丨证券研究报告丨 行业研究丨行业周报丨建筑与工程 [Table_Title] 重视年底高股息标的的配置价值 报告要点 [Table_Summary] 建筑板块具备估值低、机构持仓少、市值容量大、优质标的展望稳健等核心特性。市场高低切， 建筑行业优选 4 大方向：1）三季报业绩好，具备更强短期业绩确定性。2）股息率高，具备更 强的持股安全垫。3）长期成长性强。4）绝对估值低的大市值权重标的。 分析师及联系人 [Table_Author] SAC：S0490520080022 SAC：S0490522060005 SAC：S0490525070008 SAC：S0490525080003 SFC：BUT917 张弛 张智杰 袁志芃 龚子逸 请阅读最后评级说明和重要声明 %% %% %% %% research.95579.com 1 建筑与工程 cjzqdt11111 [Table_Title2] 重视年底高股息标的的配置价值 [Table_Summary2] 2026 年保险业"开门红"启幕，增量资金有望加速入市 从行业惯例来看，每年 10 月到次年 2 月，险企会集中推出高吸引力产品。11 月 9 日，北京商 ...

Group 1 - Southbound funds increased their holdings in China State Construction International (03311.HK) by 1.926 million shares on November 17, 2025 [1] - Over the past 5 trading days, southbound funds have increased their holdings for 5 days, with a total net increase of 11.456 million shares [1] - In the last 20 trading days, there have been 17 days of increased holdings by southbound funds, totaling a net increase of 21.552 million shares [1] Group 2 - As of now, southbound funds hold 482 million shares of China State Construction International, accounting for 9.11% of the company's issued ordinary shares [1] - The total number of shares held on November 17, 2025, was 482 million, reflecting a change of 0.40% [2] - The company is primarily engaged in construction business, infrastructure project investment, toll road operations, project supervision services, and exterior wall engineering [2]

Core Insights - China State Construction Engineering Corporation (CSCEC) reported a total new contract value of 3,606.5 billion yuan for the first ten months of 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 1.0% [1] Group 1: Business Performance - In the construction business, the new contract value reached 3,319.4 billion yuan, with a year-on-year increase of 2.0% [1] - The housing construction segment contributed 2,199.1 billion yuan, growing by 1.5% year-on-year, while the infrastructure segment achieved 1,110.3 billion yuan, marking a 3.1% increase [1] - Domestic contracts totaled 3,150.2 billion yuan, up 1.9% year-on-year, and international contracts amounted to 169.1 billion yuan, with a growth of 3.2% [1] - The physical indicators included a construction area of 1,588.11 million square meters, new construction area of 211.78 million square meters, and completed area of 15.82 million square meters [1] Group 2: Real Estate Business - For the real estate segment, the contract sales amounted to 287.1 billion yuan, with a sales area of 10.7 million square meters [1] - The company acquired land reserves of 7.32 million square meters, bringing total land reserves to 74.82 million square meters by the end of the reporting period [1] Group 3: Recent Major Projects - CSCEC disclosed recent major project wins totaling 9.85 billion yuan, including two housing projects focused on the high-performance lithium battery base in Xiamen, Fujian, and the Xi'an Summer Center projects [2] - Additionally, one infrastructure project was highlighted, centered on the EPC project for quartz mining and processing in Guangyuan, Sichuan [2]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news is that China State Construction (601668.SH) has shown stable growth in its business operations for the first ten months of 2025, with a total new contract amount of 36,065 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 1.0% [1] - In the construction business, the new contract amount reached 33,194 billion yuan, up 2.0% year-on-year, with the housing construction business contributing 21,991 billion yuan (1.5% increase) and infrastructure business 11,103 billion yuan (3.1% increase) [1] - Domestic business accounted for 31,502 billion yuan, a year-on-year growth of 1.9%, while overseas business reached 1,691 billion yuan, growing by 3.2%, indicating a coordinated effort between domestic and international operations [1] Group 2 - In the real estate sector, the company reported a contract sales amount of 2,871 billion yuan and a contract sales area of 1,070 million square meters for the first ten months of 2025 [1] - The company acquired land reserves of 732 million square meters, bringing the total land reserves to 7,482 million square meters by the end of the reporting period [1] - Recently, the company disclosed significant project wins totaling 9.85 billion yuan, including two housing construction projects and one infrastructure project, focusing on key developments in Fujian and Shaanxi provinces [1] Group 3 - The 20th Central Committee of the Communist Party of China emphasized accelerating the construction of a manufacturing powerhouse and promoting the high-quality development of the real estate sector, which is expected to provide sustained growth momentum for the construction and real estate industries [2] - The goals set forth by the Party are likely to lead to structural and long-term benefits for China State Construction, ensuring the company's high-quality development [2]

