Core Viewpoints - The Chinese stock market is expected to continue its upward trend, with A/H shares likely to reach new highs within the year due to accelerating economic transformation and reduced uncertainties [4][5][15] - The focus should shift from domestic economic cycles to a global perspective when evaluating company fundamentals, especially as more companies expand their international exposure [3] Group 1: Market Trends and Sentiment - The current market sentiment is characterized by a structural rally driven by "smart money," with a daily trading volume expected to stabilize around 1.6 to 1.8 trillion yuan [3] - Historical data suggests that after a "volume peak," the upward trend often continues, albeit at a slower rate, indicating that the current bull market narrative remains intact [6][7] - The market is entering a phase of rotation and expansion, with a focus on sectors that exhibit strong industrial trends and economic governance improvements [10][11] Group 2: Investment Opportunities - Key sectors to watch include resources, consumer electronics, innovative pharmaceuticals, chemicals, gaming, and military industries, as they align with global supply chain dynamics [3] - The market presents broad opportunities, with a focus on both emerging technologies and traditional sectors undergoing valuation recovery [5] - Specific recommendations include sectors with high economic activity such as software development, communication equipment, and cyclical commodities like non-ferrous metals and chemicals [8][9] Group 3: Economic Indicators and Policy Impact - The improvement in basic economic indicators is expected to broaden the scope of economic prosperity across various sectors, moving beyond just a few high-growth areas [11][12] - The anticipated easing of monetary policy by the Federal Reserve and the ongoing capital inflow into the equity market are likely to support the upward trajectory of A-shares [13][14] - The upcoming policy changes and economic governance strategies are expected to further enhance market confidence and investor returns [4][15]

国泰海通证券 研究所 国泰海通非银研究系列电话会议 8月11-20日、9月1-10日 每晚19:30 直 == 非银行金融分析师 非银行金融分析师 王思明 n Andress of the start of the start of the start of the see of the see the see the series of the series of the series of the series and the see the see the see the series a 金融组长 目席分析 tin 刘秋琦 非银会融团队 会议信息系 更多国泰海通研究和服务 亦可联系对口销售获取 重要提醒 本订阅号所载内容仅面向国泰海通证券研究服务签约客户。因本资料暂时无法设置访问限制，根据《证 券期货投资者适当性管理办法》的要求，若您并非国泰海通证券研究服务签约客户，为保证服务质量、 控制投资风险，还请取消关注，请勿订阅、接收或使用本订阅号中的任何信息。我们对由此给您造成的 不便表示诚挚歉意，非常感谢您的理解与配合！如有任何疑问，敬请按照文末联系方式与我们联系。 法律声明 本公众订阅号(微信号 GTH ...

Core Viewpoint - The bond issuance by securities firms in August reached nearly 300 billion yuan, marking a record high for the year, driven by strong demand for capital replenishment due to active market trading, low interest costs, and policy encouragement [1][2]. Group 1: Bond Issuance Data - In August, securities firms issued a total of 141 bonds, raising 293.5 billion yuan, both figures being the highest monthly totals for the year [2][3]. - As of September 12, the total bond issuance by securities firms for the year reached 1.06 trillion yuan, a significant increase from 673.6 billion yuan in the same period last year [2]. Group 2: Major Issuers - Six securities firms issued bonds exceeding 50 billion yuan this year, with China Galaxy Securities leading at 102.5 billion yuan, followed by Huatai Securities at 77.7 billion yuan [3]. Group 3: Business Development and Demand - The surge in financing demand from July to August coincided with a notable rise in the A-share market, with the Shanghai Composite Index breaking through several key levels [4]. - The primary uses of the raised funds include refinancing existing debts and supplementing working capital to support business expansion [4]. Group 4: Margin Financing and Competitive Landscape - The balance of margin financing reached 2.34 trillion yuan by September 11, indicating a growing demand for leveraged funds among high-net-worth clients [6]. - The average bond issuance interest rate for securities firms this year was 1.89%, with larger firms enjoying lower rates, enhancing their competitive edge in margin financing [6][7].

