相关报告 《市场分析：通信资源行业领涨 A 股震荡上 行》 2026-02-24 《市场分析：航天传媒行业领涨 A 股小幅上 行》 2026-02-10 《市场分析：成长行业领涨 A 股震荡上行》 2026-02-09 联系人： 李智 电话： 0371-65585629 分析师：张刚 登记编码：S0730511010001 zhanggang@ccnew.com 021-50586990 资源电池行业领涨 A 股震荡上行 ——市场分析 地址： 郑州郑东新区商务外环路10号18楼 地址： 上海浦东新区世纪大道 1788 号 T1 座 22 楼 证券研究报告-市场分析 发布日期：2026 年 02 月 25 日 投资要点： ◼ A 股市场综述 周三（02 月 25 日）A 股市场高开高走、小幅震荡上行，早盘股指高 开后震荡上行，盘中沪指在 4167 点附近遭遇阻力，午后股指维持震 荡，盘中有色金属、能源金属、电池以及航天航空等行业表现较 好；影视院线、旅游零售、广告营销以及数字媒体等行业表现较 弱，沪指全天基本呈现小幅震荡上扬的运行特征。创业板市场周三 震荡上行，创业板成分指数全天表现强于主板市场。 ◼ 后市研判 ...

券商板块2026年1月行情回顾 自营：权益市场明显降温，固收市场低位延续反弹但幅度收窄，自营业务环比将出现明显下滑。经纪： 月度日均股票成交量明显下滑，交易日减少导致月度成交总量降幅更大，经纪业务景气度将出现季节性 较大幅度回落。两融：两融余额环比将出现小幅下滑，但两融业务的业绩贡献度将保持在近12月以来的 高位。投行：受股权融资规模、债权融资规模同步出现较大幅度下滑的影响，预计2月行业投行业务总 量环比将出现较大幅度回落。整体经营业绩：综合目前市场各要素的最新变化，受季节性因素的影响， 预计2026年2月上市券商母公司口径单月整体经营业绩将回落至近12月以来的相对低位。 1月券商指数尝试转强但以失败告终，全月在各行业指数中的表现较为落后，短周期依然延续弱势格 局。中信二级行业指数证券Ⅱ全月下跌1.49%，跑输沪深300指数(上涨1.65%)3.14个百分点。1月券商板 块分化加剧，头部券商显著压制券商指数月度表现，全月跑赢券商指数的个股数量环比显著增多，板块 平均P/B的震荡区间上移至1.426-1.541倍。 (1)权益冲高遇阻、固收温和回暖，自营业务进一步明显回升。(2)月度日均成交量、成交总量均创历史 ...

中邮证券表示，基本面方面，当前券商行业基本面呈现"资金面宽松托底、交易端活性稳固、债券市场 韧性凸显"的核心特征，各项核心指标相互印证，为行业业绩增长提供坚实支撑。当前股债利差水平表 明股票市场相对债券市场更具吸引力，但需警惕市场波动和政策变化带来的风险。后续需持续跟踪利差 是否能突破历史区间中枢、形成趋势性上行，这将直接影响权益市场活跃度及券商经纪、自营等业务的 业绩弹性。 截至2月25日10点0分，上证指数涨0.52%，深证成指涨0.52%，创业板指涨0.08%。ETF方面，证券ETF 易方达（512570）涨1.19%，成分股第一创业（002797.SZ）涨超5%，中银证券（601696.SH）、天风证 券（601162.SH）、长城证券（002939.SZ）、中原证券（601375.SH）、东吴证券（601555.SH）、西 南证券（600369.SH）、华林证券（002945.SZ）、太平洋、西部证券（002673.SZ）等上涨。 消息方面，中证协近日发布第二版《证券公司交易结算系统压力测试指引（征求意见稿）》，二稿在第 一版基础上对条款进行补充、细化与调整。其中，测试频次与触发机制的调整是二稿核心 ...

