证券代码：605296 证券简称：神农集团 公告编号：2025-056 云南神农农业产业集团股份有限公司 2025 年 4 月养殖业务主要经营数据公告 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈 述或者重大遗漏，并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承担法律责任。 云南神农农业产业集团股份有限公司（以下简称"公司"）现将 2025 年 4 月养殖业务主要经营数据披露如下： 一、2025 年 4 月养殖业务主要经营数据 单位：万头 | 主要产品 | 销售量 | | 销售量同比增减(%) | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 当月 | 累计 | 当月 | 累计 | | 生猪 | 22.73 | 108.77 | 32.85 | 62.83 | 2025 年 4 月份，公司销售生猪 22.73 万头（其中：商品猪销售 21.00 万头， 仔猪销售 1.32 万头），销售收入 3.98 亿元。其中向集团内部屠宰企业销售生猪 3.29 万头。 2025 年 4 月份，公司商品猪价格呈现下降趋势，商品猪销售均价 14.68 元/ 公斤，比 2025 年 3 月份 ...

Group 1: Company Overview - Shennong Group (605296.SH) reported a steady decline in breeding costs, maintaining industry-leading per-head profits, with 2024 revenue expected to increase by 43.51% to 5.584 billion yuan and a net profit of 687 million yuan [10] - The company aims to achieve an average complete cost target of under 13 yuan per kilogram by 2025, leveraging improvements in health, scale effects, and management efficiency [10][12] - The breeding performance is in the top tier of the industry, with a PSY of 29 heads and a survival rate of approximately 86% as of January 2025 [11] Group 2: Industry Insights - The agricultural sector, particularly in livestock, is expected to benefit from a recovery in breeding costs and an increase in demand for high-quality meat products [8] - The overall livestock industry is experiencing a recovery phase, with Shennong Group's breeding output target set at 3.2 to 3.5 million heads for 2025, indicating a stable growth trajectory [12] - The company has established a core breeding project in collaboration with PIC China and Juxing Agriculture, which is expected to ensure a stable supply of high-quality breeding pigs in the future [11]