一、适用基金及业务范围 ■ 二、费率优惠内容 1.自本公告日起，投资者通过上述销售机构申购（含定期定额申购，如有）上述基金，其申购费率享有 优惠，基金具体折扣费率以上述销售机构活动公告为准。若申购费率是固定费用的，则按固定费用执 行，不再享有费率折扣。 2.申购费率优惠活动仅适用于处于正常申购期的基金产品的前端收费模式的申购手续费，不包括基金的 后端收费模式的申购手续费和处于基金募集期的基金认购费及基金其他业务的基金手续费。 为了更好地满足广大投资者的理财需求，根据融通基金管理有限公司（以下简称"融通基金"）与国泰海 通证券股份有限公司（以下简称"国泰海通证券"）签署的销售协议，从2025年9月15日起，融通基金旗 下融通中证A500指数增强型证券投资基金新增国泰海通证券为销售机构，并开通定期定额投资业务、 转换业务，以及参加前端申购费率优惠活动。现将有关事项公告如下： 四、咨询方式 1.国泰海通证券股份有限公司 网址：www.gtht.com 客户服务电话：4008888666 3.费率优惠活动的具体结束日期以上述销售机构公告为准，本公司不再另行公告。 4.上述适用基金的原相关费率参见基金的相关法律文件及本 ...

■ 上海海通证券资产管理有限公司关于以通讯方式召开海通安裕中短债 债券型集合资产管理计划份额持有人大会的公告 一、召开会议基本情况 本集合计划管理人为上海海通证券资产管理有限公司（以下简称"集合计划管理人"或"管理人"），集合 计划托管人为上海银行股份有限公司（以下简称"集合计划托管人"或"托管人"）。根据《操作指引》的 规定及《资产管理合同》对本集合计划存续期限的约定"自《海通赢家系列一季季鑫集合资产管理计划 资产管理合同》生效至本合同终止之间的期限。本集合计划自本资产管理合同变更生效日起存续期至 2025年12月31日。本集合计划到期后，按照中国证监会相关规定执行。"本集合计划将于2025年12月31 日到期。 鉴于以上情况，为充分保护集合计划份额持有人利益，根据《基金法》、《公开募集证券投资基金运作 管理办法》、《操作指引》等法律法规的规定和《资产管理合同》的约定，管理人经与托管人上海银行 股份有限公司协商一致，决定以通讯方式召开本集合计划份额持有人大会，审议本集合计划更换管理人 为上海国泰海通证券资产管理有限公司，并相应变更为国泰海通安裕中短债债券型证券投资基金等有关 事项，会议的具体安排如下： 1、 ...

Core Viewpoint - The recent surge in bond issuance by securities firms is driven by a combination of active market trading, low interest costs, policy encouragement, and the need for debt structure adjustment and business expansion [1][4][5] Group 1: Bond Issuance Trends - In August, securities firms issued a record 141 bonds, raising a total of 293.5 billion yuan, marking the highest monthly figures of the year [2][3] - As of September 12, the total bond issuance by securities firms for the year reached 1.06 trillion yuan, a significant increase from 673.6 billion yuan in the same period last year [2][3] - Six securities firms have issued over 50 billion yuan in bonds this year, with China Galaxy Securities leading at 102.5 billion yuan [3] Group 2: Business Development and Financing Needs - The financing demand from securities firms surged significantly from July to August, coinciding with a notable rise in the A-share market, where the Shanghai Composite Index broke through several key points [4] - The primary uses of the raised funds include refinancing existing debts and supplementing working capital to support business expansion [4][5] - The shift in the securities industry towards capital-driven growth necessitates increased capital reserves, which can be achieved through bond issuance [4][5] Group 3: Margin Financing and Competitive Landscape - The balance of margin financing reached 2.34 trillion yuan by September 11, indicating a growing demand for leveraged funds among high-net-worth clients [6] - The average bond issuance cost for securities firms this year is 1.89%, with larger firms enjoying lower costs, which enhances their competitive edge in margin financing [6][7] - Some smaller firms face higher financing costs, which may hinder their competitiveness in the margin financing market [7]

