Overview - The report emphasizes the need to focus on leading companies in the agricultural sector amidst a challenging market environment, highlighting potential investment opportunities in key areas such as food security and livestock production [2][8]. Group 1: Swine Farming - The report indicates that the reduction in breeding sow inventory has begun, with a notable decline to 39.9 million heads as of October 2025, marking a 1.1% month-on-month decrease and a 2.1% year-on-year decrease [20]. - The average price of live pigs was reported at 12.33 yuan/kg in November 2025, down 25.6% from the beginning of the year, indicating significant price pressure in the market [27]. - The report recommends focusing on leading companies such as Muyuan Foods, Wens Foodstuff Group, and others, as they are expected to have stronger resilience and market share growth in a low-margin environment [11][20]. Group 2: Natural Rubber - The report discusses the slow contraction of supply in the natural rubber market, with production challenges due to climate change and labor cost increases, which are expected to impact future supply dynamics [49][55]. - It highlights that the current natural rubber prices are in a new bottoming phase, influenced by both supply constraints and weak demand from the tire and automotive sectors [59]. - The report recommends Hainan Rubber as a key player, noting its strategic land resource management and potential for growth in a recovering market [60][66]. Group 3: Sugar and Tomato Industries - The sugar industry is projected to see a production increase to 11.7 million tons in the 2025/26 season, a 4.8% rise year-on-year, driven by improved pricing for sugarcane [77]. - The report notes that the import of non-standard sugar sources has decreased significantly, which has positively impacted profit margins for domestic sugar producers [77]. - The tomato industry is undergoing accelerated capacity reduction, with a focus on improving efficiency and profitability in the face of market challenges [68].

Group 1 - The pork concept sector rose by 1.14%, ranking 9th among concept sectors, with 25 stocks increasing in value, led by Luoniushan, Tiankang Biological, and Zhengbang Technology, which rose by 6.99%, 5.76%, and 4.48% respectively [1] - The main capital inflow into the pork concept sector was 0.33 billion yuan, with 16 stocks receiving net inflows, the highest being Luoniushan with a net inflow of 36.04 million yuan, followed by Tiankang Biological, Wens Foodstuffs, and Shennong Group [2][3] Group 2 - In terms of capital inflow ratios, Shennong Group, Kemin Foods, and Huadong Holdings had the highest net inflow ratios at 9.47%, 7.65%, and 6.69% respectively [3] - The top stocks in the pork concept sector by net capital inflow included Luoniushan, Tiankang Biological, and Wens Foodstuffs, with respective net inflows of 36.04 million yuan, 32.98 million yuan, and 23.34 million yuan [3][4] Group 3 - The stocks with the largest declines included Jin Xin Nong, which fell by 2.70%, and Jingji Zhino, which decreased by 1.87% [5] - The overall performance of the pork concept sector reflects a positive trend despite some individual stock declines, indicating potential resilience in the market [1][5]

从资金流向上来看，当日养殖业板块主力资金净流入1124.65万元，游资资金净流入248.51万元，散户资 金净流出1373.16万元。养殖业板块个股资金流向见下表： | 代码 | 名称 | 主力净流入(元) | 主力净占比 游资净流入 (元) | | 游资净占比 散户净流入 (元) | | 散户净占比 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 000735 | 罗牛山 | 4270.10万 | 1.53% | -2381.34万 | -0.85% | -1888.76万 | -0.68% | | 300498 温氏股份 | | 2160.29万 | 5.09% | -1022.58万 | -2.41% | -1137.71万 | -2.68% | | 300967 晓鸣股份 | | 728.00万 | 7.51% | 107.64万 | 1.11% | -835.64万 | -8.62% | | 605296 神农集团 | | 643.70万 | 9.91% | -132.66万 | -2.04% | -511.04万 | -7.86% | | ...

格隆汇12月15日丨神农集团(605296.SH)在投资者互动平台表示，公司暂无出口欧盟的产品。 ...

