Core Viewpoint - Guotou Electric Power's stock price has experienced a decline of 13.82% year-to-date, with a recent drop of 2.04% on October 20, 2023, indicating potential challenges in the market [1]. Financial Performance - For the first half of 2025, Guotou Electric Power reported operating revenue of 25.697 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 5.18%, while net profit attributable to shareholders increased by 1.36% to 3.795 billion yuan [2]. - Cumulatively, the company has distributed 24.965 billion yuan in dividends since its A-share listing, with 9.392 billion yuan distributed over the past three years [3]. Shareholder Information - As of June 30, 2025, the number of shareholders decreased by 12.38% to 94,400, while the average number of circulating shares per person increased by 14.13% to 78,993 shares [2]. - Major shareholders include China Securities Finance Corporation, holding 204 million shares, and Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited, which increased its holdings by 12.964 million shares to 130 million shares [3]. Market Activity - On October 20, 2023, Guotou Electric Power's stock traded at 13.93 yuan per share, with a total market capitalization of 111.503 billion yuan [1]. - The stock saw a net outflow of 1.2029 million yuan in principal funds, with significant selling pressure observed [1].

丨证券研究报告丨 [Table_scodeMsg1] 公司研究丨点评报告丨国投电力（600886.SH） [Table_Title] 基本面风险逐步落地，看好低位布局机会 报告要点 [Table_Summary] 三季度公司水电发电量同比减少 14.80%。电价方面，三季度公司控股企业平均上网电价 0.334 元/千瓦时，同比仅降低约 0.003 元/千瓦时，主因系电价较高的火电电量占比下降以及部分区 域火电中长期交易电价下降的影响，预计公司水电电价波动有限。整体来看，来水及风况偏弱 限制电量表现，叠加电价同比回落，将共同压制三季度公司清洁能源板块业绩表现。三季度火 电发电量同比减少 18.50%，煤价回落将部分缓解量价双弱的压力，但火电板块预计仍面临一 定压力，同时考虑清洁能源板块的偏弱表现，预计公司三季度业绩有所承压。 分析师及联系人 [Table_Author] SAC：S0490517080003 SAC：S0490520120001 SAC：S0490520110001 SAC：S0490523080003 SFC：BQT627 请阅读最后评级说明和重要声明 %% %% %% %% research ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the power sector, emphasizing the potential for upward performance in specific stocks [5][9]. Core Insights - The report highlights that Q3 performance for thermal power is improving, with coal prices rebounding, which enhances expectations for stable electricity prices. The average coal price at ports was 673 RMB/ton in Q3, down 180 RMB/ton year-on-year, but has recently increased to 739 RMB/ton [5][14]. - Hydropower is expected to benefit from improved autumn rainfall, with significant increases in inflow and outflow at the Three Gorges Dam, showing a 48.15% and 102.78% year-on-year increase respectively [5][14]. - Adjustments in tax policies for wind and nuclear power are noted, with offshore wind power receiving a 50% VAT refund policy from November 1, 2025, while onshore wind will no longer enjoy VAT refunds [3][4][14]. Summary by Sections Industry Overview - The Shanghai Composite Index fell by 1.47% and the CSI 300 Index decreased by 2.22% during the week of October 13-17, 2025. The CITIC Power and Utilities Index decreased by 0.43%, outperforming the CSI 300 by 1.79 percentage points [5][63]. Thermal Power - Q3 results for thermal power are on an upward trend, with a notable increase in expected profits for companies like Jiantou Energy, which anticipates a 232% increase in net profit [5][14]. - The report emphasizes the importance of coal price stability for maintaining electricity price expectations for 2026 [5][14]. Hydropower - The report notes significant improvements in hydropower due to favorable autumn rainfall, with a focus on the increased inflow and outflow at the Three Gorges Dam [5][14]. Wind and Nuclear Power - The report discusses the new tax policies affecting wind and nuclear power, highlighting the competitive advantage of offshore wind power due to the new VAT refund policy [3][4][14]. Key Stocks - The report recommends focusing on specific stocks within the thermal power sector, including Huaneng International, Huadian International, and others, as well as emphasizing the value of hydropower investments [5][9].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the utility sector is "Positive" [2] Core Insights - The report highlights the recent release of mechanism electricity prices for new projects in Xinjiang and Gansu, with solar power priced at 0.235 yuan/kWh and wind power at 0.252 yuan/kWh [4] - The report indicates that the power sector is expected to see profit improvement and value reassessment following multiple rounds of supply-demand tensions in the electricity market [4] - The ongoing market reforms in electricity pricing are anticipated to lead to a gradual increase in electricity prices, benefiting power operators [4] Summary by Sections Market Performance - As of October 17, the utility sector declined by 0.7%, outperforming the broader market, which saw a 2.2% drop [11] - The electricity sector specifically saw a decrease of 0.66%, while the gas sector fell by 0.99% [13] Electricity Industry Data Tracking - The price of thermal coal at Qinhuangdao Port (Q5500) increased by 34 yuan/ton week-on-week, reaching 740 yuan/ton as of October 17 [20] - Coal inventory at Qinhuangdao Port decreased by 960,000 tons week-on-week, totaling 5.45 million tons [25] - Daily coal consumption in inland provinces was 3.107 million tons, down 312,000 tons/day from the previous week [28] Natural Gas Industry Data Tracking - The LNG ex-factory price index in Shanghai was 4,013 yuan/ton, down 20.19% year-on-year and 0.32% week-on-week [51] - The EU's natural gas supply increased by 8.8% year-on-year, reaching 6.07 billion cubic meters in week 41 of 2025 [58] Key Industry News - The mechanism electricity prices for solar and wind projects in Xinjiang were announced, with a total of 67 projects selected [4] - The release of the "Regulations on Fair and Open Supervision of Oil and Gas Pipeline Facilities" marks a significant step in China's oil and gas market reform [4] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on national coal power leaders such as Guodian Power, Huaneng International, and Huadian International, as well as regional leaders in tight supply areas [4] - For natural gas, companies with low-cost long-term gas sources and receiving station assets are expected to benefit from market conditions [4]

