Investment Rating - The industry rating is "Positive" (maintained) [3] Core Insights - The semiconductor industry is experiencing structural prosperity, with strong demand for mature processes and specialty technologies. Domestic wafer manufacturing leaders, represented by SMIC, are operating at full capacity and have implemented price increases, indicating robust performance in a tight supply-demand environment [3][34] - The demand for AI computing continues to drive upgrades in high-end storage, with HBM prices rising and major players competing for next-generation technologies, highlighting a high prosperity trend in advanced storage and packaging testing [4][36] - The overall focus should be on domestic wafer manufacturing leaders and their upstream and downstream supply chains, as well as the AI-driven high-end hardware industry chain, which are currently key areas of interest [4][36] Industry Data Tracking Semiconductor Industry - In October 2025, global semiconductor sales reached $72.7 billion, a year-on-year increase of 27.2%, while China's semiconductor sales were $19.5 billion, up 18.5% year-on-year, indicating sustained strong demand in the semiconductor sector [24][29] - The domestic semiconductor equipment demand remains strong as the push for domestic substitution continues [24] Storage Chip Industry - Recent trends show a strong upward movement in DRAM prices, reflecting robust demand for high-performance memory from AI servers and next-generation PCs. NAND Flash prices are stable, with a gradual increase, while the overall storage chip industry is entering a new prosperity cycle [29][33] Consumer Electronics - The smartphone market is increasingly reliant on technological innovation and stimulus policies, with a significant increase in smartphone shipments in October 2025, driven by promotional events and new product launches [18][19]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a rating of "Buy" for the electronic industry [1] Core Insights - The electronic industry is expected to experience significant growth driven by advancements in AI technology and the domestic supply chain's maturation, particularly in cloud and edge computing [11][15] - The report highlights the importance of 3D DRAM as a key hardware innovation for AI applications, with expectations for substantial demand growth in 2026 [22][27] - The shift towards high-density interconnects and advanced power supply architectures is crucial for supporting the increasing power density of AI data centers [50][56] Summary by Sections Cloud Computing Power - The domestic computing power supply chain is accelerating, with significant performance releases expected from local manufacturers like Zhongke Shuguang and Huawei [11] - The transition from Scale-Out to Scale-Up networking is enhancing bandwidth and reducing latency, which is critical for AI applications [11] Edge Computing Power - The integration of edge and cloud computing is becoming essential for AI applications, with edge devices benefiting from advancements in SoC technology [15][17] - Companies like Jingchen and Ruixinwei are positioned to capitalize on the growing demand for edge AI solutions [19] 3D DRAM - 3D DRAM is anticipated to become mainstream in 2026, driven by its high bandwidth and low cost, making it essential for various AI applications [22][27] - Companies such as Zhaoyi Innovation are expected to lead in the development of 3D DRAM technologies [28] AI Models - The optimization of AI models is crucial for enhancing performance and user experience, with a focus on local processing capabilities [29][30] - The collaboration between terminal manufacturers and model providers is expected to evolve, shaping the competitive landscape [30][33] AI Terminals - 2026 marks the beginning of a new era for AI terminals, with major companies like Meta, Apple, and Google launching innovative products [34][36] - The development of new terminal forms, such as smart glasses and desktop robots, is expected to drive market growth [34][35] Longxin Chain - Longxin's expansion plans are set to enhance the DRAM supply chain, with a focus on 3D architecture to improve performance and efficiency [38][39] - The company is expected to benefit from increased capital investment and technological advancements [39][41] Wafer Foundry - The domestic wafer foundry industry is entering a new expansion phase, particularly in advanced logic processes [42][43] - Key players like SMIC and Huahong are expected to lead this expansion, addressing the growing demand for advanced chips [44] PCB Industry - The PCB market is poised for growth, driven by the demand for high-performance materials and advanced designs [45][48] - Companies like Shenghong Technology are expected to benefit from the rising demand for AI-related PCB applications [49] Optical-Copper Interconnection - The demand for optical and copper interconnections is increasing, driven by the growth of AI computing clusters [50][52] - Companies such as Changguang Huaxin are well-positioned to capitalize on this trend [53] Server Power Supply - The shift to HVDC power supply architectures is becoming essential for AI data centers, addressing the challenges of increasing power density [55][56] - Companies like Oulu Tong are expected to lead in the development of advanced power supply solutions [56]

