Group 1 - The central enterprise energy ETF has a turnover rate of 2.38% and a transaction volume of 3.0688 million yuan, with an average daily transaction volume of 5.4144 million yuan over the past week as of May 16 [2] - The index tracked by the ETF, the China Securities National New Central Enterprise Modern Energy Index, is currently at a historical low valuation with a price-to-book ratio (PB) of 1.41, which is below 95.4% of the time over the past year, indicating a strong valuation cost-effectiveness [2] - The top ten weighted stocks in the index, including Changjiang Electric Power and China Nuclear Power, account for a total of 51.18% of the index as of April 30, 2025 [2] Group 2 - The A-share market has historically undervalued low-covariance assets due to insufficient risk awareness, but there is a growing recognition of the importance of the "return-risk ratio" amid increased market volatility, leading to a valuation uplift for utility and other low-covariance assets [2] - Huayuan Securities recommends selecting hydropower with strong risk resistance and undervalued quality thermal power benefiting from declining coal prices, while also suggesting a preference for undervalued quality wind power operators despite uncertainties in the new energy market under Document No. 136 [2]

丨证券研究报告丨 行业研究丨行业周报丨公用事业 [Table_Title] 国际认可加速绿证消费扩容，价改推进重视绿电 长期价值 报告要点 [Table_Summary] 国际绿色电力消费倡议组织（RE100）宣布无条件认可中国绿证，明确企业使用中国绿证不需 要再提供额外证明。标志着我国绿证体系的制度完善与国际互认取得里程碑式突破，助推我国 绿证需求侧加速扩容。长期低位运行的市场需求和绿证价格将得到显著催化，为新能源项目实 现合理收益提供重要支撑。在新能源价格改革持续持续推进的背景下，我们认为各省配套细则 也将承接 136 号文保护存量项目、稳定增量项目收益预期的原则，有助于长远角度新能源发电 的合理健康发展，同时随着绿电消费的加速扩容，绿电公司有望迎来价值重估。 分析师及联系人 请阅读最后评级说明和重要声明 %% %% %% %% research.95579.com 1 [Table_Author] SFC：BQT627 SAC：S0490517080003 SAC：S0490520120001 SAC：S0490520110001 SAC：S0490523080003 张韦华 司旗 宋尚骞 刘亚辉 [T ...

Core Viewpoint - The biomanufacturing industry is emerging as a new engine for economic growth, with a significant focus on the new protein sector as a key area for development [1][2]. Group 1: New Protein Manufacturing Center - The National Investment Group and Wuxi City have established the National Investment New Protein Biomanufacturing Innovation Center to address bottlenecks in new protein research and industrialization [2][4]. - The center aims to accelerate the development and cost optimization of various new protein products, covering fields such as food, nutrition, healthcare, and materials [2][4]. Group 2: Challenges and Opportunities - New protein is defined as edible protein not reliant on traditional livestock or fishery methods, utilizing innovative technologies like microbial fermentation and synthetic biology [4]. - China faces a significant protein gap, with 2024 grain imports projected to exceed 158 million tons, including 105 million tons of soybeans, which are primarily used for animal feed [5]. - The shortage of edible protein has become a safety issue, prompting the government to promote comprehensive food resource development [5]. Group 3: Investment and Development Strategy - Since 2020, the new protein industry in China has shown strong growth, although the capital market's downturn in 2023 has posed challenges [5][6]. - The National Investment Group has established the National Investment Biomanufacturing Innovation Research Institute with a registered capital of 6 billion yuan, marking a significant step in supporting the biomanufacturing industry [5][6]. - The group aims to achieve a total output value of 60 billion yuan in the biomanufacturing sector by the end of the 14th Five-Year Plan [6]. Group 4: Financial Support and Collaboration - The National Investment Group manages funds exceeding 270 billion yuan, having invested over 4 billion yuan in 25 biomanufacturing companies [6][7]. - The group has partnered with various local governments to establish industry guidance funds, including a 2 billion yuan biomanufacturing venture capital fund in Tianjin [6][7]. - Future plans include collaborating with private capital to explore differentiated management of mixed-ownership enterprises, enhancing the vitality and competitiveness of the industry [7].

Group 1 - The core viewpoint highlights the significant growth and low valuation of the green power ETF, indicating a potential investment opportunity in the renewable energy sector [3] - The green power ETF has seen a trading turnover of 3.91% and a transaction volume of 14.43 million yuan, with an average daily transaction of 24.55 million yuan over the past week [3] - The ETF's scale has increased by 131 million yuan over the past six months, ranking first among comparable funds, while its share count has grown by 10.6 million shares in the last three months, also leading in its category [3] Group 2 - The current price-to-earnings ratio (PE-TTM) of the index tracked by the green power ETF is 18.81, which is in the 15.99% percentile over the past three years, indicating a valuation lower than 84.01% of the historical period [3] - The top ten weighted stocks in the index account for 58.04% of the total, including major companies such as Yangtze Power, China Nuclear Power, and Three Gorges Energy [3] - The recent recognition of China's green certificate by the global renewable energy consumption initiative (RE100) marks a significant advancement in the country's renewable energy transition [3] Group 3 - The value of green electricity and energy storage is expected to be reassessed, with the intrinsic value of renewable energy adjusted for its volatility and enhanced by its green attributes [4] - Investors can access investment opportunities through the corresponding green power ETF linked fund (017057) [4]