证券代码：605296 证券简称：神农集团 公告编号：2025-140 云南神农农业产业集团股份有限公司 2025 年 11 月对外担保情况的公告 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈述 或者重大遗漏，并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承担法律责任。 重要内容提示： | | 被担保人名称 | 广西崇左神农畜牧有限公司、文山 神农猪业发展有限公司 | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 本次担保金额 | 913.15 | 万元 | | | 担保对象 | | | | | | （一） | 实际为其提供的担保余额 | 19,694.54 | | 万元[注 1] | | | 是否在前期预计额度内 | 是 | □否 | □不适用：_________ | | | 本次担保是否有反担保 | □是 | 否 | □不适用：_________ | | 担保对象 | 被担保人名称 | | | 云南神农陆良猪业有限公司、云南 神农澄江饲料有限公司、云南神农 | | | | | | 大理猪业有限公司、云南神农动物 | | | | | | 营养科技有限公司、广西大 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the agricultural products sector [4] Core Insights - The agricultural sector is expected to stabilize with grain prices bottoming out, particularly in the meat and dairy cycles [3] - The report highlights a potential upward trend in beef prices and a supportive environment for long-term pig prices due to industry adjustments [2][3] - The report emphasizes the importance of leading companies in the livestock sector, which are expected to benefit from improved cash flows and cost advantages amid industry contraction [3] Summary by Sections 1. Weekly Overview and Data Summary - The report provides a weekly summary of agricultural product fundamentals, indicating a rise in pig prices to 11.34 CNY/kg, a 2.07% increase week-on-week [13] - The average price of broiler chickens increased to 7.24 CNY/kg, reflecting a 2.26% week-on-week rise [14] 2. Fundamental Tracking 2.1 Swine - The report notes that the swine industry is undergoing a restructuring, which is expected to support long-term profitability [13] - The average price of piglets is reported at 219.52 CNY/head, up 1.21% week-on-week [13] 2.2 Poultry - The supply of broiler chickens has slightly increased, with a focus on seasonal consumption recovery [14] - The price of chicken eggs in major production areas is reported at 3.09 CNY/jin, a 3.00% increase week-on-week [14] 2.3 Beef - A new round of beef price increases is anticipated, with the price of fattened bulls at 25.40 CNY/kg, reflecting a 0.79% increase week-on-week [2][14] - The average market price for beef is reported at 61.06 CNY/kg, stable week-on-week but up 21.51% year-on-year [2][14] 2.4 Dairy - The report suggests that the reduction of dairy cows in the fourth quarter may accelerate, potentially leading to a price turning point for raw milk [2] 2.5 Feed - The report indicates that the industrialization of livestock farming is deepening, with leading feed companies expected to enhance their competitive advantages [3] 2.6 Other Commodities - The report discusses the supply-demand balance for corn, indicating a moderate price increase potential, with the current price at 2313 CNY/ton, a 0.13% increase week-on-week [2][14] - The report also notes that rubber prices are expected to stabilize in the short term, with a current price of 1825 USD/ton [2] 3. Company Profit Forecasts and Investment Ratings - Key companies such as YouRan Agriculture and Modern Agriculture are rated as "Outperform" with respective prices of 4.30 CNY and 1.38 CNY [4] - Mu Yuan Co. is highlighted with a projected EPS of 3.57 CNY for 2025, maintaining an "Outperform" rating [4]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the agricultural sector, particularly focusing on livestock and feed companies [7]. Core Insights - The USDA's December supply and demand report indicates a tightening supply-demand balance for corn, with prices expected to maintain a moderate upward trend [15][18]. - For soybeans, the report suggests a recovery in U.S. imports, which is likely to support price recovery [33][35]. - The beef market is projected to see a price increase in 2026, driven by reduced production and strong domestic demand [3][6]. - The dairy sector is expected to experience a price reversal due to a combination of reduced supply and increased demand for both meat and milk [4][6]. - The pork market is anticipated to face a decline in prices in the latter half of 2026, despite a positive outlook for the first half [6][7]. Summary by Sections Corn - The USDA report predicts a reduction in global corn production by 3.27 million tons, leading to a decrease in global ending stocks and a tightening supply-demand ratio [15][16]. - Domestic corn prices are currently at a historical low, with expectations for a gradual recovery supported by low trader inventories [18][19]. Soybeans - The global soybean ending stocks are expected to increase slightly, with a projected rise in U.S. imports and a positive outlook for domestic soybean meal prices [33][35]. - The report highlights the importance of monitoring U.S.-China trade relations and South American weather conditions for future price movements [38]. Wheat - The global wheat supply remains ample, with an increase in production forecasts from major exporting countries, leading to a slight rise in the global ending stocks ratio [2][45]. - Domestic wheat prices are expected to stabilize, influenced by the overall supply situation and potential government storage interventions [48][52]. Beef - The USDA forecasts a decrease in U.S. beef production, with prices expected to rise due to strong domestic demand and reduced imports [3][6]. - The report anticipates a turning point in the domestic beef cycle by 2025, with prices likely to trend upwards [3][6]. Dairy - The report indicates a potential reversal in the dairy market, driven by reduced cow inventories and a tightening supply-demand balance [4][6]. - Domestic raw milk prices are expected to rise as a result of these factors [4][6]. Pork - The U.S. pork market is projected to see a decline in prices in the latter half of 2026, despite a positive outlook for the first half of the year [6][7]. - Domestic breeding sow inventories are stabilizing, which may help support industry profitability [6][7]. Poultry - The U.S. poultry market is expected to recover, with increased production and consumption anticipated as avian influenza impacts diminish [6][7]. - Domestic chicken supply is projected to stabilize, with a focus on internal demand recovery [6][7].

