1月14日上午，存储器与半导体设备"卷土重来"！受益于存储"超级周期"首份年报预增超500%提振，多家存储公司开盘大涨。上游半导体设备由于核心受益 于存储需求高增，目前多股拉升。 高"设备"含量——半导体设备ETF（561980）盘中拉涨3.26%，实时成交额超1.4亿元，近期基金规模刚创新高。目前权重股中微公司涨超4%，海光信息涨超 6%，拓荆科技、长川科技涨超5%，寒武纪、北方华创、中芯国际、南大光电等涨超1%；成份股江丰电子、珂玛科技等持续拉升。 消息面上，美国放宽了H200芯片出口到中国的监管规定，此前已"条件性"允许向中国出售H200人工智能芯片。关于H200的放开，多家机构认为对国产算力 产业链影响非常有限，反而会提振国产替代信心。 此外，存储超级周期下的首份年报预告出炉，预计2025年净利润将大幅同比增长427.19%-520.22%，提振板块情绪。 从产业链来看，存储芯片属于半导体设备空间最大的下游市场之一。2025年-2026年存储价格持续上涨，TrendForce预估2026Q1一般型DRAM合约价还会季 增55-60%，Server DRAM价格季增逾60%，NANDFlash各类产品合 ...

Core Viewpoint - The global 8-inch wafer foundry capacity is expected to decrease by 2.4% in 2026 due to TSMC and Samsung Electronics reducing their production capacity, while demand for AI-driven power management chips remains strong, leading to an anticipated increase in capacity utilization rates to 90% this year [2][8]. Group 1: Company-Specific Insights - TSMC plans to gradually exit the 6-inch wafer manufacturing business within two years and continue to reduce 8-inch wafer capacity, with a current monthly capacity of approximately 528,000 wafers [4]. - Samsung Electronics will also reduce its 8-inch wafer production starting in the second half of 2025, aiming to allocate more resources to the 12-inch wafer market, with a similar monthly capacity of 528,000 wafers [4]. - UMC's 8-inch wafer monthly capacity was previously over 360,000 wafers, with a current utilization rate of about 70%, and the company is optimistic about continued growth in 2026 [5]. - SMIC has a monthly capacity of approximately 355,000 8-inch wafers, with a utilization rate of 95.8% as of Q3 2025, and has raised prices by about 10% due to high demand [5]. - Hua Hong Semiconductor's 8-inch wafer foundry utilization rate reached 109.5%, indicating overcapacity, and the company is expanding its production capacity [6]. - Powerchip's 8-inch wafer monthly capacity is around 120,000 wafers, benefiting from the tight supply of memory chips and the recovery of logic process products [6]. - GlobalFoundries is focusing on expanding its 12-inch wafer production, with a projected decline of about 0.3% in global 8-inch wafer foundry capacity in 2025 [7]. Group 2: Market Trends and Projections - The average capacity utilization rate for global 8-inch wafer foundries is expected to rise to 85% to 90% in 2026, significantly better than the 75% to 80% range in 2025 [8]. - Some foundries are notifying customers of price increases ranging from 5% to 20% due to tightening capacity, marking a shift from previous selective price adjustments [8].

从个股来看，1月13日，有311只科创板个股获融资净买入，净买入金额在1亿元以上的有10只。其中， 金山办公获融资净买入额居首，净买入2.76亿元；融资净买入金额居前的还有成都先导、中科星图、中 芯国际、荣昌生物、西部超导、绿的谐波等股。 （文章来源：证券时报网） Wind统计显示，1月13日，科创板两融余额合计2889.07亿元，较上一交易日增加11.27亿元。其中，融 资余额合计2878.88亿元，较上一交易日增加11.78亿元；融券余额合计10.19亿元，较上一交易日减少 0.51亿元。 ...

