公用事业/电力 中国核电（601985.SH） 2024 年业绩不及预期，核电核准进入常态化阶段 2025 年 04 月 30 日 投资评级：买入（维持） | 日期 | 2025/4/29 | | --- | --- | | 当前股价(元) | 9.33 | | 一年最高最低(元) | 12.29/8.66 | | 总市值(亿元) | 1,918.99 | | 流通市值(亿元) | 1,761.81 | | 总股本(亿股) | 205.68 | | 流通股本(亿股) | 188.83 | | 近 3 个月换手率(%) | 28.98 | 股价走势图 数据来源：聚源 -24% -12% 0% 12% 24% 36% 48% 2024-04 2024-08 2024-12 中国核电 沪深300 相关研究报告 《核电加速核准，风光多线布局，开 启新一轮成长—公司首次覆盖报告》 -2024.11.26 周磊（分析师） zhoulei1@kysec.cn 证书编号：S0790524090002 公司发布 2024 年报&2025 一季报，2024 年计提大量所得税导致业绩不及预期 2024 年公司实现营业收入 772. ...

公用事业/电力 中国核电（601985.SH） 2024 年业绩不及预期，核电核准进入常态化阶段 2025 年 04 月 30 日 投资评级：买入（维持） | 日期 | 2025/4/29 | | --- | --- | | 当前股价(元) | 9.33 | | 一年最高最低(元) | 12.29/8.66 | | 总市值(亿元) | 1,918.99 | | 流通市值(亿元) | 1,761.81 | | 总股本(亿股) | 205.68 | | 流通股本(亿股) | 188.83 | | 近 3 个月换手率(%) | 28.98 | 股价走势图 数据来源：聚源 -24% -12% 0% 12% 24% 36% 48% 2024-04 2024-08 2024-12 中国核电 沪深300 相关研究报告 《核电加速核准，风光多线布局，开 启新一轮成长—公司首次覆盖报告》 -2024.11.26 周磊（分析师） zhoulei1@kysec.cn 证书编号：S0790524090002 公司发布 2024 年报&2025 一季报，2024 年计提大量所得税导致业绩不及预期 2024 年公司实现营业收入 772. ...

Group 1 - The approval of 10 new nuclear power units reflects China's support and confidence in the nuclear power sector, indicating a growing importance of nuclear energy in the country's energy structure [1][2] - The new projects, which include five nuclear power projects with a total of 10 units, are expected to drive over 200 billion yuan in investments, showcasing the potential for industry growth [2][4] - China has maintained a consistent approval pace for nuclear power projects, approving 10 or more units annually for four consecutive years, which is expected to have a strong positive impact on the national economy [4] Group 2 - China's nuclear power capacity and generation continue to grow, with the country holding the largest operational and under-construction nuclear power capacity globally, totaling 60.96 million kilowatts [3] - The global natural uranium supply is facing a significant gap, with 2022 production at 49,355 tons and demand at 65,651 tons, indicating a long-term upward trend in uranium prices due to increasing demand from the nuclear sector [5]

中国核电 20250429 摘要 • 中国核电 2025 年第一季度累计发电 597 亿度，同比增长 16.93%，实现 营业收入 202 亿元，同比增长 12.7%。核电业务收入 167 亿元，同比增 长 10.46%；新能源业务收入 35 亿元，同比增长 24.64%。归母净利润 31 亿元，同比增长 2.55%，其中核电贡献 29 亿元，同比增 11.52%；新 能源贡献 2 亿元，同比下降 51%。 • 截至 2025 年 3 月底，中国核电控股的非核清洁能源装机容量达到 3,069 万千瓦，提前完成十四五规划目标。公司积极发展风能和光伏项目，并推 动钙钛矿产业取得阶段性成果，小型组件效率达到行业领先水平。此外， 公司探索新型储能及相关产业协同开发，推动新能源与储能产业协同发展。 • 2025 年一季度核电综合电价与 2024 年同比略有下降，下降幅度约为一 分左右，整体仍维持在每度电 0.4 元左右，总体较为平稳。江苏地区市场 用电量从 271 度提升至 310 度，反映出当地经济发展带来的用电需求增 长。 • 2025 年的大修计划包括 17 次大修，公司已发布详细公告，包括全年大修 次数及具体季 ...

