ORIENT CABLE (NBO)(603606)

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电力设备新能源行业点评:浙江省深远海项目陆续启动前期工作,六地机制电价新政落地
Guoxin Securities· 2025-06-30 06:38
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the electric equipment and new energy industry is "Outperform the Market" (maintained) [1] Core Insights - The offshore wind power projects in Zhejiang province are accelerating, with 13GW of projects' products and services being opened for bidding [1] - Six regions have released new mechanism electricity price policies, indicating a higher proportion of market-oriented transactions; no new mechanism electricity projects are planned for Inner Mongolia East and West [1] - Huadian New Energy plans to raise 18 billion RMB through an IPO, targeting investments in 11.3GW of photovoltaic and 3.9GW of wind power [1] - The national plan during the 14th Five-Year Plan period includes 253GW of photovoltaic projects for desertification control [1] - Powin, a leading U.S. energy storage integrator, has filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy protection [1][5] Summary by Sections Offshore Wind Power - Zhejiang's deep-sea development is accelerating, with multiple offshore wind farm projects announced, including a 5000MW project and others totaling 4000MW and 2000MW [2] Photovoltaic - Six regions have issued new mechanism electricity price policies, significantly increasing the market-oriented transaction ratio and raising revenue uncertainty [3] - Huadian New Energy's IPO aims to raise 18 billion RMB for various projects, including 8.5GW of centralized photovoltaic and 3.88GW of wind power [3] National Planning - The national plan for the 14th Five-Year Plan period includes a target of 253GW of photovoltaic installations to combat desertification by 2030 [4] Energy Storage - Powin, a major player in the U.S. energy storage market, has filed for bankruptcy, affecting several Chinese companies that are among its largest unsecured creditors [5] Company Profit Forecasts - Key companies' profit forecasts indicate varying growth, with Daikin Heavy Industries projected to achieve a net profit of 4.7 billion RMB in 2024, while Dongfang Cable is expected to reach 10.1 billion RMB [7]
电力设备新能源行业点评:2024年海风政府拍卖达56GW,固态电池产业化加速推进
Guoxin Securities· 2025-06-29 11:47
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the electric equipment and new energy industry is "Outperform the Market" (maintained) [2] Core Views - In 2024, global offshore wind government auctions are expected to reach 56GW, setting a historical record. The solid-state battery industrialization is accelerating, with equipment companies beginning to deliver solid-state battery equipment in small batches to clients. Battery manufacturers plan to deliver full solid-state battery samples to clients between 2025 and 2027 [2][3] - The demand for AIDC electric equipment remains strong, driven by continuous updates in AI models requiring sustained computational power [9] Summary by Relevant Sections Wind Power - The global offshore wind government auctions are projected to reach 56GW in 2024, marking a historical high. The total installed offshore wind capacity is expected to reach 83GW by the end of 2024, with an additional 48GW under construction [3] - In Poland, Equinor and Polenergia have made a final investment decision for the Bałtyk 2 and 3 offshore wind farms, with a total capacity of 1.4GW and an investment exceeding €7.2 billion [3] Solid-State Battery - The solid-state battery industrialization is progressing rapidly, with equipment manufacturers successfully delivering solid-state battery production equipment to leading domestic clients. Strategic partnerships are being formed to develop solid-state battery materials and production equipment [6] - The consumer battery sector is seeing an increase in silicon content, with projections indicating that by mid-2025, the silicon content in batteries could reach 25% [6] AIDC Electric Equipment - The demand for AIDC electric equipment is expected to remain robust, supported by the ongoing advancements in AI technologies and the need for enhanced computational capabilities [9] Grid Equipment - In May, the newly installed photovoltaic capacity reached 92.9GW, a year-on-year increase of 388%, while wind power installations reached 26.32GW, a year-on-year increase of 801% [10] - The State Grid Corporation of China has completed the equity transfer for a high-voltage direct current project in Greece, which will enhance connectivity between Crete and the European mainland [10] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on the following companies: 1. Wind Power: Goldwind Technology, Oriental Cable, Wide Special Materials, Zhongji United, Daikin Heavy Industries, Times New Material, Hezhong Electric [2][5] 2. Lithium Battery: CATL, Xiamen Tungsten, Rongbai Technology, Tiannai Technology, Zhuhai Guanyu, Haopeng Technology, Shenghong Co., Ltd. [8] 3. AIDC Electric Equipment: Jinpan Technology, Mingyang Electric, Igor, Hezhong Electric, Shenghong Co., Ltd. [9] 4. Grid Equipment: Guodian NARI, Siyuan Electric, Samsung Medical, Jinpan Technology, Pinggao Electric, Oriental Electronics, Sifang Co., Ltd., Jinbei Electric [10]