Macro Analysis - The growth rate of social financing has declined, primarily due to weakened government bond support, with August's new social financing at 2.6 trillion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 463 billion yuan, marking the first year-on-year decline since 2025 [4] - New government bond financing in August was 1.4 trillion yuan, down 251.9 billion yuan year-on-year, contrasting with an average monthly increase of nearly 700 billion yuan from January to July [4] - The growth rate of social financing has dropped to 8.8%, while the weakness in RMB loans continues [5] Credit and Monetary Policy - In August, new credit was 590 billion yuan, showing seasonal improvement compared to July but still down approximately 310 billion yuan year-on-year [5] - The performance of credit in July and August indicates that effective demand in the real economy still needs further stimulation, as reflected in the declining BCI investment expectation index [5] - The supply side shows that policies no longer emphasize the growth of credit scale but rather suggest maintaining reasonable growth of the financial total [5] Market Outlook - The Chinese stock market is expected to continue its upward trend, with the potential for new highs within the year, supported by accelerated transformation and reduced uncertainty in economic and social development [9] - The consensus on economic expectations remains cautious, which has constrained public investment willingness, keeping many blue-chip stocks at relatively low price levels [10] - The visibility of economic stabilization is increasing, indicating that the bottom position is becoming clearer, which is crucial for stock valuation [10] Industry Comparison - Emerging technology is seen as a mainline opportunity, while cyclical finance is viewed as a dark horse; the Hong Kong stock market is expected to continue rising [11] - Recommendations include sectors such as internet, media, innovative pharmaceuticals, electronics, and semi-conductors, as well as traditional sectors like non-ferrous metals, chemicals, and real estate [11] Thematic Recommendations - Focus on commercial aerospace, benefiting from satellite mobile communication license issuance and technological innovation [12] - Emphasis on AI applications, with policies accelerating industry-scale development in finance, office, and gaming sectors [12] Foreign Investment Behavior - Foreign capital shows a tendency for similar trading characteristics in AH shares, with a strong positive correlation in net inflows between A-shares and H-shares [17] - Foreign investors prefer high-quality core assets in both markets, with significant holdings in the financial sector [18] - The preference for undervalued stocks with strong fundamentals is evident, as foreign investors favor companies with higher return on equity [19]

Group 1: Market Overview - The SAR indicator has shown a bullish breakout, indicating strong market volatility and a potential upward trend in the coming week [1][3] - The liquidity shock index for the CSI 300 was 0.78, indicating higher liquidity compared to the past year's average [1] - The PUT-CALL ratio for the SSE 50 ETF decreased to 0.67, reflecting increased investor optimism about short-term market movements [1] Group 2: Macroeconomic Factors - The onshore and offshore RMB exchange rates experienced weekly increases of 0.22% and 0.04%, respectively [2] - August CPI in China was -0.4%, lower than the previous value of 0% and below the consensus expectation of -0.2% [2] - New RMB loans in August amounted to 590 billion, exceeding both the consensus expectation and the previous value [2] Group 3: Technical Analysis - The Wind All A Index broke above the SAR indicator on September 11, signaling a potential upward trend [3] - The market score based on moving averages is 246, placing it in the 89.6 percentile for 2023 [3] - The sentiment model score is 2 out of 5, indicating mixed market emotions with a positive trend signal and a negative weighted model signal [3] Group 4: Market Performance - The SSE 50 Index rose by 0.89%, the CSI 300 Index increased by 1.38%, and the ChiNext Index grew by 2.1% during the last week [4] - The current market PE (TTM) is 22.2 times, which is in the 76.4 percentile since 2005 [4] Group 5: Factor and Industry Observations - Small-cap factor crowding remains stable at 0.57, while low valuation and high profitability factors show negative crowding [5] - The industry crowding is relatively high in sectors such as non-ferrous metals, communications, and power equipment, with notable increases in power equipment and media [6]

