截至9月29日收盘，金属钴概念上涨3.02%，位居概念板块涨幅第6，板块内，34股上涨，兴业银锡涨 停，赣锋锂业、洛阳钼业、鹏欣资源等涨幅居前，分别上涨7.83%、6.81%、5.79%。跌幅居前的有大地 熊、中国中铁、中钨高新等，分别下跌1.35%、0.55%、0.43%。 资金面上看，今日金属钴概念板块获主力资金净流入15.76亿元，其中，22股获主力资金净流入，9股主 力资金净流入超5000万元，净流入资金居首的是赣锋锂业，今日主力资金净流入5.51亿元，净流入资金 居前的还有紫金矿业、华友钴业、洛阳钼业等，主力资金分别净流入4.28亿元、4.17亿元、9973.81万 元。 今日涨跌幅居前的概念板块 资金流入比率方面，中国中冶、中国电建、西藏矿业等流入比率居前，主力资金净流入率分别为 10.04%、9.29%、8.89%。（数据宝） | 概念 | 今日涨跌幅（%） | 概念 | 今日涨跌幅（%） | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 金属锌 | 3.68 | 猪肉 | -0.54 | | 金属镍 | 3.65 | 兵装重组概念 | -0.52 | | 金属铅 | 3.61 | 培 ...

Market Overview - On September 29, the industrial metals sector rose by 4.5% compared to the previous trading day, with Xingye Silver Tin leading the gains [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3862.53, up 0.9%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 13479.43, up 2.05% [1] Individual Stock Performance - Xingye Silver Tin (000426) closed at 31.26, with a gain of 9.99% and a trading volume of 772,200 shares, amounting to a transaction value of 2.338 billion yuan [1] - Shengda Resources (000603) also saw a 9.99% increase, closing at 25.66 with a trading volume of 371,900 shares, totaling 925 million yuan [1] - Other notable performers included Tongling Nonferrous Metals (000630) with an 8.40% increase, closing at 5.16, and China Aluminum (601600) with a 6.96% increase, closing at 8.15 [1] Capital Flow Analysis - The industrial metals sector experienced a net inflow of 1.127 billion yuan from institutional investors, while retail investors saw a net outflow of 562 million yuan [2][3] - Major stocks like China Aluminum (601600) had a net inflow of 215 million yuan from institutional investors, while retail investors had a net outflow of 122 million yuan [3] - Xingye Silver Tin (000426) attracted a net inflow of 90.15 million yuan from institutional investors, with retail investors experiencing a net outflow of 73.58 million yuan [3]

今天，A股三大指数震荡上涨。午后，大金融板块发力。截至收盘，上证指数涨0.9%，深证成指涨2.05%，创业板指涨2.74%。市场全天成交额约2.18万亿 元，较上一交易日增加120亿元。 板块方面，能源金属、证券、电池、贵金属等板块涨幅居前，教育、黑色家电、互联网电商等板块调整。 个股方面，证券板块龙头股华泰证券、国盛金控（002670）涨停；有色金属板块方面，白银龙头股盛达资源（000603）涨停，兴业银锡（000426）、紫金 矿业（601899）创历史新高。 华泰证券表示，配置上，考虑到上周TMT板块成交额占比回升、季末资金存在风格调整需求，建议投资者小幅调整仓位，关注主线低位板块，如港股科 技、国产算力、机器人、化工、电池及大众消费龙头等。 大金融板块午后爆发 午后，金融股持续走强，证券、保险板块大幅拉升。证券板块内多只龙头股盘中涨停。截至收盘，华泰证券、国盛金控涨停。 民生证券表示，券商方面，资本市场投融资改革持续深化推进，有助于提升资本市场吸引力。市场交投活跃度保持高位，券商业绩修复趋势有望延续。 东吴证券称，非银金融目前平均估值仍然较低，具有安全边际，攻守兼备。证券行业转型有望带来新的业务增长点 ...

Core Viewpoint - The non-ferrous metal industry index in China has shown strong performance, with significant increases in various stocks, driven by a government plan aimed at stabilizing growth in the sector and rising gold prices reaching historical highs [1][2]. Group 1: Industry Performance - As of September 29, 2025, the non-ferrous metal industry index (399395) rose by 3.10%, with notable stock increases including Vanadium Titanium Co. (000629) up 10.00%, Xingye Silver Tin (000426) up 9.11%, and Tongling Nonferrous Metals (000630) up 7.77% [1]. - The non-ferrous ETF fund (159880) also increased by 3.07%, with the latest price reported at 1.61 yuan [1]. Group 2: Government Initiatives - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, along with eight other departments, issued the "Non-Ferrous Metal Industry Stabilization Growth Work Plan (2025-2026)" to support the sector [1]. Group 3: Commodity Insights - East Wu Securities forecasts that copper prices will remain strong due to anticipated supply contractions and potential interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, while aluminum prices are expected to fluctuate amid weak demand [1]. - The gold market is influenced by a shift in the Federal Reserve's stance during the global central bank conference in August, with expectations of continued inflation and declining nominal interest rates, suggesting a broad potential for precious metals [1]. Group 4: ETF Composition - The non-ferrous metal industry index includes 50 prominent securities based on size and liquidity, reflecting the overall performance of listed companies in the sector [2]. - As of August 29, 2025, the top ten weighted stocks in the index accounted for 50.35% of the total, including Zijin Mining (601899) and Northern Rare Earth (600111) [2].