Core Insights - China State Construction Engineering Corporation (CSCEC) reported a total new contract amount of 3,606.5 billion yuan for the first ten months of 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 1.0% [1] - The construction business segment achieved a new contract amount of 3,319.4 billion yuan, with a year-on-year increase of 2.0% [1] - The real estate business recorded a contract sales amount of 287.1 billion yuan, with a contract sales area of 10.7 million square meters [1] Construction Business Performance - The new contract amount for housing construction reached 2,199.1 billion yuan, growing by 1.5% year-on-year [1] - Infrastructure business contracts totaled 1,111.0 billion yuan, marking a 3.1% year-on-year increase [1] - Domestic business accounted for 3,150.2 billion yuan, up 1.9% year-on-year, while overseas business reached 169.1 billion yuan, increasing by 3.2% [1] Physical Indicators - The total construction area for housing reached 158,811 million square meters [1] - New construction area was 21,178 million square meters, while completed area was 15,820 million square meters [1] Land Acquisition and Sales - The company acquired land reserves of 732,000 square meters, bringing total land reserves to 7,482,000 square meters [1] - The contract sales area in the real estate sector was 10.7 million square meters [1] Recent Major Projects - CSCEC recently secured significant projects totaling 9.85 billion yuan, including two housing projects in Xiamen and Xi'an, and one infrastructure project in Sichuan [2] - The projects align with national goals to enhance manufacturing and urban development, which are expected to provide sustained growth momentum for the construction and real estate sectors [2] Industry Outlook - The 20th Central Committee's Fourth Plenary Session emphasized accelerating the construction of a strong manufacturing and quality nation, which is anticipated to drive structural and long-term benefits for CSCEC [2] - The focus on high-quality development in real estate is expected to foster deep transformation and innovation within the industry, supporting the company's sustainable growth [2]

Group 1 - The new policy financial tools have been fully deployed, supporting private investment and REITs issuance [2] - As of October 29, 500 billion yuan of new policy financial tools have been allocated, with a portion supporting key private investment projects [2] - A total of 18 private investment projects have been recommended to the CSRC, with 14 projects already issued, raising nearly 30 billion yuan [2] Group 2 - The central bank aims to maintain reasonable price levels and ensure steady growth, employment, and expectations [3] - In October, new social financing amounted to 815 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 597 billion yuan [3] - The central bank emphasizes the importance of promoting reasonable price recovery as a key consideration in monetary policy [3] Group 3 - The National Energy Administration has issued guidelines to promote the integrated development of renewable energy [4] - The guidelines aim to enhance the complementary development of various renewable energy sources and optimize energy structures [4] - There is a focus on improving the collaborative development of wind, solar, hydrogen, and storage technologies [4] Group 4 - Recommendations include sectors such as copper and cobalt resources, energy storage, dividends, and infrastructure in the western region [5] - Specific stock recommendations include China Railway (601390) for copper, China Metallurgical (601618) for nickel, and China Construction (601668) for low valuation and high dividends [5] - The report also highlights opportunities in AI and low-altitude economy sectors, recommending companies like Design Institute (603357) and Huazhong International (002949) [5]

Group 1 - UBS has a more optimistic view on the Chinese construction machinery industry compared to market expectations, believing the industry is in an upward cycle that will last until 2029, rather than the commonly predicted 2028 to 2029 [1] - The growth potential and strong earnings resilience of companies' mining-related businesses have not yet been fully reflected in stock performance [1] - It is estimated that the global market share of Chinese equipment manufacturers in mining trucks and excavators will exceed 20% by 2030, with mining-related businesses potentially becoming another growth driver for companies [1] Group 2 - UBS maintains a "Neutral" rating on Zoomlion (000157) and Lonking (03339), with earnings per share growth forecasts for 2025 and 2026 raised to 49%, 27% and 21%, 17% respectively [1] - XCMG (000425) is listed as the industry favorite with a "Buy" rating, due to its high proportion of mining-related business, strong growth, and attractive valuation [1] - UBS has raised the target prices for Zoomlion and Lonking from HKD 6.4 and HKD 2.2 to HKD 7.8 and HKD 3.2 respectively [1]

