Jiangsu Hengli Hydraulic CO.(601100)

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恒立液压24Q3点评:挖机业务或有所修复,多元化战略持续推进
Changjiang Securities· 2024-11-07 06:18
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [6][8]. Core Insights - The excavator industry in China is experiencing a recovery in both domestic and export sales, which is expected to benefit the company's excavator-related business [4][6]. - The company is actively pursuing a diversification strategy, expanding into non-excavator products and linear actuators, with non-standard business expected to grow rapidly [5][6]. - The company's gross margin has improved in the first three quarters of 2024, attributed to structural optimization and increased capacity utilization [5][6]. - The company is projected to achieve net profits of 2.609 billion yuan and 3.208 billion yuan in 2024 and 2025, respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 28 times and 23 times [6]. Summary by Sections Revenue and Profitability - For the first three quarters of 2024, the company reported revenue of 6.936 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 9.32%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.791 billion yuan, up 2.16% year-on-year [3]. - In Q3 2024, the company achieved revenue of 2.103 billion yuan, reflecting an 11.12% year-on-year growth, and a net profit of 504 million yuan, which is a 6.07% increase year-on-year [3]. Industry Performance - The excavator industry has seen a significant recovery since March 2024, with domestic sales maintaining a growth rate of around 20% from May to September, and Q3 exports showing a 3% year-on-year increase [4][6]. - The company’s excavator-related segments, including hydraulic cylinders, pumps, and motors, are expected to benefit from this industry recovery [4][6]. Diversification Strategy - The company is expanding its product offerings beyond traditional excavator-related products, with notable growth in non-excavator hydraulic cylinders and valves, achieving year-on-year increases of 21.53% and 24.30%, respectively, in H1 2024 [5][6]. - The linear actuator project is progressing steadily, with initial revenue recognition expected in Q3 2024 and significant growth anticipated in the following year [5][6]. Financial Metrics - The gross margin for the first three quarters of 2024 was reported at 41.46%, an increase of 1.26 percentage points year-on-year, driven by a higher proportion of revenue from value-added non-standard products [5][6]. - The net profit margin for Q3 2024 was 23.99%, a decrease of 1.13 percentage points year-on-year, primarily due to increased management expenses [5][6].
恒立液压:业绩短期承压不改长增底色,持续看好公司中长期成长
Tianfeng Securities· 2024-11-03 06:08
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, with a target price indicating an expected return of over 20% within the next six months [6][14]. Core Views - The company's performance remains stable despite short-term pressures, with a focus on long-term growth potential [1]. - The company is actively pursuing cost reduction and efficiency improvement initiatives, having implemented over 300 cost-cutting projects by mid-2024 [2]. - The strategic focus on "internationalization, diversification, and electrification" is being firmly advanced, with notable growth in overseas revenue and product lines [3]. Financial Performance Summary - For the first three quarters of 2024, the company reported revenues of 6.936 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 9.32%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.791 billion yuan, up 2.16% year-on-year [1]. - The third quarter alone saw revenues of 2.103 billion yuan, reflecting an 11.12% year-on-year growth, with a net profit of 504 million yuan, up 6.07% year-on-year [1]. - The gross margin for the first three quarters was 41.46%, while the net margin was 25.87% [1]. Profit Forecast - The profit forecast has been adjusted, with expected net profits for 2024, 2025, and 2026 projected at 2.44 billion, 2.94 billion, and 3.55 billion yuan respectively, corresponding to P/E ratios of 30, 25, and 20 [4].
