increase of 4.5 percentage points [4] Industry Valuation - The textile and apparel sector shows a PE increase of 2.5 percentage points, leading among industries [4] - The oil and petrochemical sector leads in PB valuation with a 9.5 percentage point increase [4] Market Sentiment - Trading activity has decreased, with a mixed change in turnover rates; the CSI 1000 index saw the largest increase of 1.5% [4] - Total trading volume across indices has declined, with the CSI 1000 experiencing a 21.8% drop [4] - The margin trading balance as of January 22, 2026, is 2.70 trillion, down 0.24% from January 16, 2026 [4] Risk Premium - The report notes a slight decrease in the equity risk premium (ERP), which stands at 3.92%, down 0.03 percentage points from January 16, 2026 [4][7]

【#中科宇航IPO辅导完成#】据证监会网站，1月24日，商业航天企业中科宇航辅导状态再次更新， 从"辅导验收"变为"辅导工作完成"，其IPO辅导机构为国泰海通证券。（每日经济新闻） ...

- The report highlights the performance of the quantitative stock portfolios, including the CSI 300 enhanced portfolio, which achieved a weekly excess return of 2.16% and a cumulative excess return of 5.70% in 2026[1][15][14] - The CSI 500 enhanced portfolio recorded a weekly excess return of 0.38% and a cumulative excess return of -1.98% in 2026[15][14][17] - The CSI 1000 enhanced portfolio achieved a weekly excess return of 0.96% and a cumulative excess return of 1.56% in 2026[15][14][24] - The PB-Earnings optimized portfolio delivered a weekly excess return of 4.05% and a cumulative excess return of 3.64% in 2026[30][31][32] - The GARP portfolio achieved a weekly excess return of 5.85% and a cumulative excess return of 8.81% in 2026[33][34] - The Small-cap Value Optimized Portfolio 1 recorded a weekly excess return of -0.75% and a cumulative excess return of -1.42% in 2026[35][36] - The Small-cap Value Optimized Portfolio 2 achieved a weekly excess return of 0.70% and a cumulative excess return of 2.23% in 2026[37][38] - The Small-cap Growth Portfolio delivered a weekly excess return of -0.24% and a cumulative excess return of -0.57% in 2026[39][40] - Style factors showed that small-cap stocks outperformed large-cap stocks, and low valuation stocks outperformed high valuation stocks. The market capitalization factor achieved a weekly multi-long-short return of 2.83%, while the PB factor and PE_TTM factor achieved 1.05% and 0.71%, respectively[42][43][45] - Technical factors indicated positive contributions from turnover rate factors, while reversal and volatility factors showed negative returns. The turnover rate factor achieved a weekly multi-long-short return of 0.48%, while reversal and volatility factors recorded -2.05% and -0.98%, respectively[46][48][49] - Fundamental factors demonstrated positive returns from SUE and adjusted net profit expectation factors. The SUE factor achieved a weekly multi-long-short return of 0.82%, while adjusted net profit expectation factors recorded 0.47%. ROE factors showed a negative return of -0.67%[50][51][52]

Group 1 - The company has received a letter from its continuous supervision sponsor, Guotai Junan Securities, regarding the replacement of the continuous supervision representative for its convertible bond issuance project [2] - The continuous supervision period is set to last until December 31, 2024, and the company has not yet fully utilized the raised funds nor completed the conversion of the convertible bonds [2] - Due to a work change, the previous representative, Xia Jingbo, will be replaced by Wang Pengcheng to ensure the orderly continuation of the supervision work [2] Group 2 - The company expresses sincere gratitude to Xia Jingbo for his contributions during the continuous supervision period [3] - Wang Pengcheng, the new representative, is an assistant director in the investment banking department at Guotai Junan Securities, holding multiple qualifications including a sponsor representative and a CPA [4] - Wang Pengcheng has participated in various projects, including the IPOs of Hengxing New Materials and New Point Software, and has a good compliance record in his sponsorship business [4]

