工商银行公告，A股每股派发现金股息人民币0.1414元（含税）。股权登记日为2025年12月12日，除权 （息）日及现金红利发放日为2025年12月15日。本次利润分配以截至分红派息股权登记日的3564.06亿 股普通股为基数，派发现金股息共计约人民币503.96亿元，其中A股派发现金股息共计约人民币381.23 亿元。 ...

具体来看： 大型科技股多数呈现下跌行情但总体跌幅较小，腾讯、京东、网易、小米、京东跌幅在1%以内，阿里巴巴、快手、携程控股跌超 1%，百度逆市大涨3.45%。 | 代码 | 名称 | 最新价 | 涨跌额 | 涨跌幅 √ | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 09888 | 百度集团-SW.) | 125.800 | +4.200 | 3.45% | | 03690 | 美团-W | 99.500 | +0.450 | 0.45% | | 09626 | 時陣時陣-W | 203.600 | -0.200 | -0.10% | | 02015 | 理想汽车-W | 69.650 | -0.250 | -0.36% | | 01810 | 小米集团-W | 42.580 | -0.200 | -0.47% | | 099999 | 网易-5 | 216.800 | -1.200 | -0.55% | | 09618 | 京东集团-SW | 116.200 | -0.800 | -0.68% | | 00700 | 腾讯控股 | 605.000 | -5.000 | -0.82% ...

Core Viewpoint - The current low interest rate environment has led to a significant reduction in the availability and attractiveness of large time deposits, with many banks discontinuing long-term products, prompting depositors to seek alternative investment options [1][3][4]. Group 1: Interest Rate Trends - The interest rate for large time deposits has decreased significantly, with major banks offering rates as low as 1.55% for 3-year deposits, compared to previous rates above 3% [2][3]. - Many banks, including state-owned and joint-stock banks, have stopped issuing long-term large time deposits, with 5-year products no longer available [3][4]. - The interest rates for traditional fixed deposits are now comparable to those of large time deposits, diminishing their competitive edge [3][4]. Group 2: Depositor Behavior - Depositors are increasingly turning to alternative investments such as gold and bank wealth management products due to the low returns on traditional deposits [1][9]. - There is a noticeable shift among depositors, with some opting for riskier investments while others remain conservative, preferring to keep their funds in banks despite lower interest rates [9][10]. - Social media and deposit communities have become platforms for sharing information about available products, with many depositors actively seeking higher yields [7][8]. Group 3: Bank Strategies - Banks are adopting proactive liability management strategies in response to the low interest rate environment, leading to a reduction in the issuance of long-term large time deposits [5][6]. - Some smaller banks are leveraging marketing strategies to attract depositors by offering competitive rates and promotional incentives [8]. - The trend of discontinuing long-term large time deposits reflects broader market conditions and the need for banks to manage their interest rate risk effectively [5][6].

银河证券则指出，险资股票投资风险因子下调落地，加力引导中长期资金入市，有望为银行板块带来增 量资金，相关指数权重股将受益。万科债券展期暂属个体事件，且银行房地产相关风险敞口占比低，资 产质量受影响基本可控，但房地产信用风险仍需关注。四大行中期分红派息在即，上市银行整体中期分 红力度不减、节奏提前，将于12月迎来一轮集中派息窗口期，红利价值凸显。 内银股全线走低，截至发稿，建设银行（601939）(00939)跌3.38%，报7.71港元；工商银行（601398） (01398)跌2.69%，报6.16港元；中国银行（601988）(03988)跌2.2%，报4.45港元；招商银行（600036） (03968)跌1.96%，报52.65港元。 中邮证券发布研报称，今年12月至次年3月末或将仍有大量定期存款到期，居民存量资产无风险利率将 进一步下行，居民存款或将继续向保险资产迁移，同时受益于新型政策性金融工具支持，重点省市固定 资产投资增速或将明显改善。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The banking sector in China is experiencing a decline, with major banks' stock prices falling due to upcoming maturity of a large number of fixed-term deposits and a potential shift of residents' savings towards insurance assets [1][1]. Group 1: Stock Performance - All major Chinese banks' stocks are down, with China Construction Bank (00939) falling by 3.38% to HKD 7.71, Industrial and Commercial Bank of China (01398) down 2.69% to HKD 6.16, Bank of China (03988) down 2.2% to HKD 4.45, and China Merchants Bank (03968) down 1.96% to HKD 52.65 [1][1][1]. Group 2: Economic Outlook - A report from Zhongyou Securities indicates that from December to the end of March, a significant amount of fixed-term deposits will mature, leading to a further decline in the risk-free interest rate for residents' savings [1][1]. - The report suggests that fixed asset investment growth in key provinces and cities is expected to improve significantly, supported by new policy financial tools [1][1]. Group 3: Investment Trends - Galaxy Securities notes that the risk factors for insurance capital's stock investments have been lowered, which is expected to attract more medium- to long-term funds into the market, benefiting the banking sector [1][1]. - The upcoming mid-term dividend payouts from the four major banks are anticipated to be substantial, with a concentrated dividend window expected in December, highlighting the value of dividends [1][1].