恒立液压:业绩稳健增长,稀缺性和成长性仍是公司最突出的特点
Guotou Securities· 2024-11-01 05:23
Investment Rating - The report maintains an investment rating of "Buy-A" with a 12-month target price of 59.74 CNY, compared to the current stock price of 51.65 CNY [4][6][10]. Core Views - The company demonstrates steady revenue growth, with a reported revenue of 6.936 billion CNY for the first nine months of 2024, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 9.32%. The net profit attributable to shareholders reached 1.791 billion CNY, up 2.16% year-on-year [1]. - The excavator industry is experiencing a recovery, supported by the company's internationalization and diversification strategies, which are expected to drive revenue growth. The domestic sales of excavators have shown a positive trend since March, while exports have recently turned positive after a decline [2]. - The company's profitability remains stable, with a gross margin of 41.46% for the first nine months of 2024, an increase of 1.27 percentage points year-on-year. However, the net margin has slightly decreased [3]. Financial Performance Summary - For 2024-2026, the company is projected to achieve revenues of 9.62 billion CNY, 11.18 billion CNY, and 13.42 billion CNY, with growth rates of 7.1%, 16.2%, and 20.1% respectively. Net profits are expected to be 2.44 billion CNY, 2.77 billion CNY, and 3.31 billion CNY, with growth rates of -2.2%, 13.2%, and 19.7% respectively [4][8]. - The company maintains a stable gross margin and net margin, with a gross margin of 41.03% in Q3 2024, although it faced some pressure due to new business capacity utilization and depreciation of new facilities [3][9]. - The report highlights the company's strong market position in hydraulic core components, emphasizing its high technical barriers and strong customer loyalty [6][9].
恒立液压:公司信息更新报告:Q3收入同比增长11%,有望受益顺周期复苏
KAIYUAN SECURITIES· 2024-10-31 03:30
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company reported a year-on-year revenue growth of 11% in Q3, benefiting from a cyclical recovery [3] - The net profit for Q3 increased by 6%, outperforming the industry average [4] - The company is expected to benefit from cyclical recovery, expansion of overseas major clients, and increased production in the screw rod business, indicating a potential turning point in fundamentals [6] Financial Performance Summary - For the first three quarters of 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 6.936 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 9.32%, and a net profit of 1.791 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 2.16% [4] - In Q3 alone, the company reported a revenue of 2.103 billion yuan, a year-on-year growth of 11.2%, and a net profit of 504 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 6.07% [4] - The company's gross margin for the first three quarters was 41.5%, while the net margin was 25.9%, showing a slight decline in profitability due to changes in product structure and increased personnel costs [5] Future Projections - The net profit forecasts for 2024, 2025, and 2026 are projected to be 2.6 billion yuan, 3.05 billion yuan, and 3.69 billion yuan respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 26.9, 22.9, and 19.0 [3][7] - Revenue is expected to grow from 9.979 billion yuan in 2024 to 14.015 billion yuan in 2026, with a year-on-year growth rate of 11.1% in 2024 and 18.1% in 2025 [7]
恒立液压:2024年三季报点评:人员扩张导致盈利能力短期承压,看好公司长期成长空间【勘误版】
Soochow Securities· 2024-10-31 02:53
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [1] Core Views - The company's net profit increased by 6.1% year-on-year in Q3, slightly below market expectations. For the first three quarters of 2024, the company achieved operating revenue of 6.94 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 9.3%, and a net profit attributable to the parent company of 1.79 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 2.2% [2] - The expansion of personnel has led to a significant increase in costs and expenses, putting short-term pressure on profitability. The gross profit margin for Q1-Q3 2024 was 41.5%, up 1.3 percentage points year-on-year, while the net profit margin was 25.9%, down 1.8 percentage points year-on-year. In Q3 alone, the gross profit margin was 41.0%, down 1.9 percentage points year-on-year [3] - The company is advancing its diversification and internationalization strategy, with projects in Mexico and the establishment of multiple business units for linear actuators, which are expected to contribute to sustained growth [4] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For 2024E, the company’s operating revenue is projected to be 9.51 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 5.83%. The net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to be 2.46 billion yuan, a decrease of 1.45% year-on-year [1][4] - The report adjusts the net profit forecasts for 2024-2026 to 2.462 billion, 3.033 billion, and 3.623 billion yuan respectively, reflecting a cautious outlook on short-term profitability [4] Market Position and Growth Potential - The report highlights the recovery in demand for excavators both domestically and internationally, with expectations of improved revenue growth in the excavator segment in Q3 compared to the first half of the year [2] - The company’s overseas production base in Mexico is expected to facilitate entry into the North American market, providing significant growth opportunities [4]
恒立液压:公司Q3营收保持增长,经营能力稳健
Guolian Securities· 2024-10-31 01:12