Core Viewpoint - The influx of incremental funds into the mutual fund industry is significant, with the top 100 fund sales institutions' non-monetary fund holdings reaching 10.199 trillion yuan by mid-2025, reflecting a monthly investment of approximately 110 billion yuan [2][3]. Group 1: Equity Funds - Equity funds are highlighted as one of the most popular mutual fund types in 2025, with Ant Fund leading in equity fund holdings at 822.9 billion yuan, followed by China Merchants Bank at 492 billion yuan [3][4]. - The competition among major sales institutions is intense, with institutions like Ant Fund, China Merchants Bank, and others vying for market share in equity fund sales [2][3]. Group 2: Non-Monetary Market Funds - Ant Fund also leads in non-monetary market fund holdings with 15.675 trillion yuan, while China Merchants Bank follows with 10.419 trillion yuan, indicating the presence of two major distribution channels [5][6]. - The growth in non-monetary market fund holdings is notable, with Ant Fund and China Merchants Bank showing significant increases of 1.146 trillion yuan and 915 billion yuan, respectively [10]. Group 3: Stock Index Funds - In the stock index fund category, Ant Fund again leads with 391 billion yuan, followed by CITIC Securities and Huatai Securities, both exceeding 100 billion yuan in holdings [7][8]. - The competitive landscape for stock index funds is expanding, with several institutions entering the top ranks, indicating a robust market for index fund investments [7][8]. Group 4: Growth Trends - The growth momentum of institutions like Ant Fund and China Merchants Bank is noteworthy, with both showing substantial increases in equity fund holdings, indicating a strong competitive environment [10][11]. - Other institutions such as China Life and CITIC Securities also reported significant growth in their equity fund holdings, exceeding 10 billion yuan [10].

Core Insights - The China Securities Investment Fund Industry Association has released the top 100 public fund sales institutions for the first half of 2025, highlighting the significant role of securities firms in the fund distribution sector [1] - The total "equity fund holding scale" of the top 100 fund distribution institutions reached 51,374 billion yuan, marking a 5.89% increase compared to the end of 2024 [1] - The "stock index fund holding scale" saw a notable growth of 14.57%, totaling 19,522 billion yuan [1] - The "non-monetary market fund holding scale" reached 101,993 billion yuan, reflecting a 6.95% increase from the end of 2024 [1] Securities Firms Performance - A total of 57 securities firms made it to the top 100 list, with CITIC Securities leading the pack as the top distributor, followed by Huatai Securities and Guotai Junan [1] - In terms of "equity fund holding scale," CITIC Securities topped the list among securities firms with 1,421 billion yuan, while Huatai Securities followed with 1,266 billion yuan [2] - For "non-monetary market fund holding scale," the top three securities firms were CITIC Securities (2,397 billion yuan), Huatai Securities (1,752 billion yuan), and Guotai Junan (1,605 billion yuan) [2] - The top ten firms in "stock index fund holding scale" included seven securities firms, with CITIC Securities leading at 1,223 billion yuan and Huatai Securities at 1,150 billion yuan [2] Financial Product Distribution Revenue - In the first half of the year, 42 listed securities firms generated a total of 55.68 billion yuan in revenue from distributing financial products, representing a year-on-year growth of 32.09% [3] - CITIC Securities achieved the highest revenue from financial product distribution at 8.38 billion yuan, followed by China International Capital Corporation (6.03 billion yuan) and Guotai Junan (4.48 billion yuan) [3] - Smaller securities firms like Nanjing Securities and Guolian Minsheng reported impressive revenue growth rates exceeding 100% [3]