中国核电表示，公司始终坚持"以投资者为本"的理念，高度重视股东权益。未来，中国核电将以此次回 购为契机，持续优化公司治理结构，深化内部改革，提升运营效率，在高质量发展的基础上，持续强化 市值管理和实践，提升公司内在价值，为股东创造更大收益，实现公司与股东的共同成长。 近年来，监管部门为促进资本市场的稳健发展，接连出台重磅政策。去年10月，《关于设立股票回购增 持再贷款有关事宜的通知》创新性地设立股票回购增持再贷款，激励引导金融机构向符合条件的上市公 司和主要股东提供贷款，支持其回购和增持上市公司股票。今年，《关于推动中长期资金入市工作的实 施方案》中明确提出要引导上市公司加大股份回购力度，并推动上市公司加大对股份回购增持再贷款工 具的运用。一系列政策从不同维度鼓励上市公司采取行动，回购股份。 作为核电领域的龙头企业，中国核电始终紧密关注政策动态。面对当前复杂多变的资本市场环境，中国 核电基于对公司核心竞争力的坚定自信与未来发展的战略研判，及时制定了合理可行的回购股份方案， 以实际行动践行对A股市场稳定的支持，用真金白银维护全体股东的的利益，充分体现了中国核电作为 央企控股上市公司的责任与担当。 值得一提的是， ...

2025 年 04 月 29 日 中国核电 (601985) ——Q1 盈利保持正增长 再获批新项目保障成长 | 报告原因：有业绩公布需要点评 | | --- | | 买入（维持） | | 市场数据： | 2025 年 04 月 28 日 | | --- | --- | | 收盘价（元） | 9.39 | | 一年内最高/最低（元） | 12.29/8.66 | | 市净率 | 2.0 | | 息率（分红/股价） | 2.29 | | 流通 A 股市值（百万元） | 177,314 | | 上证指数/深证成指 | 3,288.41/9,855.20 | | 注："息率"以最近一年已公布分红计算 | | 上 市 公 司 | 基础数据: | 2025 年 03 月 31 日 | | | --- | --- | --- | | 每股净资产（元） | | 5.48 | | 资产负债率% | | 68.48 | | 总股本/流通 A 股（百万） | 20,568/18,883 | | | 流通 B 股/H 股（百万） | | -/- | 公用事业 一年内股价与大盘对比走势： 04-29 05-29 06-29 07-2 ...

Market Performance - The controllable nuclear fusion concept sector declined by 0.87%, ranking among the top losers in the concept sector, with *ST Lihang hitting the limit down [1] - Among the stocks in this sector, 27 stocks saw price increases, with Xinhongye, Yingliu Co., and HuoDuan Intelligent leading the gains at 6.83%, 3.70%, and 3.20% respectively [1] Capital Flow - The controllable nuclear fusion concept sector experienced a net outflow of 277 million yuan, with 35 stocks seeing net outflows, and 16 stocks with outflows exceeding 10 million yuan [1] - The stock with the highest net outflow was XueRen Co., with a net outflow of 47.1 million yuan, followed by LanShi Heavy Industry, China Energy Construction, and China Nuclear Power with net outflows of 40.3 million yuan, 36.3 million yuan, and 32.4 million yuan respectively [1] Top Gainers and Losers - The top gainers in the controllable nuclear fusion concept sector included Shanghai Electric, HaiLu Heavy Industry, and Yingliu Co., with net inflows of 50.2 million yuan, 31.7 million yuan, and 28.6 million yuan respectively [1][3] - The top losers included XueRen Co. (-3.24%), LanShi Heavy Industry (-5.64%), and China Energy Construction (-0.45%) [2][3]