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [4] Core Views - The company's hydraulic products related to excavators may remain under pressure in 2024, but diversified products in non-excavation fields are expected to contribute additional revenue [2][6] - The company achieved revenue of 6.936 billion yuan in Q1-Q3 2024, a year-on-year increase of 9.32%, and a net profit attributable to the parent company of 1.791 billion yuan, up 2.16% year-on-year [6] - The company is actively expanding overseas markets and has made significant progress in its "electrification" strategy, laying the groundwork for future growth [6] Financial Performance Summary - Revenue projections for 2024-2026 are 9.925 billion, 11.461 billion, and 13.152 billion yuan, respectively, with a CAGR of 15.34% [2][6] - Net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to be 2.698 billion, 3.245 billion, and 3.834 billion yuan for the same period [2][6] - Earnings per share (EPS) are projected to be 2.01, 2.42, and 2.86 yuan per share for 2024-2026 [2][6] Financial Ratios and Valuation - The company’s gross margin and net margin for Q1-Q3 2024 were 41.46% and 25.87%, respectively [6] - The company’s P/E ratio is projected to decrease from 31.9 in 2022 to 19.5 in 2026, indicating an improving valuation [7] - The company’s P/B ratio is expected to decline from 5.9 in 2022 to 3.6 in 2026 [7]
恒立液压:公司简评报告:业绩稳步增长,“国际化、多元化、电动化”持续催化
Donghai Securities· 2024-10-30 07:11
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy (Maintain)" [3] Core Views - The company achieved revenue of 6.936 billion yuan in the first three quarters of 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 9.32%. The net profit attributable to shareholders reached 1.791 billion yuan, up 2.16% year-on-year [6] - The company's gross margin and net margin for the first three quarters of 2024 were 41.46% and 25.87%, respectively [6] - Despite a slight increase in expense ratios and a minor decline in gross margin, the company maintains a strong commitment to R&D, with R&D expenses remaining above 7% [6] - The company's diversification strategy has shown results, with significant growth in sales of hydraulic cylinders for shield machines, cranes, and renewable energy sectors, outperforming the industry [7] - The company is investing heavily in overseas projects and linear drive projects, with construction of a factory in Mexico nearing completion, expected to contribute an additional production capacity valued at approximately 1.703 billion yuan [8] - The company is positioned as a leader in domestic hydraulic components, actively pursuing internationalization and electrification strategies [8] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - Revenue for Q3 2024 was 2.103 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 11.12%, with net profit of 504 million yuan, up 6.07% [6] - The company’s total assets reached 17.896 billion yuan, with a debt ratio of 21.73% and a price-to-book ratio of 4.70 [3] Future Projections - The forecast for net profit attributable to shareholders for 2024-2026 is adjusted to 2.605 billion yuan, 2.962 billion yuan, and 3.435 billion yuan, respectively [8] - The expected EPS corresponding to the current stock price is projected to be 1.94, 2.21, and 2.56 for 2024, 2025, and 2026, respectively [9] Strategic Initiatives - The company is focused on enhancing its core competitiveness through innovation and R&D, with the establishment of an international R&D center expected by the end of the year [6] - The company’s diversification strategy has led to a resilient growth trajectory, with a focus on expanding market share in both domestic and international markets [7][8]
恒立液压:费用扩张影响利润释放,看周期拐点向上
SINOLINK SECURITIES· 2024-10-30 06:55
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, with expected net profits of 2.5 billion, 3.0 billion, and 3.6 billion RMB for 2024, 2025, and 2026 respectively, corresponding to PE valuations of 30, 25, and 21 times [2][4]. Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 6.9 billion RMB for the first three quarters of 2024, representing a year-on-year increase of 9.32%, and a net profit of 1.79 billion RMB, up 2% year-on-year. In Q3 2024 alone, revenue reached 2.1 billion RMB, a 11% increase year-on-year, with a net profit of 500 million RMB, up 6% year-on-year, slightly below expectations [2][4]. - The domestic excavator market is showing signs of recovery, while non-excavator segments continue to grow rapidly. The company’s hydraulic cylinder and pump valve businesses for excavators have seen significant growth due to market recovery and increased market share [2][4]. - The company is actively expanding its overseas market presence and diversifying its business, with a focus on electric and automated machinery, which is expected to create new growth opportunities [2][4]. Summary by Sections Performance Analysis - The company’s Q3 2024 profit was lower than expected primarily due to rapid personnel expansion leading to increased expenses. The gross margin for Q3 was 41%, down 1.93 percentage points year-on-year, and the net margin was 24%, down 1 percentage point year-on-year [2][4]. - The non-excavator market, including marine engineering and agricultural machinery, has shown strong performance, although the high machinery market's downturn has affected overall revenue growth in this segment [2][4]. Financial Forecasts - Revenue projections for 2024 to 2026 are 9.614 billion, 11.113 billion, and 12.899 billion RMB, with growth rates of 7.00%, 15.59%, and 16.07% respectively. Net profit forecasts for the same period are 2.501 billion, 3.048 billion, and 3.625 billion RMB, with growth rates of 0.07%, 21.91%, and 18.90% respectively [4][5].