欧洲海风起,出口正当时
GOLDEN SUN SECURITIES· 2025-06-26 00:25
Investment Rating - Maintain "Buy" rating for major companies in the offshore wind sector, including 大金重工 and 明阳智能, while maintaining "Hold" for 东方电缆 and 天顺风能 [7] Core Insights - The offshore wind market is entering a growth cycle, particularly in Europe, with expected installations of 4.5GW and 8.4GW in 2025 and 2026 respectively, driven by favorable policies and declining material costs [1][11] - The demand for subsea cables is surging due to the high growth in offshore wind and electricity interconnection projects, with a projected CAGR of 27% for global offshore wind installations from 2024 to 2030 [2] - The European offshore wind foundation market is experiencing a price increase due to local capacity shortages, with prices for single piles expected to rise by 13% and 10% in 2023 and 2024 respectively [3] Summary by Sections Demand - Europe is set to see significant growth in offshore wind installations, with a total of 48.36GW expected from 2025 to 2030, primarily driven by the UK, Germany, Poland, and the Netherlands [14] - The European Union has updated its offshore wind capacity targets to 111GW by 2030 and 317GW by 2050, indicating strong policy support for the sector [16] Subsea Cables - The demand for subsea cables is expected to rise sharply due to the increasing need for offshore wind and electricity interconnection, with a capital expenditure plan of €400 billion by ENTSO-E for renewable integration by 2050 [2] Offshore Wind Foundations - The local production capacity for offshore wind foundations in Europe is expected to become tight around 2027, leading to price increases as demand outstrips supply [3] Wind Turbines - Chinese wind turbine manufacturers, such as 明阳智能, are entering the European market with a significant price advantage, being 19-24% cheaper than Western counterparts [3] - 明阳智能 has secured a 270MW project in Germany, showcasing its competitive edge in the European offshore wind market [3] Investment Recommendations - Companies like 东方电缆 and 中天科技 are well-positioned to benefit from the local capacity shortages in Europe, while 大金重工 is expected to see strong order fulfillment and performance [4]
风电板块2025年中期策略:短中长逻辑兼备,风电板块性机会明确
SINOLINK SECURITIES· 2025-06-24 11:34
Core Viewpoints - The wind power sector is viewed positively for short, medium, and long-term opportunities [3][4] - Short-term logic includes strong half-year reports and optimistic performance outlook for the second half of the year, driven by robust project initiation and revenue growth [4] - Medium-term logic highlights a reversal of three previously negative factors affecting investment sentiment in the wind power sector [4] - Long-term logic emphasizes the competitive advantages of wind power in the context of market-oriented trading and stable industry dynamics [4] Short-term Logic - The wind power sector is expected to benefit from strong performance in the first half of the year, with optimistic growth projections for Q2 [4] - The sector is experiencing a positive demonstration effect from strong stock performance of companies showing earnings improvement [4] Medium-term Logic - The three previously negative factors affecting the wind power sector have shown significant reversal: 1. Wind turbine price wars have shifted from deflation to inflation, with prices recovering since Q4 2024 [4] 2. The certainty of domestic offshore wind project advancement has significantly increased, with project approvals accelerating in 2025 [4] 3. European offshore wind demand has rebounded, with project returns improving due to supportive policies and decreasing interest rates [4] Long-term Logic - Wind power's output characteristics provide significant price advantages in a fully market-oriented trading environment [4] - The competitive landscape is expected to remain stable due to high barriers to entry and a customer base dominated by state-owned enterprises and large international energy groups [4] - There is substantial potential for export substitution across the industry chain, providing additional growth opportunities in overseas markets [4] Demand Outlook - Domestic wind power installations are projected to reach 110 GW in 2025, with significant contributions from both onshore and offshore projects [9][12] - The global wind power installation is expected to maintain a high level in 2026, supported by strong demand both domestically and