Group 1 - Baidu Intelligent Cloud has set an ambitious AI-related revenue growth target of 200% by 2026, up from the previous target of 100%, aiming to become the leader in the AI cloud market [1] - According to IDC, the global AI cloud market is expected to exceed $400 billion by 2030, indicating significant growth potential in the sector [2] - In 2025, major Chinese cloud providers are projected to secure a total of 341 contracts related to large models, with a total bid amount of approximately 2.7 billion yuan [2] Group 2 - Baidu Intelligent Cloud has secured 109 projects with a total bid amount of about 900 million yuan, maintaining its position as the leader in both project count and bid amount for two consecutive years [2] - Citic Securities reports that the demand for AI computing power is expanding, leading to a positive outlook for the optical module industry and opportunities across the supply chain [2] - Citic Securities also notes that Amazon's recent 15% price increase for its AI computing service EC2 marks a break from the long-standing trend of decreasing cloud service prices, reflecting tight supply conditions [2] Group 3 - Citic Securities suggests monitoring cloud service providers for potential price increases and continues to recommend the AI computing sector and AI applications [3] - The AI computing sector is experiencing a period of adjustment, which Citic Securities views as an opportunity for investors [4] - Key Hong Kong stocks related to the AI computing sector include Changfei Optical Fiber, Cambridge Technology, Hongteng Precision, and Huiju Technology [5]

Macro Research - The report highlights a "double hit" moment for US dollar assets due to Trump's comments on Greenland and tariff threats, alongside the early dissolution of the Japanese House of Representatives leading to a sell-off in Japanese bonds [3][4][22] - The US dollar's credit breakdown is re-emerging, with significant impacts on US stocks, bonds, and currencies, resulting in a strong performance of safe-haven assets like gold and silver, while cryptocurrencies face pressure [3][4][22] Strategy Research - In Q4 2025, active funds significantly reduced their holdings in A-shares and Hong Kong stocks, with a focus on increasing allocations to cyclical and financial value stocks, while reducing exposure to technology and healthcare sectors [7][26] - The report indicates a clear rotation in fund styles, with a notable shift towards large-cap cyclical and financial stocks, while growth and consumer sectors saw reductions in allocations [26][27] Fixed Income Research - The appreciation of the RMB and increased foreign exchange settlements may tighten interbank liquidity, depending on whether the central bank will actively increase the supply of base currency [11][14] Industry Research: Photovoltaic Equipment - The report anticipates a new cycle for the photovoltaic equipment industry driven by SpaceX and Tesla's plans to deploy a combined 200GW of solar capacity, with key equipment manufacturers expected to benefit [15][16] - The demand for solar expansion is expected to rise due to the increasing need for low-orbit satellites and the commercialization of space computing, which will drive the demand for core equipment [15][16] Fund Allocation Insights - The report notes a significant increase in allocations to cyclical and financial sectors, particularly in upstream industries like metals and chemicals, driven by improved supply-demand dynamics and geopolitical tensions [27][28] - The technology sector shows a marked divergence, with communication equipment receiving substantial increases due to AI infrastructure investments, while many tech segments faced reductions [27][28]

南华浩淞白糖期货气象分析报告 ——2月巴西降水量有望季节性回升 杨歆悦 投资咨询证书：Z0022518 联系邮箱：yangxy@nawaa.com 投资咨询业务资格：证监许可【2011】1290号 2026年1月26日 本周重要气象提示——巴西 当前巴西中南部处于甘蔗分蘖期，此阶段需要持续的高温环境， 积温越高（有效积温需 5000~6500℃），茎秆伸长速度越快，若此时温度低于 20℃，伸长会大幅放缓；需水增加，持水量 65%~70%，适度湿润利于分蘖苗萌发，干旱会导致分蘖少、有效苗数不足。 巴西中南部当前处于26/27榨季甘蔗生长阶段，受拉尼娜影响，整体降水偏低，近期降水偏少，气温回 升，土壤湿度小幅改善，但仍处于历史低位水平。从预报看，预计1月末至2月上旬，巴西中南部降水量季节 性回升，预计土壤湿度将得到改善。 巴西中南部近期降水偏少，处于低位水平，对于新榨季的甘蔗生长造成一定影响，当前的土壤湿度小幅 改善，但仍处于历史低位水平，不利于甘蔗的拔节。预计随着1月末至2月上旬降雨量增加，土壤湿度改善将 有助于甘蔗伸长。 巴西产区地图预报：降水&土壤湿度 source：浩淞风云 南华研究 source：浩淞风 ...