近期，《每日经济新闻》记者走访了神农集团生产基地以及采访了公司高管。受访人提到，在养猪成本越来越"卷"的情况下，公司仍然要考虑去做难的事 情。除开饲料做出的贡献之外，神农集团降成本的关键是基因改良。不过，从企业大的战略来讲，养猪目前"卷"成本已经进入末端，增量要考虑"出海"和全 产业链发展。需要注意的是，神农集团对养猪"出海"保持谨慎，公司高管表示要考虑供应链、海外团队建设等问题。 降成本的边际效应递减，但要做难的事 每经记者 胥帅 每经编辑 张益铭 要论今年的行业逆势增长韧性，养猪行业不得不提。在养猪行业中，一家来自云南的企业，养猪规模排名并不高，但成本却做到行业第一梯队，个别月份甚 至做到行业第一。 这家企业就是神农集团，它为什么能做到？ 4月28日晚间，神农集团发布2024年年报及2025年一季报。2024年，公司实现营收55.84亿元，同比增长43.51%；归母净利润为6.87亿元，同比增长 271.16%。今年第一季度，公司实现营收14.72亿元，同比增长35.97%；归母净利润2.29亿元，同比增长6510.85%。 神农集团今年一季度业绩同比大增，一部分原因是生猪价格的同比增长。公司去年3月的商 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating a positive outlook for its future performance [3]. Core Views - The company has demonstrated strong revenue growth, with 2024 revenue reaching 5.584 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 43.51%, and a return to profitability with a net profit of 687 million yuan [1]. - The first quarter of 2025 also showed robust performance, with revenue of 1.472 billion yuan, up 35.97% year-on-year, and a net profit of 229 million yuan [1]. - The company's growth is driven by capacity expansion and cost optimization, with a focus on increasing the number of breeding sows and reducing breeding costs [2]. - The company has a solid financial structure, with a low debt ratio of 27.81% as of the end of Q1 2025, which supports its long-term expansion plans [3]. Summary by Sections Revenue and Profitability - In 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 5.584 billion yuan, with a net profit of 687 million yuan, marking a significant turnaround from losses in previous years [1]. - For 2025, the revenue forecast is set at 8.042 billion yuan, with a projected net profit of 569 million yuan [4]. Capacity and Cost Management - As of March 2025, the company has a breeding sow inventory of 128,000, an increase from 121,000 at the end of 2024, with ongoing capacity expansion expected to be completed by mid-2025 [2]. - The cost of breeding has been optimized, with the total cost per kilogram dropping to approximately 12.4 yuan in Q1 2025 [2]. Financial Health - The company raised 290 million yuan through a private placement to accelerate capacity construction, enhancing its financial strength [3]. - The asset-liability ratio has decreased by 1.72 percentage points year-on-year, indicating improved financial stability [3]. Profit Forecasts - The net profit forecast for 2025 has been raised to 569 million yuan, reflecting an increase of 111.8% from previous estimates, with further increases projected for 2026 and 2027 [3].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [4] Core Views - The company reported a net profit of 229 million yuan for Q1 2025, with a debt-to-asset ratio of 27.8% at the end of the quarter. In 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 5.584 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 43.5%, and a net profit of 687 million yuan, marking a turnaround from losses [4][8] - The total cost of pig farming has been continuously decreasing, reaching 12.4 yuan per kilogram in Q1 2025. The average cost for 2024 was approximately 13.9 yuan per kilogram, with Q4 dropping to 13.7 yuan per kilogram [5][6] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 5.584 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 43.5%. The net profit attributable to the parent company was 687 million yuan, reflecting a significant turnaround [10] - For Q1 2025, the company reported a revenue of 1.47 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 36%, and a net profit of 229 million yuan, also indicating a turnaround from losses [4][10] Cost Management - The company has successfully reduced its pig farming costs, with the complete cost dropping to 12.4 yuan per kilogram in Q1 2025. This is attributed to several factors, including the optimization of management and the implementation of health-focused development strategies [5][6] Production and Sales Forecast - The company expects to achieve pig output of 3.5 million heads in 2025, 4.5 million heads in 2026, and 5 million heads in 2027, with respective year-on-year growth rates of 54%, 29%, and 11% [8] - The projected revenue for 2025 is 6.537 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 17.1%, and a net profit of 1.005 billion yuan, reflecting a growth of 46.4% [10]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a recommendation rating for the pig farming industry [5] Core Insights - The pig farming sector continues to show profitability in Q1 2025, with major companies reporting significant revenue growth [3][19] - The price of commodity pigs is expected to exhibit a weak cyclical trend, with seasonal fluctuations not being pronounced [21][23] - Under the backdrop of tariff negotiations, the weak substitute product, chlortetracycline, has significant price increase opportunities [22][25] - A strategy of selecting strong stocks during weak cycles is recommended, emphasizing cost advantages and growth potential [24] Summary by Sections Pig Farming - In Q1 2025, leading companies in the pig farming sector reported substantial revenue increases, with top performers including Zhengbang Technology, Dongrui Co., Juxing Agriculture, Muyuan Foods, and Shennong Group [3][19] - The average price of commodity pigs as of April 30, 2025, was 14.79 yuan/kg, showing a slight decrease from the previous week [21] - The report anticipates a weak cyclical trend for pig prices in 2025, influenced by production capacity and disease impacts [21][23] - Companies with cost advantages are expected to perform better in a weak cycle, while those with outdated capacities may face losses [24] Investment Recommendations - Key recommendations include Dekang Agriculture, Juxing Agriculture, Shennong Group, and Bangji Technology, with a focus on companies that possess both cost and funding advantages [4][24] - Attention is drawn to Jinhe Biology, which is expected to capitalize on price increases for chlortetracycline due to tariff changes [25] Pet Economy - The pet food sector is projected to see strong growth in 2024 and Q1 2025, with companies like Guibao Pet, Zhongchong Co., and Peidi Co. showing significant revenue increases [26][27] - The pet medical market is expanding, with a focus on the development of chain pet hospitals [28] Outdoor Sports Footwear - The sports footwear sector is experiencing steady growth, supported by domestic consumption policies [29][30] - Key brands such as Anta Sports, 361 Degrees, and Xtep International are highlighted for their performance in Q1 2025 [29]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [4] Core Views - The company reported a significant increase in revenue and profit, with 2024 revenue reaching 5.584 billion yuan, a year-on-year growth of 43.5%, and a net profit of 687 million yuan, marking a turnaround from losses [4][10] - In Q1 2025, the company achieved revenue of 1.47 billion yuan, a 36% year-on-year increase, and a net profit of 229 million yuan, also indicating a return to profitability [4][10] - The company's total asset-liability ratio at the end of Q1 2025 was 27.8%, a slight increase of 0.4 percentage points from the end of 2024 [4] Financial Performance - The company’s total cost of pig farming has been decreasing, with the complete cost dropping to 12.4 yuan per kilogram in Q1 2025 [5][6] - The average complete cost for 2024 was approximately 13.9 yuan per kilogram, with Q4 2024 seeing a reduction to 13.7 yuan per kilogram [6] - The company aims to increase its pig output to 3.5 million heads in 2025 and 5 million heads in 2027, with expected revenue of 6.537 billion yuan, 7.818 billion yuan, and 8.935 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [8][10] - The projected net profit for 2025 is 1.005 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 46.4% [10] Operational Insights - The company has implemented several strategies to reduce costs, including optimizing management, upgrading hardware, and enhancing health standards in pig farming [6] - The company’s breeding strategy has been continuously improved, leading to better genetic indices and reduced health costs [6] - The company plans to increase its breeding sows by approximately 40,000 heads annually, aiming for a total of 160,000 by the end of 2025 [8]