internationally [5][6] Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on three main lines of investment: complete machines, offshore wind, and components [5][45] - Key companies to watch include Goldwind Technology, Envision Energy, Mingyang Smart Energy, and SANY Heavy Energy for complete machines [5] - For offshore wind, companies like Daikin Heavy Industries and Dongfang Cable are highlighted due to their expected performance in the growing market [5] - In the components sector, companies such as Risen Energy and Jinlei Technology are expected to benefit from seasonal production increases and price adjustments [5][70] Competitive Landscape - The wind power industry is characterized by a stable competitive structure, with limited new entrants due to high barriers and established market players [73] - The market share of leading companies has remained relatively stable, indicating a strong competitive position among top players [73][74]
看好新技术与盈利修复主线
HTSC· 2025-06-19 10:46
Group 1: Electric Vehicles - The report anticipates a 22% year-on-year increase in domestic new energy vehicle sales in 2025, driven by policies such as trade-in incentives, new model releases, and price reductions [2][16][22] - In Europe, the electric vehicle market is expected to grow by 22% in 2025, supported by carbon emission regulations and ongoing subsidies [2][18][22] - The global demand for power batteries is projected to grow at a rate of 25% in 2025, with a significant increase in battery capacity requirements due to enhanced vehicle range [22][24] Group 2: Wind Power - The domestic wind power market is expected to see a significant increase in installed capacity, with new installations projected at 100 GW for land-based and 12 GW for offshore wind in 2025, representing year-on-year growth of 23% and 114% respectively [3][4] - Internationally, the wind power market is forecasted to grow at a CAGR of 16.7% from 2025 to 2030, driven by increased policy support [3] - The report highlights opportunities in offshore wind and related supply chains, including wind turbines, piles, and submarine cables [3] Group 3: Photovoltaics - The report expects global photovoltaic installations to reach 530-560 GW in 2025, with a year-on-year growth of 0-6%, influenced by domestic demand and emerging markets [4] - Supply-side reforms are anticipated to play a crucial role in reshaping the industry, with a key window for these reforms expected between the second half of 2025 and the first quarter of 2026 [4] - New technologies such as bifacial cells and metallization processes are highlighted as areas of interest for future growth [4] Group 4: Energy Storage - The domestic energy storage market is projected to grow by 17% year-on-year in 2025, supported by strong bidding data and the advancement of market-oriented electricity pricing [5] - In the U.S., energy storage installations are expected to increase by 23% in 2025, despite concerns over subsidy reductions [5] - The European market is forecasted to see a 36% increase in energy storage installations in 2025, with significant contributions from large-scale commercial storage [5] Group 5: Industrial Control - The industrial control sector is experiencing a recovery, with growth expected in 2025 due to increased demand from traditional and new energy industries [9] - The report emphasizes the potential of humanoid robots and AIDC (Automatic Identification and Data Capture) technologies as key areas for investment [9] - Companies involved in high-value components and new technologies, such as PEEK materials and disc motors, are recommended for attention [9]
风电有望走出“周期”,迈向盈利与新成长
Orient Securities· 2025-06-17 04:15
Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is maintained as "Positive" [6] Core Viewpoints - The wind power sector is expected to emerge from its "cycle," moving towards profitability and new growth opportunities [2] - The land wind cycle is showing signs of recovery, with expectations for price and volume restoration [4] - The offshore wind cycle is at a turning point, with anticipation for marginal improvements [4] Summary by Sections Investment Recommendations and Targets - The report suggests focusing on the recovery of the wind power industry chain, highlighting companies such as Goldwind Technology (002202), Mingyang Smart Energy (601615), and others [4] - For offshore wind, it recommends companies with high relevance to offshore wind, including Dongfang Cable (603606) and Zhenjiang Co. (603507) [4] Market Trends - The bidding data for wind power projects from January to May 2025 shows a steady growth trend, with a total scale of approximately 64.46 GW, reflecting a year-on-year increase of nearly 20% [9] - The average bidding prices for land wind power projects have stabilized, indicating a potential recovery in profitability for the wind power industry chain [9] - The export of wind turbines is a key driver for long-term industry growth, with significant increases in international bidding volumes [9]
