每经AI快讯，1月30日，三棵树（603737）(603737.SH)公告称，预计2025年归属于上市公司股东的净利 润为7.60亿元至9.60亿元，同比增加128.96%到189.21%。业绩增长主要原因是：产品结构优化、渠道拓 展带动规模与毛利率提升；数字化转型推进提升运营效率、降低费用率；减值计提同比减少，经营质量 稳步提升。 ...

转自：前瞻产业研究院 以下数据及分析来自于前瞻产业研究院涂料研究小组发布的《中国涂料行业发展前景预测与投资战略规划分 析报告》 行业主要上市公司：三棵树(603737)、北新建材(000786)、亚士创能(603378)、松井股份(688157)等 本文核心数据：营业收入;营业利润;产品产量;毛利率 中国涂料市场：三棵树业务收入较高 三棵树和北新建材是中国本土领先涂料厂商。从业务收入来看，2025年1-6月三棵树涂料业务收入约33.69亿 元，高于北新建材;从毛利率来看，三棵树略高于北新建材，分别为32.81%和29.53%;从产品布局来看，两家 头部厂商涂料产品覆盖面均较广。 | 描标 | 三棵树 北新建材 | | | --- | --- | --- | | 2025年1-6月营业收入(亿元) | 58.16 | 135.58 | | 2025年1-6月涂料相关业务收入(亿元) | 33.69 | 25.11 | | 2025年1-6月毛利率(%) | 32.81% | 29.53% | | | 贝贝漆,净显全效高级内墙乳胶漆,净酸 | | | 涂料产品布局 | 乳胶漆、木器漆、防水涂料、基辅材 360 高 ...

【三棵树：2025年净利同比预增128.96%-189.21%】智通财经1月30日电，三棵树(603737.SH)公告称， 预计2025年归属于上市公司股东的净利润为7.60亿元至9.60亿元，同比增加128.96%到189.21%。主要因 产品结构优化、渠道拓展带动规模与毛利率提升；数字化转型推进提升运营效率、降低费用率；减值计 提同比减少，经营质量稳步提升。 转自：智通财经 ...

三棵树公告称，预计2025年年度实现归属于上市公司股东的净利润7.6亿元 - 9.6亿元，同比增加4.28亿 元 - 6.28亿元，增幅为128.96% - 189.21%；扣非净利润5.5亿元 - 7.5亿元，同比增加4.03亿元 - 6.03亿 元，增幅为273.57% - 409.42%。业绩预增因公司调整优化产品结构、推进数字化转型、减值计提减少。 上年同期归母净利润3.32亿元，扣非净利润1.47亿元。本次业绩预告未经审计，具体数据以年报为准。 ...

三棵树公告，预计2025年年度实现归属于上市公司股东的净利润在人民币7.6亿元到9.6亿元之间，与上 年同期相比，预计将增加人民币4.28亿元到6.28亿元，同比增加128.96%到189.21%。预计2025年年度实 现归属于上市公司股东的扣除非经常性损益的净利润在人民币5.5亿元到7.5亿元之间，与上年同期相 比，预计将增加人民币4.03亿元到6.03亿元，同比增加273.57%到409.42%。 ...

三棵树 20260129 摘要 三棵树近年来在业务模式和品类上进行了显著的调整。从 2024 年之前，公司 主要依赖工程业务，与房地产公司有深度绑定。然而，2024 年和 2025 年期 间，公司主动或被动地进行了转型，逐步将重心从工程业务转向零售业务。通 过发展大量零售商及双包业务（如马上住、艺术漆、美丽乡村等），公司的零 售营收占比实现了快速提升。这一转变不仅优化了公司的渠道类型，还增强了 其市场竞争力。 为什么三棵树选择从工程渠道拓展到零售化、经销化？ 三棵树主动转型，从工程业务转向零售业务，通过发展零售商及双包业 务，零售营收占比快速提升，优化渠道类型，增强市场竞争力。2025 年零售业务预计贡献利润约 2 亿元，未来增长潜力巨大。 公司战略选择基于市场环境，从全面拥抱工程渠道转向零售化、经销化， 旨在分散房地产行业波动带来的风险，增强市场覆盖能力，降低下游风 险。零售市场相对稳定且盈利能力较高，尤其受益于二手房交易后的装 修需求。 面对立邦中国等外资企业竞争，三棵树初期避开一二线城市，从三四线 城市入手，积累规模和品牌优势，逐步扩展至高能级城市。同时，积极 布局双包门店，抢占市场份额，强化品牌影响力 ...

Core Viewpoint - The renovation and building materials sector experienced a slight increase, closing at 18,076.57 points with a growth rate of 0.91%, driven by several stocks in the sector showing positive performance [1]. Group 1: Stock Performance - Keshun Co. closed at 7.61 CNY per share, leading the sector with a growth rate of 13.58% [1]. - Dongfang Yuhong closed at 17.95 CNY per share, with a growth rate of 7.87%, ranking second in the sector [1]. - Sankeshu closed at 57.88 CNY per share, achieving a growth rate of 7.58%, ranking third in the sector [1]. - Kangxin New Materials closed at 3.81 CNY per share, leading the decline with a drop of 8.19% [1]. - Xiong Plastic Technology closed at 10.38 CNY per share, with a decline of 3.98%, ranking second in losses [1]. - Mona Lisa closed at 16.46 CNY per share, with a decline of 3.23%, ranking third in losses [1]. Group 2: Market Outlook - China Galaxy's research report indicates that both consumption and investment are working together to expand domestic demand, with consumption upgrades driving the high-quality transformation of building materials [1]. - The Central Economic Work Conference mentioned plans to "deeply implement special actions to boost consumption" by 2026, which aligns with the 14th Five-Year Plan's suggestion to "remove unreasonable restrictions on consumption" [1]. - It is anticipated that by 2026, housing purchase restrictions in various regions will gradually be relaxed, enhancing expectations for a recovery in the home decoration market and boosting demand for building materials [1].