Core Viewpoint - The Hong Kong stock market, particularly the semiconductor chip industry, is experiencing a strong rebound, with the Hong Kong Stock Connect Information C Index outperforming other technology indices significantly this year, showing a cumulative increase of over 39% [1] Group 1: Market Performance - The Hong Kong Stock Connect Information C Index rose over 2%, outperforming the Hang Seng Technology Index and other technology-related indices [1] - The Hong Kong Stock Connect Information C ETF (159131) recorded a daily trading volume of 77.27 million yuan, recovering its 5-day and 20-day moving averages [2] - The ETF focuses on the "Hong Kong chip" industry, comprising 70% hardware and 30% software, and includes 42 hard-tech companies [7] Group 2: Key Companies and Developments - Semiconductor company SMIC plans to acquire 49% of its subsidiary, SMIC North, making it a wholly-owned subsidiary, while also receiving a cash injection of $7.778 billion for SMIC South [3] - Notable stock performances include InnoCare rising over 15%, Midea rising over 11%, and UBTECH rising over 8% [4] Group 3: Industry Outlook - The Chinese semiconductor market is projected to reach $176.9 billion in 2024, with a year-on-year growth of 15.9%, and expected to reach $206.7 billion by 2025 [5] - The domestic semiconductor industry is advancing from downstream manufacturing to upstream core equipment, materials, and software, driven by national policies and international dynamics [5] - Investment opportunities are highlighted in third-generation semiconductor materials, computing chips, RF communication chips, and high-bandwidth storage [5] Group 4: Valuation Insights - The Hong Kong Information Technology ETF (159131) has a current P/E ratio of 33.25, which is significantly lower than the P/E ratios of the ChiNext Index (41.04) and the Nasdaq 100 (36.23), indicating a favorable investment valuation [5]

Core Viewpoint - The Hong Kong stock market, particularly the semiconductor chip industry, is experiencing a strong rebound, with the Hong Kong Stock Connect Information C Index rising over 2%, significantly outperforming other technology indices [1][10]. Group 1: Market Performance - The Hong Kong Stock Connect Information C Index has a year-to-date increase of over 39% [1][10]. - The Hong Kong Stock Connect Information Technology ETF (159131) recorded a single-day trading volume of 77.27 million yuan, recovering both the 5-day and 20-day moving averages [2][11]. Group 2: Key Stocks and Movements - Notable stock performances include InnoCare Pharma rising over 15%, Midea Group increasing over 11%, and UBTECH Robotics gaining over 8% [5][15]. - Semiconductor companies like SMIC and iFlytek also saw increases of over 4% [5][15]. Group 3: Industry Developments - SMIC plans to acquire a 49% stake in SMIC North, which will become a wholly-owned subsidiary, and will receive a cash injection of $7.778 billion for SMIC South [3][12]. - This capital operation is expected to create opportunities for domestic chips, particularly in semiconductor equipment and AI infrastructure [3][12]. Group 4: Market Outlook - The semiconductor market in China is projected to reach $176.9 billion in 2024, with a year-on-year growth of 15.9%, and is expected to reach $206.7 billion by 2025 [4][13]. - The domestic semiconductor industry is making progress from downstream manufacturing to upstream core equipment, materials, and software, driven by national policies and international dynamics [4][13]. Group 5: Valuation Insights - The Hong Kong Information Technology ETF (159131) has a current P/E ratio of 33.25, which is significantly lower than the ChiNext Index at 41.04 and the Nasdaq 100 at 36.23, indicating a favorable investment valuation [6][16]. - The ETF focuses on a composition of 70% hardware and 30% software, covering 42 hard tech companies, with significant weights in SMIC (15.19%) and Xiaomi (14.21%) [8][18].

