Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Outperform the Market" [7] Core Viewpoints - The merger plan of CICC, Dongxing Securities, and China Cinda has been implemented, enhancing the comprehensive financial service capabilities [3] - The merger is expected to result in CICC's operating revenue of approximately 27.4 billion yuan and total assets reaching 1.01 trillion yuan, ranking it fourth among listed securities firms [3] - The ongoing supply-side reform in the financial sector is expected to improve the competitive landscape and service capabilities of the industry [4] Summary by Sections Merger Details - On December 17, CICC, Dongxing Securities, and China Cinda announced their share swap merger plan [2] - The share swap ratios are 0.4373 shares of CICC for each share of Dongxing Securities and 0.5188 shares for each share of China Cinda [3] Financial Projections - Post-merger, CICC's net profit is projected to reach 9.52 billion yuan, making it the sixth largest among listed securities firms [3] - The industry is expected to see significant growth in 2025 due to ongoing capital market reforms and the continuous influx of long-term funds [4] Market Positioning - The merger is part of a broader trend of consolidation in the securities industry, aimed at creating "first-class investment banks and investment institutions" [3][4] - Major shareholders have committed to a 36-month lock-up period for their shares acquired in the merger [3]

消息面上，12月17日晚，中金公司吸收合并东兴证券、信达证券（601059），迎来重要进展。根据方 案，中金公司A股股票换股价格为36.91元/股，东兴证券、信达证券与中金公司A股的换股比例分别为 1:0.4373与1:0.5188。本次交易后，中金公司将实现跨越式发展，预计总资产规模超万亿元，营业收入 跻身行业前列。 东吴证券认为，行业内的资源整合或将成为券商快速提升规模与综合实力的又一重要方式，大型券商通 过并购进一步补齐短板，巩固优势，中小券商通过外延并购有望弯道超车，快速做大，实现规模效应和 业务互补。 中金公司（601995）(03908)复牌高开逾7% ，截至发稿，涨7.07%，报20.3港元，成交额8992.9万港元。 ...

Core Viewpoint - Morgan Stanley forecasts a 70% to 80% probability that the stock price of China International Capital Corporation (CICC) will rise within the next 30 days, based on the announced stock swap mergers with Dongxing Securities and Cinda Securities [1] Summary by Relevant Sections - **Stock Price Target and Rating** - Morgan Stanley sets a target price of HKD 28.9 for CICC and maintains an "Overweight" rating [1] - **Merger Details** - CICC has disclosed the details of the stock swap merger, with an implied price-to-book ratio of 1.8 times for both CICC A-shares and Dongxing Securities (including a 26% premium), while Cinda Securities reaches 3.1 times [1] - **Expected Synergies** - The merger is anticipated to generate significant synergies, including strengthened capital base and expanded customer base, with a relatively swift integration process and limited dilution impact on CICC's H-share shareholders [1]

Market Overview - Major indices opened lower on December 18 but rebounded, with the Shanghai Composite Index turning positive by the time of reporting [1] - Sectors such as securities, coal, and oil saw significant gains, while CPO concepts, aquaculture, hotel and catering, semiconductors, and building materials faced declines [1] Healthcare Sector - The healthcare commercial concept continued to strengthen, with Huaren Health (301408) hitting a 20% limit up, and other companies like Luyuan Pharmaceutical and Zhongyao Holdings also reaching their limit up [1] AI and Financial Services - Ant Group's AI health app "Antifufu" saw a surge in downloads, ranking third on the Apple app chart, with over 15 million monthly active users and over 5 million health inquiries daily [3] - China International Capital Corporation (CICC) announced plans to merge with Dongxing Securities and Xinda Securities through a share swap, with CICC's A-shares set to be suspended from trading starting November 20, 2025, and resuming on December 18, 2025 [3] IP Economy - The IP economy concept was active, with companies like Guobo Co. and Sanxiang Impression hitting the limit up, while others like Deyi Cultural and Chuangyuan Co. also saw gains [5] - The Ministry of Commerce and other departments issued a notice to enhance collaboration between commerce and finance to boost consumption, focusing on new consumption models such as green consumption and AI + consumption [5] - The market for the "Guzi economy" is projected to reach 168.9 billion yuan in 2024, a 40.63% increase from 2023, indicating rapid growth in related sectors [5] Retail Sector Trends - Dongwu Securities highlighted that 2025 will be a significant year for retail reform, with traditional retailers improving product and service quality through adjustments [7] - The focus on enhancing product quality in the retail sector is supported by policies encouraging such improvements, particularly in less competitive lower-tier markets [7] - Kaifeng Securities noted that offline retail businesses are transitioning from selling products to offering services and experiences, leveraging their advantages to attract traffic [7]

业内首个"三券商合并"——中金公司吸收合并东兴证券、信达证券，方案正式出炉！ 2025年12月17日晚间，中金公司（601995.SH、03908.HK）与东兴证券（601198.SH）、信达证券 （601059.SH）同步披露重大资产重组预案，中金公司换股吸收合并两家公司迎来重大进展，并拟于12 月18日复牌。 | 证券代码:601995 | 证券简称:中金公司 | 上市地点:上海证券交易所 | | --- | --- | --- | | 证券代码:03908 | 证券简称:中金公司 | 上市地点:香港联合交易所 | | 证券代码:601198 | 证券简称:东兴证券 | 上市地点:上海证券交易所 | | 证券代码:601059 | 证券简称:信达证券 | 上市地点:上海证券交易所 | 12月18日，中金公司、东兴证券A股复盘开盘涨停，信达证券股价涨6.8%。中金公司港股开盘涨逾 7%。截至发稿前，中金公司A股股价涨超4%，信达证券涨超5%，东兴证券仍"一字"涨停。 涉及换股 中金公司预计新发行A股约30.96亿股 根据交易预案，本次交易定价以各方董事会决议公告日前20个交易日均价作为基准价格，吸收合并方中 ...