Group 1 - The stock of Xingye Bank reached its daily limit, increasing by 9.99% [2] - The trading volume exceeded 1.6 billion yuan [2]

工信部等8部门印发《有色金属行业稳增长工作方案》提出，实施新一轮找矿突破战略行动，加强铜、 铝、锂、镍、钴、锡等资源调查与勘探，形成一批找矿新成果。适时丰富重要有色金属期货交易品种和 金融衍生品种。做好重要品种国家储备。加强相关国有企业考核引导，更多鼓励资源开发、技术创新和 成果转化。2025—2026年，有色金属行业增加值年均增长5%左右。 格隆汇9月29日｜A股市场有色金属概念股走强，其中，博迁新材、钒钛股份10CM涨停，盛达资源、银 河磁体涨超6%，中矿资源、赣锋锂业、深圳新星、兴业银锡、昆工科技涨超4%，鹏欣资源、天马新 材、铂科新材、铜陵有色、众源新材、永杉锂业、中国铝业涨超3%。 MACD金叉信号形成，这些股涨势不错！ | 代码 | 名称 | | 涨幅% ↓ | 总市值 | 年初至今涨幅% | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 605376 | 博计新材 | 1 | 10.00 | 156亿 | 106.32 | | 000629 | 钢钛股份 | | 10.00 | 286亿 | 6.94 | | 000603 | 盛达资源 | 1 | 6.64 | ...

Core Insights - The article highlights the strong performance of the non-ferrous metal sector, particularly the increase in the price of copper and aluminum, driven by supply disruptions and demand recovery [1][2] Group 1: Market Performance - The non-ferrous metal ETF showed a stable performance with a 1.5% increase in price and a transaction volume of 1.4755 million yuan, bringing the fund's total size to 303 million yuan [1] - Key stocks such as Baiyin Nonferrous, Guiyan Platinum, and Xingye Silver Tin saw significant gains of 3.6%, 3.23%, and 2.92% respectively, while Shenghe Resources experienced a decline of 1.41% [1] Group 2: Supply and Demand Dynamics - The Grasberg copper mine, the second largest globally, has halted production due to an accident, leading Freeport to project a significant decrease in copper sales by Q4 2025 and a potential 35% drop in production in 2026, exacerbating supply tightness [1] - The aluminum sector is witnessing a positive trend with successful technological advancements in aluminum alloy materials for automotive applications, recognized by high-end clients like BMW and Mercedes, which is expected to drive industry transformation [1] Group 3: Price Outlook - Tianfeng Securities indicates a bullish sentiment in the copper market, with prices expected to continue rising due to supply-demand dynamics and a favorable outlook for aluminum prices supported by inventory reductions and seasonal demand [1][2] - The cobalt sector is facing increased prices due to export bans and quota policies from the Democratic Republic of Congo, leading to a tightening of raw material supply [2]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on copper, aluminum, and precious metals, indicating a high level of market activity and potential for growth in these sectors [13][16]. Core Insights - Copper prices have surged due to unexpected production cuts, leading to significant supply shortages and rapid price increases [13]. - Aluminum is showing signs of recovery with inventory levels decreasing and downstream processing rates improving, suggesting a potential for sustained high profitability [15]. - Precious metals, particularly gold, are expected to rise further due to market anticipation of continuous interest rate cuts [16]. Summary by Sections Copper - This week, LME copper price increased by 2.09% to $10,205.00 per ton, while Shanghai copper rose by 3.20% to 82,500 yuan per ton [14]. - Supply side: The import copper concentrate processing fee index rose to -$40.36 per ton; national copper inventory decreased by 4,400 tons to 140,100 tons [14]. - Consumption side: Brass rod enterprises' operating rate was 48.49%, showing a slight increase of 0.71 percentage points [14]. Aluminum - This week, LME aluminum price decreased by 1.01% to $2,649.00 per ton, and Shanghai aluminum fell by 0.24% to 20,700 yuan per ton [15]. - Supply side: Electrolytic aluminum ingot inventory in major consumption areas dropped by 21,000 tons to 617,000 tons [15]. - Demand side: Downstream processing enterprises' operating rate increased by 0.8 percentage points to 63.0%, driven by pre-holiday stocking [15]. Precious Metals - This week, COMEX gold price rose by 0.23% to $3,789.80 per ounce, with SPDR gold holdings increasing by 5.15 tons to 1,005.72 tons [16]. - The market is experiencing fluctuations due to U.S. tariffs and escalating geopolitical risks, contributing to a volatile trading environment [16]. Rare Earths - The price of praseodymium and neodymium oxide decreased, while the export volume of magnetic materials saw significant growth [32]. - Domestic rare earth separation enterprises are preparing for production halts, indicating potential supply constraints [32]. Antimony - Antimony ingot price is at 174,900 yuan per ton, showing a decrease of 2.26% [33]. - The demand for antimony is expected to recover as the photovoltaic glass market stabilizes [33]. Molybdenum - Molybdenum concentrate price is 4,450 yuan per ton, with a slight decrease of 0.45% [34]. - The demand for molybdenum is expected to rise as major steel mills resume procurement [34]. Tin - Tin ingot price increased by 1.74% to 273,700 yuan per ton, with inventory decreasing by 6.14% [35]. - The supply-demand dynamics are favorable, supported by strong inventory levels and demand from the semiconductor sector [35].