Group 1 - UBS has a more optimistic view on the Chinese construction machinery industry compared to market expectations, believing the current upward cycle will last until 2029, rather than the commonly predicted 2028 to 2029 [1] - The growth potential and strong profitability resilience of companies' mining-related businesses have not been fully reflected in stock performance [1] - It is estimated that the global market share of Chinese equipment manufacturers in mining trucks and excavators will exceed 20% by 2030, with mining-related businesses potentially becoming another growth driver for companies [1] Group 2 - UBS maintains a "Neutral" rating on Zoomlion Heavy Industry (01157) and Lonking Holdings (03339), with earnings per share growth forecasts for 2025-2026 raised to 49%, 27% and 21%, 17% respectively [1] - XCMG (000425.SZ) is identified as the industry favorite with a "Buy" rating, due to its high proportion of mining-related business, strong growth, and attractive valuation [1] - Target prices for Zoomlion Heavy Industry and Lonking Holdings have been raised to HKD 7.8 and HKD 3.2, respectively, from HKD 6.4 and HKD 2.2 [1]

Core Viewpoint - UBS expresses a more optimistic outlook on the Chinese construction machinery industry compared to market expectations, predicting that the current upward cycle will last until 2029, rather than the commonly anticipated peak in 2028 to 2029 [1] Industry Summary - The growth potential and strong profitability resilience of companies in the mining-related business have not been fully reflected in stock performance [1] - It is estimated that the global market share of Chinese equipment manufacturers in mining trucks and excavators will exceed 20% by 2030, with mining-related business potentially becoming another growth driver for companies [1] Company Summary - Zhonglian Heavy Industry and China Longgong are rated "Neutral," with target prices raised to HKD 7.8 and HKD 3.2, respectively [1] - Earnings per share growth forecasts for 2025 to 2026 have been adjusted upwards to 49% and 27% for Zhonglian Heavy Industry, and 21% and 17% for China Longgong [1] - XCMG is listed as the industry favorite with a "Buy" rating, supported by its high proportion of mining-related business, strong growth, and attractive valuation [1]

Core Viewpoint - China State Construction Engineering Corporation (CSCEC) maintains stable contract acquisition capabilities, with a total new contract amount of approximately 3.61 trillion yuan from January to October 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 1% [2][3]. Contract Performance - The new contracts include 3.32 trillion yuan from construction business, a 2% increase year-on-year, accounting for 91.97% of the total new contracts [2][3]. - Real estate business contract sales amounted to 287.1 billion yuan, showing a decline of 9.5% year-on-year, indicating a contraction in this segment [3]. Domestic and International Orders - Most of the construction contracts, over 3.15 trillion yuan, are domestic orders, with a year-on-year growth of 1.9%. In contrast, international contracts reached 169.1 billion yuan, with a growth rate of 3.2%, surpassing domestic growth [3]. - CSCEC's international business has shown steady growth, with new contracts signed from 2021 to 2024 increasing from 163.6 billion yuan to 221.3 billion yuan [3]. Financial Performance - As of the end of Q3 2025, CSCEC's contract liabilities stood at 369.9 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 9.52%. However, operating revenue for the first three quarters of 2025 was 1.56 trillion yuan, down 4.2% year-on-year, and net profit attributable to shareholders was 38.18 billion yuan, down 3.83% [5]. - The company has managed to reduce operating costs, with costs for 2024 and the first three quarters of 2025 being 1.97 trillion yuan and 1.42 trillion yuan, respectively, reflecting decreases of 3.48% and 4.09% year-on-year [5][6]. Research and Development - CSCEC emphasizes technological innovation, with R&D expenditures totaling 239.8 billion yuan in the first three quarters of 2025, contributing to a cumulative investment of 205.28 billion yuan over the past five years [2][8]. - The company holds approximately 70,900 valid patents, including about 12,000 invention patents, showcasing its commitment to innovation in the construction sector [9]. Financial Health - As of Q3 2025, CSCEC's debt-to-asset ratio was 76.07%, slightly improved from the previous year, with financial expenses amounting to 13.56 billion yuan, a decrease of 4.81% year-on-year [9].