Core Insights - The report highlights the strong performance of the communication resources sector, leading the A-share market's upward trend, with a focus on investment opportunities in telecommunications and technology sectors [5][8][22] - The semiconductor industry is experiencing significant growth, driven by increased capital expenditure from major cloud companies and rising demand for AI-related hardware [31][34][35] - The agricultural sector, particularly in pig farming, shows signs of price stabilization and potential upward trends due to supply constraints [21][20] Domestic Market Performance - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4,117.41, with a slight increase of 0.87%, while the Shenzhen Component Index rose by 1.36% to 14,291.57 [3] - The A-share market is characterized by a mixed performance across sectors, with telecommunications, coal, and precious metals showing strength, while sectors like tourism and gaming lagged [5][9][10] International Market Performance - The Dow Jones Industrial Average closed at 30,772.79, down by 0.67%, while the S&P 500 and Nasdaq also experienced slight declines [4] - The international market reflects a cautious sentiment, with various indices showing mixed results, indicating potential volatility [4] Industry Analysis - The report discusses the strong performance of the AI sector, with significant advancements in AI models and applications expected to disrupt traditional industries such as media and software [17][19] - The telecommunications industry is projected to benefit from increased capital expenditures and technological advancements, with a focus on 5G and cloud integration [22][26] - The semiconductor industry is on an upward trajectory, with substantial growth in sales and capital investments anticipated, particularly in AI infrastructure [31][33][34] Investment Recommendations - Investors are advised to focus on sectors such as telecommunications, AI, and semiconductors, which are expected to yield strong returns due to ongoing technological advancements and market demand [19][34][35] - The report suggests a balanced investment strategy, emphasizing the importance of monitoring macroeconomic indicators and policy changes that could impact market dynamics [5][11][12]

分析师：张刚 登记编码：S0730511010001 zhanggang@ccnew.com 021-50586990 通信资源行业领涨 A 股震荡上行 ——市场分析 相关报告 《市场分析：航天传媒行业领涨 A 股小幅上 行》 2026-02-10 《市场分析：成长行业领涨 A 股震荡上行》 2026-02-09 《市场分析：电池电子行业领涨 A 股先抑后 扬》 2026-02-06 联系人： 李智 电话： 0371-65585629 地址： 郑州郑东新区商务外环路10号18楼 地址： 上海浦东新区世纪大道 1788 号 T1 座 22 楼 证券研究报告-市场分析 发布日期：2026 年 02 月 24 日 投资要点： ◼ A 股市场综述 周二（02 月 24 日）A 股市场跳空高开、小幅震荡上行，早盘股指高 开后震荡回落，盘中沪指在 4105 点附近获得支撑，随后股指企稳回 升，盘中煤炭、石油、贵金属以及通信设备等行业表现较好；影视 院线、旅游零售、软件开发以及游戏等行业表现较弱，沪指全天基 本呈现小幅震荡上扬的运行特征。创业板市场周二震荡上行，创业 板成分指数全天表现强于主板市场。 ◼ 后市研判及投资建议 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Market Perform" rating for the brokerage sector, indicating a synchronized performance with the market [1]. Core Insights - The brokerage index attempted to strengthen in January 2026 but ultimately failed, resulting in a decline of 1.49%, underperforming the CSI 300 index, which rose by 1.65% [5][8]. - The brokerage sector experienced increased differentiation, with a notable number of stocks outperforming the brokerage index, leading to a higher average P/B ratio fluctuating between 1.426 and 1.541 times [5][11][14]. - The overall market conditions for January 2026 were characterized by a significant increase in trading volumes and a record high in margin financing balances, indicating a robust trading environment despite the sector's overall weakness [7][30]. Summary by Sections 1. January 2026 Brokerage Market Review - The brokerage index's performance was weak, with a 1.49% decline, ranking 28th among 30 industry indices [5][8]. - The average P/B ratio for the brokerage sector fluctuated between 1.426 and 1.541 times, reflecting a slight increase in valuation [14]. - A total trading volume of 1.03 trillion yuan was recorded, marking a 40.1% increase month-on-month [9]. 2. Key Market Factors Impacting January 2026 Performance - The equity market faced resistance after an initial rise, while the fixed income market showed signs of mild recovery, contributing to a rebound in proprietary trading [7][18]. - The average daily trading volume reached a historical high of 3.05 trillion yuan, with a total monthly trading volume of 60.90 trillion yuan, indicating a strong recovery in brokerage activity [26]. - Margin financing balances reached 27,153 billion yuan, reflecting a 6.9% month-on-month increase and a 53.1% year-on-year increase [30]. 3. February 2026 Performance Outlook for Listed Brokerages - Proprietary trading is expected to decline due to a cooling equity market, while brokerage activity may experience a seasonal drop in performance [7][40]. - The brokerage index is anticipated to face continued weakness, with a potential drop in overall monthly performance expected to return to relative lows seen in the previous 12 months [7][45]. - The report suggests that if the brokerage sector's valuation drops to 1.3x P/B, it may present a good opportunity for re-entry, particularly for leading firms with strong wealth management capabilities [7].

