[Table_Main] 证券研究报告 | 行业周报 通信 2025 年 07 月 07 日 通信 优于大市（维持） 证券分析师 李宏涛 资格编号：S0120524070003 邮箱：liht＠tebon.com.cn 研究助理 市场表现 -20% -10% 0% 10% 20% 29% 39% 49% 2024-07 2024-11 2025-03 通信 沪深300 资料来源：德邦研究所，聚源数据 相关研究 1.《算力软硬件投资和用户仍快速增 长 ， 业 绩 和 市 值 预 期 向 好 》， 2025.6.30 3.本周回顾及重点关注组合 2 / 18 请务必阅读正文之后的信息披露和法律声明 2.《中国新型基础设施：昇腾芯片+低 轨卫星+数字货币》，2025.6.23 3.《星链卫星坠落，低轨卫星新型基 础设施价值凸显》，2025.6.16 4.《中国电信（601728.SH）：高股息 带来稳健收益，数据入表+前沿布局 打开成长空间》，2025.6.12 5.《美国推出稳定币，中国数字货币 已应用推广》，2025.6.9 海内外算力共振，AIDC 景气将持续 [Table_Summary] 投资要点： 1. ...

股份發行人及根據《上市規則》第十九B章上市的香港預託證券發行人的證券變動月報表 | 截至月份: | 2025年6月30日 | 狀態: 新提交 | | --- | --- | --- | | 致：香港交易及結算所有限公司 | | | | 公司名稱: | 中國移動有限公司 | | | 呈交日期: | 2025年7月7日 | | | I. 法定/註冊股本變動 | 不適用 | | FF301 (A). 股份期權（根據發行人的股份期權計劃） | 1. 股份分類 | 普通股 | | 股份類別 | 不適用 | | 於香港聯交所上市 (註1) | | 是 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 證券代號(如上市) | 00941 | | 說明 | 香港股份 | | | | | | | 多櫃檯證券代號 | 80941 | RMB | 說明 | 香港股份 | | | | | | | 股份期權計劃詳情 | 上月底結存的股份期權數 | | 本月內變動 | | 本月底結存的股份期權數 | 本月內因此發行的新股數 | 本月内因此自庫存轉讓的 ...

Core Viewpoint - The China Securities Hong Kong 300 Modern Services Index has shown positive performance, with a year-to-date increase of 16.86% and a recent monthly rise of 0.97% [1] Group 1: Index Performance - The China Securities Hong Kong 300 Modern Services Index closed at 1643.39 points [1] - The index has increased by 2.72% over the past three months [1] - The index is based on a sample of securities selected from the China Securities Hong Kong 300 Index, reflecting the overall performance of various thematic securities listed on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange [1] Group 2: Index Holdings - The top ten weighted stocks in the index include Tencent Holdings (17.49%), Alibaba-W (10.97%), HSBC Holdings (9.09%), and others [1] - The index's holdings are entirely composed of securities listed on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, with a 100% allocation [1] Group 3: Industry Composition - The industry composition of the index shows that finance accounts for 36.84%, communication services for 27.93%, and consumer discretionary for 21.51% [2] - Other sectors include real estate (4.95%), utilities (3.59%), industrials (2.16%), healthcare (1.74%), and information technology (1.29%) [2] Group 4: Sample Adjustment - The index samples are adjusted semi-annually, with adjustments occurring on the next trading day after the second Friday of June and December [2] - Special circumstances may lead to temporary adjustments, and companies that are delisted will be removed from the index [2]

记者获悉，由中国移动（600941）通信联合会主办的2025年全球RWA&AGI(数实融合)生态峰会，即将 于7月13日召开。会议将解读RWA全球政策动态与发展趋势，研讨RWA商业应用模式与技术解决方案， 探索现实世界资产与数字资产的融合创新路径。同时，将举行相关揭幕启动仪式。(人民财讯) ...

