中央经济工作会议12月10日至11日在北京举行。中原证券首席经济学家邓淑斌在接受证券时报采访时表 示，2026年宏观政策在逆周期和跨周期调节并举的同时，或将有所侧重于后者，政策护航稳增长的力度 相对适中。财政政策将在扩大内需、科技创新、民生保障等重点领域进一步发力，货币政策操作将着力 于政策调控的效率和主动性，降准降息更审慎、节奏将更平滑，同时有望加力扶持"扩大内需、科技创 新、中小微企业"等重点领域，以提高政策传导的精准性。 会议用"必须充分挖掘经济潜能""必须坚持政策支持和改革创新并举""必须做到既放得活又管得好""必 须坚持投资于物和投资于人紧密结合""必须以苦练内功来应对外部挑战"这"五个必须"对当前经济工作 进行了总结。邓淑斌指出，这体现了中央对经济工作规律性认识的持续深化和不断总结，也为深入理解 明年宏观调控政策思路和八大重点任务部署提供了更清晰的脉络。 在货币政策方面，会议延续"适度宽松""灵活高效运用降准降息等多种政策工具""保持流动性充裕"的总 体要求。邓淑斌预计2026年的货币政策操作将着力于政策调控的效率和主动性，一方面在总量宽松，仍 有空间但幅度可能有限，既要考虑维持合理充裕的资金面， ...

从资金流向上来看，当日证券板块主力资金净流入13.26亿元，游资资金净流出7.46亿元，散户资金净流 出5.8亿元。证券板块个股资金流向见下表： 证券之星消息，12月12日证券板块较上一交易日上涨0.61%，国联民生领涨。当日上证指数报收于 3889.35，上涨0.41%。深证成指报收于13258.33，上涨0.84%。证券板块个股涨跌见下表： | 代码 | 名称 | 收盘价 | 涨跌幅 | 成交量(手) | 成交额(元) | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 601456 | 国联民生 | 10.89 | 2.93% | 175.92万 | | 19.27 乙 | | 000686 | 东北证券 | 9.30 | 1.86% | 62.51万 | | 5.79亿 | | 000776 | 广发证券 | 20.95 | 1.65% | 45.54万 | | 9.48亿 | | 601375 | 中原证券 | 4.35 | 1.40% | - 39.09万 | | 1.70亿 | | 601688 | XD华泰证 | 22.16 | 1.37% | ...

Core Insights - The report highlights a gradual recovery in the domestic economy, with A-share market performance expected to improve due to supportive policies and capital flow [4][7][14] - The semiconductor industry is experiencing growth driven by AI demand, with significant capital expenditure from major cloud providers [24][25][27] - The chemical industry is entering a phase of recovery, with supply-demand dynamics improving and investment strategies focusing on specific sub-sectors [34][35] Domestic Market Performance - The A-share market has shown mixed performance, with the Shanghai Composite Index at 3,873.32, down 0.70%, and the Shenzhen Component Index at 13,147.39, down 1.27% [3] - The average P/E ratios for the Shanghai Composite and ChiNext are 16.00 and 49.52, respectively, indicating a suitable environment for medium to long-term investments [7][8] Industry Analysis - The chemical sector is witnessing a slowdown in price declines, with notable performance in sulfur and phosphate fertilizers, and an overall industry P/E ratio of 27.76, slightly below historical averages [15][16] - The telecommunications sector is benefiting from a rise in 5G users and increased telecom revenue, with a 10-month cumulative revenue of 14,670 billion yuan, up 0.9% year-on-year [17][18] - The food and beverage sector is experiencing a rebound, particularly in prepared foods and liquor, although overall performance remains weak compared to market benchmarks [21][22][23] Investment Strategies - The report suggests focusing on sectors with strong recovery potential, such as renewable energy, AI applications, and specific chemical sub-sectors like organic silicon and phosphate chemicals [34][35] - Investment opportunities are identified in the semiconductor industry, particularly in companies involved in AI chip production and telecommunications equipment [20][24][27] - The report emphasizes the importance of monitoring macroeconomic data and policy changes to identify potential investment opportunities across various sectors [7][14][30]

