本报记者 陈潇 算力基础设施加速建设，光通信行业景气度持续攀升。近期，多家光通信相关上市公司披露2025年业绩 预告，预计净利润同比增幅普遍在30%以上，部分企业甚至有望实现翻倍乃至数倍增长。 与此同时，多家公司同步披露新订单进展，业绩增长与订单落地形成共振，行业高景气特征进一步凸 显。 多家企业业绩增长 从业绩表现来看，光通信相关企业盈利能力显著提升。 例如，1月21日晚间，天孚通信发布2025年业绩预告，预计全年实现归属于上市公司股东的净利润18.81 亿元至21.50亿元，同比增长40%至60%；扣非归母净利润同比增幅同样接近六成。公司表示，人工智能 行业加速发展及全球数据中心建设提速，带动高速光器件需求持续增长。 天孚通信此前在接受机构调研时透露，公司已具备800G及1.6T高速光引擎的量产能力，1.6T产品已实现 正常交付，并持续推进性能优化与成本控制。在行业需求快速增长的背景下，部分物料存在阶段性提产 瓶颈，公司正通过加强供应链协同来保障交付能力。 同样受益于AI算力与数据中心建设的还有剑桥科技。1月16日，剑桥科技公告称，预计2025年实现归母 净利润2.52亿元至2.78亿元，同比增长51.1 ...

Group 1 - The core point of the article highlights that the Yongying Technology Smart Selection fund, managed by Ren Jie, achieved an impressive annual return of 233.26% in 2025, breaking the 18-year record for the highest annual return previously held by Wang Yawei [1] - The fund significantly outperformed its benchmark, with net asset values for its A and C shares at 3.7795 yuan and 3.7523 yuan respectively by the end of Q4 2025, reflecting growth rates of 13.18% and 13.01%, while the benchmark recorded a return of -2.39% [1] - The fund's equity investment allocation decreased from 91.59% in Q3 to 78.76% in Q4, with increased holdings in bank deposits and clearing reserves, and a complete exit from previous bond investments [1] Group 2 - In Q4 2025, the top ten holdings of the Yongying Technology Smart Selection fund included companies such as Shengyi Technology, Zhongji Xuchuang, and Hushan Electronics, among others [2] - Compared to Q3 2025, the fund increased its positions in several stocks including Hushan Electronics and Shengyi Technology, while reducing its stake in Zhongji Xuchuang by 17% [3] - The fund continued to focus on global cloud computing investments, leveraging insights from the AI industry and advancements in new technologies [3] Group 3 - The Gemini model has been gaining market share in the consumer sector, while other model companies are also experiencing healthy growth and increasing investments to enhance their capabilities [4] - The application ecosystem is transitioning from rapid user growth to structural upgrades, with a focus on differentiated capabilities and service depth in various sectors, including healthcare and enterprise applications [4] - The global AI model industry is in a phase of continuous capability enhancement and expanding application scenarios, indicating strong sustainability and certainty in its development [5] Group 4 - The architecture of computing power is evolving to meet the changing demands of models and applications, with innovations such as CPO/NPO and orthogonal backplane technologies being introduced [5] - Companies that engage early with leading manufacturers in research and supply chain collaboration are expected to gain significant industry benefits as penetration rates increase [5] - The fund will continue to prioritize investments in the global cloud computing sector, particularly in optical communication and PCB directions [5]