与前一交易日相比，科创板融资余额环比增加的共有311只，融资净买入超千万元的共有123只，融资净 买入在500万元至1000万元的有55只，融资净买入在100万元至500万元的有97只，融资净买入不足百万 元的有36只。融资余额环比减少的科创板股中，减少金额超千万元的有88只，减少金额居前的有寒武 纪、华虹公司、芯源微等，融资余额分别减少3.35亿元、1.84亿元、1.80亿元。 融资净买入金额最多的是金山办公，该股最新融资余额31.61亿元，环比上一日增加2.76亿元，该股当日 下跌2.16%，融资净买入金额居前的还有成都先导、中科星图、中芯国际等，净买入金额分别为2.07亿 元、1.71亿元、1.56亿元。 科创板融资余额环比前一日增加11.78亿元，其中，24股融资余额环比增加超5000万元，融资净买入居 前的有金山办公、成都先导、中科星图等股。 证券时报·数据宝统计显示，截至1月13日，科创板两融余额合计2889.07亿元，较上一交易日增加11.28 亿元，其中，融资余额合计2878.88亿元，较上一交易日增加11.78亿元。 科创板股中，最新融资余额超亿元的有501只，其中，融资余额在10亿元以上的 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the electronics industry [1][10]. Core Insights - The semiconductor sector is experiencing better-than-expected conditions, with price increases across multiple segments driven by rising AI demand. The industry is seeing a recovery in profitability as price hikes are being passed on to consumers [1]. - The CES 2026 event has showcased significant advancements in AR glasses, indicating a year of hardware innovation. Companies are encouraged to focus on AR glasses as they become independent smart devices with enhanced communication and computing capabilities [3]. - NVIDIA has introduced a new storage architecture that redefines the role of NAND Flash, significantly increasing its demand and value in AI applications. This shift is expected to benefit companies in the storage industry [4]. Summary by Sections Semiconductor Industry - The semiconductor industry is witnessing a supply-demand imbalance, particularly in storage and high-end PCB segments. Price increases are anticipated across various manufacturing stages, including wafer foundries and high-end packaging [1]. - The report highlights the potential for domestic semiconductor materials to replace imports, particularly in light of recent anti-dumping investigations against Japanese products [2]. AR Glasses and Consumer Electronics - CES 2026 has seen a variety of AR glasses, with advancements in full-color display technology enhancing user experience and application scenarios. Companies are advised to monitor developments in this area [3]. - The report emphasizes the importance of AR glasses as a platform for AI technology, suggesting a growing market for these devices [3]. Storage Industry - The introduction of NVIDIA's new storage processor platform is expected to revolutionize the role of NAND Flash, making it a critical component in AI processing. This change is likely to drive demand for storage-related companies [4]. - The storage industry is projected to benefit from ongoing AI demand, with a positive outlook for companies involved in NAND Flash production [4]. Key Companies and Recommendations - The report recommends several companies for investment, including: - Semiconductor: 中芯国际 (SMIC), 翱捷科技 (Aojie Technology), 德明利 (Demingli), 蓝思科技 (Lens Technology) [10]. - Storage: 德明利 (Demingli), 江波龙 (Jiangbolong), 佰维存储 (Baiwei Storage) [4][10]. - AR Glasses: 蓝特光学 (Lante Optics), 水晶光电 (Crystal Optoelectronics) [3].