Performance - Cambrian's Q3 revenue reached 1.727 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 1332.52%; net profit was 567 million yuan [1] - Hikvision's Q3 net profit grew by 20.31% year-on-year [5] - Sitaiwei's net profit for the first three quarters is expected to increase by 140% to 169% year-on-year [5] - Northern Heavy Industries anticipates a year-on-year net profit increase of 56.90% to 70.74% for the first three quarters [5] - Jintian's net profit for the first three quarters increased by 104.37% year-on-year [5] - Yingshi Network's Q3 net profit grew by 28.73% year-on-year [5] - Sankeshu's net profit for the first three quarters increased by 81.22% year-on-year, with a proposed dividend of 5 yuan per 10 shares [5] - Pianzaihuang's Q3 net profit decreased by 28.82% year-on-year [5] - Shentong Technology's Q3 net profit surged by 452.62% year-on-year [5] - Huayou Cobalt's net profit for the first three quarters increased by 39.59% year-on-year [5] - Guotou Power's Q3 power generation reached 47.891 billion kWh, a year-on-year decrease of 14.42% [5] - Rongbai Technology reported a Q3 net loss of 135 million yuan [5] - Zijin Mining's Q3 net profit increased by 52.25% year-on-year [5] - Haida Group's net profit for the first three quarters increased by 14.31%, planning to spin off its subsidiary Haida Holdings for a Hong Kong listing [5] Share Buybacks and Reductions - Fujirui plans to repurchase shares worth 10 million to 20 million yuan [3] - Tonghua Dongbao intends to repurchase shares worth 20 million to 40 million yuan [3] - Shenzhen New Star plans to adjust the maximum repurchase price to no more than 30 yuan per share [3] - Sanhua Intelligent Control has raised the maximum repurchase price and extended the implementation period [3] - Dayang Electric has also raised the maximum repurchase price and extended the implementation period [3] - Hunan Baiyin's controlling shareholder plans to reduce its stake by no more than 2% [5] - Shengbang shares' controlling shareholder plans to reduce its stake by no more than 1.28% [5] - Liandong Technology's actual controller plans to reduce its stake by no more than 2.9963% [5] - Juxing Agriculture's shareholder plans to reduce its stake by no more than 2% [5] - Aerospace Engineering's shareholders plan to reduce their stakes by no more than 6% [5] Contracts and Collaborations - Yongmaotai signed a strategic cooperation framework agreement with a leading humanoid robot company [3] - Xinjiang Jiaojian won a construction project worth 556 million yuan [4] - Jingjiawei signed a strategic cooperation agreement with Cangqiong Digital to create a fully domestic integrated solution [3] - Shengshi Technology signed a contract for a project worth 102 million yuan at Hunchun Port [3] - Robotech signed a contract worth approximately 761 million yuan, accounting for about 68.83% of the company's 2024 revenue [3] - Guangdong Construction's subsidiary signed a cooperation framework agreement with the Maoming Binhai New Area Management Committee [3] Mergers and Acquisitions - Jingwei Huikai plans to acquire 100% of Zhongxing System for 850 million yuan, entering the private network communication field [6] - Weigao Blood Purification intends to purchase 100% of Weigao Purui's shares, with stock trading suspended from October 20 [6] - GoerTek terminated its planned acquisition of Mia Precision Technology and Changhong Industrial [6] Financing - Changsha Bank received regulatory approval to issue capital instruments not exceeding 12 billion yuan [6]