Group 1: Market Outlook - The mid-term upward momentum in the market is expected to continue, with the upcoming 20th Central Committee's Fourth Plenary Session discussing the "14th Five-Year Plan" serving as an important policy window[3] - Investment recommendations focus on sectors benefiting from policy dynamics and industrial prosperity, particularly technology growth (AI, semiconductors, consumer electronics, innovative pharmaceuticals), advanced manufacturing (new energy), and cyclical sectors (non-ferrous metals, building materials)[3] Group 2: Recommended Stocks - Gannee Pharmaceutical (603087.SH): Steady growth in core business with innovative products expanding overseas, total market value of ¥476 billion, PE of 51.7, PB of 4.4[4] - Kailai Pharmaceutical (002821.SZ): Industry recovery with new business driving growth, total market value of ¥397 billion, PE of 37.7, PB of 2.4[13] - Zhuhai Guanyu (688772.SH): Major supplier of consumer batteries, benefiting from partnerships with brands like Apple and Huawei, total market value of ¥274 billion, PE of 61.4, PB of 4.0[20] - Tuojing Technology (688072.SH): Leading in film deposition equipment with significant growth potential, total market value of ¥697 billion, PE of 106.6, PB of 12.9[24] - Haiguang Information (688041.SH): Leading domestic computing power enterprise with substantial growth in H1 2025, total market value of ¥6,227 billion, PE of 273.2, PB of 29.5[32] - Shenxinfeng (300454.SZ): Cloud computing driving revenue growth, achieved profitability in Q2, total market value of ¥521 billion, PE of 92.8, PB of 5.8[37] - Penghui Energy (300438.SZ): Leading position in small-scale energy storage cells, total market value of ¥184 billion, PE of -48.1, PB of 3.7[44] - Mingyang Smart Energy (601615.SH): High demand in offshore wind power, total market value of ¥321 billion, PE of 108.6, PB of 1.2[52] - Xingye Silver Tin (000426.SZ): Strong resource positioning with expected silver price recovery, total market value of ¥482 billion, PE of 33.4, PB of 5.7[55] - Huaxin Cement (600801.SH): Rapid overseas business development with expected domestic price recovery, total market value of ¥332 billion, PE of 13.0, PB of 1.2[62]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Market Weight" rating for the non-ferrous metals industry, indicating that the industry index is expected to perform within ±10% of the market index over the next six months [66]. Core Views - Recent disruptions in copper mining, particularly the mudslide incident at Freeport McMoRan's Grasberg mine, have raised concerns about copper supply, potentially leading to price increases as demand peaks in the industrial metals sector [5][57]. - The Federal Reserve's recent interest rate cut is expected to support metal prices, particularly as the domestic industrial metal demand season approaches [5][59]. - The report highlights significant price movements in various metal markets, with copper prices reaching $10,275 per ton and gold prices increasing to $3,780.50 per ounce as of September 25, 2025 [24][36]. Market Review - As of September 25, 2025, the non-ferrous metals industry has seen a 1.28% increase over the past two weeks, outperforming the CSI 300 index by 0.28 percentage points, ranking 9th among 31 sectors [12]. - Year-to-date, the non-ferrous metals industry has risen by 56.32%, significantly outperforming the CSI 300 index, which has increased by 39.58% [12]. - The energy metals sector has shown a notable increase of 4.68% in the last two weeks, while the small metals sector has decreased by 5.42% [19][18]. Price Analysis - As of September 25, 2025, the following prices were recorded: LME copper at $10,275/ton, LME aluminum at $2,664/ton, LME lead at $2,009/ton, LME zinc at $2,922.50/ton, LME nickel at $15,240/ton, and LME tin at $34,390/ton [24][58]. - Gold prices have increased by $264.4 since the beginning of September, with COMEX silver also showing a rise of $4.72 [36][59]. - The report notes a decline in rare earth prices, with the rare earth price index at 217.37, down 9.56 from the beginning of September [42][60]. Company Recommendations - The report suggests monitoring companies such as Xingye Silver Tin (000426) and Luoyang Molybdenum (603993) in the industrial metals sector [5][59]. - In the gold sector, Zijin Mining (601899) is recommended due to its potential for growth amid rising gold prices [59]. - For small metals, companies like Xiamen Tungsten (600549), China Rare Earth (000831), and Jieli Permanent Magnet (300748) are highlighted for their market positions [61].