Market Overview - On January 13, major indices in China experienced collective adjustments, with the Shenzhen Component Index falling over 1% and the ChiNext Index dropping nearly 2%. The Shanghai Composite Index closed down 0.64%, the Shenzhen Component Index down 1.37%, and the ChiNext Index down 1.96%. The total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets reached 3.65 trillion yuan, an increase of 49.6 billion yuan compared to the previous trading day [1] - In the U.S. stock market, the three major indices also declined on January 13. The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell by 398.21 points to close at 49,191.99, a decrease of 0.80%. The S&P 500 Index dropped by 13.53 points to 6,963.74, down 0.19%, while the Nasdaq Composite Index decreased by 24.03 points to 23,709.87, a decline of 0.10% [1] Sector Performance - In the Chinese market, over 3,700 stocks declined, with the AI application concept sector rising against the trend, seeing over ten constituent stocks hitting the daily limit up. The AI medical concept remained active, while the power grid equipment sector strengthened in the afternoon. The retail sector also showed active performance. Conversely, the commercial aerospace and controllable nuclear fusion sectors experienced significant declines [1] - In the U.S., the performance of major indices reflected a general downward trend, indicating a cautious market sentiment [1] Commodity Prices - International oil prices rose on January 13. The price of light crude oil futures for February delivery on the New York Mercantile Exchange increased by $1.65 to $61.15 per barrel, a rise of 2.77%. The March delivery Brent crude oil futures price rose by $1.60 to $65.47 per barrel, an increase of 2.51% [2] Policy and Regulatory Updates - The Ministry of Commerce of China announced the continuation of anti-dumping duties on imported solar-grade polysilicon from the U.S. and South Korea, effective from January 14, 2026, for a period of five years [2] - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology issued an action plan for the high-quality development of industrial internet platforms from 2026 to 2028, aiming for significant progress in platform development and resource connectivity by 2028 [3][4] Company-Specific Developments - The approval of NVIDIA to export its H200 AI chips to China is expected to restart shipments to Chinese customers. This decision will be overseen by the U.S. Department of Commerce, which will also impose a fee of approximately 25% on the related transactions [7]

科创板政策及行业动态一览： l 科创板政策与行业动向： 近日，中芯国际、华虹公司、中微公司先后推出并购重组交易，并采取三类不同的并购整合策略。其 中，华虹公司拟发行股份收购"兄弟公司"华力微97.5%股权；中微公司拟发行股份及支付现金购买杭州 众硅64.69%股权；中芯国际则公告收购控股子公司中芯北方49%股权的交易草案。（以上个股仅作示 例，不作为投资建议） 自"科创板八条"发布以来，科创板公司已累计披露近170单股权收购交易，2025年全年超过100单，政策 效应显著。其中，重大资产重组达50单，2025年为37单，远超2019年至2023年累计的17单。 解读： 科创板股权收购交易均围绕产业整合展开。随着行业头部企业陆续上市，资本市场正成为并购重组的主 渠道。龙头企业积极把握政策机遇与市场窗口，通过并购补齐产业链关键环节，持续增强上市公司核心 竞争力。科创板并购市场活力持续释放，产业链资源配置效率进一步提升。 当前逆全球化加剧，自主可控需求迫切。科创板硬科技属性鲜明，主要聚焦于电子芯片、新兴软件和新 型信息技术服务、生物医药产业、智能制造装备产业等，映射了当前中国先进制造业的崛起。科创芯片 ETF基金（ ...

Core Insights - The global semiconductor industry underwent significant changes in 2025, transitioning from chaos to order and from divergence to consensus, driven by macroeconomic policies and the rise of artificial intelligence [1] - The A-share semiconductor sector experienced a recovery trajectory throughout the year, culminating in a strong performance in the second half [1] - The Kexin Chip ETF (588200) emerged as the largest product in the semiconductor theme, achieving a return of 154.35% since its listing, with an annualized yield of 34.88% [1] Industry Overview - The semiconductor industry is at a critical juncture, with AI transitioning from training to inference and domestic substitution moving into deeper waters [1][28] - The Kexin Chip Index has shown a cumulative increase of 69.94% since April 8, 2025, outperforming other semiconductor indices [4] - The market sentiment shifted positively towards semiconductor stocks, with 54% of tracked A-share semiconductor companies achieving record quarterly revenues in 2025 [6][12] Market Performance - The Kexin Chip ETF (588200) has seen significant inflows, with a net inflow of 3.18 billion yuan in 2025 and an average daily trading volume of 2.6 billion yuan [2][24] - The index's constituent stocks demonstrated impressive growth, with a 39% year-on-year revenue increase and a 94% rise in net profit in the first three quarters of 2025 [22] - The semiconductor market is expected to experience double-digit growth for three consecutive years, driven by AI infrastructure and traditional chip demand recovery [14] Investment Opportunities - The Kexin Chip ETF (588200) provides a convenient way to invest in core assets of the semiconductor industry, covering the entire supply chain from design to manufacturing [18][21] - The ETF's liquidity and strong market recognition make it an attractive option for both institutional and individual investors [24][25] - The underlying assets of the ETF include leading companies in the semiconductor sector, such as SMIC and Cambrian, which are positioned to benefit from ongoing industry trends [19][30] Future Outlook - The semiconductor industry is poised for growth, with domestic companies benefiting from increased production capacity and innovation in AI applications [28][30] - The Kexin Chip Index is expected to maintain its status as one of the most growth-oriented indices in the A-share market, capitalizing on trends in AI computing and domestic substitution [30][31]