Market Overview - On December 11, the A-share market opened high but closed lower, with the Shanghai Composite Index finding support around 3897 points before retreating again[2] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3873.32 points, down 0.70%, while the Shenzhen Component Index fell 1.27% to 13147.39 points[7] - Total trading volume for both markets was 18854 billion yuan, above the median of the last three years[3] Sector Performance - Wind power equipment, grid equipment, aerospace, and medical services sectors performed well, while real estate, textiles, pharmaceuticals, and shipbuilding sectors lagged[3] - Over 80% of stocks in the two markets declined, with notable gains in non-metal materials and wind power equipment[7] Valuation Metrics - The average price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios for the Shanghai Composite and ChiNext indices are 16.00 times and 49.52 times, respectively, above the median levels of the past three years[3] - The current macroeconomic environment is in a mild recovery phase, but the foundation still needs consolidation[3] Future Outlook - The market is expected to consolidate around the 4000-point level, with cyclical and technology sectors likely to perform in rotation[3] - Investors are advised to closely monitor macroeconomic data, changes in overseas liquidity, and policy developments[3] Risk Factors - Potential risks include unexpected overseas economic downturns, domestic policy changes, and international relations affecting the economic environment[4]

中原证券股份有限公司 2025 年第一次临时股东会 会议材料 2025 年 12 月 22 日 郑州 中原证券股份有限公司 关于选举独立董事的议案 各位股东： 根据《公司法》《证券法》等法律法规及《公司章程》 规定，公司第七届董事会第三十八次会议、第四十次会议审 议通过提名王辉先生、王慧轩先生、杜晓堂先生为公司第七 届董事会独立董事候选人的议案。 2025 年第一次临时股东会会议材料 独立董事候选人简历详见附件。 上述独立董事人选提请公司 2025 年第一次临时股东会 选举。 1 附件： 王辉简历 王辉，男，汉族，1979 年出生，上海财经大学会计学专 业博士研究生。历任河南合协创业投资管理有限公司投资经 理、南阳普康药业有限公司财务总监、深圳华信股权投资基 金管理有限公司财务总监、深圳华信柏年股权投资基金管理 有限公司总经理。现任中国首控集团有限公司财务总监、升 辉清洁集团控股有限公司独立非执行董事。 王慧轩简历 王慧轩，男，汉族，1966 年出生，天津大学博士。于 1987 年参加工作，长期在地方政府从事宏观经济管理和领导工作， 历任乌鲁木齐办公厅信息处处长、区委书记、开发区管委会 主任等职务；2006 ...

中原证券指出，周三A股市场先抑后扬、小幅震荡整理，早盘股指低开后震荡回落，盘中沪指在3876点 附近获得支撑，午后股指企稳回升，盘中贵金属、商业百货、房地产以及教育等行业表现较好；电源设 备、银行、消费电子以及光伏设备等行业表现较弱，沪指全天基本呈现小幅整理的运行特征。当前上证 综指与创业板指数的平均市盈率分别为16.04倍、49.54倍，处于近三年中位数平均水平上方，适合中长 期布局。两市周三成交金额17918亿元，处于近三年日均成交量中位数区域上方。当前国内经济宏观面 处于温和修复但基础仍需巩固的状态。中长期支撑本轮A股上涨的基础并未发生转变。在政策暖风、资 金改善的合力下，市场再度向上运行的可能性正在增加。美联储12月降息有助于全球风险资产偏好回升 和外资回流。预计上证指数围绕4000点附近蓄势整固的可能性较大，周期与科技有望轮番表现。建议投 资者密切关注宏观经济数据、海外流动性变化以及政策动向。短线建议关注商业百货、贵金属、航空机 场以及汽车等行业的投资机会。 （文章来源：证券时报网） 中金公司指出，美联储如预期在12月会议上降息25个基点，但反对降息的官员增至两人，显示进一步降 息的门槛正在抬高。与 ...