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the acquisition of a 49% stake in Zhongxin North by SMIC, emphasizing the strategic move to enhance its position in the semiconductor industry and the significance of this transaction for the domestic semiconductor sector [2]. Group 1: Acquisition Details - SMIC plans to acquire 49% of Zhongxin North for approximately 40.601 billion yuan, which will result in SMIC owning 100% of Zhongxin North [2]. - Zhongxin North, established in July 2013 with a registered capital of 4.8 billion USD, focuses on 12-inch wafer manufacturing with processes ranging from 65nm to 28nm [2]. - The company has initiated a 12-inch integrated circuit production line project, covering an area of about 286,000 square meters, with a planned monthly capacity of 70,000 12-inch wafers [2]. Group 2: Valuation and Financials - The equity book value of Zhongxin North is reported at 41.8 billion yuan, with an assessed value of 82.8 billion yuan, indicating a valuation increase of 41 billion yuan and a premium rate of 98.19% [2]. - SMIC also announced a new joint venture agreement with the National Integrated Circuit Fund and other investors, increasing the registered capital of Zhongxin South from 6.5 billion USD to approximately 10.0773 billion USD [2].

Market Overview - The Hong Kong stock market experienced a rise of 0.86% on the last trading day of the month, indicating a bullish sentiment among investors [1] - The onshore RMB appreciated against the USD, breaking the 7.0 mark and reaching a high of 6.9960, supported by foreign capital inflows and optimistic expectations for economic recovery [1] - The geopolitical situation in the Asia-Pacific region remains stable, with a planned state visit from South Korean President Lee Jae-myung to China in January 2026 [1] Oil and Gas Sector - Venezuela's state oil company PDVSA has begun shutting down some oil wells due to storage space exhaustion and inventory buildup, which may lead to tighter oil supply [2] - Chinese oil companies such as CNOOC, Sinopec, and PetroChina saw their stock prices rise by approximately 3% following this news [2] Technology Sector - Semiconductor company SMIC announced a capital increase for its subsidiary, raising its registered capital from $6.5 billion to $10.0773 billion, indicating a positive outlook [3] - SMIC plans to acquire 49% of its subsidiary SMIC North from its shareholders for 40.601 billion yuan, increasing its ownership to 100% [3] - Baidu is reportedly planning to spin off its subsidiary Kunlun Chip for an independent listing, which could enhance its valuation [3] Robotics and AI - The Trump administration is considering an executive order on robotics, which could benefit companies in this sector [4] - Tesla's Optimus project is gaining traction, with suppliers visiting North America, leading to significant stock price increases for companies like SMC and Yujing [4] - Blue Sky Technology announced a new high-degree-of-freedom dexterous hand for humanoid robots, resulting in a stock price increase of over 5% [5] AI Developments - Meta has announced the acquisition of AI company Manus for potentially billions of dollars, marking one of its largest acquisitions to date [5] - Companies like Mai Fushi and Fourth Paradigm are experiencing stock price increases due to strategic partnerships with major tech firms [6] Consumer Electronics - The upcoming CES 2026 will showcase innovations in AI smart glasses, humanoid robots, and wearable devices, with Chinese brands expected to dominate the exhibition [8] - Notable participating companies include Lens Technology, Hesai Technology, and Xiaomi, among others [8] Company Performance - SANY International reported a revenue of 5.91 billion yuan for Q3 2025, a year-on-year increase of 14.7%, driven by strong performance in overseas markets [9] - The company is focusing on diversifying its business and enhancing its international strategy, with overseas sales approaching or exceeding 50% of total sales [9] - SANY's acquisition of lithium energy business is expected to provide new revenue streams and improve profit margins [10]

头部晶圆厂获增资，晶圆代工景气向上 强于大市( 维持) 行情走势图 证券分析师 | 杨钟 | 投资咨询资格编号 | | --- | --- | | | S1060525080001 | | | yangzhong035@pingan.com.cn | | 陈福栋 | 投资咨询资格编号 | | | S1060524100001 | | | CHENFUDONG847@pingan.com.cn | | 徐勇 | 投资咨询资格编号 | | | S1060519090004 | | | XUYONG318@pingan.com.cn | | 徐碧云 | 投资咨询资格编号 | | | S1060523070002 | | | XUBIYUN372@pingan.com.cn | | 郭冠君 | 投资咨询资格编号 | | | S1060524050003 | 行 业 报 告 行业点评 GUOGUANJUN625@pingan.com.cn 事项： 近日中芯国际公告，中芯南方注册资本由65亿美元增加至100.773亿美元，中 芯控股持有的中芯南方股权增长到41.561%。 平安观点： 电子 2025年12月30日 行 业 ...

