Core Insights - The article highlights the remarkable economic transformation of Tongxiang City, emphasizing its ability to create significant industrial growth from seemingly limited resources, showcasing a unique "from nothing to something" capability [1][9][24]. Group 1: Economic Development - Tongxiang has demonstrated rapid industrial growth, with notable statistics such as the ability of Tongkun's digital brain to generate approximately 1.5 million OT data in one second and the production line of Tai Rui Machinery producing an injection molding machine in just nine minutes [1]. - The city has achieved a remarkable industrial output value of over 225.86 billion yuan in 2024, transitioning from "China's woolen sweater town" to "the world's woolen sweater capital" [7][9]. - The local economy is characterized by a high density of business ownership, with one in five residents being a business owner, contributing to the city's wealth and economic dynamism [13][24]. Group 2: Industrial Innovation - Tongxiang has established itself as a leader in the new materials industry, with significant contributions to the global wind power sector, producing one out of every three wind turbine blades [15][18]. - The city has developed a complete industrial chain in new materials, from production to processing and composite materials manufacturing, attracting numerous enterprises and fostering a collaborative industrial environment [18][23]. - The establishment of the "U Town Light" supercomputing center has positioned Tongxiang at the forefront of digital innovation, facilitating the digital transformation of traditional industries, particularly in new materials [20][21]. Group 3: Government Support and Strategic Planning - The local government has implemented strategic plans, such as the "135N industrial cluster" strategy, to cultivate the new materials industry, allocating significant funding for development [24][28]. - Tongxiang has established a supportive infrastructure, including the first "light-storage integrated" demonstration park in Zhejiang Province, ensuring sufficient energy supply for enterprises [27][29]. - Various incentive programs, such as the "Eagle Plan" for large enterprises and the "Chick Plan" for startups, provide financial support and resources to foster innovation and growth in the new materials sector [28][29]. Group 4: Future Prospects - The new materials market is projected to grow significantly, with a compound annual growth rate of 13.3% from 2020 to 2025, potentially reaching a market size of 5.6 trillion USD by 2025 [32]. - Tongxiang is positioned to become a key player in the new materials industry, producing 25% of the world's glass fiber and 31% of China's chemical fiber materials, indicating its potential to lead in this sector [32]. - The article concludes by emphasizing the importance of cities like Tongxiang in driving national economic growth, highlighting their role in the broader economic landscape [34][35].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the basic chemical industry is "Positive (Maintain)" [1] Core Insights - The basic chemical industry achieved a revenue of 23,219.8 billion yuan in 2024, with a year-on-year increase of 3.2%, but a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1,185.6 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year decrease of 6.2% [6][35] - In Q1 2025, the industry reported a revenue of 5,602.8 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 5.8%, and a net profit of 369.7 billion yuan, which is an increase of 11.8% year-on-year [6][35] - The profitability of the industry showed a sales gross margin of 17.2% in Q1 2025, with a net profit margin of 0.1% [6][35] Summary by Sections Industry Overview - The chemical raw materials and chemical products manufacturing industry saw a revenue of 91,986.4 billion yuan in 2024, with a cumulative year-on-year increase of 4.2%, while total profits decreased by 8.6% [5][26] - Fixed asset investment in the industry increased by 8.6% year-on-year, but the growth rate declined by 4.8 percentage points [5][26] Q1 Performance - In Q1 2025, the basic chemical sector experienced revenue growth, with a year-on-year increase of 5.8% and a net profit increase of 11.8% [6][35] - The sales gross margin for Q1 2025 was 17.2%, reflecting a slight decrease year-on-year but an increase compared to the previous quarter [6][35] Sub-industry Analysis - In 2024, the chlor-alkali and textile chemical products sub-industries showed significant profit growth, with chlor-alkali achieving a net profit growth of 262.8% [40][41] - For Q1 2025, the chlor-alkali sub-industry continued to lead with a net profit growth of 132.2% [41] Key Company Tracking - Major companies in the basic chemical sector, such as Wanhua Chemical and Hualu Hengsheng, reported significant net profit growth in 2024, with many companies experiencing a decrease in capital expenditures [5][6][35]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" outlook on the chemical industry, highlighting the recovery at the bottom of the cycle and the focus on undervalued high-growth stocks [1]. Core Insights - The macroeconomic assessment of the chemical industry indicates a stabilization in oil prices due to geopolitical factors and OPEC+ production increases, while coal prices are expected to decline in the medium to long term. Natural gas prices are fluctuating at the bottom [3][4]. - The report forecasts a gradual recovery in profitability for the chemical sector in Q1 2025, driven by terminal inventory replenishment and improved demand, despite ongoing construction projects peaking and declining [3]. - The overall revenue for the chemical sector in 2024 is projected to reach 2.0601 trillion yuan, a 3% year-on-year increase, while net profit is expected to decline by 3% to 109.8 billion yuan, aligning with market expectations [3]. Summary by Sections Industry Dynamics - Current oil prices are influenced by the easing of the Russia-Ukraine conflict and U.S. tariff policies, with Brent crude averaging $80.93 per barrel in 2024, down 2% year-on-year. NYMEX natural gas futures are expected to average $2.41 per million British thermal units, down 10% year-on-year [3][4]. - The chemical industry is experiencing a "V"-shaped recovery in market conditions, with Q1 2025 revenue reaching 496.9 billion yuan, a 6% increase year-on-year, and net profit rising by 9% year-on-year to 32.8 billion yuan [3]. Investment Analysis - The report suggests focusing on traditional cyclical stocks with strong fundamentals, such as Wanhua Chemical and Hualu Chemical, as well as growth stocks in semiconductor materials and OLED technologies [3]. - The tire industry is expected to benefit from domestic demand recovery and cost reductions, with companies like Sailun Tire and Linglong Tire highlighted for potential investment [3]. - The report emphasizes the importance of identifying undervalued stocks with growth potential in the chemical sector, particularly in segments like agricultural chemicals and specialty chemicals [3]. Price and Inventory Changes - The report notes that the chemical industry is experiencing a gradual recovery in price differentials, with PPI data showing a slow recovery from negative values towards zero [3][4]. - The report highlights the importance of monitoring inventory levels and price movements in key chemical products, as these factors will influence future profitability and investment opportunities [3][4].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the oil and petrochemical industry, indicating a "Buy" recommendation for key companies in the sector [2][12]. Core Insights - OPEC is expected to continue increasing production in June, with an additional 411,000 barrels per day from member countries, indicating a potential second bottom for oil prices [2][3]. - The report suggests that OPEC's current strategy is to test market limits, balancing production and price to optimize revenue for member countries [11]. - The upstream sector is experiencing a widening supply-demand trend, with expectations of downward pressure on oil prices, but a medium to high price range is anticipated due to OPEC's production adjustments and shale oil cost support [2][12]. Summary by Sections Upstream Sector - Brent crude oil futures closed at $61.29 per barrel, down 8.34% week-on-week, while WTI futures fell 7.51% to $58.29 per barrel [2][17]. - U.S. commercial crude oil inventories decreased by 759,000 barrels to 442 million barrels, which is 5% lower than the five-year average [19]. - The number of active U.S. drilling rigs decreased to 584, down 3 from the previous week and down 21 year-on-year [31][35]. Refining Sector - The Singapore refining margin for major products increased to $17.21 per barrel, up $6.27 from the previous week [2]. - The price spread for PTA in East China rose to 4,451.30 CNY per ton, reflecting a 1.94% increase week-on-week [12][51]. Polyester Sector - The PX market in Asia closed at $757 per ton, up 1.85% week-on-week, with the PX-naphtha spread increasing by $18.50 to $181.87 per ton [12][51]. - The overall performance of the polyester industry is average, with a need to monitor demand changes, but a gradual improvement is expected as new capacity comes online [12]. Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on high-quality refining companies such as Hengli Petrochemical, Rongsheng Petrochemical, and Dongfang Shenghong due to improved cost expectations and competitive advantages [12]. - It also highlights the potential for valuation recovery in companies like Satellite Chemical, with favorable conditions for ethane-based ethylene production [12]. - For upstream exploration and development, companies like CNOOC and Haiyou Engineering are expected to benefit from high capital expenditure in offshore projects [12].