Group 1 - China's Ministry of Commerce announced reciprocal restrictions on medical device imports from the EU, citing ongoing barriers to Chinese companies in EU public procurement [5] - Over 5,400 individuals have been repatriated as part of a joint crackdown on telecom fraud by China, Myanmar, and Thailand, demonstrating significant law enforcement cooperation [5] - Hong Kong's IPO market is experiencing a surge, with 42 IPOs completed in the first half of 2025, raising over HKD 107 billion, marking a 22% increase compared to the previous year [6] Group 2 - The total box office for the summer film season in 2025 has surpassed RMB 2.5 billion as of July 6 [7] - NIO's CEO Li Bin highlighted the company's focus on technological innovation, with cumulative R&D investments reaching RMB 60 billion, despite reporting significant losses [10][11] - Spring Airlines experienced a two-hour delay on a flight due to a temporary mechanical failure causing fuel leakage, emphasizing the importance of equipment maintenance in the aviation sector [12] Group 3 - China's three major telecom operators have restarted eSIM services after a two-year hiatus, focusing initially on IoT and smart wearable devices [14] - A significant recall of over 1.2 million power banks by Romoss and Anker due to safety concerns related to battery quality has raised consumer awareness about product safety [15]

Investment Rating - Industry rating: Recommended [6] Core Insights - The GB300 is expected to start volume production in the second half of the year, with significant advancements in AI performance and capabilities [1][8] - The central government emphasizes high-quality development of the marine economy, with wind power generation rapidly increasing, accounting for over 12% of total power generation [2][10] - There is a strong growth in overseas AI demand, particularly from new enterprises, driving high capital expenditure in AI [3][14] Summary by Sections GB300 Launch - CoreWeave announced the first market delivery of the NVIDIA GB300 NVL72, featuring advanced AI performance with over exaflop capabilities and significant improvements in user response speed and throughput [1][8] Marine Economy Development - The central government is focusing on enhancing the marine economy through policy support and encouraging social capital participation, with wind power generation capacity rapidly increasing [2][10] Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on the AI capital expenditure and related sectors, highlighting the growth potential in the optical module industry and PCB supply chain [3][14] - Specific beneficiary stocks include NewEase, Zhongji Xuchuang, and Tianfu Communication in the optical module sector, and China Telecom, China Mobile, and China Unicom in the telecommunications sector [3][16][17] - The marine economy sector is also highlighted, with companies like Zhongtian Technology and Hengtong Optic-Electric being potential beneficiaries [4][15]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the communication industry [5] Core Insights - The global computing infrastructure remains highly prosperous, with a continued positive outlook on computing directions. The global server market is expected to reach $366 billion in 2025, growing by 44.6% year-on-year. The market for GPU-equipped servers is projected to grow by 46.7%, nearly accounting for half of the overall market [12][19][22] - The deployment of NVIDIA's GB300 AI systems has begun, indicating sustained growth in the global AI landscape. CoreWeave and Dell Technologies announced the launch of the first batch of GB300 NVL72 AI systems, which are equipped with advanced GPUs and CPUs to meet increasing AI computing demands [23][24] - China Mobile's procurement of AI servers worth 3.2 billion yuan marks a significant acceleration in AI inference computing infrastructure development, highlighting the urgency for operators to enhance AI application capabilities [35][40] Summary by Sections Industry News Tracking - The global computing infrastructure is expected to maintain high prosperity, with a focus on computing directions. The global server market is projected to reach $366 billion in 2025, with a year-on-year growth of 44.6% [12][19] - The Chinese GenAI IaaS market is anticipated to grow by 165% year-on-year in the second half of 2024, reaching 8.74 billion yuan, marking a significant share in the overall AI IaaS market [16][22] Market Performance Review - The communication index fell by 0.10% this week, while the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 index rose by 1.54%, resulting in a relative return of -1.64%, ranking 26th among primary industries [3][48] Investment Recommendations - Focus on AI computing infrastructure across various segments, particularly in optical devices and copper connection industries, which are expected to benefit from the global AI development [4][55] - Long-term investment in the three major telecom operators is recommended due to their stable operations and increasing dividend ratios, with a cumulative revenue of 748.8 billion yuan in the first five months of the year, reflecting a 1.4% year-on-year growth [4][55]