恒立液压:挖机板块即将破晓,非挖板块略承压
GOLDEN SUN SECURITIES· 2024-10-30 00:43
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [5]. Core Views - The company is expected to benefit significantly from the recovery of the domestic engineering machinery sector and has a strong position as a core component supplier [2][3]. - The company's revenue for the first three quarters of 2024 reached 6.936 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 9.32%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 1.791 billion yuan, up 2.16% year-on-year [1]. - The report highlights that the company's profitability is slightly under pressure, with a Q3 gross margin of 41.03%, down 1.93 percentage points year-on-year [1]. Financial Performance - The company achieved a Q3 revenue of 2.103 billion yuan, representing an 11.12% year-on-year increase, and a net profit of 504 million yuan, up 6.07% year-on-year [1]. - The projected net profits for 2024-2026 are 2.5 billion yuan, 2.9 billion yuan, and 3.5 billion yuan, with growth rates of 2%, 16%, and 18% respectively [3]. - The company's current P/E ratios are 29.5, 25.4, and 21.5 for the years 2024, 2025, and 2026 respectively [3]. Business Segments - The company's screw rod business is currently in an investment phase, which may lead to temporary performance fluctuations [1][2]. - The high-end machinery segment is experiencing slight pressure, but the company is making steady progress with its linear actuator project [2]. Market Position - The company serves major domestic clients such as SANY, XCMG, and LiuGong, and has established relationships with global giants like Caterpillar and Hitachi, positioning it well for growth in both domestic and international markets [2].
恒立液压:2024年三季报点评:人员扩张导致盈利能力短期承压,看好公司长期成长空间
Soochow Securities· 2024-10-29 19:00
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company's net profit in Q3 increased by 6.1% year-on-year, slightly below market expectations. For the first three quarters of 2024, the company achieved operating revenue of 6.94 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 9.3%, and a net profit attributable to the parent company of 1.79 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 2.2% [2] - The expansion of personnel has led to a significant increase in costs and expenses, putting short-term pressure on profitability. The gross profit margin for Q1-Q3 2024 was 41.5%, up 1.3 percentage points year-on-year, while the net profit margin was 25.9%, down 1.8 percentage points year-on-year [3] - The company is diversifying and internationalizing its strategy, with projects in Mexico and linear actuator initiatives expected to drive growth. The establishment of a hydraulic component production base in Mexico will help the company tap into the North American market [4] Summary by Sections Financial Forecasts and Valuation - The company has adjusted its net profit forecasts for 2024-2026 to 2.462 billion, 3.033 billion, and 3.623 billion yuan respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 30, 25, and 21 times [4] - The operating revenue is projected to reach 9.509 billion yuan in 2024, with a year-on-year growth rate of 5.83% [11] - The net profit margin is expected to recover as high-margin businesses increase their share, particularly with the ramp-up of domestic screw business and the production of the overseas factory in Mexico [3][4]