证券代码：600886 证券简称：国投电力 公告编号：2025-056 国投电力控股股份有限公司 2025 年三季度主要经营数据公告 2025 年 7-9 月,公司控股企业平均上网电价 0.334 元/千瓦时,与去年同期相 比减少 0.9%。2025 年 1-9 月,公司控股企业平均上网电价 0.346 元/千瓦时,与去 年同期相比减少 3.9%。 - 1 - 项 目 发电量 (亿千瓦时） 上网电量 （亿千瓦时） 本期 去年 同期 同比 增减 本期 去年 同期 同比 增减 四川 雅砻江水电 283.09 337.07 -16.02% 281.65 335.43 -16.03% 云南 国投大朝山 21.35 19.09 11.83% 21.23 18.97 11.90% 甘肃 国投小三峡 10.99 14.08 -21.90% 10.85 13.91 -21.99% 水电小计 315.43 370.24 -14.80% 313.73 368.31 -14.82% 天津 国投北疆 45.37 48.76 -6.96% 42.60 45.81 -7.01% 广西 国投钦州发电 20.45 28.72 -28.80% ...

Core Viewpoint - The company reported a significant decrease in power generation and grid-connected electricity volume for the third quarter and the first nine months of 2025 compared to the same periods last year, alongside a decline in average grid-connected electricity prices. Group 1: Power Generation and Electricity Volume - In Q3 2025, the company's controlled enterprises achieved a total power generation of 47.891 billion kWh and grid-connected electricity of 46.808 billion kWh, representing a decrease of 14.42% for both metrics compared to the same period last year [1] - For the first nine months of 2025, the total power generation was 124.950 billion kWh and grid-connected electricity was 121.980 billion kWh, showing a decrease of 6.36% and 6.21% respectively compared to the previous year [1] Group 2: Average Grid-Connected Electricity Price - The average grid-connected electricity price for Q3 2025 was 0.334 yuan/kWh, down by 0.9% from the same period last year [1] - For the first nine months of 2025, the average grid-connected electricity price was 0.346 yuan/kWh, reflecting a decrease of 3.9% year-on-year [1] - The decline in average grid-connected electricity prices is attributed to changes in electricity volume structure, a decrease in long-term trading prices for thermal power in certain regions, and an increasing proportion of unsubsidized renewable energy projects [1] Group 3: Installed Capacity - In Q3 2025, the company increased its installed capacity by 660,000 kW, attributed to the commissioning of the Huaxia Power Unit 5 [2] - As of the end of Q3, the total installed capacity of the company's controlled enterprises reached 44,748.5 MW, comprising 21,304.5 MW of hydropower, 13,074.8 MW of thermal power (including waste-to-energy), 3,988.3 MW of wind power, 5,849.4 MW of solar power, and 531.6 MW of energy storage [2]

格隆汇10月17日｜根据国投电力控股股份有限公司初步统计，2025年7-9 月，公司控股企业累计完成发 电量478.91亿千瓦时，上网电量468.08亿千瓦时， 与去年同期相比分别减少14.42%和14.42%。2025年1- 9月，公司控股企业累计 完成发电量1249.50亿千瓦时，上网电量1219.80亿千瓦时，与去年同期相比分 别减少6.36%和6.21%。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The announcement from Guotou Electric Power indicates a significant decline in both power generation and grid-connected electricity volume for the third quarter of 2025 compared to the same period last year [1] Group 1: Power Generation Data - In the period from July to September 2025, the company's controlled enterprises achieved a total power generation of 47.891 billion kilowatt-hours, which represents a decrease of 14.42% year-on-year [1] - The grid-connected electricity volume for the same period was 46.808 billion kilowatt-hours, also reflecting a 14.42% decline compared to the previous year [1] Group 2: Year-to-Date Performance - For the first nine months of 2025, the cumulative power generation reached 124.950 billion kilowatt-hours, marking a decrease of 6.36% compared to the same period last year [1] - The grid-connected electricity volume for the first nine months was 121.980 billion kilowatt-hours, which is a 6.21% reduction year-on-year [1]

格隆汇10月17日丨国投电力(600886.SH)公布，2025年7-9月，公司控股企业累计完成发电量478.91亿千 瓦时，上网电量468.08亿千瓦时，与去年同期相比分别减少14.42%和14.42%。2025年1-9月，公司控股 企业累计完成发电量1249.50亿千瓦时，上网电量1219.80亿千瓦时，与去年同期相比分别减少6.36%和 6.21%。 公司三季度控股投产装机容量增加66万千瓦，为华夏电力5号机组投产。截至三季度末，公司已投产控 股装机容量4,474.85万千瓦，其中水电2,130.45万千瓦、火电1,307.48万千瓦（含垃圾发电）、风电 398.83万千瓦、光伏584.94万千瓦、储能53.16万千瓦。 2025年7-9月,公司控股企业平均上网电价0.334元/千瓦时,与去年同期相比减少0.9%。2025年1-9月,公司 控股企业平均上网电价0.346元/千瓦时,与去年同期相比减少3.9%。 2025年1-9月份控股企业平均上网电价同比变动情况说明:平均上网电价同比下降的主要原因：一是电量 结构变化，即火电上网电量下降，电价较高部分对应电量比例降低；二是部分区域火电中长期交易价格 下降 ...