Core Insights - The report highlights a significant expansion in the scale and positioning of equity funds as the 2025 quarterly reports are disclosed, with over 3,300 funds having completed their disclosures by January 21 [1] - More than 40% of actively managed equity funds reported positive returns for the quarter, outperforming benchmarks, driven by a structural market rally influenced by debt reduction policies, expectations of preventive interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, and marginal improvements in corporate earnings [1] - The technology and non-ferrous metals sectors led the market, contributing to substantial excess returns for funds heavily invested in these areas [1] Fund Performance and Trends - The fund managed by Ren Jie, Yongying Technology Smart Selection A, achieved a cumulative return of 233.29% for the year, with a total scale reaching 15.468 billion yuan, a quarter-on-quarter increase of 34.26% [2] - A total of 45 funds doubled their scale in a single quarter, with some "mini funds" experiencing scale increases exceeding 40 times, showcasing a typical characteristic of smaller funds being more agile [3] - The rapid scale increase of these funds is attributed to three common factors: small initial scale allowing for performance elasticity, concentrated industry allocation focusing on AI computing power, semiconductor equipment, and copper-aluminum sectors, and decisive actions by fund managers to quickly build positions at the onset of market rallies [3] Challenges and Adjustments - The significant scale growth poses management challenges, leading some funds to limit purchases to control rapid growth and avoid strategy capacity exceeding limits, which could dilute returns [4] - In terms of industry allocation, the technology sector remains the most consensus-driven core line among fund managers, with some funds reducing positions in previously high-performing stocks that have reached reasonable valuation levels, while increasing allocations to second-tier stocks and upstream equipment materials [5] Specific Fund Adjustments - For instance, Yongying Technology Smart Selection A reduced its stock position from 94.41% to 80.34%, a decrease of over 14 percentage points, showing caution towards the core stock "Yizhongtian" [5] - The fund manager Feng Ludan's China Europe Digital Economy also exhibited similar adjustments, slightly reducing stock positions while increasing holdings in Dongshan Precision and Shennan Circuit, and significantly reducing positions in Zhongji Xuchuang and Xinyi Sheng [6] Investment Strategy Insights - The report emphasizes the importance of analyzing "invisible heavy stocks" in quarterly reports, as the real insights may lie in the 11th to 20th largest holdings, which can indicate a shift in fund manager strategies [8] - Tracking changes in "institutional investor share ratios" can serve as a barometer for smart money, with significant increases indicating recognition from long-term funds, which can stabilize future fund redemptions and enhance net value stability [8] - The operational analysis section of the reports is crucial for understanding fund managers' strategies, with key phrases indicating recognition of misjudgments, warnings about current valuations, and adjustments in holdings [9]

记者丨 雷晨 该公司透露，业绩增长的核心驱动力来自AI行业加速发展与全球数据中心建设热潮，带动高速 光器件产品需求持续稳定增长，叠加公司智能制造降本增效，促进了公司有源与无源产品线营 收增长。 编辑丨骆一帆 全球AI算力建设爆发，光模块作为数据高速传输的"血管"，迎来了真正的黄金年代。从2025 年开始，800G需求持续放量，1.6T已进入商用导入期，行业正从速率竞赛全面转向效率竞 争。 随着2025年年度业绩预告陆续披露， 以天孚通信、剑桥科技为代表的国内光模块龙头企业， 交出了增速惊人的答卷，归母净利润同比增幅均超40% ，直观印证了AI算力基础设施需求激 增带来的行业高景气度。 但光芯片供应缺口仍存，供应链掌控力成为竞争关键。在AI巨头资本开支持续加码、"光替 铜"浪潮将至的背景下，光模块行业正站在量价齐升与格局重塑的交叉点，开启新一轮成长周 期。 业绩高增 2025年，光模块行业整体呈现"量价齐升"格局，头部企业凭借产品结构优化与产能优势，交出 亮眼业绩答卷。 天孚通信作为光器件领域龙头，业绩维持增长。 公司1月21日披露的业绩预告显示，2025年归 母净利润预计为18.81亿元~21.5亿元，同比增 ...

减持后，Morgan Stanley最新持好仓数目为991.798万股，持好仓比例由13.06%下降至12.87%。 格隆汇1月22日丨根据联交所最新权益披露资料显示，2026年1月16日，剑桥科技(06166.HK)遭Morgan Stanley在场内以每股均价83.7307港元减持好仓15.38万 股，涉资约1287.43万港元。 | 表格序號 | 大股東/董事/最高行政人員名 作出披露的 買入 / 賣出或涉及的 每股的平均價 | | | | | | 持有權益的股份數目 佔已發行的 有關事件的日期 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | 原因 | 股份數目 | | | 請參閱上述*註 | 有投票權股 (日 / 月 / 年) | | | | | | | 126 | | 份自分比 | | | | | | | | | 96 1 | | CS20260121E00243 | Morgan Stanley | 1201(L) | | 153.759(L | HKD 83.7307 | 9.917.975(L) | 12.87(L) 16/0 ...

Core Viewpoint - The number of companies in the A-share market forecasting profit growth for 2025 is increasing, driven significantly by the commercialization of AI technology and strong demand in various sectors [1][2][3]. Group 1: AI-Driven Growth - As of January 20, 177 companies in the A-share market have announced profit increases, with 55 companies expecting net profit growth exceeding 100% year-on-year, excluding those returning to profitability [1]. - Shanghai Jianqiao Technology Co., Ltd. anticipates a net profit of 252 million to 278 million yuan for 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 51.19% to 66.79%, driven by strong market demand for high-speed optical modules and other core businesses [1]. - Dongguan Dingtong Precision Technology Co., Ltd. expects a revenue growth of 54.37% and a net profit growth of 119.59% in 2025, attributed to robust demand in the AI-driven communications connector market [2]. Group 2: New Energy Sector Performance - Shanghai Putailai New Energy Technology Group Co., Ltd. forecasts a net profit of 2.3 billion to 2.4 billion yuan for 2025, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 93.18% to 101.58%, supported by the ongoing trend of electrification in the automotive market and strong demand in the energy storage market [2][3]. - The company highlights improvements in operational conditions and the introduction of new products and processes to capture high-end customer demand [3]. Group 3: Mining Sector Growth - Zijin Mining Group Co., Ltd. projects a net profit of approximately 51 billion to 52 billion yuan for 2025, with a year-on-year increase of 59% to 62%, driven by increased production of key mineral products and rising prices of gold, copper, and silver [4]. - Luoyang Luanchuan Molybdenum Group Co., Ltd. expects a net profit of 20 billion to 20.8 billion yuan for 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 47.80% to 53.71%, due to a combination of increased production and effective cost management [4]. - Analysts suggest that the prices of copper and other mineral resources are likely to remain high, benefiting related companies as demand from emerging industries continues to grow [4].