12月18日，银行盘中走强，截至发稿，42只银行股39涨3平，建设银行领涨超2%，上海银行、苏州银 行、厦门银行等10股涨逾1%。全市场规模最大的银行ETF（512800）场内价格一度涨近1%，现涨 0.74%。 消息面上，金融监督管理总局发布《关于调整保险公司相关业务风险因子的通知》，明确保险公司持仓 时间超过三年的沪深300指数成分股、中证红利低波动100指数成分股的风险因子从0.3下调至0.27。 本次调整旨在引导保险公司提高长期投资管理能力、充分发挥险资作为耐心资本的作用，同时资本金释 放有望拓展A股权益投资尤其是银行板块配置空间。根据银河证券测算，根据目前保费收入，考虑30% 投资A股，若全部投资上述两指数，理论上流入银行板块最大资金规模为2146.11亿元。 中金公司最新研报表示，金融体系高质量发展背景下，银行板块正从"周期博弈"转向"配置红利"新阶 段，高股息投资范式已成为核心主线。报告明确提出，银行股的绝对收益与相对收益表现有望持续跑赢 市场，资金配置需求将成为主要驱动力。 展望2026年，中金公司指出，银行板块估值中枢有望上移15%-20% ， 建议把握岁末年初的配置窗口 期。 顺势而起，攻 ...

报告指，中金公司已公布股票交换合并细节，换股比率隐含的2025年第三季市净率为中金A股1.8倍、东 兴证券1.8倍(含26%溢价)，信达证券则达3.1倍。该行预期此合并将产生显著协同效应，包括资本基础强 化、客户体系扩张，整合进程相对迅速，且对中金公司H股股东的稀释影响有限。 智通财经APP获悉，摩根士丹利发布研报称，预期中金公司(03908)未来30天内股价将升，料发生机率约 70%至80%，基于已公布的换股并购东兴及信达证券方案。该行予中金公司目标价28.9港元，评级"增 持"。 ...

报告指，中金公司已公布股票交换合并细节，换股比率隐含的2025年第三季市净率为中金A股1.8倍、东 兴证券1.8倍(含26%溢价)，信达证券则达3.1倍。该行预期此合并将产生显著协同效应，包括资本基础强 化、客户体系扩张，整合进程相对迅速，且对中金公司H股股东的稀释影响有限。 摩根士丹利发布研报称，预期中金公司（601995）(03908)未来30天内股价将升，料发生机率约70%至 80%，基于已公布的换股并购东兴及信达证券（601059）方案。该行予中金公司目标价28.9港元，评 级"增持"。 ...

中金公司(601995)、信达证券(601059)双双走高，目前均涨超5%。 17日晚间，中金公司、东兴证券、信达证券同步披露重大资产重组预案，中金公司换股吸收合并两家公 司迎来重大进展。 根据披露的预案，本次交易定价以各方董事会决议公告日前20个交易日均价作为基准价格，吸收合并方 中金公司作为存续主体，换股价格为36.91元/股，被吸收合并方东兴证券换股价格为16.14元/股，信达 证券换股价格为19.15元/股。 根据上述价格，东兴证券、信达证券与中金公司A股的换股比例分别为1:0.4373与1:0.5188。东兴证券与 信达证券全部A股参与换股，以此计算，中金公司预计将新发行A股约30.96亿股。 中金公司表示，通过本次重组，中金公司将与东兴证券、信达证券在战略层面深度协同，实现资源整合 与资本实力的整体跃升。合并后，公司不仅资产规模、业务规模、营收规模将升至行业前列，更将形成 一个覆盖"机构与零售""国际与国内""标准化与特色化"的全方位服务体系，综合服务能力与抗周期波动 能力均将大幅增强。 东兴证券(601198)18日开盘即涨停，截至发稿，该股报14.44元/股，涨停板上封单超144万手。 ...

合并后的中金公司，总资产预计超万亿元，并将形成"机构与零售"并重的业务格局，抗周期能力显著提 升。 21世纪经济报道记者崔文静 重磅消息！12月17日晚，中金公司正式公布换股吸收合并东兴证券、信达证券方案，12月18日复牌。中 金换股价36.91元/股，东兴16.14元/股，信达19.15元/股，换股比例分别为1:0.4373和1:0.5188。中金公司 预计将新发行A股约30.96亿股。 此次合并后，中金公司的营业网点数量将从245家跃升至436家，营业网点数量排名跃升至行业第三，零 售网络大幅扩张。中金的投行与国际化优势，将与东兴、信达的区域市场基础形成互补，特别在不良资 产处置领域产生协同效应。 在中央汇金成为共同实控人背景下，此次市场化整合响应了"加快建设金融强国"政策导向，标志着券商 行业整合进入新阶段。主要股东已承诺锁定股份36个月，彰显对整合前景的信心。 （文章来源：21世纪经济报道） ...