该行指出，虽然换股并购令中金2026财年的每股盈利及每股净值分别稀释21%和13%，然而，由于合拼 有助于解除中金的资本限制，透过扩大市场份额产生协同效应，并提高成为大型券商的机会，从而受惠 于潜在的资本放松与新业务试点计划，因此相信市场对合拼的反应正面，花旗表示，由于供给侧加快推 进改革，预期其他券商的股价亦将上扬，或可稳定收费率并提升潜在股东权益回报率(ROE)。 花旗发布研报称，中金公司（601995）(03908)计划以换股吸收方式合并东兴证券（601198） (601198.SH)及信达证券（601059）(601059.SH)。中金拟发行近31亿股A股，每股东兴A股可换取0.4373 股中金A股;每股信达A股可换取0.5188股中金A股。 ...

发布换股吸收合并预案后的第二天，中金公司、东兴证券、信达证券复牌后大涨，并领涨行业个股，展现出市场对于头部券商合并的向好预期。截至上午10 时30分，三只个股仍维持涨超5%的态势。股价来看，中金公司为36.76元/股，东兴证券和信达证券分别为14.44元/股和18.7元/股。在业内人士看来，券商合 并大幕正式拉开，这并不是结束，而是开始，凭借各方资源的有机结合，合并后公司的财务结构韧性有望增强。从行业角度看，近年来头部券商并购潮兴 起、行业洗牌加快，后续中大型券商进行战略重组可行性、必要性提升。 | ● 分时 日 周 月 季 年 1分 5分 30分 60分 30s ▼ 多周期 设置 | | H股 PK 简 九转 亮 笼 叠 加自选 ●▼ | | R | 中金 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 连续竞价① 中金公司 分时 均价: 37.29 最新: 36.72 张停价:38.38 38.38 | 重大事件 × | ● ● ● 足 另 用 用 ● | 10.00% | | | | ����������� | | | | | 36. 7 | | 37.83 | | ...

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Outperform the Market" [7] Core Viewpoints - The merger plan of CICC, Dongxing Securities, and China Cinda has been implemented, enhancing the comprehensive financial service capabilities [3] - The merger is expected to result in CICC's operating revenue of approximately 27.4 billion yuan and total assets reaching 1.01 trillion yuan, ranking it fourth among listed securities firms [3] - The ongoing supply-side reform in the financial sector is expected to improve the competitive landscape and service capabilities of the industry [4] Summary by Sections Merger Details - On December 17, CICC, Dongxing Securities, and China Cinda announced their share swap merger plan [2] - The share swap ratios are 0.4373 shares of CICC for each share of Dongxing Securities and 0.5188 shares for each share of China Cinda [3] Financial Projections - Post-merger, CICC's net profit is projected to reach 9.52 billion yuan, making it the sixth largest among listed securities firms [3] - The industry is expected to see significant growth in 2025 due to ongoing capital market reforms and the continuous influx of long-term funds [4] Market Positioning - The merger is part of a broader trend of consolidation in the securities industry, aimed at creating "first-class investment banks and investment institutions" [3][4] - Major shareholders have committed to a 36-month lock-up period for their shares acquired in the merger [3]

消息面上，12月17日晚，中金公司吸收合并东兴证券、信达证券（601059），迎来重要进展。根据方 案，中金公司A股股票换股价格为36.91元/股，东兴证券、信达证券与中金公司A股的换股比例分别为 1:0.4373与1:0.5188。本次交易后，中金公司将实现跨越式发展，预计总资产规模超万亿元，营业收入 跻身行业前列。 东吴证券认为，行业内的资源整合或将成为券商快速提升规模与综合实力的又一重要方式，大型券商通 过并购进一步补齐短板，巩固优势，中小券商通过外延并购有望弯道超车，快速做大，实现规模效应和 业务互补。 中金公司（601995）(03908)复牌高开逾7% ，截至发稿，涨7.07%，报20.3港元，成交额8992.9万港元。 ...

Core Viewpoint - Morgan Stanley forecasts a 70% to 80% probability that the stock price of China International Capital Corporation (CICC) will rise within the next 30 days, based on the announced stock swap mergers with Dongxing Securities and Cinda Securities [1] Summary by Relevant Sections - **Stock Price Target and Rating** - Morgan Stanley sets a target price of HKD 28.9 for CICC and maintains an "Overweight" rating [1] - **Merger Details** - CICC has disclosed the details of the stock swap merger, with an implied price-to-book ratio of 1.8 times for both CICC A-shares and Dongxing Securities (including a 26% premium), while Cinda Securities reaches 3.1 times [1] - **Expected Synergies** - The merger is anticipated to generate significant synergies, including strengthened capital base and expanded customer base, with a relatively swift integration process and limited dilution impact on CICC's H-share shareholders [1]