盈利预测 投资要点 Q4 受汇兑损失短期承压，全年业绩整体预增2025 年度，公司高速光模块业务受益于人工智能和全球数 据中心建设提速带来的旺盛市场需求，通过嘉善新生产基地投产、马来西亚生产基地产能爬坡及国内外 基地规划扩产的持续性产能布局，订单规模与发货数量同比均大幅增长。随着高速率、高毛利光模块占 比显著提升，整体销售毛利率也进一步改善。其中Q4 香港上市融资款项主要以港元外汇形式留存，受 港元汇率跟随美元汇率同步下跌影响，汇兑净损益由盈转亏，预计2025 年度汇兑损失约为8,161 万元， 对Q4 业绩增长产生一定负面影响，但未改变业绩整体预增的趋势。 聚焦硅光技术，上游物料供应储备充足 剑桥科技发布2025 年度业绩预增公告：预计 2025 年实现归母净利润2.52 亿元至2.78 亿元，同比增长 51.19%至66.79%，实现扣非归母净利润2.49 亿元至2.75 亿元，同比增长64.62%至81.81%。 公司光模块产品布局完善，包括Retimed1.6T2×DR4/DR8、1.6T2×FR4、OSFPDR8 及Gearbox800GDR4 等型号，同时涵盖LPO/LRO 相关机种，且以硅光技术 ...

Group 1 - Cambridge Technology is a global leader in optical connectivity, broadband, and wireless solutions [1] - The rapid development of AI is expected to lead to an outperformance in the optical module business [1] - The company is actively expanding overseas production capacity and investing in supply chain manufacturers through H-share issuance [1] Group 2 - With a strong background in products, production capacity, North American teams, and supply chain partnerships, the optical module business is poised for further breakthroughs in overseas markets [1] - The average industry valuation suggests a 2026 PE of 32.13x, corresponding to a target price of 161 yuan, with a rating of "Buy" [1]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the impressive performance of fund manager Ren Jie, who achieved a 233% annual return in 2025, and his latest portfolio reveals new investments and adjustments in holdings [1][2] - Ren Jie's top ten holdings include new positions in Dongshan Precision, Jingwang Electronics, Industrial Fulian, and Cambridge Technology, while he increased stakes in Shengyi Technology, Huadian Shares, Xinyi Technology, Shenzhen South Circuit, and Tianfu Communication, and reduced his position in Zhongji Xuchuang [1][2] - The report indicates that Ren Jie remains optimistic about AI, focusing on global cloud computing investments, and notes the performance of various indices during the fourth quarter of 2025 [2] Group 2 - The AI industry is experiencing a significant leap due to the launch of new multimodal models by leading companies, showcasing unique advantages in model iteration efficiency and application capabilities [3] - The application ecosystem is transitioning from scale expansion to structural upgrades, with a focus on user segmentation, differentiated capabilities, and deeper service offerings in high-barrier verticals like healthcare and enterprise-level applications [4] - The global AI model industry is in a phase of continuous capability enhancement and expanding application scenarios, indicating strong sustainability and certainty in development [5]

Group 1 - The CPO concept stocks in the A-share market experienced a collective decline, with notable drops in companies such as Xinyisheng and Zhongji Xuchuang falling over 6% [1] - Other companies like Tianfu Communication and Hengtong Optics also saw significant declines, with drops exceeding 5% and 4% respectively [1] - The overall trend indicates a bearish sentiment in the CPO sector, impacting multiple stocks negatively [1] Group 2 - Specific stock performance data shows Xinyisheng down by 6.65% with a total market value of 380.1 billion, and a year-to-date decline of 11.24% [2] - Zhongji Xuchuang decreased by 6.12%, with a market capitalization of 647.8 billion and a year-to-date drop of 4.43% [2] - Tianfu Communication fell by 5.58%, holding a market value of 146.8 billion and a year-to-date decline of 6.99% [2]

