Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the construction materials sector [4] Core Views - The real estate market in first-tier cities has shown strong performance, particularly in second-hand housing transactions, indicating a potential recovery in the sector [1][2] - Government debt issuance has significantly increased, with a total of 863.35 billion yuan in January 2026, reflecting a 204.3% month-on-month increase and a 54.8% year-on-year increase, which may alleviate fiscal pressure and accelerate municipal projects [1] - The glass manufacturing sector is approaching a supply-demand balance due to accelerated cold repairs, while photovoltaic glass companies are reducing production to ease supply tensions [1][3] - The cement industry is experiencing a demand bottoming process, with increased off-peak production efforts and a focus on regional demand recovery, particularly in areas like Tibet and Xinjiang [1][2] - The demand for fiberglass remains robust, driven by growth in wind energy and high-end applications, indicating structural investment opportunities [1][6] Summary by Sections Cement Industry Tracking - As of January 30, 2026, the national cement price index is 342.94 yuan/ton, down 0.69% week-on-week, with a total cement output of 2.278 million tons, a decrease of 4.27% [2][18] - The capacity utilization rate for cement clinker kilns is 45.19%, up 2.77 percentage points from the previous week, indicating a slight recovery in production [2][18] - The market is currently undergoing structural adjustments, with infrastructure remaining the main support but showing weak growth [2][18] Glass Industry Tracking - As of January 29, 2026, the average price of float glass is 1144.80 yuan/ton, reflecting a week-on-week increase of 0.53% [3][31] - Inventory levels have decreased, with a total of 49.27 million weight boxes, down 500,000 from the previous week [3][31] - Demand is expected to slow down as many small processing plants will shut down for the holiday, leading to a quieter market [3][31] Fiberglass Industry Tracking - The price of non-alkali roving remains stable, with demand primarily driven by essential purchases, while supply remains unchanged [6] - The average price of electronic yarn is stable, with expectations of price increases in high-end products due to ongoing demand [6] Carbon Fiber Industry Tracking - The carbon fiber price remains stable, with a weekly production of 2,369 tons and an operating rate of 76.28% [7] - The industry continues to face profitability challenges, with an average production cost of 113,300 yuan/ton and a negative gross margin [7] Consumer Building Materials - The consumer building materials sector is benefiting from the recovery in second-hand housing and renovation demand, with significant potential for market share growth [1][6]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the construction materials sector, indicating a positive outlook for the industry [2]. Core Views - The construction materials sector is expected to benefit from a new round of urban renewal, with significant potential in the consumer building materials segment as it shows resilience against the declining demand in the new housing market [2][9]. - The industry is witnessing a consolidation trend, with leading companies emerging from the profit trough, while smaller firms are being eliminated due to declining profitability [2][9]. - Price increases have been observed in various segments, including waterproofing, coatings, and gypsum board, as companies adjust their strategies post-downturn [2][9]. Summary by Sections Cement - The cement market is entering a traditional off-season, with demand expected to weaken. The average price is around 350 RMB per ton, showing a slight decrease of 2.7 RMB per ton [25][32]. - The average shipment rate for cement companies has increased by approximately 3 percentage points, reaching about 32% [27][32]. - Recommendations include companies like Huaxin Cement and Conch Cement, with a focus on potential new projects post-Chinese New Year [32]. Glass - The glass sector is also entering a demand lull, with the average price of float glass at 1,145 RMB per ton, reflecting a weekly increase of 6 RMB [34]. - Inventory levels have decreased, with a reported stock of approximately 4,927 million weight boxes, down by 1% week-on-week [34]. - Companies to watch include Qibin Group and Xinyi Glass, as the industry anticipates a stabilization point after recent downturns [34][46]. Fiberglass - The fiberglass market is expected to maintain stable prices in the short term, with a potential for price increases post-holiday due to stable demand in wind power and thermoplastic sectors [9][12]. - The price of electronic cloth is currently stable, with expectations for continued high demand in mid-to-high-end products [12]. - Key recommendations include China Jushi and International Composites, with a focus on their growth potential [9][12]. Carbon Fiber - Carbon fiber prices are stable, with the commercial aerospace sector expected to drive new demand growth in 2026 [12][15]. - The industry is currently facing profitability pressures, but the development of commercial aerospace may provide new opportunities [12][15]. - Companies to monitor include Zhongfu Shenying and Guangwei Composites, as they may benefit from this emerging demand [12][15].