Core Viewpoint - Shennong Group has shown significant financial recovery and growth in 2024, with a revenue of 5.584 billion yuan, a 43.51% increase year-on-year, and a net profit of 687 million yuan, compared to a loss of 401 million yuan in the previous year [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, Shennong Group achieved a net profit of 229 million yuan, marking a continued turnaround from previous losses [1] - The company has reported five consecutive quarters of substantial improvement in net profit since Q1 2024 [1] Group 2: Feed Business Expansion - Shennong Group operates six feed production bases in Yunnan and Guangxi, with a total annual production capacity exceeding 1.5 million tons [2] - In 2024, the company sold 600,500 tons of feed, with 689,000 tons for export and 531,600 tons sold to its internal breeding enterprises [2] Group 3: New Production Facilities - The newly completed Shilin feed production base has a designed annual capacity of 180,000 tons, making it the largest premix feed and teaching feed production facility in Yunnan [3] - The integration of complex feed production into this facility allows other plants to focus on simpler feed types, enhancing overall production efficiency [3] Group 4: Digital Transformation - Shennong Group has implemented an SAP system to improve internal operational efficiency in the feed business, enhancing planning and execution across various stages of production [4] Group 5: Livestock Breeding Profitability - The livestock breeding segment generated 3.798 billion yuan in revenue in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 81.34%, accounting for 68.02% of total revenue [5] - The company sold 2.2715 million pigs in 2024, a 49.40% increase from 2023 [5] Group 6: Cost Management - The complete cost of breeding in March 2024 was approximately 12 yuan per kilogram, lower than many comparable listed companies [6] - The company plans to expand its breeding scale to 3.2 to 3.5 million pigs by 2025, with expectations of further cost reductions [7] Group 7: Slaughtering and Food Processing - Shennong Group has established a full industry chain from feed production to slaughtering and food processing, which helps mitigate the impact of the "pig cycle" on operations [8] - In 2024, the slaughtering and food processing segment generated 1.473 billion yuan in revenue, a 19.6% increase, representing 26.38% of total revenue [8]

2025 年 04 月 30 日 养殖成本保持优势地位，产能规模有望延续增长 势头 | 基本数据 | 2025-04-29 | | --- | --- | | 当前股价（元） | 29.21 | | 总市值（亿元） | 153 | | 总股本（百万股） | 525 | | 流通股本（百万股） | 523 | | 52 周价格范围（元） | 24.81-44.99 | | 日均成交额（百万元） | 123.21 | 市场表现 -40 -30 -20 -10 0 10 20 30 (%) 神农集团 沪深300 资料来源：Wind，华鑫证券研究 相关研究 1、《神农集团（605296）：成本优 势地位稳固，定增扩产维持独一档 负债率表现》2025-04-14 2、《神农集团（605296）：业绩实 现高增长，成本优势持续巩固》 2024-08-29 3、《神农集团（605296）：养殖成 本行业领先，出栏量快速增长》 2024-08-07 —神农集团（605296.SH）公司事件点评报告 买入(维持) 事件 | 分析师：娄倩 | S1050524070002 | | --- | --- | | louqian@cf ...

2025 年 04 月 30 日 养殖成本保持优势地位，产能规模有望延续增长 势头 买入(维持) 事件 | 分析师：娄倩 | S1050524070002 | | --- | --- | | louqian@cfsc.com.cn | | | 联系人：卫正 | S1050124080020 | | weizheng2@cfsc.com.cn | | | 基本数据 | 2025-04-29 | | --- | --- | | 当前股价（元） | 29.21 | | 总市值（亿元） | 153 | | 总股本（百万股） | 525 | | 流通股本（百万股） | 523 | | 52 周价格范围（元） | 24.81-44.99 | | 日均成交额（百万元） | 123.21 | 市场表现 -40 -30 -20 -10 0 10 20 30 (%) 神农集团 沪深300 资料来源：Wind，华鑫证券研究 相关研究 1、《神农集团（605296）：成本优 势地位稳固，定增扩产维持独一档 负债率表现》2025-04-14 2、《神农集团（605296）：业绩实 现高增长，成本优势持续巩固》 2024-08-29 3 ...