一季度，全社会用电量累计23846亿千瓦时，同比增长2.5%，在政策与需求双轮驱动下，电力行业持续 向上生长。 Wind数据统计显示，A股电力板块74只个股中，26只获资本市场"国家队"持有，最新持仓市值529.5亿 元，从其持股路径看，或为被"低估"的行业黑马。 "国家队"一季度增持6股 民营企业占得1席 资本市场"国家队"通常指具有政府背景、在金融市场中发挥重要稳定和调节作用的机构投资者。"国家 队"的资金规模庞大，投资行为往往对资本市场具有较强影响力。 纵观"国家队"持股表现，一季度增持电力板块6只个股，减持9只，增持个股最新持仓市值65.31亿元。 除中央及地方国有企业上榜增持名单外，民营企业也占得1席，体现出主力资金对民营经济的促进与支 持。 就具体企业看，地方国资代表浙江浙能电力股份有限公司（以下简称"浙能电力"）一季度获"国家队"增 持数量最多，达6841.11万股；民营企业广东宝丽华新能源股份有限公司（以下简称"宝新能源"）增持 股数位列其后，为1493.51万股。 "福建海风市场空间广阔，加之第一大股东福建省投资开发集团有限责任公司加速海风资产注入，中闽 能源2025年全年归母净利润有望同比 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the utility sector is "Positive" (maintained) [4] Core Viewpoints - The new regulations for public funds are expected to lead to an increased allocation towards the utility sector, which is anticipated to benefit from a shift in investment strategies focusing on the "risk-return ratio" [6][4] - The utility sector, particularly hydropower, is projected to be one of the biggest beneficiaries of the new policies, as they are characterized by low covariance with the market, leading to potential valuation increases [6][4] - Historical data shows that major hydropower companies have consistently ranked in the top percentiles for risk-return ratios, indicating strong performance relative to market volatility [6][7] Summary by Sections Sector Performance - The report highlights the underallocation of public funds in the utility and environmental sectors compared to their index weights, suggesting a significant opportunity for investment [6][7] Investment Recommendations - The report recommends prioritizing investments in resilient hydropower companies and undervalued thermal power companies that benefit from declining coal prices [6] - Specific stock recommendations include: 1. Hydropower: Guotou Power, Changjiang Power, Chuanwei Energy 2. Wind Power: Longyuan Power (H), Xintian Green Energy, Datang Renewable, CGN New Energy 3. Thermal Power: Waneng Power, Shanghai Electric, China Resources Power, Huadian International, Sheneng Co [6]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the power and natural gas sectors, indicating a favorable investment environment for renewable energy and gas companies [2][10]. Core Insights - The Shandong provincial government has introduced its first local guidelines for the marketization of renewable energy pricing, which is expected to stabilize returns for existing projects and provide a model for other provinces [5][7]. - Global natural gas prices have seen a slight rebound due to tightening supply and increased demand for LNG exports, with specific price movements noted in various regions [10][19]. - The report highlights the potential for LNG import prices to decrease further in the second half of 2025, benefiting downstream gas companies [11][29]. Summary by Sections 1. Power Sector: Shandong's New Energy Market Guidelines - Shandong's new energy pricing reform outlines that existing projects will participate in market pricing at a rate of 0.3949 yuan per kWh, aligning with the provincial coal benchmark price [5][6]. - The guidelines emphasize strong connectivity with existing policies, ensuring stability for existing projects while introducing competitive elements for new projects [6][7]. - The implementation of these guidelines is expected to serve as a model for other provinces, enhancing the operational efficiency and market strategies of renewable energy companies [7][8]. 2. Natural Gas: Global Demand and Price Rebound - As of May 9, 2025, the Henry Hub spot price in the U.S. was $3.22/mmBtu, reflecting a weekly increase of 3.84%, while European prices also saw a rise due to supply constraints and seasonal demand [10][19]. - The report notes that the overall LNG import cost in China has remained below 4000 yuan per ton, with a significant decrease of 18.4% from the year's peak [11][29]. - The anticipated decline in international oil prices is expected to further lower LNG import prices in China, benefiting city gas companies [11][29]. 3. Weekly Market Review - The public utilities, environmental protection, power equipment, and gas sectors outperformed the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 index during the review period [35]. 4. Company and Industry Dynamics - Recent developments include the issuance of competitive configuration announcements for renewable energy projects in various provinces, indicating ongoing investment and growth in the sector [44][46]. - The report also highlights significant corporate announcements, including financing and profit distribution plans from key players in the energy sector, reflecting a proactive approach to capital management and shareholder returns [48][49].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [9]. Core Insights - The company achieved a revenue growth of 1.95% in 2024, with total revenue reaching 57.819 billion yuan, while the net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 0.92% to 6.643 billion yuan. In Q1 2025, revenue was 13.122 billion yuan, a decrease of 6.99%, but net profit attributable to shareholders increased by 2.1% to 2.078 billion yuan [6][2]. - The company's operational performance is supported by a significant reduction in costs, with total operating costs decreasing by 0.75% in 2024 and a further decline of 11.79% in Q1 2025, benefiting from lower coal prices and interest rates [2][11]. - The company is focusing on cost reduction strategies to ensure performance growth despite weak revenue due to price declines and volume pressures in the energy market [11][6]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company reported total revenue of 57.819 billion yuan, with a net profit of 6.643 billion yuan. The first quarter of 2025 saw a revenue of 13.122 billion yuan and a net profit of 2.078 billion yuan [6][2]. - The company’s total installed capacity reached 44.6347 million kilowatts, with clean energy accounting for over 70% of the total capacity [11]. Cost Management - The company actively reduced costs, achieving a decrease in total operating costs by 0.75% in 2024 and 11.79% in Q1 2025. Financial expenses were reduced by 14.17% [2][11]. - The average on-grid electricity price in 2024 was 0.359 yuan/kWh, a decrease of 4.01% year-on-year, influenced by changes in energy mix and pricing mechanisms [11]. Future Outlook - The company is expected to see EPS of 0.92 yuan, 1.04 yuan, and 1.11 yuan for 2024, 2025, and 2026 respectively, with corresponding PE ratios of 16.45, 14.64, and 13.67 [11][6]. - The ongoing development of the Yalong River integrated water-wind-solar base is anticipated to enhance the company’s growth potential, with a total of 30 million kilowatts of hydropower capacity available for development [11].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the public utility sector is "Positive" and is maintained [8]. Core Insights - The new public offering regulations are expected to drive capital inflows into the long-underweighted public utility sector, which has a current allocation of only 0.94% in actively managed public funds, significantly lower than the weights in the CSI 300 and CSI A500 indices [2][10]. - The sector's earnings have shown signs of recovery, with expectations for continued performance improvement in the second quarter and throughout the year [2][10]. Summary by Sections Public Offering Regulations - The implementation of new public offering regulations is likely to provide marginal support for the public utility sector, which has been significantly underweighted in fund allocations. The sector's weight in the CSI 300 index is 3.53%, while the allocation in actively managed funds is only 0.94%, indicating a shortfall of 2.59 percentage points compared to the index [2][10]. Earnings Recovery - The public utility sector's earnings recovery has been validated by first-quarter performance, with expectations for continued improvement. Specific insights include: - Coal prices have decreased, alleviating pressure on thermal power generation, which is expected to enhance earnings in the second quarter [10]. - Hydropower assets are becoming increasingly attractive due to declining interest rates, with companies like Yangtze Power showing a high dividend yield compared to government bond yields [10]. - Nuclear power is anticipated to recover as new units come online, mitigating previous earnings pressures [10]. - Green energy companies are expected to benefit from policy support and asset value reassessment [10]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on quality thermal power operators such as Huadian International, China Resources Power, and Huaneng International, as well as hydropower leaders like Yangtze Power and Guotou Power. In the renewable energy sector, companies like Longyuan Power and China Nuclear Power are highlighted as potential investment opportunities [10][13][15].