Core Viewpoint - The company has announced a change in the representatives responsible for the continuous supervision of its publicly issued convertible bonds, ensuring compliance with regulatory requirements and maintaining oversight until the end of the supervision period in December 2024 [1]. Group 1: Change in Supervisory Representatives - The company received a letter from Guotai Junan Securities Co., Ltd. regarding the replacement of the continuous supervision representatives for its convertible bond project [1]. - Tian Xin and Xia Jingbo were initially appointed as the supervising representatives, but due to Xia Jingbo's job change, Wang Pengcheng has been appointed to take over his responsibilities [1]. - The continuous supervision period is set to last until December 31, 2024, and Guotai Junan will continue to fulfill its supervisory obligations until all funds raised are utilized and the convertible bonds are fully converted [1]. Group 2: Acknowledgment of Contributions - The company's board expressed gratitude for Xia Jingbo's contributions during the supervision period [1]. Group 3: Profile of New Representative - Wang Pengcheng, the newly appointed representative, is an Assistant Director in the Investment Banking Department of Guotai Junan, holding a master's degree and possessing qualifications as a sponsor representative, a non-practicing member of the Chinese Institute of Certified Public Accountants, and legal professional qualifications [1]. - He has participated in various projects, including the IPOs of Hengxing New Materials and New Point Software, and has a good record of compliance with relevant regulations [1].

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the continued growth of fixed income and the strategic adjustments in equity exposure amidst market fluctuations, with a notable increase in financial bonds [1][2]. - In Q4 2025, the net subscription for fixed income + funds reached 160.55 billion units, showing a significant growth trend despite being lower than Q3 2025, primarily concentrated in secondary bond funds [1]. - Convertible bond funds saw a net subscription of 2.014 billion units in Q4 2025, maintaining a positive subscription trend for two consecutive quarters [1]. Group 2 - Institutional behavior regarding convertible bonds remains diverse, with public funds, social security, and trusts reducing their holdings in October and November, likely for profit-taking, followed by a renewed allocation in December [2]. - Insurance funds significantly reduced their convertible bond holdings, with a decrease of over 50% in face value by the end of 2025 compared to the beginning of the year [2]. - Public funds are actively seeking alternative bottom assets, showing a reduction in bank convertible bonds primarily due to the delisting of the Pudong Development Bank convertible bond, while still demonstrating a strong inclination to increase holdings in other sectors like electronics and defense [2]. Group 3 - In terms of marginal increases, public funds are diversifying their allocation while maintaining core themes, with notable increases in convertible bonds related to power equipment and oil and petrochemicals, as well as defense and military industries [3]. - Specific convertible bonds such as Long 22 and Jingneng convertible bonds have seen significant increases in holdings, reflecting resource and geopolitical logic [3]. - Other sectors like steel and basic chemicals are also seeing increased allocations, indicating a broader trend of investment across various cyclical and manufacturing chains [3].

Core Insights - The bond underwriting market in 2025 shows a clear trend of "the strong getting stronger," with market share concentrated among a few leading institutions [1][4][8] - Competition among underwriters is intensifying, with banks and securities firms leveraging their unique strengths to differentiate themselves [2][6] - Regulatory bodies are taking steps to ensure market order and prevent irrational competition, particularly in pricing and underwriting practices [2][6] Group 1: Market Overview - The total bond issuance in 2025 reached 89.76 trillion yuan, a year-on-year increase of approximately 11% [2] - The issuance of interest rate bonds was 33.80 trillion yuan, up 18%, while credit bonds reached 21.95 trillion yuan, growing by 8% [2] - The market is characterized by a large total volume, diverse categories, and differentiated competition [2] Group 2: Competitive Landscape - In the banking sector, China Bank led with over 16 trillion yuan in underwriting, capturing more than 10% of the market share [4] - The top four state-owned banks collectively hold nearly 40% of the market share, indicating a strong position [4] - In the securities sector, CITIC Securities topped the list with 22,496.07 billion yuan in underwriting and a market share of 14.08% [4][5] Group 3: Sector-Specific Insights - Local government bond issuance reached a record high of approximately 10.29 trillion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 5.2% [6] - The financial bond market is predominantly led by securities firms, with CITIC Securities holding a market share of 17.56% [6] - The asset-backed securities (ABS) market shows a concentration of resources among leading firms, with CITIC Securities leading at 12.32% market share [7] Group 4: International Market Dynamics - The offshore bond market saw a total issuance of approximately $307.07 billion, a year-on-year increase of about 15.75% [7][8] - The market features a mix of domestic and foreign institutions, with China Bank leading at $14.70 billion in underwriting [8] - The competitive landscape in the offshore market is relatively dispersed, with no single institution dominating [8]