以上内容为证券之星据公开信息整理，由AI算法生成（网信算备310104345710301240019号），不构成 投资建议。 中原证券股份有限公司是一家从事证券经纪业务的中国公司。该公司运营八个分部。证券经纪业务分部 从事代理客户买卖股票、基金、债券等业务。自营业务分部从事权益投资、固定收益投资。投资银行业 务分部包括股权类承销与保荐业务、债券类产品承销业务等。信用业务分部向客户提供融资融券、约定 购回及股票质押等融资类业务服务。投资管理业务分部包括资产管理业务、私募基金管理业务以及另类 投资业务。期货业务分部涵盖期货经纪业务、期货交易咨询业务及风险管理业务。该公司还运营境外业 务分部和总部及其他业务分部。 证券之星消息，2月23日南向资金增持254.0万股中州证券（01375.HK）。近5个交易日中，获南向资金 减持的有3天，累计净减持275.6万股。近20个交易日中，获南向资金增持的有11天，累计净增持371.1万 股。截至目前，南向资金持有中州证券（01375.HK）7.06亿股，占公司已发行普通股的59.02%。 ...

Performance Overview - The company expects a net profit attributable to shareholders for the year 2025 to be between 400 million to 480 million yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 62.70% to 95.24%. The non-recurring net profit is anticipated to grow by 100.08% to 138.19% year-on-year, driven by an overall upturn in the capital market and increased revenue from wealth management and securities investment businesses [2]. Subsidiary Development - The company's subsidiary, Zhongzhou Blue Ocean Investment Management Co., Ltd., has repeatedly reduced its registered capital since 2025, with a cumulative decrease of over 27%. This adjustment aims to optimize the parent company's capital utilization efficiency, but it may have a certain impact on the subsidiary's business expansion [3]. Stock Performance - As of February 11, 2026, the A-shares of the company experienced a price increase of 2.31% from February 4 to February 11, while the Hong Kong shares rose by 1.85% during the same period. On February 11, there was a net outflow of 1.8465 million yuan from the main funds in A-shares, while retail investors showed a net inflow [4]. Industry Policy and Environment - Dongwu Securities released an industry commentary on February 10, 2026, indicating that the optimization of refinancing measures by the Shanghai and Shenzhen Stock Exchanges may indirectly benefit the brokerage sector, including the company. However, attention should be paid to regulatory compliance requirements [5].

Core Viewpoint - The alternative investment landscape among securities firms in China is experiencing a significant divergence, with some firms retracting while others are expanding their investments [2][5]. Group 1: Firms Retracting - Firms like Caida Securities and Dongxing Securities are reducing their capital in alternative investment subsidiaries due to poor financial performance, with Caida's subsidiary reporting a revenue of -1.19 million yuan and a net loss of 2.47 million yuan for the first nine months of 2025 [2][3]. - Northeast Securities' alternative subsidiary reported a total revenue of -1.84 million yuan and a net loss exceeding 16 million yuan in 2024, leading to a capital reduction to 1 billion yuan [3]. - The overall trend shows that many smaller securities firms are facing capital pressure and liquidity risks due to the requirements of the Sci-Tech Innovation Board's co-investment system, which mandates a 2%-5% co-investment ratio and a 24-month lock-up period [3][6]. Group 2: Firms Expanding - In contrast, firms like Caitong Securities and Guohai Securities are increasing their capital in alternative investment subsidiaries, with Caitong planning to raise up to 2 billion yuan to enhance its capital strength [5][6]. - Guohai Securities announced a 500 million yuan capital increase, citing rapid growth in investment business and the need to bolster capital for competitive advantage [5]. - Other firms, such as Zhongtai Securities and Nanjing Securities, are also focusing on alternative investments, targeting specialized and innovative enterprises, indicating a shift from passive co-investing to proactive investment strategies [5][6]. Group 3: Industry Trends - The divergence in strategies reflects a broader shift in the industry from a focus on scale to a more refined approach to capital management, emphasizing project selection, post-investment support, and exit management [6]. - Experts suggest that the current environment necessitates a transition from "broad arbitrage" to "meticulous cultivation," focusing on precise project screening, risk control, and efficient capital turnover [6]. - The changes in capital allocation strategies among securities firms highlight the industry's adaptation to regulatory changes and market conditions, with a growing emphasis on professional capabilities and risk management [6].

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report is that the overall valuation of lithium batteries and the ChiNext board is projected to be 28.69 times and 46.07 times, respectively, as of February 12, 2026, maintaining a strong market rating for the industry based on development prospects [1] - In January 2026, the lithium battery sector outperformed the CSI 300 index, attributed to prior sector corrections and overall price increases in the supply chain [1] - The overall industry prosperity is expected to continue rising, with short-term focus on upstream raw material price trends, monthly sales, domestic and international policies, and advancements in solid-state batteries [1] Group 2 - The long-term outlook for the domestic and international electric vehicle industry is confirmed, making the sector a key area of interest [1] - It is anticipated that individual stock performance and trends will show divergence, suggesting a continued focus on leading companies within specific sub-sectors [1]