全球布局领导者，光模块业务有望超预期 剑桥科技(603083) ——剑桥科技首次覆盖报告 | [姓名table_Authors] | 电话 | 邮箱 | 登记编号 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 余伟民(分析师) | 010-50949926 | yuweimin@gtht.com | S0880525040028 | | 王彦龙(分析师) | 010-83939775 | wangyanlong@gtht.com | S0880519100003 | | 黎明聪(分析师) | 0755-23976500 | limingcong@gtht.com | S0880523080008 | 本报告导读： 全球领先的光连接、宽带与无线解决方案企业； AI 快速发展下，光模块业务有望超 预期。 投资要点： | [Table_Finance] 财务摘要(百万元) | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入 | 3,087 | 3,652 | 4,593 | 11 ...

Investment Rating - The report assigns a rating of "Buy" with a target price of 161 CNY [6][13]. Core Insights - Cambridge Technology is a global leader in optical connectivity, broadband, and wireless solutions, actively investing in high-end optical modules to capitalize on the rapid development of AI [3][17]. - The optical module business is expected to exceed expectations due to significant investments from North American cloud vendors, with the global optical module market projected to reach approximately 13 billion USD by 2025 and 16 billion USD by 2026 [18][67]. - The company has strengthened its North American presence through strategic acquisitions, enhancing its R&D and sales capabilities, which positions it well for future growth [17][30]. Financial Summary - Total revenue is projected to grow from 3,087 million CNY in 2023 to 18,079 million CNY by 2027, reflecting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 64.4% [5]. - Net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to increase from 95 million CNY in 2023 to 3,307 million CNY by 2027, with a significant growth rate of 86.7% in 2027 [5]. - Earnings per share (EPS) is forecasted to rise from 0.27 CNY in 2023 to 9.38 CNY by 2027 [5]. Business Overview - The company has three main product lines: telecommunications broadband products, wireless networks and small base stations, and high-speed optical modules, with broadband products contributing the largest revenue share [31]. - The company has established a global footprint with production and R&D facilities in various regions, including the U.S., Europe, and Malaysia, to meet the demands of its international customer base [46][50]. Market Trends - The North American market is experiencing a surge in capital expenditure driven by AI, with significant growth expected in the optical module sector as cloud vendors increase their investments [56][59]. - The demand for high-speed optical modules is anticipated to grow rapidly, with the company being one of the early developers of 400G/800G modules, positioning it favorably in the market [18][22]. Revenue Forecast - Revenue from high-speed optical components and modules is projected to grow significantly, with estimates of 11.26 billion CNY in 2025 and 137.69 billion CNY by 2027, reflecting a year-on-year growth rate of 534% in 2026 [23][24].

Core Insights - The 2025 annual performance of AI-themed funds has drawn market attention, with significant adjustments in their holdings during the reporting period [1] - There is a divergence among fund managers regarding investment opportunities in the AI sector for 2026, despite some funds experiencing substantial net value increases due to their investments in AI application stocks [9] Fund Adjustments - The top-performing active equity funds have made considerable adjustments to their AI asset holdings, with some funds increasing their positions in leading companies while others have reduced their stakes [1][4] - For instance, the fund Yongying Technology Select increased its holdings in Dongshan Precision, Jingwang Electronics, and others, while reducing its stake in Zhongji Xuchuang [1][4] - The fund Zhongou Digital Economy has also shifted its focus, increasing investments in domestic AI and AI infrastructure while reducing exposure to smart driving and edge AI [1][6] Sector Consensus and Divergence - There is a consensus among high-performing funds regarding the PCB sector, with several funds increasing their positions in companies like Dongshan Precision and Shengxin Technology [5][6] - However, there are notable divergences in the strategies of different funds regarding specific AI sub-sectors, such as the varying approaches to Zhongji Xuchuang [4][5] Future Outlook - Fund managers are considering how to capitalize on the expanding AI market, with a focus on the potential for significant breakthroughs in AI applications and the ongoing competition in the large model sector [10][11] - Some managers emphasize the importance of balancing growth potential with safety margins, while others highlight the need for diversified investments to mitigate risks associated with high valuations in the AI sector [12]