深化对外开放合作 上交所组织上市公司赴欧洲推介交流
Shang Hai Zheng Quan Bao· 2025-06-16 18:27
Group 1 - The Shanghai Stock Exchange (SSE) organized a promotional event in London and Geneva to enhance cross-border capital investment cooperation and showcase the achievements and potential of China's capital market [1] - Twelve leading companies from various sectors, including healthcare, high-end manufacturing, and information technology, participated in the roadshow, demonstrating their governance, innovation, and competitive advantages [2] - The event attracted over 70 international financial institutions, highlighting the opportunities for diversified investment in undervalued traditional industries and emerging sectors in China [2] Group 2 - The introduction of the STAR Market (科创板) has garnered significant attention from international investors, with over 200 foreign institutions conducting more than 500 research visits to A-share companies this year [3] - The SSE presented the STAR Market's initiatives in supporting innovation, facilitating business expansion, and attracting long-term capital, which have bolstered investor confidence in Chinese tech companies [3] - Foreign institutions expressed strong interest in understanding more about high-quality Chinese listed companies, indicating a growing appetite for investment in the Chinese market [4] Group 3 - The SSE has been actively promoting China's capital market reforms and various investment products to European institutions, receiving positive feedback regarding the investment potential of Chinese companies [4] - The SSE has visited 12 countries and regions in 2023 to enhance international investor engagement and communication channels, aiming to position China's capital market as a significant player in global asset allocation [5][6] - The SSE is committed to fostering an open and innovative environment to create shared development opportunities for both domestic and foreign investors [6]
电力设备及新能源行业双周报(2025、5、23-2025、6、5):国家能源局组织开展新型电力系统建设第一批试点工作-20250606
Dongguan Securities· 2025-06-06 08:38
Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Overweight," indicating that the industry index is expected to outperform the market index by more than 10% in the next six months [45]. Core Viewpoints - The report highlights the initiation of pilot projects for the construction of a new power system by the National Energy Administration, focusing on innovative technologies and models to drive breakthroughs in the sector [3][35]. - The report suggests paying attention to leading companies in virtual power plant technology, which is identified as a key support for the new power system [3][40]. Summary by Sections Market Review - As of June 5, 2025, the Shenwan Power Equipment industry has seen a decline of 2.16% over the past two weeks, underperforming the CSI 300 index by 1.23 percentage points, ranking 28th among 31 industries [11]. - The industry has experienced a year-to-date decline of 5.44%, again underperforming the CSI 300 index by 3.98 percentage points [11]. - The wind power equipment sector increased by 0.10%, while the photovoltaic equipment sector decreased by 2.43% in the last two weeks [11][17]. Valuation and Industry Data - As of June 5, 2025, the overall PE (TTM) for the power equipment sector is 24.42 times, with sub-sectors showing varied valuations: - Electric Motor II: 47.23 times - Other Power Equipment II: 39.92 times - Photovoltaic Equipment: 16.73 times - Wind Power Equipment: 30.46 times - Battery: 24.46 times - Grid Equipment: 23.80 times [26]. Industry News - The National Energy Administration has issued a notice to conduct pilot projects focusing on seven key areas, including virtual power plants and intelligent microgrids, to explore new technologies and models for the new power system [35]. - The report also mentions the promotion of green electricity direct connection development, emphasizing the importance of source-load matching [35]. Company Announcements - The report includes various company announcements, such as the completion of a hydrogen production and refueling station in Wuhai, which is expected to enhance logistics efficiency [38]. - It also notes the share repurchase plans of several companies, indicating ongoing corporate actions in the sector [38]. Weekly Perspective on Power Equipment Sector - The report emphasizes the importance of the new power system construction and suggests focusing on companies that are leading in virtual power plant technology [40]. - It highlights the potential for significant advancements in the sector, driven by government initiatives and technological innovations [40].