Core Insights - The construction materials industry is currently at a low valuation level, with a focus on urban renewal and related opportunities. The allocation ratio for construction materials in Q4 2025 is 0.72%, an increase of 0.11 percentage points from Q3 2025, indicating significant potential for valuation recovery [6][15]. Group 1: Urban Renewal and Market Dynamics - The Ministry of Natural Resources and the Ministry of Housing and Urban-Rural Development issued a notice on January 20, 2026, to support urban renewal actions, providing specific operational guidelines for the "14th Five-Year Plan" urban renewal strategy. This includes a focus on "two renewals and two new projects," emphasizing the construction of underground pipelines and comprehensive utility tunnels [24]. - Companies involved in urban renewal and the renovation of old neighborhoods, such as Dongfang Yuhong, Keshun Co., Sankeshu, Weixing New Materials, and China Liansu, are recommended for attention [24]. Group 2: Construction Materials Sector Overview - The construction materials sector is experiencing a recovery in profitability, with expectations for continued improvement in 2026. The supply-side adjustments and structural changes in demand are expected to support this recovery [37]. - The cement market saw a 0.8% decrease in prices week-on-week, with the national average price at 345 RMB/ton as of January 30, 2026. The industry is currently at a historical low valuation, with companies like Huaxin Cement, Conch Cement, and Shafeng Cement recommended for investment [6][38]. Group 3: Key Company Developments - Keshun Co. established a semiconductor company to explore a second growth curve, focusing on integrated circuit chips and related technologies [20]. - Weixing New Materials plans to acquire an 88.26% stake in Beijing Songtiancheng Technology Co., enhancing its capabilities in municipal pipeline systems and expanding its market reach [23]. - Leading companies in the construction materials sector, such as Sankeshu and Huaxin Cement, are expected to report significant profit growth in 2025, driven by strong operational resilience and strategic adjustments [25][27].

证券代码：603737 证券简称：三棵树 公告编号：2026-005 三棵树涂料股份有限公司 2025年年度业绩预增公告 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈述或者重大遗漏，并对其内容 的真实性、准确性和完整性承担法律责任。 重要内容提示： ● 本次业绩预告的具体适用情形：实现盈利，且净利润与上年同期相比上升50%以上。 ● 三棵树涂料股份有限公司（以下简称"公司"）预计2025年年度实现归属于上市公司股东的净利润在人 民币76,000万元到96,000万元之间，与上年同期相比，预计将增加人民币42,806万元到62,806万元，同比 增加128.96%到189.21%。 ● 公司预计2025年年度归属于上市公司股东的扣除非经常性损益的净利润在人民币55,000万元到75,000 万元之间，与上年同期相比，预计将增加人民币40,277万元到60,277万元，同比增加273.57%到 409.42%。 一、本期业绩预告情况 （一）业绩预告期间 2025年1月1日至2025年12月31日（以下简称"报告期"）。 （二）业绩预告情况 经财务部门初步测算，预计2025年年度实现归属于上市公 ...

（编辑 王雪儿） 证券日报网讯 1月30日，三棵树发布公告称，公司预计2025年年度实现归属于上市公司股东的净利润在 人民币76，000万元到96，000万元之间，与上年同期相比，预计将增加人民币42，806万元到62，806万 元，同比增加128.96%到189.21%。 ...

Group 1 - Guangdong Mingzhu expects a net profit increase of 2908.49%-3577.04% year-on-year for 2025 [1] - Sainuo Medical anticipates a net profit growth of 2767%-3233% year-on-year for 2025 [1] - Lingdian Electric Control forecasts a net profit rise of 640.16%-804.64% year-on-year for 2025 [1] - Bojie Co. predicts a net profit increase of 484.16%-618.97% year-on-year for 2025 [1] - Kexing Pharmaceutical expects a net profit growth of 328.83%-455.89% year-on-year for 2025 [1] - Xiangcai Co. anticipates a net profit increase of 266.41%-403.81% year-on-year for 2025 [1] - Xinyi Sheng forecasts a net profit rise of 231.24%-248.86% year-on-year for 2025 [1] - Tongzhou Electronics predicts a net profit increase of 151.40%-230.42% year-on-year for 2025 [1] - Zhaofeng Co. expects a net profit growth of 136.26%-164.89% year-on-year for 2025 [1] - Kaige Precision Machinery anticipates a net profit increase of 133.99%-193.55% year-on-year for 2025 [1] - Sankeshu forecasts a net profit rise of 128.96%-189.21% year-on-year for 2025 [1] - Huazi Industrial expects a net profit growth of 128.00%-167.00% year-on-year for 2025 [1] - Zhite New Materials anticipates a net profit increase of 117.11%-171.39% year-on-year for 2025 [1] - Ecovacs expects a net profit growth of 110.90%-123.30% year-on-year for 2025 [1] - Jingquan Hua forecasts a net profit increase of 109.32%-140.72% year-on-year for 2025 [1] - Guoxuan High-Tech anticipates a net profit rise of 107.16%-148.59% year-on-year for 2025 [1] - Changjiang Securities expects a net profit growth of 101.37% year-on-year for 2025 [1] - Shanwaishan forecasts a net profit increase of 98%-125% year-on-year for 2025 [1] - Zhongji Xuchuang anticipates a net profit rise of 89.50%-128.17% year-on-year for 2025 [1] - Huachuang Yuxin expects a net profit growth of 86%-175% year-on-year for 2025 [1] - Kori Technology forecasts a net profit increase of 68.61%-115.25% year-on-year for 2025 [1] - Western Gold anticipates a net profit rise of 67.58%-93.21% year-on-year for 2025 [1] - Shandong Gold expects a net profit growth of 56%-66% year-on-year for 2025 [1] - Huaxi Biological anticipates a net profit increase of 54.93%-83.63% year-on-year for 2025 [1] - Nairui Radar expects a net profit growth of approximately 54.16% year-on-year for 2025 [1] - Lingyun Optical anticipates a net profit rise of approximately 50.75% year-on-year for 2025 [1] - Zhongjin Company expects a net profit increase of 50%-85% year-on-year for 2025 [1] - Dongwu Securities forecasts a net profit growth of 45%-55% year-on-year for 2025 [1] - Longping High-Tech anticipates a net profit increase of 14.17%-66.86% year-on-year for 2025 [1] Group 2 - Jiangfeng Electronics expects a net profit increase of 7.5%-27.5% year-on-year for 2025 [2]