丨证券研究报告丨 公司研究丨点评报告丨桐昆股份（601233.SH） [Table_Title] 产销规模提升，静待景气复苏 报告要点 [Table_Summary] 公司发布 2024 年年报，全年实现营业收入 1013.1 亿元（同比+22.6%），实现归属净利润 12.0 亿元（同比+50.8%），实现归属扣非净利润 9.3 亿元（同比+105.4%）。其中 Q4 单季度实现收 入 252.6 亿元（同比+20.9%，环比-9.3%），实现归属净利润 2.0 亿元（同环比均扭亏转盈）， 实现归属扣非净利润 1.1 亿元（同环比均扭亏转盈）。公司拟每股派发现金红利 0.1 元（含税）， 合计派发现金红利 2.38 亿元（含税）。 分析师及联系人 [Table_Author] 马太 SAC：S0490516100002 SFC：BUT911 请阅读最后评级说明和重要声明 %% %% %% %% research.95579.com 1 桐昆股份（601233.SH） cjzqdt11111 [Table_Title2] 产销规模提升，静待景气复苏 [Table_Summary2] 事件描述 公司发布 202 ...

证券研究报告 | 2025年04月30日 桐昆股份（601233.SH） 优于大市 一季度净利同环比提升，涤纶长丝供需有望改善 请务必阅读正文之后的免责声明及其项下所有内容 核心观点 公司研究·财报点评 石油石化·炼化及贸易 公司2024年及2025年一季度归母净利润同比提升。公司2024年营收1013.1 亿元（同比+22.6%），归母净利润 12.0 亿元（同比+50.8%）；2025 年一季 度营收 194.2 亿元（同比-8.0%，环比-23.1%），归母净利润 6.1 亿元（同 比+5.4%，环比+213.0%），2024 年及 2025 年一季度归母净利均有提升。 2024 年公司主营产品涤纶长丝销量提升。公司涤纶长丝产能 1350 万吨，国 内份额超28%。2024 年公司涤纶长丝POY/FDY/DTY 销量 968/214/112 万吨（同 比+23%/+46%/+13%），新产能贡献增量，销量同比提升。2025 年一季度公司 涤纶长丝 POY/FDY/DTY 销量 181/45/24 万吨（同比-7%/+8%/+4%，环比 -30%/-23%/-23%），一季度受春节假期及传统纺织行业淡季影 ...