Group 1 - The core message of the news is that the city of Qingyang in Gansu province is actively promoting investment opportunities through a diverse range of projects, aiming to enhance its economic development and attract businesses [1][2]. - Qingyang has introduced a comprehensive investment menu that includes 194 key projects across five sectors: fine chemicals, digital economy, low-altitude economy, modern agriculture, and cultural tourism integration [1]. - During the 31st Lanzhou Investment and Trade Fair, Qingyang signed 62 contracts with a total value of 1,033.98 billion yuan, indicating strong interest from investors [1]. Group 2 - Qingyang is strategically positioned as a hub for major national resource allocation projects, including the West-to-East Gas Transmission and the East-to-West Data Calculation initiatives [2]. - The city is focusing on developing four trillion-yuan industrial chains: comprehensive energy, oil-coal chemical, digital economy, and equipment manufacturing, along with four hundred-billion-yuan industrial chains in modern agriculture, cultural tourism, healthcare, and green environmental protection [2]. - In 2024, Qingyang aims to achieve the highest satisfaction rate for the business environment among investment enterprises in Gansu, positioning itself as a key growth area for the province [2]. Group 3 - The digital economy is identified as a new growth area for Qingyang, with the data center cluster reaching a scale of 31,000 racks and a computing power exceeding 66,000 PetaFLOPS [2]. - The China Mobile (Gansu·Qingyang) data center, a key project from the 29th Lanzhou Fair, has a computing capacity of over 30,000 PetaFLOPS, setting a benchmark for future projects [2]. - The successful signing of projects in various sectors, including a 100,000-ton immersion cooling liquid manufacturing base and a low-altitude economy entrepreneurship park, is expected to inject strong momentum into Qingyang's development [5].

浪潮集团、中国移动通信集团等企业负责人感谢自治区党委、政府对各自企业在桂发展给予的大力 支持，分别介绍了在人工智能领域发展以及与广西合作规划情况，表示广西是中国面向东盟开放合作的 前沿和窗口，区位优势明显，发展前景广阔，对布局广西充满信心。将充分发挥各自企业技术、人才和 资源等优势，全面落实好此次签署的合作协议，聚焦人工智能技术应用推广和赋能千行百业，共同推进 人工智能、云计算等领域务实合作，积极参与中国—东盟人工智能创新合作中心建设和第22届东博会、 峰会，更好助力广西经济社会高质量发展。 陈刚、韦韬代表自治区党委、政府对各企业积极响应广西人工智能产业发展战略布局、深化与广西 合作表示欢迎，对相关企业关心支持广西发展表示感谢。陈刚表示，人工智能时代大幕已拉开，广西已 经站在人工智能发展的舞台上，迎来了历史最好发展时期，正深入贯彻落实习近平总书记关于人工智能 的重要论述和关于广西工作论述的重要要求，抢抓国家实施人工智能能力建设普惠计划等重大机遇，突 出策略、整合、场景，协力打造"北上广研发+广西集成+东盟应用"的人工智能发展路径，加快建设中 国—东盟人工智能创新合作中心，筹备举办首届人工智能赋能千行百业大赛， ...

Core Viewpoint - The eSIM business in China is being revived after a two-year hiatus, primarily focusing on IoT and smart wearable devices, while mobile eSIM services are not yet being pursued [2][3][4] Group 1: eSIM Business Resumption - China Unicom has launched a cloud computer PAD product based on eSIM technology, indicating the resumption of eSIM services [3] - The three major operators, China Mobile, China Telecom, and China Unicom, are upgrading their systems, with China Unicom leading the way by restoring eSIM services in 25 regions [3][4] - The resumption of eSIM services is seen as beneficial for operators, especially in the context of the growing IoT market [3][8] Group 2: Historical Context and Development - eSIM technology, which allows for embedded SIM cards, was first patented by Apple in 2011 and has since gained traction globally [4] - China Unicom was the first operator in China to engage in eSIM services, launching its platform in early 2017 and becoming a leader in the field [5] - In 2020, China Mobile and China Telecom also received approval to implement eSIM technology across various sectors [5] Group 3: Challenges and Security Concerns - The cautious promotion of eSIM for consumer devices is attributed to security concerns, as the remote writing mechanism poses risks for fraud and spam [6][7] - The increase in eSIM-related fraud cases by 37% in 2024 highlights the need for enhanced security measures [6] - Operators are also concerned about the potential loss of customers due to the ease of switching providers with eSIM technology [7] Group 4: Future Prospects - The global eSIM market is expected to grow significantly, with projections of 1 billion eSIM smartphone connections by the end of 2025 and 6.9 billion by 2030 [9] - The domestic eSIM industry is developing a complete supply chain, including chip design, module development, and telecom services [9][10] - Major Chinese smartphone manufacturers are poised to launch eSIM-enabled devices once policies are relaxed, indicating a strong potential for growth in the market [10][11]