Market Overview - Major indices opened lower on December 18 but rebounded, with the Shanghai Composite Index turning positive by the time of reporting [1] - Sectors such as securities, coal, and oil saw significant gains, while CPO concepts, aquaculture, hotel and catering, semiconductors, and building materials faced declines [1] Healthcare Sector - The healthcare commercial concept continued to strengthen, with Huaren Health (301408) hitting a 20% limit up, and other companies like Luyuan Pharmaceutical and Zhongyao Holdings also reaching their limit up [1] AI and Financial Services - Ant Group's AI health app "Antifufu" saw a surge in downloads, ranking third on the Apple app chart, with over 15 million monthly active users and over 5 million health inquiries daily [3] - China International Capital Corporation (CICC) announced plans to merge with Dongxing Securities and Xinda Securities through a share swap, with CICC's A-shares set to be suspended from trading starting November 20, 2025, and resuming on December 18, 2025 [3] IP Economy - The IP economy concept was active, with companies like Guobo Co. and Sanxiang Impression hitting the limit up, while others like Deyi Cultural and Chuangyuan Co. also saw gains [5] - The Ministry of Commerce and other departments issued a notice to enhance collaboration between commerce and finance to boost consumption, focusing on new consumption models such as green consumption and AI + consumption [5] - The market for the "Guzi economy" is projected to reach 168.9 billion yuan in 2024, a 40.63% increase from 2023, indicating rapid growth in related sectors [5] Retail Sector Trends - Dongwu Securities highlighted that 2025 will be a significant year for retail reform, with traditional retailers improving product and service quality through adjustments [7] - The focus on enhancing product quality in the retail sector is supported by policies encouraging such improvements, particularly in less competitive lower-tier markets [7] - Kaifeng Securities noted that offline retail businesses are transitioning from selling products to offering services and experiences, leveraging their advantages to attract traffic [7]

业内首个"三券商合并"——中金公司吸收合并东兴证券、信达证券，方案正式出炉！ 2025年12月17日晚间，中金公司（601995.SH、03908.HK）与东兴证券（601198.SH）、信达证券 （601059.SH）同步披露重大资产重组预案，中金公司换股吸收合并两家公司迎来重大进展，并拟于12 月18日复牌。 | 证券代码:601995 | 证券简称:中金公司 | 上市地点:上海证券交易所 | | --- | --- | --- | | 证券代码:03908 | 证券简称:中金公司 | 上市地点:香港联合交易所 | | 证券代码:601198 | 证券简称:东兴证券 | 上市地点:上海证券交易所 | | 证券代码:601059 | 证券简称:信达证券 | 上市地点:上海证券交易所 | 12月18日，中金公司、东兴证券A股复盘开盘涨停，信达证券股价涨6.8%。中金公司港股开盘涨逾 7%。截至发稿前，中金公司A股股价涨超4%，信达证券涨超5%，东兴证券仍"一字"涨停。 涉及换股 中金公司预计新发行A股约30.96亿股 根据交易预案，本次交易定价以各方董事会决议公告日前20个交易日均价作为基准价格，吸收合并方中 ...

12月18日，银行盘中走强，截至发稿，42只银行股39涨3平，建设银行领涨超2%，上海银行、苏州银 行、厦门银行等10股涨逾1%。全市场规模最大的银行ETF（512800）场内价格一度涨近1%，现涨 0.74%。 消息面上，金融监督管理总局发布《关于调整保险公司相关业务风险因子的通知》，明确保险公司持仓 时间超过三年的沪深300指数成分股、中证红利低波动100指数成分股的风险因子从0.3下调至0.27。 本次调整旨在引导保险公司提高长期投资管理能力、充分发挥险资作为耐心资本的作用，同时资本金释 放有望拓展A股权益投资尤其是银行板块配置空间。根据银河证券测算，根据目前保费收入，考虑30% 投资A股，若全部投资上述两指数，理论上流入银行板块最大资金规模为2146.11亿元。 中金公司最新研报表示，金融体系高质量发展背景下，银行板块正从"周期博弈"转向"配置红利"新阶 段，高股息投资范式已成为核心主线。报告明确提出，银行股的绝对收益与相对收益表现有望持续跑赢 市场，资金配置需求将成为主要驱动力。 展望2026年，中金公司指出，银行板块估值中枢有望上移15%-20% ， 建议把握岁末年初的配置窗口 期。 顺势而起，攻 ...

报告指，中金公司已公布股票交换合并细节，换股比率隐含的2025年第三季市净率为中金A股1.8倍、东 兴证券1.8倍(含26%溢价)，信达证券则达3.1倍。该行预期此合并将产生显著协同效应，包括资本基础强 化、客户体系扩张，整合进程相对迅速，且对中金公司H股股东的稀释影响有限。 智通财经APP获悉，摩根士丹利发布研报称，预期中金公司(03908)未来30天内股价将升，料发生机率约 70%至80%，基于已公布的换股并购东兴及信达证券方案。该行予中金公司目标价28.9港元，评级"增 持"。 ...

报告指，中金公司已公布股票交换合并细节，换股比率隐含的2025年第三季市净率为中金A股1.8倍、东 兴证券1.8倍(含26%溢价)，信达证券则达3.1倍。该行预期此合并将产生显著协同效应，包括资本基础强 化、客户体系扩张，整合进程相对迅速，且对中金公司H股股东的稀释影响有限。 摩根士丹利发布研报称，预期中金公司（601995）(03908)未来30天内股价将升，料发生机率约70%至 80%，基于已公布的换股并购东兴及信达证券（601059）方案。该行予中金公司目标价28.9港元，评 级"增持"。 ...