相关报告 《市场分析：商业电子行业领涨 A 股震荡整 固》 2025-12-09 《市场分析：成长行业领涨 A 股震荡上行》 2025-12-08 《市场分析：金融软件行业领涨 A 股震荡上 行》 2025-12-05 分析师：张刚 登记编码：S0730511010001 zhanggang@ccnew.com 021-50586990 房地产贵金属领涨 A 股震荡整理 ——市场分析 联系人： 李智 电话： 0371-65585629 地址： 郑州郑东新区商务外环路10号18楼 地址： 上海浦东新区世纪大道 1788 号 T1 座 22 楼 证券研究报告-市场分析 发布日期：2025 年 12 月 10 日 投资要点： ◼ A 股市场综述 周三（12 月 10 日）A 股市场先抑后扬、小幅震荡整理，早盘股指低 开后震荡回落，盘中沪指在 3876 点附近获得支撑，午后股指企稳回 升，盘中贵金属、商业百货、房地产以及教育等行业表现较好；电 源设备、银行、消费电子以及光伏设备等行业表现较弱，沪指全天 基本呈现小幅整理的运行特征。创业板市场周三震荡整固，创业板 成分指数全天表现强于主板市场。 ◼ 后市研判及投资建议 ...

中国经济网北京12月10日讯 大全能源(688303.SH)今日收报27.96元，跌幅4.08%。 中原证券股份有限公司研究员唐俊男9月9日发布研报《大全能源(688303)：上半年业绩亏损 稳健 经营和雄厚资金巩固领先地位》称，维持公司"增持"投资评级。 (责任编辑：徐自立) 大全能源股价9月5日盘中创下年内最高点35.74元。 ...

Group 1 - The report highlights that the Chinese economy is showing resilience despite pressures, with confidence in achieving annual development goals [5][8] - The commercial electronics sector is leading the A-share market's fluctuations, indicating a potential investment opportunity [5][11] - The average P/E ratios for the Shanghai Composite Index and the ChiNext Index are above their three-year median levels, suggesting a favorable environment for medium to long-term investments [11][12] Group 2 - The AI application in mobile devices is accelerating, with companies like DeepSeek increasing their pre-training scale, indicating growth potential in the AI sector [13][15] - The domestic power supply and demand situation is improving, with significant growth in electricity consumption in sectors like charging and information technology services [17][18] - The chemical industry is gradually entering a recovery phase, with demand rebounding and supply constraints expected to ease, presenting investment opportunities [21][22] Group 3 - The food and beverage industry is experiencing a slowdown in revenue growth, but segments like snacks and soft drinks are showing promising growth rates [27][29] - The photovoltaic industry is facing challenges with supply and demand, but ongoing capacity reduction efforts may lead to improved industry dynamics [31][34] - The media sector is benefiting from improved policy environments and accelerated AI applications, creating opportunities for growth in gaming, film, and advertising [37][38]

Core Insights - The 2025 Wind "Gold Analyst" awards were announced on December 10, recognizing outstanding research teams based on the number of report reads from buy-side institutions [1]. Group 1: Award Winners - The awards included 33 individual research field awards and 4 institutional awards, with participation from over 600 teams from 38 research institutions [1]. - Notable winners in various categories include: - Strategy Research: - First: Galaxy Securities - Second: Guosen Securities - Third: Zheshang Securities [3] - Fixed Income: - First: Zheshang Securities - Second: Huachuang Securities - Third: Dongwu Securities [3] - ESG Research: - First: Guosen Securities - Second: Galaxy Securities - Third: Zheshang Securities [5] - Restaurant and Tourism: - First: Guosen Securities - Second: Kaiyuan Securities - Third: Dantan Haidao [6] - Media: - First: Dongwu Securities - Second: Guohai Securities - Third: Kaiyuan Securities [7] Group 2: Sector-Specific Insights - In the Electric Power and Utilities sector: - First: Dongwu Securities - Second: Guosen Securities - Third: Tianfeng Securities [8] - In the Real Estate sector: - First: Kaiyuan Securities - Second: Everbright Securities - Third: Zhongxin Jian Investment [11] - In the Automotive sector: - First: Dongwu Securities - Second: Minsheng Securities - Third: Guosen Securities [31] - In the Non-Bank Financial sector: - First: Zhongxin Jian Investment - Second: Kaiyuan Securities - Third: Dongwu Securities [21] Group 3: Overall Trends - The awards reflect a competitive landscape among research institutions, with a significant number of teams participating and a diverse range of sectors represented [1][3]. - The methodology for the awards was based on objective metrics, specifically the reading counts of research reports by buy-side institutions, ensuring a transparent evaluation process [1].