12月30日，南下资金净卖出港股38.45亿港元，为连续第三日净卖出。 北水关注个股 三花智控：国家知识产权局信息显示，绍兴三花汽车热管理科技有限公司申请一项名为"一种电子膨胀 阀和冷却器"的专利，公开号CN121230260A，申请日期为2024年6月。 中芯国际：12月29日晚，中芯国际公告称，公司拟向国家集成电路基金等5名中芯北方股东发行股份购 买其所持有的标的公司49%股权，交易价格406亿元。本次交易完成后，中芯国际将持有中芯北方100% 的股权，中芯北方将成为公司的全资子公司。中芯北方主要为客户提供不同工艺平台的12英寸集成电路 晶圆代工及配套服务。 优必选：近日，智能机器人领军企业优必选宣布，通过"协议转让+要约收购"的方式，收购深交所上市 公司锋龙股份共计93,957,518股，占该公司股份总数的43%，收购总对价达16.65亿元。 中国海洋石油：近期国际地缘政治事件成为股价波动的重要催化剂。俄乌局势的紧张升级，特别是乌克 兰无人机袭击俄罗斯官邸的消息，加剧了市场对原油供应中断的忧虑。这种外部风险直接提振了石油板 块的整体情绪。 据统计，南下资金已连续11日净卖出中国移动，共计96.4576亿 ...

Core Viewpoint - Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corporation (SMIC) plans to acquire 49% equity stake in SMIC North from five shareholders for a transaction price of 40.601 billion yuan, which will result in SMIC holding 100% of SMIC North's equity, making it a wholly-owned subsidiary [1][5]. Group 1: Transaction Details - The transaction involves issuing shares to the National Integrated Circuit Fund and other shareholders to purchase the 49% stake in SMIC North [1][5]. - After the completion of the transaction, SMIC will fully own SMIC North, enhancing its control over the subsidiary [5][7]. Group 2: Company Background - SMIC North was established in July 2013 in Beijing with a registered capital of 4.8 billion USD, co-invested by SMIC and the Beijing municipal government [5][7]. - The company specializes in 12-inch wafer manufacturing, covering process technologies from 65 to 28 nanometers [5][7]. Group 3: Strategic Implications - The acquisition is expected to improve the asset quality of SMIC, enhance business synergies, and promote long-term development, benefiting all shareholders [5][7]. - SMIC North provides various process platforms for 12-inch integrated circuit wafer foundry and related services, which aligns with SMIC's operational strategy [5][7]. Group 4: Market Performance - As of December 29, 2025, SMIC's stock closed at 122.5 yuan, with a slight increase of 0.33%, a turnover rate of 2.53%, and a trading volume of 506,800 hands, amounting to a transaction value of 6.28 billion yuan [5][7].

日本[Table_Title] 日积跬步，水涨船高 ——26 年港股策略展望 [Table_Page] 投资策略|年度报告 2025 年 12 月 30 日 证券研究报告 [Table_Summary] 报告摘要： | [分析师： Table_Author]刘晨明 | | | --- | --- | | | SAC 执证号：S0260524020001 | | SFC CE No. BVH021 | | | 010-59136616 | | | | liuchenming@gf.com.cn | | 分析师： | 余可骋 | | | SAC 执证号：S0260524030007 | | SFC CE No. BRU880 | | | 0755-82565905 | | | | yukecheng@gf.com.cn | 972918116公共联系人2025-12-30 18:24:55 1 / 42 识别风险，发现价值 请务必阅读末页的免责声明 ⚫ 日积跬步：（1）本轮港股资产上涨具备基本面支撑，由于较 A 股更少 的传统经济板块，自 2024 年下半年开始，在内外需共同企稳、宏观政 策发力托底的背景下，港股 ...