Core Viewpoint - The renovation and building materials sector experienced a significant increase of 3.24% on January 29, with Keshun Co., Ltd. leading the gains. The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4157.98, up 0.16%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 14300.08, down 0.3% [1]. Group 1: Stock Performance - Keshun Co., Ltd. (300737) closed at 7.61, up 13.58%, with a trading volume of 942,800 shares and a transaction value of 700 million yuan [1]. - Dongfang Yuhong (002271) closed at 17.95, up 7.87%, with a trading volume of 951,200 shares and a transaction value of 1.684 billion yuan [1]. - Sankeshu (603737) closed at 57.88, up 7.58%, with a trading volume of 108,600 shares and a transaction value of 620 million yuan [1]. - Jianlang Hardware (002791) closed at 24.27, up 6.92%, with a trading volume of 1,227,300 shares and a transaction value of 548 million yuan [1]. - Other notable stocks include Tubaobao (002043) at 16.68, up 6.45%, and Weixing New Materials (002372) at 12.51, up 4.86% [1]. Group 2: Capital Flow - The renovation and building materials sector saw a net inflow of 141 million yuan from institutional investors, while retail investors experienced a net outflow of 54.71 million yuan [2]. - The main capital inflow was observed in Dongfang Yuhong, with a net inflow of 134 million yuan, while Keshun Co., Ltd. had a net inflow of approximately 87.29 million yuan [3]. - Other companies like Wanlishi (002785) and Weixing New Materials (002372) also saw significant net inflows of 39.40 million yuan and 37.56 million yuan, respectively [3].

Summary of Conference Call on Building Materials Industry Industry Overview - The building materials industry is experiencing a price increase trend driven primarily by demand, particularly in the electronic fabric sector, with significant contributions from AI electronic fabric expected in 2026 [1][2] - The fiberglass industry is projected to continue its upward trajectory, with traditional electronic fabric prices having increased three times since Q4 2025, totaling approximately 0.6 yuan [1][2] Key Insights - **Fiberglass Market**: The demand for AI electronic fabric is a major driver for fiberglass price increases, with expectations of continued growth in 2026 [1][2] - **High-End Yarn Market**: The supply of high-end yarn (e.g., wind power sand, thermoplastic sand) remains stable, with a marginal decrease in effective supply of approximately 400,000 tons compared to 2025. Wind power sand demand was close to 1.2 million tons last year, maintaining high levels [5] - **Consumer Building Materials**: The consumer building materials sector has seen a significant decline in real estate demand since 2021, with the waterproof materials market size dropping from 200 billion to around 80-90 billion. The CR3 market share has increased from over 30% to over 40% due to a high exit rate of small enterprises [6] Company Recommendations - **Fiberglass Leaders**: China Jushi is recommended as the largest traditional building materials leader, with an expected profit of approximately 5 billion yuan and a market capitalization space of 120-130 billion yuan [3] - **Consumer Building Materials**: Recommended companies include: - Sanke Tree - Rabbit Baby - Henkel Group - Additional companies to watch: Yuhong, Keshun, Weixing, and Beixin Building Materials [3][6] - **Glass Industry**: Key players to focus on include: - Qibin Group - Xinyi Glass - These companies are expected to have strong profitability and may benefit from price recovery once the industry reaches a supply-demand balance [7] Challenges and Opportunities - **Glass Industry Challenges**: The glass industry is expected to face overall losses starting in the second half of 2024, with significant pressure on small enterprises leading to potential bankruptcies. Inventory levels are high, with some small companies holding over 40 days of inventory [7] - **Production Capacity**: Anticipated cold repairs of production lines in Q1 may further reduce capacity to around 140,000-145,000 tons [7] Conclusion - The building materials sector is currently navigating a complex landscape of price increases driven by demand, particularly in electronic fabrics and high-end yarns. Key companies in fiberglass and consumer building materials are positioned to benefit from these trends, while the glass industry faces significant challenges that may present both risks and opportunities for recovery in the future [1][2][3][6][7]

1月29日，三棵树涨5.22%，截至发稿，报56.61元/股，成交1.03亿元，换手率0.25%，总市值417.68亿 元。 资料显示，三棵树涂料股份有限公司位于福建省莆田市荔城区荔园北大道518号，成立日期2003年7月17 日，上市日期2016年6月3日，公司主营业务涉及建筑涂料(墙面涂料)、木器涂料及防水材料、地坪材 料、保温材料、一体化板、基辅材的研发、生产和销售。主营业务收入构成为：工程墙面漆30.87%， 基材与辅材29.79%，家装墙面漆27.07%，防水卷材7.91%，其他(补充)2.32%，装饰施工2.04%。 从三棵树十大流通股东角度 从基金十大重仓股角度 数据显示，鹏华基金旗下1只基金重仓三棵树。鹏华领航一年持有期混合A（011574）四季度减持3.59万 股，持有股数7.66万股，占基金净值比例为8.24%，位居第一大重仓股。根据测算，今日浮盈赚取约 21.52万元。 鹏华领航一年持有期混合A（011574）成立日期2021年6月22日，最新规模2208.1万。今年以来收益 13.93%，同类排名1113/8866；近一年收益46.54%，同类排名2637/8126；成立以来收益56. ...