Core Points - The Shanghai Composite Index opened lower and the CSI 300 Utilities Index reported at 2662.05 points [1] - The CSI 300 Utilities Index has increased by 5.17% over the past month, 3.49% over the past three months, and has decreased by 1.65% year-to-date [1] Index Composition - The CSI 300 Utilities Index is composed of 11 primary industries, 35 secondary industries, over 90 tertiary industries, and more than 200 quaternary industries [1] - The top ten weights in the CSI 300 Utilities Index are: - Changjiang Electric Power (48.06%) - China Nuclear Power (10.21%) - Three Gorges Energy (8.19%) - Guodian Power (5.41%) - State Power Investment Corporation (4.87%) - Sichuan Investment Energy (4.38%) - Huaneng International (4.22%) - China General Nuclear Power (3.74%) - Zhejiang Energy Power (3.11%) - Huadian International (2.71%) [1] Market Distribution - The market distribution of the CSI 300 Utilities Index shows that the Shanghai Stock Exchange accounts for 95.91% and the Shenzhen Stock Exchange accounts for 4.09% [2] - In terms of industry composition within the index: - Hydropower accounts for 59.59% - Thermal power accounts for 15.45% - Nuclear power accounts for 13.96% - Wind power accounts for 8.54% - Gas accounts for 2.47% [2] Sample Adjustment - The index samples are adjusted every six months, with adjustments implemented on the next trading day following the second Friday of June and December each year [2] - Weight factors are generally fixed until the next scheduled adjustment, with temporary adjustments made in response to changes in the CSI 300 Index samples [2]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for China Nuclear Power [6] Core Views - The net profit for 2024 is expected to be 8.777 billion RMB, a year-on-year decrease of 17%, primarily due to higher tax expenses than anticipated [1][2] - The company is projected to benefit from the commissioning of new nuclear power units in 2025, which is expected to drive net profit growth [2] - The company plans to distribute a dividend of 0.18 RMB per share for 2024, with a payout ratio increasing to 42% [1] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved revenue of 77.272 billion RMB, a year-on-year increase of 3% [1] - The first quarter of 2025 saw revenue of 20.273 billion RMB, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 13% [1] - The net profit for 2025 is projected to be 9.403 billion RMB, a 7.13% increase from 2024 [10] Nuclear Power Segment - As of April 2025, the company operates 26 nuclear units with a total installed capacity of 24.96 GW, and has 12 units under construction with a capacity of 13.92 GW [2] - The company’s nuclear power generation in Q4 2024 and Q1 2025 increased by 1.0% and 13.3% year-on-year, respectively, due to the commissioning of the Zhangzhou Unit 1 [2] New Energy Segment - The company has an operational installed capacity of 30.69 GW in new energy (20.68 GW from solar and 10.01 GW from wind) as of March 2025 [3] - The new energy segment's profit for 2024 is expected to decline by 14% due to falling electricity prices affecting gross margins [3] - However, the new energy net profit is anticipated to stabilize and recover in 2025 due to increased installed capacity [3] Profit Forecast Adjustments - The profit forecasts for 2025 and 2026 have been revised downwards by 19% and 14%, respectively, due to declining electricity prices and increased minority interest [4] - The target price has been adjusted to 10.12 RMB per share, down from a previous estimate of 12.81 RMB [4]

Core Viewpoint - China Nuclear Power Co., Ltd. reported a net profit of 8.75 billion yuan for the year 2024, with a proposed cash dividend of 1.60 yuan per share, reflecting a focus on reasonable returns for investors while considering long-term development [1] Group 1: Company Overview - As of December 31, 2024, the company had 25 operational nuclear power units with a total installed capacity of 23.75 million kilowatts and 18 units under construction or approved for construction with a capacity of 20.64 million kilowatts [7] - The company is actively expanding its non-nuclear clean energy sector, including wind and solar power, with a total installed capacity of 29.60 million kilowatts in renewable energy [7] Group 2: Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved an operating revenue of 77.27 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 3.09%, while the net profit decreased by 14.72% to 16.55 billion yuan [10] - Total assets reached 659.74 billion yuan, up 22.34% year-on-year, and total liabilities increased by 19.63% to 450.37 billion yuan, resulting in an asset-liability ratio of 68.27% [10] Group 3: Industry Context - By the end of 2024, the global nuclear power installed capacity was 375 million kilowatts, with 417 operational units, showing a slight increase from 2023 [2] - In China, the total installed power generation capacity reached approximately 3.35 billion kilowatts, with nuclear power contributing about 60.83 million kilowatts, representing a year-on-year growth of 6.9% [3]