异动分析 国家大基金持股+存储芯片+中芯国际概念+芯片概念 1、公司获得国家集成电路产业投资基金股份有限公司投资，持股比例占总股本比例为1.61%。 2、2025年9月12日互动易：公司代工MCU芯片和特殊存储芯片。 3、中芯国际是中国内地技术最先进、配套最完善、规模最大、跨国经营的集成电路制造企业集团。 4、中芯国际集成电路制造有限公司的主营业务是基于多种技术节点和技术平台的集成电路晶圆代工业 务，并提供设计服务与IP支持、光掩模制造等配套服务。公司的主要产品是集成电路晶圆代工、设计服 务与IP支持、光掩模制造。根据全球各纯晶圆代工企业最新公布的2024年销售额情况，中芯国际位居全 球第二，在中国大陆企业中排名第一。 (免责声明：分析内容来源于互联网，不构成投资建议，请投资者根据不同行情独立判断) 来源：新浪证券-红岸工作室 1月13日，中芯国际跌3.16%，成交额81.54亿元，换手率3.26%，总市值9890.90亿元。 主力持仓 主力轻度控盘，筹码分布较为分散，主力成交额35.12亿，占总成交额的11.69%。 技术面：筹码平均交易成本为123.32元 该股筹码平均交易成本为123.32元，近期该股获 ...

Core Viewpoint - The data indicates significant outflows of capital from various stocks, with notable declines in share prices across multiple sectors, particularly in aerospace, communication, and consumer electronics. Group 1: Major Stock Outflows - The stock with the highest capital outflow is Goldwind Technology, with an outflow of 5.043 billion yuan and a price drop of 3.36% [1][2] - Aerospace Electronics experienced a capital outflow of 4.378 billion yuan, with a significant price decline of 10.01% [1][2] - BlueFocus Media saw an outflow of 2.976 billion yuan, but its share price increased by 1.12% [1][2] Group 2: Sector Performance - The wind power equipment sector, represented by Goldwind Technology, is facing challenges with a notable capital outflow [2] - The aerospace sector, particularly Aerospace Electronics and Aerospace Development, is experiencing substantial capital withdrawals, indicating potential investor concerns [1][2] - The consumer electronics sector, including Industrial Fulian and Xunwei Communication, is also seeing significant outflows, reflecting broader market trends [1][3] Group 3: Additional Notable Stocks - Other companies with significant capital outflows include Kunlun Wanwei (2.078 billion yuan), Raytheon Defense (1.894 billion yuan), and China Satcom (1.439 billion yuan), all of which are in the communication and internet service sectors [1][3] - Semiconductor company SMIC reported an outflow of 1.206 billion yuan, indicating investor caution in the semiconductor industry [1][3] - The photovoltaic equipment sector, represented by Sunshine Power, also faced an outflow of 1.077 billion yuan, highlighting challenges in renewable energy investments [1][3]