Group 1 - The company, Shennong Group, reported that as of December 10, the number of its shareholders reached 19,135 [2]

Core Viewpoint - Shennong Group announced the transfer of 100% equity of its wholly-owned subsidiary, Yunnan Shennong Qujing Pig Industry Co., Ltd., to Luo Jiao for a price of 7.6168 million yuan, as the subsidiary has become a performance drag in recent years [1][2]. Financial Performance - Yunnan Shennong Qujing Pig Industry was established in 2009 with a registered capital of 5 million yuan, focusing on commodity pig production, breeding, and technical consulting [1][2]. - The subsidiary reported zero revenue for 2024 and a net loss of 300,700 yuan; in the third quarter of 2025, it incurred a loss of 176,400 yuan, continuing to show no revenue [4]. - As of September 30, 2025, the net asset value decreased from 16.0975 million yuan at the end of 2024 to 7.3332 million yuan [4]. Transaction Details - The transaction price was determined based on the book value of Yunnan Shennong Qujing Pig Industry as of September 30, 2025, following mutual agreement between both parties [5]. - The company stated that the sale of the subsidiary's equity is a comprehensive consideration of its development situation, aiming to improve asset operation efficiency, reduce management costs, and enhance ongoing operational capability [5]. - Upon completion of the transaction, Yunnan Shennong Qujing Pig Industry will no longer be included in the company's consolidated financial statements, with the final impact on the company's profit and loss to be confirmed after annual audit [5].

Core Viewpoint - The company, Yunnan Shennong Agricultural Industry Group Co., Ltd., is convening its sixth extraordinary general meeting of shareholders on December 25, 2025, to discuss various resolutions and voting procedures [2][5][6]. Meeting Details - The meeting will be held on December 25, 2025, at 14:00 in Kunming, Yunnan Province [2]. - Voting will be conducted through a combination of on-site and online methods, utilizing the Shanghai Stock Exchange's network voting system [3][4]. Voting Procedures - The online voting will be available on the day of the meeting from 9:15 to 15:00, with specific time slots for trading system voting [3]. - Shareholders can vote through designated trading platforms or the internet voting platform, requiring identity verification for first-time users [7]. Shareholder Participation - Only shareholders registered by the close of trading on the equity registration date are eligible to attend and vote at the meeting [12]. - The company will provide reminders to shareholders via SMS to encourage participation [7]. Registration Process - Shareholders must register in advance to attend the meeting, with registration available on December 24, 2025 [15]. - Required documents for registration include identification and proof of shareholding [17]. Other Considerations - Attendees are responsible for their own travel and accommodation expenses [18]. - The company will not provide gifts or reimbursements for travel expenses [18].