本期业绩预增的主要原因：1、报告期内，公司根据市场环境及需求变化，积极调整和优化产品结构， 拓宽市场营销渠道，业务规模和整体毛利率较上年同期均有所增长。2、公司稳步推进数字化转型，有 效提升了生产运营效率与精益化管理水平，整体费用率有所下降。3、报告期内，减值计提同比有所减 少，整体经营质量实现稳步提升。 智通财经APP讯，三棵树(603737.SH)发布2025年年度业绩预增公告，预计2025年年度实现归属于上市 公司股东的净利润在人民币76,000万元到96,000万元之间，与上年同期相比，预计将增加人民币42,806 万元到62,806万元，同比增加128.96%到189.21%。 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Market Weight" rating for the building materials industry, indicating that the industry index is expected to perform within ±10% of the market index over the next six months [49]. Core Insights - The building materials industry is experiencing a recovery in profitability, with some consumer building materials products seeing price increases due to rising raw material costs [2][5]. - The cement sector is expected to show resilience in profitability, supported by significant infrastructure projects and urban renewal initiatives in 2026, despite a projected decline in cement production in 2025 [4][41]. - The glass and fiberglass sectors are undergoing structural adjustments, with a focus on high-end products and green transformation, while traditional segments face challenges from real estate market weaknesses [42][43]. - The consumer building materials segment is witnessing a trend of price stabilization and recovery, driven by demand for renovation and urban renewal, despite a slowdown in new construction [44]. Summary by Sections Cement Industry - In Q1 2026, cement companies are expected to implement significant production cuts, with an average shutdown period of 46 days nationwide, aimed at balancing supply and demand [4][41]. - The average cost of P.O42.5 bulk cement is reported at 197 RMB/ton, with a gross profit margin of 17% [4]. - The industry is projected to recover gradually, contingent on effective supply-side policies and infrastructure investment [4][41]. Glass and Fiberglass - The flat glass market is expected to stabilize as production capacity is controlled and environmental standards are enforced, although demand remains weak due to real estate sector challenges [42]. - The fiberglass industry is in a recovery phase, with a focus on eliminating inefficient capacity and enhancing production quality through technological upgrades [43]. Consumer Building Materials - Major companies like Keshun and Sankeshu have announced price increases due to rising costs of raw materials, indicating a trend towards price recovery in the sector [44]. - The demand for renovation and urban renewal is expected to drive growth, while leading companies are enhancing their market share through brand strength and service improvements [44]. Recommended Stocks - The report suggests focusing on companies with strong fundamentals and high dividend yields, including Shangfeng Cement, Tapa Group, and Huaxin Cement [4][45].

本期业绩预增的主要原因：1、报告期内，公司根据市场环境及需求变化，积极调整和优化产品结构， 拓宽市场营销渠道，业务规模和整体毛利率较上年同期均有所增长。2、公司稳步推进数字化转型，有 效提升了生产运营效率与精益化管理水平，整体费用率有所下降。3、报告期内，减值计提同比有所减 少，整体经营质量实现稳步提升。 格隆汇1月30日丨三棵树(603737.SH)公布，公司预计2025年年度实现归属于上市公司股东的净利润在人 民币7.6亿元到9.6亿元之间，与上年同期相比，预计将增加人民币4.28亿元到6.28亿元，同比增加 128.96%到189.21%。 公司预计2025年年度归属于上市公司股东的扣除非经常性损益的净利润在人民币5.5亿元到7.5亿元之 间，与上年同期相比，预计将增加人民币4.03亿元到 6.03亿元，同比增加273.57%到409.42%。 ...

公司预计2025年年度归属于上市公司股东的扣除非经常性损益的净利润在人民币5.5亿元到7.5亿元之 间，与上年同期相比，预计将增加人民币4.03亿元到 6.03亿元，同比增加273.57%到409.42%。 格隆汇1月30日丨三棵树(603737.SH)公布，公司预计2025年年度实现归属于上市公司股东的净利润在人 民币7.6亿元到9.6亿元之间，与上年同期相比，预计将增加人民币4.28亿元到6.28亿元，同比增加 128.96%到189.21%。 本期业绩预增的主要原因：1、报告期内，公司根据市场环境及需求变化，积极调整和优化产品结构， 拓宽市场营销渠道，业务规模和整体毛利率较上年同期均有所增长。2、公司稳步推进数字化转型，有 效提升了生产运营效率与精益化管理水平，整体费用率有所下降。3、报告期内，减值计提同比有所减 少，整体经营质量实现稳步提升。 ...