Core Viewpoint - The optical communication sector is experiencing a significant decline, with major stocks such as Changfei Optical Fiber and Huahong Semiconductor seeing notable drops in their share prices. The overall market sentiment appears to be negative, influenced by currency fluctuations and profit warnings from companies in the sector [1] Group 1: Stock Performance - Changfei Optical Fiber (601869) has decreased by 6.91%, trading at 86.2 HKD [1] - Huahong Semiconductor (01347) has fallen by 4.2%, currently at 98.1 HKD [1] - Huiju Technology (01729) is down by 3.86%, priced at 16.93 HKD [1] - Cambridge Technology (603083) has dropped by 3.06%, now at 71.25 HKD [1] - Hong Teng Precision (06088) has seen a decline of 2.87%, trading at 4.74 HKD [1] Group 2: Industry Outlook - According to Guotai Junan Securities, the performance forecast for 2025 has concluded, and the appreciation of the RMB is impacting the optical interconnection sector, particularly for companies focused on overseas exports [1] - The average potential impact on profits due to provisions and exchange rate fluctuations is estimated to be within 5%, although some companies may face impacts close to 50% of their profits [1] - Looking ahead to 2026, while individual company performance may vary, the overall outlook for the industry remains manageable [1] - The market for pluggable solutions is expected to continue improving, with new packaging and material technologies beginning to materialize, presenting opportunities for marginal changes [1]

Core Insights - The Chinese optical module industry has evolved from technology introduction during the "11th Five-Year Plan" to achieving technological independence, product upgrades, and scale expansion, becoming a core player in the global optical module market during the "14th Five-Year Plan" period, focusing on high-end and domestic production driven by 5G and computing power demands [1] National Policy Summary - Recent policies in China show a collaborative effort between national and local governments, focusing on technological breakthroughs and practical applications in the optical module industry. The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology (MIIT) has issued multiple documents, including the "2025-2026 Action Plan for Stable Growth in the Electronic Information Manufacturing Industry," which aims to promote the trial of 10G optical networks and the layout of computing power infrastructure [4][5] - Key areas of focus include integrating CPO (Co-Packaged Optics) and high-speed optical modules into critical technological breakthroughs, supporting the mass production of products like 800G and 1.6T [4][5] Provincial Policy Summary - Various provinces have developed their own policies aligned with the national "14th Five-Year Plan," emphasizing the development of optical communication, millimeter-wave, 5G enhancement, and quantum communication technologies. Local governments are also providing funding support for core technology research and development [13] - For instance, Beijing's policies include promoting advanced packaging technology for 1.6T silicon optical modules and enhancing broadband network capabilities to support user experiences exceeding 100 Mbps by 2025 [14] - Shanghai's initiatives focus on deploying 50G PON and 400G optical transmission technologies, aiming to create a fully optical direct connection network for data centers [17] Industry Development Trends - The optical module industry is expected to see significant growth driven by the increasing demand for high-speed data transmission in AI, industrial internet, and other applications. Policies are encouraging the development of high-reliability, low-power products suitable for industrial scenarios [4][5] - The goal is to enhance the domestic production rate of key components and technologies, with specific targets set for the market share of domestic CPO modules to reach 40% by 2025 [5][6] Investment Opportunities - The ongoing policy support and technological advancements present substantial investment opportunities in the optical module sector, particularly for companies involved in high-speed optical modules and related technologies. The focus on domestic production and technological independence further enhances the attractiveness of this sector for investors [1][4][5]

光模块概念股震荡走低，新易盛跌超8%，中际旭创、连特科技、剑桥科技等股纷纷跟跌。 ...

Group 1 - The CPO concept experienced a downward trend in early trading on February 4, with several companies facing significant declines [1] - New Yisheng (300502) and Zhongji Xuchuang (300308) both dropped nearly 10% [1] - Other companies such as Guanghe Technology (001389), Liante Technology (301205), Dongtianwei (301183), and Cambridge Technology (603083) saw declines exceeding 5% [1]

| 交易日期 | 证券简称 | 证券代码 | 成交价(元) 成交金额(万元) 成交量( * ) 买入营业部 | 是否为专场 卖出营业部 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 026-02-03 | 剑桥科技 | 603083 | 100.61 201.22 颜色 新品 | 委员正落舉總裁席 KO | 2月3日，剑桥科技大宗交易成交2万股，成交额201.22万元，占当日总成交额的0.07%，成交价100.61 元，较市场收盘价112.54元折价10.6%。 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the significant increase in stock prices of optical communication concept stocks, driven by strong capital expenditure growth in AI infrastructure from major companies like Microsoft and Meta [1] - Microsoft reported a record capital expenditure of $37.5 billion for the second fiscal quarter of 2026, representing a 66% year-on-year increase [1] - Meta anticipates its capital expenditure for 2026 to be between $115 billion and $135 billion, nearly double its 2025 capital expenditure [1] Group 2 - Both Microsoft and Meta's management emphasized that their investments in computing power will continue to increase in the coming quarters to support the training of next-generation large models and growing inference demands [1] - Citic Securities released a report indicating a surge in AI agent phenomena like Clawdbot and a significant increase in Tokes usage, projecting strong AI computing power demand in 2026 [1] - The optical fiber and cable industry has transitioned from recovery to a phase of simultaneous volume and price increases, with continued recommendations for the optical module industry chain due to high visibility in performance [1]