21世纪经济报道记者雷晨 全球AI算力建设正处于一个前所未有的爆发阶段，光模块作为数据高速传输的"血管"，迎来了真正的黄金年代。从2025年开始，800G需求持 续放量，1.6T已进入商用导入期，行业正从速率竞赛全面转向效率竞争。 随着2025年年度业绩预告陆续披露，以天孚通信、剑桥科技为代表的国内光模块龙头企业，交出了增速惊人的答卷，归母净利润同比增幅均超 40%，直观印证了AI算力基础设施需求激增带来的行业高景气度。 行业新周期已然来临，技术迭代与供需博弈成为核心主线。800G出货量同比翻倍至近2000万只，1.6T产品进入商用元年，头部厂商加速产能 卡位与技术攻坚。但光芯片供应缺口仍存，供应链掌控力成为竞争关键。 在AI巨头资本开支持续加码、"光替铜"浪潮将至的背景下，光模块行业正站在量价齐升与格局重塑的交叉点，开启新一轮成长周期。 业绩高增 去年，光模块行业整体呈现"量价齐升"格局，头部企业凭借产品结构优化与产能优势，交出亮眼业绩答卷。 天孚通信作为光器件领域龙头，业绩维持增长。公司1月21日披露的业绩预告显示，2025年归母净利润预计为18.81亿元-21.5亿元，同比增长 40%-60%，延续高增 ...

香港联交所最新资料显示，1月16日，大摩减持剑桥科技（603083）(06166)15.3759万股，每股作价 83.7307港元，总金额约为1287.43万港元。减持后最新持股数目约为991.8万股，最新持股比例为 12.87%。 ...

智通财经APP获悉，香港联交所最新资料显示，1月16日，大摩减持剑桥科技(06166)15.3759万股，每股 作价83.7307港元，总金额约为1287.43万港元。减持后最新持股数目约为991.8万股，最新持股比例为 12.87%。 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles highlights the optimistic outlook of fund managers on the technology sector, particularly in artificial intelligence, cloud computing, and robotics, as key investment directions for the upcoming years [1][3][12] - Fund managers are emphasizing the importance of risk management in the technology sector, which is characterized by high growth potential and volatility, advocating for diversified investment strategies [2][21] Group 2 - Fund manager Ren Jie focuses on global cloud computing investments, with a notable performance of the fund achieving a unit net value growth rate of 233.29% in 2025, ranking first among active equity funds [3][4] - The fund's latest quarterly report indicates a decrease in stock positions, with a stock market value proportion of 78.76%, down by 13 percentage points from the previous quarter [3][4] - The top ten holdings include companies like Shengyi Technology and Zhongji Xuchuang, with significant annual growth rates of 205.82% and 396.38% respectively [3][4] Group 3 - Fund manager Li Jin expresses a strong interest in artificial intelligence computing-related assets, focusing on sectors with the best growth potential, including technology, new energy, and pharmaceuticals [8][12] - The fund's top three holdings are Zhongji Xuchuang, Xinyi Technology, and Huamao Technology, with substantial increases in positions for companies like Dongshan Precision and Industrial Fulian [9][10] Group 4 - Fund manager Yan Siqian emphasizes the investment opportunities in manufacturing and low-carbon technologies, highlighting the importance of intelligent manufacturing and technological innovation for sustainable development [13][15] - The fund's top holdings include Wuzhou Xinchun and Zhenyu Technology, with significant increases in positions for companies like Beite Technology and Sili Technology [14][15] Group 5 - Fund manager Feng Ludan notes that the artificial intelligence industry is in the early stages of forming a bubble, suggesting a cautious approach to investment while monitoring technological advancements and business model validations [16][21] - The fund's latest report shows a stock position of 86.04%, with significant increases in holdings for companies like Huadian Technology and Tencent Holdings [18][19]