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is optimistic (maintained) [1] Core Insights - The report indicates that the ΔEVE (Economic Value of Equity) indicator for major banks has decreased compared to 2024, with some banks potentially exceeding the regulatory requirement of -15% [4][15] - The report highlights that for every 20 trillion yuan of local government bonds undertaken by banks, the ΔEVE/ Tier 1 capital ratio deteriorates by 0.65% to 1.73% [24][25] - The current regulatory buffer allows major banks to undertake approximately 666.8 billion yuan of 30-year local government bonds [33][34] - The report suggests a potential relaxation of regulatory requirements for interest rate risk indicators, which could facilitate banks' ability to manage long-term local government bonds [7] Summary by Sections ΔEVE Indicator Assessment - As of H1 2025, the ΔEVE/ Tier 1 capital ratio for major banks is as follows: ICBC at -16.66%, CCB at -17.26%, ABC at -14.89%, BOC at -12.28%, PSBC at -9.02%, and BC at -12.46% [15][16] - The report notes a decline in the ΔEVE indicator for these banks compared to 2024, with specific changes of -1.95pct for ICBC and -2.52pct for CCB [4][15] Local Government Bond Undertaking - The report estimates that major banks added 3.25 trillion yuan in local government bonds in H1 2025, with state-owned banks accounting for 1.86 trillion yuan, representing 57.2% of the total [5][32] - The duration of local government bonds is assumed to be distributed across various terms, with 30% of bonds being 10 years and 23% being 30 years [25][29] Debt Capacity Assessment - The current regulatory buffer allows major banks to support the undertaking of 30-year local government bonds up to 666.8 billion yuan, with potential increases if regulatory requirements are relaxed [33][34] - For every 1% relaxation in the ΔEVE/ Tier 1 capital ratio, banks could undertake an additional 593.4 billion yuan of 30-year local government bonds [34][35] Investment Recommendations - The report recommends a bottom-line allocation to large state-owned banks, with specific beneficiaries being ABC and ICBC [39] - Core allocations should focus on leading comprehensive banks, with recommended stocks including CMB and CCB [39] - For flexible allocations, regional banks with unique characteristics, such as JSB and CQB, are highlighted as potential beneficiaries [39][40]

Core Viewpoint - The implementation of the "Trial Measures for Upgrading the Functions of Free Trade Accounts in the Shanghai Free Trade Pilot Zone" aims to enhance the level of cross-border trade and investment liberalization and facilitation in China [1] Group 1: Policy Implementation - The trial measures were officially implemented on December 5, with participation from major Chinese banks such as ICBC, Agricultural Bank of China, Bank of China, China Construction Bank, and foreign banks like HSBC and Citibank [1] - The Agricultural Bank of China quickly established a dedicated service team to support pilot enterprises in adapting to the new policy and enhancing cross-border financial services [1] Group 2: Key Features of the Policy - The most significant breakthrough of the upgraded free trade account is the transition from "separate account management" to "integrated management of domestic and foreign currencies" [2] - The new policy allows enterprises to complete free conversion and allocation of domestic and foreign currency funds within a unified account management framework, significantly simplifying operational processes [2] - The policy enhances the efficiency of fund utilization, particularly in cross-border fund pool management and cross-border dual-currency fund pools [2] Group 3: Impact on Enterprises - Zhongman Petroleum, a high-tech enterprise in Shanghai, successfully completed its first transaction under the new policy, highlighting the importance of the upgrade in optimizing cross-border fund allocation [2] - The policy is expected to provide financial support for China's high-end engineering technology services and equipment manufacturing to expand globally [2] Group 4: Selection Criteria for Pilot Enterprises - The selection of pilot enterprises focuses on multinational corporate groups, prioritizing those registered in the new area, including state-owned, private, and foreign enterprises [3] - The selection process adheres to strict policy standards, emphasizing overall operational capability, business duration, financial performance, and compliance records [3] Group 5: Foreign Bank Participation - HSBC announced its participation as one of the first foreign banks to open upgraded free trade accounts for multinational enterprises in the Shanghai Free Trade Zone [3] - The new policy is seen as a significant step in China's high-level financial opening, expected to create a multiplier effect for the liberalization and facilitation of cross-border trade and investment [3]