结合2024年报及1H25中报，已发布业绩预告的相关公司海外业务占比均较高，推测若忽略会对损益影 响，则相关公司利润水平有望更进一步，展望十五五开局首年，在上游器件供给紧张，需求端持续高景 气的背景下，相关公司具备更进一步业绩释放的基础。 智通财经APP获悉，中国银河证券发布研报称，截至2026年1月31日，中际旭创等光模块龙头标的相继 发布2025年度业绩预告，相关公司业绩普遍预增逾五成，但汇兑损益一定程度影响业绩释放节奏。当下 时点光通信仍处于相对低估的水平，在需求端持续放量的基础上，产能的紧缺仍将是2026年制约光通信 发展的主要瓶颈，在我国光模块厂商全球市占率居首并仍在持续提升的基础上，"十五五"期间内，产业 链向上游渗透的机遇较为充足。 中国银河证券主要观点如下： 光模块龙头标的业绩预告超预期，汇兑损益一定程度影响业绩释放节奏 发布业绩预期公告的相关公司业绩普遍增长超50%，龙头标的如中际旭创、新易盛等业绩实现超预期增 长，其中新易盛2025年预计将实现归属于上市公司股东的净利润94-99亿元，同增231.24%-248.86%，利 润增幅领先；中际旭创预计将实现归属于上市公司股东的净利润98-11 ...

南华期货丙烯产业周报 ——成本抬升，供应缩减 戴一帆（投资咨询资格证号：Z0015428） 研究助理：沈玮玮（期货从业证书：F03140197 ） 联系邮箱：shenweiwei@nawaa.com 交易咨询业务资格：证监许可【2011】1290号 2026年02月01日 第一章 核心矛盾及策略建议 1.1 核心矛盾 当前影响丙烯走势的核心矛盾有以下几点： 1）成本端成为短期主要扰动：成本端原油丙烷中长期来看依然会受到基本面及地缘的共同影响，但短期地缘 占据主导，周内美伊局势持续发酵，推动原油价格上涨，如果美国持续对伊朗进行威胁，风险溢价短期依然 会存在。 2）供应收缩带来供需差好转：本周供需差大幅回落，主要受到PDH检修的影响，近期金能、万华、巨正源等 陆续进入检修状态，PDH开工从76%大幅下行至60%，目前看金能、巨正源等预期都要检修到2月份，短期依 然提供支撑，但需关注丙烯价格上涨后下游的接受度。 3）情绪传染：近期盘面情绪同样占了很大的比例，上周下半周开始化工品的普涨以及本周周尾有色贵金属的 回调，都对盘面造成了比较大的影响。 我们认为，短期的上涨是成本+基本面+情绪共同作用下的结果，从理性的角度的 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles highlights the surge in optical communication stocks amid a tight AI computing power supply forecast extending through 2026, driven by increased capital expenditures from major tech companies like Meta and Microsoft [1][2] - Optical communication concept stocks have seen significant gains, with Changfei Fiber (601869) up 7.27% to HKD 84.1, Huiju Technology (01729) up 6.07% to HKD 15.72, Hong Teng Precision (06088) up 4.68% to HKD 4.92, and Cambridge Technology (603083) up 1.52% to HKD 83.25 [1] - The demand for AI computing power is driving upgrades in the optical communication industry, with strong capital expenditure from overseas cloud providers and TSMC, indicating robust demand for AI infrastructure [2] Group 2 - Despite short-term supply shortages of high-speed optical chips and materials, upstream manufacturers are actively expanding production, and the penetration of silicon photonics solutions is expected to alleviate supply chain bottlenecks [2] - NPO technology, with its advantages of low power consumption, high bandwidth, and maintainability, is becoming a key transitional solution for scaling up, with leading companies already positioning themselves to drive the industry towards more efficient optical interconnection architectures [2] - There is optimism regarding the growth potential of domestic optical communication leading companies [2]

Group 1: Cambridge Technology - The report initiates coverage on Cambridge Technology, predicting a target price of 161 CNY and a buy rating, with expected net profits of 261 million, 1.772 billion, and 3.307 billion CNY for 2025-2027, respectively [3] - The company is a global leader in optical connectivity, broadband, and wireless solutions, actively investing in high-end optical modules to capitalize on the rapid development of AI [3][4] - The optical module market is expected to grow significantly, reaching approximately 13 billion USD by 2025 and 16 billion USD by 2026, driven by increased AI investments from North American cloud vendors [4] Group 2: Tianfu Communication - Tianfu Communication has lowered its profit forecast and target price while maintaining a buy rating, with a revised net profit estimate of 2.08 billion CNY for 2025 [5][40] - The company anticipates stable demand growth despite slightly lower-than-expected performance, benefiting from the acceleration of AI industry development and global data center construction [41] Group 3: Kingsoft Cloud - Kingsoft Cloud is in a new growth phase driven by AI, with projected revenues of 9.51 billion, 11.685 billion, and 14.338 billion CNY for 2025-2027, respectively, despite expected net losses [9][33] - The company reported a significant revenue increase of 31.4% year-on-year in Q3 2025, with AI revenue growing approximately 120% [10][34] - Kingsoft Cloud is heavily investing in AI infrastructure, with 80% of its recent fundraising allocated to support AI business expansion [11][35] Group 4: Kevin Education - Kevin Education is positioned to improve profitability through its AI education initiatives, with projected revenues of 420 million, 572 million, and 760 million CNY for 2025-2027 [12][15] - The company has partnered with leading AI firms to enhance its educational technology capabilities, tapping into a significant market potential in AI education [14]