25年1-5月风电中标延续景气趋势
Orient Securities· 2025-06-04 11:47
Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is maintained as "Positive" [9] Core Viewpoints - The wind power bidding data from January to May 2025 shows a prosperous trend, with a total scale of approximately 64.46 GW, reflecting a year-on-year growth of nearly 20% [9] - International bidding maintains a high growth trend, with wind turbine exports expected to activate new capacity, as April exports reached 134 million USD, a year-on-year increase of 49.31% [9] - The first quarter of 2025 saw a 22.7% increase in domestic public bidding, indicating a potential shift from a "cycle" to a growth phase for the industry [9] Summary by Sections Investment Suggestions and Targets - The land wind cycle is recovering from the bottom, with a focus on companies like Goldwind Technology (002202), Mingyang Smart Energy (601615), and others in the wind power supply chain [4] - The offshore wind cycle is poised for improvement, with recommendations for companies like Dongfang Cable (603606) and Zhenjiang Co., Ltd. (603507) [4] Industry Statistics - In Q1 2025, the domestic public bidding market added 28.6 GW, with onshore capacity at 27.8 GW and offshore at 0.8 GW, indicating a positive outlook for industry demand [9][22]
电力设备及新能源周报:4月光伏装机量同环比提升显著,小米YU 7正式发布
Minsheng Securities· 2025-05-25 05:23
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for key companies in the electric power equipment and new energy sectors, including Ningde Times, Keda Li, and others [4][5]. Core Insights - The report highlights significant growth in the photovoltaic sector, with April's new installations reaching 45.22 GW, a year-on-year increase of 214.68% and a month-on-month increase of 74.56% [3][33]. - The electric vehicle market is bolstered by the launch of Xiaomi's Yu7, a high-performance SUV with advanced features, indicating a strong consumer interest in electric vehicles [2][22]. - The overall electricity consumption in April was 772.1 billion kWh, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 4.7%, indicating a stable demand for electric power [4]. Summary by Sections New Energy Vehicles - Xiaomi Yu7 was officially launched, featuring a luxurious design and advanced technology, including an 800V silicon carbide platform and a maximum range of 835 km [2][11]. - The vehicle offers both single and dual motor options, with impressive acceleration capabilities [16][22]. Photovoltaics - In the first four months of 2025, domestic photovoltaic installations totaled 104.93 GW, a year-on-year increase of 74.6% [3][33]. - The inverter exports reached 18.029 billion yuan, with April's exports alone at 5.817 billion yuan, showing strong demand driven by seasonal factors and overseas construction [3][36]. - The report notes a decline in component exports, totaling 62.241 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 26.54% [3][37]. Electric Power Equipment and Automation - The total electricity consumption for April was 772.1 billion kWh, with a cumulative total of 31,566 billion kWh for the first four months, marking a 3.1% year-on-year increase [4]. - Investment in power generation projects reached 193.3 billion yuan, a 1.6% increase year-on-year, while grid investment rose by 14.6% to 140.8 billion yuan [4]. Market Performance - The electric power equipment and new energy sector saw a weekly decline of 0.71%, underperforming compared to the Shanghai Composite Index [1]. - Lithium battery indices showed a significant increase of 2.69%, while solar energy indices experienced a decline of 3.46% [1].