Summary of Conference Call Records Industry and Company Involved - **Industry**: Civil Aviation - **Company**: Spring Airlines (春秋航空) Key Points and Arguments 1. **Profit Recovery**: The company has shown a recovery in single aircraft profit margins, with figures reaching 19.05 million in 2023 and 18.18 million in 2024, approaching the pre-pandemic level of approximately 20 million in 2019, which was significantly higher than comparable companies in the industry [1][2][3] 2. **Revenue and Profit Performance**: In Q1 2025, the company reported revenue of 5.317 billion, a year-on-year increase of 2.88%, while net profit was 677 million, reflecting a year-on-year decrease of 16.39% [2][3] 3. **Future Profit Potential**: The company anticipates that with the upward trend in the industry and continuous efficiency improvements from its low-cost model, single aircraft profit margins are expected to surpass the 2019 levels in the future [2][3] 4. **Shareholder Returns**: The company has committed to a dividend policy for 2024-2026, ensuring that at least 30% of profits will be distributed to shareholders. For 2024, the total cash dividend is projected to be 798 million (including tax), with a share buyback amounting to 66.86 million, totaling 864 million, which represents 38.03% of the net profit attributable to the parent company for 2024 [2][3] Other Important but Possibly Overlooked Content 1. **Comparison with Peers**: The company’s single aircraft profit levels are highlighted as being superior to those of its peers, indicating a competitive advantage in the market [1][2] 2. **Market Outlook**: The overall industry outlook is positive, suggesting a recovery trajectory that could benefit the company significantly [1][2] 3. **Investment in Efficiency**: The focus on low-cost operational efficiency is a critical factor in the company's strategy to enhance profitability moving forward [2][3]