证券研究报告 公司研究 [Table_ReportType] 公司点评报告 [Table_StockAndRank] 桐昆股份(601233.SH) 投资评级 买入 上次评级 买入 [Table_Author] 左前明 能源行业首席分析师 执业编号：S1500518070001 联系电话：010-83326712 邮箱：zuoqianming@cindasc.com [刘奕麟 Table_OtherReport] 石化行业分析师 执业编号：S1500524040001 联系电话：13261695353 邮箱：liuyilin@cindasc.com 信达证券股份有限公司 CINDA SECURITIES CO.,LTD 北京市西城区宣武门西大街甲127号金隅大厦 B座 邮编：100031 [Table_Title] 公司盈利显著改善，看好涤丝龙头业绩释放弹性 [Table_ReportDate] 2025 年 4 月 30 日 ➢ 行业供需格局改善，公司业绩显著提升。油价端，2024 年国际油价中 高位震荡运行，上半年油价呈现冲高后回落企稳态势；下半年受全球宏 观经济形势转弱、地缘担忧情绪放缓影响，国际油价震 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for Tongkun Co., Ltd. is "Buy" [1] Core Views - The report highlights significant improvement in the company's profitability, with a focus on the resilience of the polyester filament industry and the expected performance release of the leading company [1][6] - The supply-demand dynamics in the industry are improving, leading to a notable enhancement in the company's performance [3][4] - The company is expected to benefit from the optimization of the supply structure and the increase in industry concentration [4][6] Financial Performance Summary - In 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 101.31 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 22.59%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.20 billion yuan, up 50.80% year-on-year [1] - For Q1 2025, the company reported a revenue of 19.42 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 8.01%, but a net profit of 611 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 5.36% [2] - The report forecasts the company's net profit for 2025-2027 to be 2.28 billion, 2.99 billion, and 3.70 billion yuan respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 89.5%, 31.7%, and 23.5% [6] Industry Analysis - The report notes that the average Brent crude oil price for 2024 is expected to be 79.86 USD/barrel, a decrease of 2.31 USD/barrel from 2023, impacting raw material costs [3] - The polyester filament industry is projected to see a consumption increase of 8.7% in 2024, with a total apparent consumption of 42 million tons [3] - The report anticipates the elimination of 2-2.5 million tons of outdated capacity in the polyester filament industry during 2024-2025, which may lead to a negative growth in effective capacity [4]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the company with a target price of RMB 12.45 [6][4]. Core Views - The company reported a Q1 revenue of RMB 19.42 billion, a decrease of 8% quarter-on-quarter and 23% year-on-year, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was RMB 610 million, an increase of 5% quarter-on-quarter and 213% year-on-year [1]. - The polyester chain is expected to recover due to a slowdown in industry capacity growth and a potential improvement in domestic demand [1][3]. - The report highlights that the main raw material prices have decreased, which has helped improve the company's gross margin [2]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q1, the company achieved a gross margin of 7.7%, up 1% year-on-year and 4.6 percentage points quarter-on-quarter [2]. - The company’s main products, POY, FDY, and DTY, had sales volumes of 1.81 million tons, 450,000 tons, and 240,000 tons respectively, with year-on-year changes of -7%, +8%, and +4% [2]. Industry Outlook - The polyester industry is anticipated to improve as domestic demand recovers and textile exports increase, alongside a more favorable supply structure due to reduced capacity growth [3]. - New projects are progressing as planned, with significant investments in expanding the polyester and fine chemical industry chain [3]. Profit Forecast and Valuation - The report maintains previous profit forecasts, estimating net profits attributable to shareholders for 2025-2027 at RMB 2 billion, RMB 2.4 billion, and RMB 2.83 billion respectively, with corresponding EPS of RMB 0.83, RMB 0.99, and RMB 1.18 [4][10]. - The company is valued at a PE ratio of 15x for 2025, based on its high proportion of polyester business [4].

石油石化/炼化及贸易 桐昆股份（601233.SH） Q1 业绩同比小幅增长，静待长丝行业景气回升 2025 年 04 月 30 日 投资评级：买入（维持） | 日期 | 2025/4/29 | | --- | --- | | 当前股价(元) | 10.56 | | 一年最高最低(元) | 16.44/9.63 | | 总市值(亿元) | 253.94 | | 流通市值(亿元) | 253.01 | | 总股本(亿股) | 24.05 | | 流通股本(亿股) | 23.96 | | 近 3 个月换手率(%) | 68.41 | 股价走势图 数据来源：聚源 -32% -16% 0% 16% 32% 2024-04 2024-08 2024-12 桐昆股份 沪深300 相关研究报告 《2024 年业绩同比增长，看好公司盈 利弹性与长期价值—公司信息更新报 告》-2025.4.28 《Q3 业绩承压，看好长丝盈利逐步修 复—公司信息更新报告》-2024.10.31 《2024H1 业绩同比大幅增长，看好长 丝盈利继续修复—公司信息更新报 告》-2024.8.29 ——公司信息更新报告 | 金益腾（分析师） | 龚 ...