Core Viewpoint - The acceleration of mergers and restructuring among small and medium-sized banks in China is a necessary choice for the financial system to actively mitigate risks and optimize its structure to adapt to the new stage of economic development [6][7]. Group 1: Current Trends in Banking Sector - Over 368 banks have been deregistered this year due to regulatory approvals for mergers or dissolutions, surpassing the total for the entire previous year, with 176 of these being village banks [3][4]. - Notable mergers include the acquisition of Jinzhou Bank by Industrial and Commercial Bank of China (ICBC), marking a significant case of a state-owned bank acquiring a city commercial bank [3][4]. Group 2: Reasons for Restructuring - The restructuring is driven by the need for small and medium-sized banks to survive and develop in a competitive market dominated by larger banks, which have better resources and customer bases [6]. - Many small banks face challenges such as high operating costs, weak risk management capabilities, and high non-performing asset ratios, making them vulnerable in a changing macroeconomic environment [6][7]. Group 3: Future Outlook - The goal of the restructuring process is not merely to reduce the number of banks but to enhance governance and develop specialized operations that effectively serve local economies and promote inclusive finance [5][6]. - Experts suggest that while restructuring can lower regional financial risks and optimize resource allocation, care must be taken to avoid negatively impacting rural financial services [7].

Core Insights - The 2026 China (Guangzhou) International Smart Finance Industry Exhibition will take place from June 27 to June 29, 2026, at the Poly World Trade Center in Guangzhou, highlighting the evolution of traditional financial services into a more advanced stage known as smart finance [1] - Smart finance is characterized by high efficiency and lower service costs compared to traditional finance, driven by large-scale real data analysis and the integration of artificial intelligence with financial services [1][2] Industry Trends - The financial industry is experiencing a surge in demand for data technology applications due to the widespread adoption of internet technology, marking a new stage in financial development [2] - The ability to leverage data assets has become a core competitive advantage for financial enterprises, with a pressing need for real-time monitoring, intelligent interaction, and visualization applications [2] - A global technological revolution is rapidly spreading across the financial sector, prompting forward-thinking financial companies to prepare for the next wave of technological competition [2] Exhibition Scope - The exhibition will cover various areas including commercial and financial technology, banking management information systems, risk management platforms, and integrated financial solutions [6] - It will also feature supply chain finance solutions, logistics, and financial technology equipment, showcasing the latest innovations in the financial sector [6] Target Audience - The event aims to attract a wide range of financial institutions, including major banks and insurance companies such as the People's Bank of China, Industrial and Commercial Bank of China, and China Life Insurance [6][7]

Core Viewpoint - The "opening red" marketing activities are being launched by various banks, with different focuses depending on the size of the bank, where smaller banks emphasize deposit and loan services, while larger state-owned and joint-stock banks are shifting towards wealth management services [1][4]. Group 1: Small and Medium Banks - Many small and medium banks have initiated their "opening red" marketing campaigns earlier, focusing on comprehensive offerings including deposits, loans, and financial services [1][2]. - Specific initiatives include credit card payment discounts, promotional offers on life service vouchers, and exclusive wealth management products [2]. - The "opening red" marketing strategy has been deployed earlier this year, with banks like Ningbo Donghai Bank and Huaxia Bank outlining specific goals related to deposit growth and loan services [2][3]. Group 2: Large Banks - In contrast to smaller banks, large state-owned banks and some joint-stock banks are adopting a more relaxed approach, with no significant "opening red" marketing activities reported [4]. - These banks are focusing on wealth management, with increased activity in selling insurance products and offering fee discounts on certain fund products [4]. - The strategy reflects a shift towards enhancing wealth management services rather than aggressive deposit gathering [4]. Group 3: Market Dynamics - The trend of "opening red" marketing is influenced by the need for banks to stabilize operations, particularly for smaller banks facing greater operational pressures [5]. - The proportion of new deposits in the first quarter has increased significantly, indicating a strategic shift in how banks approach deposit gathering [3].